581
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: December 06, 2013, 11:47:14 AM
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I know my count misses final sharp move up. But failed hourly sma200 was always unbeatable during bubbles and provided support for bubble EW count. And now it failed and don't want to backup. I assume here count is finished.
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582
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: December 06, 2013, 05:47:27 AM
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What exactly do you mean by 'end'? Value getting halved? double digits? pennies?
End of first historical bullish trend 2010-2013.
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583
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: December 06, 2013, 05:19:22 AM
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I thought the end will have more epic start. Third day in a row I wake up, see charts and ask myself "Is this the end?" and third day in a row answer is "Yes".
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584
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: December 06, 2013, 04:58:29 AM
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Hourly sma200, the holy grail of all bubbles, didn't survived (in all exchanges!). Additionally, hourly sma50 crossed it down. Also add daily MACD cross here. Taking all that I give 20% chance that rally will continue.
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586
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: December 05, 2013, 11:09:46 AM
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There is still a chance this is not major top, but I really don't like china picture. They broke almost all templates of growing bubble.
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594
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: December 04, 2013, 12:33:28 PM
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I think it should reach $2k-$4k in near future in a final push, especially if it will draw a triangle now 7-14 days long.
But I don't want to take a part in further market actions. I reached all my targets, dreams and so on. And now I cashed out for 80%. Thanks China. Thanks US Senate. Thanks uncle Ben, I like your Franklins in my hands.
I think selling in wave 4 of final historical 5 is not bad. I left 20% coins for final wave.
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597
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: November 29, 2013, 10:35:47 PM
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I dunno the top. I'm not a master Yoda =) Usually I see the signs of top in technicals (but actual top of course will be some time later signs). Those signs still absent.
For example, some time ago I said current candle is RIP. And price dump was two days later.
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600
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends
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on: November 28, 2013, 11:33:29 AM
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[edit2] even weirder, it looks like the people that dumped btc on btce escaped into litecoin... boy do i regret getting out of LTC...
I think the whole litecoin capitalization will run back into bitcoin soon pumping another price jump =)
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