Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Mageant on August 16, 2012, 06:07:39 PM



Title: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Mageant on August 16, 2012, 06:07:39 PM
At what phase of the investor cycle of emotions do you think we are at right now?

https://i.imgur.com/bghxY.jpg


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Yuhfhrh on August 16, 2012, 06:09:32 PM
Thanks for opening this poll :)

THRILL!  :o


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Junko on August 16, 2012, 06:17:28 PM
There is only one negative choice though


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: ArticMine on August 16, 2012, 06:18:13 PM
Hope. No relief until we break 31.89 USD


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Mageant on August 16, 2012, 06:31:21 PM
There is only one negative choice though

I made the assumption that we are somewhere in the upwards part of the cycle now.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Yuhfhrh on August 16, 2012, 06:40:48 PM
There is only one negative choice though

I made the assumption that we are somewhere in the upwards part of the cycle now.

You are correct.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: elux on August 16, 2012, 07:08:51 PM
Anxiety here, that curve is starting to look exponential.

Ditto.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: benjamindees on August 16, 2012, 07:11:25 PM
http://thenatureofmygame.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/no-idea-what-im-doing-dog.jpg?w=300&h=229


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Yuhfhrh on August 16, 2012, 07:13:06 PM

When did you take that picture of me???


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: RyNinDaCleM on August 16, 2012, 07:20:12 PM
In IRC it is all euphoria.

This spec forum is 99% euphoric, and has been for some time now.

You used to be able to use the (excessive) sentiment as an indicator to flip... Doesn't seem so this time around.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: adamstgBit on August 16, 2012, 07:26:26 PM
In IRC it is all euphoria.

This spec forum is 99% euphoric, and has been for some time now.

You used to be able to use the (excessive) sentiment as an indicator to flip... Doesn't seem so this time around.

ya i dont think the current buyer gives a #@*$&  what we are feeling...

hes not going to stop until pirate40 gives up


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: zby on August 16, 2012, 07:33:59 PM
In IRC it is all euphoria.

This spec forum is 99% euphoric, and has been for some time now.

You used to be able to use the (excessive) sentiment as an indicator to flip... Doesn't seem so this time around.

ya i dont think the current buyer gives a #@*$&  what we are feeling...

hes not going to stop until pirate40 gives up

At least that's what he shows.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: xchrix on August 16, 2012, 07:40:52 PM
thats a good thread started here!!! i am coming from stock market and like this theoretical questions.

i thinks its not how the users are feeling which are a long time in this market right now. its important how the users are feeling which are new to bitcoin and those are the guys which are buying them. so why are they buying them? becuase they are euphoric or do the see some home for bitcoins? :)


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: bitcon on August 16, 2012, 07:59:32 PM
false euphoria.   i think we're seeing an "elastic bubble" that will have to get raped hard if it wants to get popped.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: RyNinDaCleM on August 16, 2012, 08:01:59 PM
In IRC it is all euphoria.

This spec forum is 99% euphoric, and has been for some time now.

You used to be able to use the (excessive) sentiment as an indicator to flip... Doesn't seem so this time around.

ya i dont think the current buyer gives a #@*$&  what we are feeling...

hes not going to stop until pirate40 gives up

That's a good point! Also, the amount of other peoples coin that Pirate holds, that would otherwise be on the order book creating resistance, has allowed the price to move unimpeded.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: n8rwJeTt8TrrLKPa55eU on August 17, 2012, 04:27:34 PM
If I'm having trouble sleeping knowing that Bitcoin trades 24/7 and someone might move the price substantially (up or down) by the time I wake up, would that be fear, or euphoria...?


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: drakahn on August 17, 2012, 04:29:18 PM
Anxiety... why is the poll incomplete?


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: mobodick on August 17, 2012, 05:01:44 PM
If I'm having trouble sleeping knowing that Bitcoin trades 24/7 and someone might move the price substantially (up or down) by the time I wake up, would that be fear, or euphoria...?


Eufearia maybe?


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: drakahn on August 17, 2012, 05:03:18 PM
If I'm having trouble sleeping knowing that Bitcoin trades 24/7 and someone might move the price substantially (up or down) by the time I wake up, would that be fear, or euphoria...?


Eufearia maybe?


Awesome band name... either "Eufearia" or the whole "Eufearia maybe" (sans question mark, gotta be 'hip')


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: conspirosphere.tk on August 17, 2012, 05:05:50 PM
There are several further degrees beyond euphoria:
- "It just goes up"
- "New normal / New paradigm"
- "Bull's nirvana"
- "This is going to end badly / Someone please stop it!"
- "WTF? LOL!"
- "I pwn the world!"
...
Add yours


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: n8rwJeTt8TrrLKPa55eU on August 17, 2012, 05:38:46 PM
Eufearia maybe?

