^ Hopeless.
Reminds me of the
Ideological Turing Test. In general, it's a lot more instructive to listen to the viewpoints of someone who can (correctly) summarize his opponents' viewpoints than to someone who can't.
I know there's a number of "conditional bulls" in here that can see some good chance for a long-term prospect of Bitcoin being useful, and the asymmetry of the market bet on that event being strongly in their favor right now, but they're not blind to the possibility of it being a failure mostly, one way or the other.
Same for "conditional bears", by the way, who can see a chance for Bitcoin to succeed, but consider it rather unlikely, and the bet at current market price
not to be in their favor. Fair enough, I can follow that line of thinking.
What I really don't care about are viewpoints that can be summarized as "It can't possibly fail." or "It can't possibly succeed." Failure to even answer OP's simple question about a significant adoption scenario means you pretty clearly fall into that category.