Excellent new word, I will use it from now on whenever I'm asked for my thoughts on Bitcoin.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: adamstgBit on August 17, 2012, 05:43:39 PM
reset the poll

lets see what happens  :D


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Yuhfhrh on August 17, 2012, 05:45:42 PM
reset the poll

lets see what happens  :D

I agree lol


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: ruski on August 18, 2012, 03:45:29 AM
Anxiety... why is the poll incomplete?

+1


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: Spekulatius on August 18, 2012, 04:01:01 AM
Quote
Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?

Always Greed

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-9sXo6m0ilkg/T2C4eflqSRI/AAAAAAAAADk/j6EDyJR5CUA/s1600/greed.JPG


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: OgNasty on August 18, 2012, 04:02:51 AM
This thread should list all the stages and people can change their votes as they feel the investor emotion change.  Then it would be a decent indicator.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: xchrix on August 18, 2012, 10:42:00 AM
This thread should list all the stages and people can change their votes as they feel the investor emotion change.  Then it would be a decent indicator.

this gave me a good idea. i will try to start a bitcoin barometer with polls every week or month so that i am able to collect the current and future opinions of investors to generate a chart out of it.

i have setup a domain with limesurvey http://www.btc-barometer.com

now i have to research which questions to ask and how to calculate an indicator out of it. are there any good ideas??


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: mobodick on August 18, 2012, 03:30:02 PM
Eufearia maybe?

Excellent new word, I will use it from now on whenever I'm asked for my thoughts on Bitcoin.


I wrote it in to Webster to be included in the new edition of the dictionary:

eufearia
[yo̅o̅fēr′ē·ə]

1. (finance) The feeling that the parabolic growth of your money may have unfortunate consequences.
2. (driving) The proper emotional response when someone realizes that a mountain road has been replaced by a canyon.
3. (skydiving) The brief realisation that the backpack you're wearing is, in fact, Bobs diving gear.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: MrGaSp on August 18, 2012, 04:08:12 PM
Eufearia maybe?

Excellent new word, I will use it from now on whenever I'm asked for my thoughts on Bitcoin.


I wrote it in to Webster to be included in the new edition of the dictionary:

eufearia
[yo̅o̅fēr′ē·ə]

1. (finance) The feeling that the parabolic growth of your money may have unfortunate consequences.
2. (driving) The proper emotional response when someone realizes that a mountain road has been replaced by a canyon.
3. (skydiving) The brief realisation that the backpack you're wearing is, in fact, Bobs diving gear.


That is so awesome and true...


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: waspoza on August 18, 2012, 04:09:59 PM
Eufearia maybe?

Excellent new word, I will use it from now on whenever I'm asked for my thoughts on Bitcoin.


I wrote it in to Webster to be included in the new edition of the dictionary:

eufearia
[yo̅o̅fēr′ē·ə]

1. (finance) The feeling that the parabolic growth of your money may have unfortunate consequences.
2. (driving) The proper emotional response when someone realizes that a mountain road has been replaced by a canyon.
3. (skydiving) The brief realisation that the backpack you're wearing is, in fact, Bobs diving gear.


+1 perfect! :)


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: cheat_2_win on August 18, 2012, 04:13:32 PM
I don't feel bad at all as we are still in double digits after that much dump.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: waspoza on August 18, 2012, 04:16:33 PM
I don't feel bad at all as we are still in double digits after that much dump.

My guess is that till thurstday price will be above $12.5.


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: IIOII on August 18, 2012, 06:24:02 PM
This thread should list all the stages and people can change their votes as they feel the investor emotion change.  Then it would be a decent indicator.

this gave me a good idea. i will try to start a bitcoin barometer with polls every week or month so that i am able to collect the current and future opinions of investors to generate a chart out of it.

i have setup a domain with limesurvey http://www.btc-barometer.com

now i have to research which questions to ask and how to calculate an indicator out of it. are there any good ideas??

+1

I would do the classic most simple thing:

Are you bullish or bearish regarding the Bitcoin price (in USD) within the next week/month/year?

Vote [] bullish [] bearish

Something like this. Percentage bulls/bears is a simple, yet quite valuable indicator.


Edit: Didn't see that this is already done here: http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: smoothie on August 18, 2012, 07:06:28 PM
If I'm having trouble sleeping knowing that Bitcoin trades 24/7 and someone might move the price substantially (up or down) by the time I wake up, would that be fear, or euphoria...?


Eufearia maybe?


This a new term? :D


Title: Re: Poll: What is the current investor emotion now?
Post by: drakahn on August 18, 2012, 07:19:59 PM
If I'm having trouble sleeping knowing that Bitcoin trades 24/7 and someone might move the price substantially (up or down) by the time I wake up, would that be fear, or euphoria...?


Eufearia maybe?


This a new term? :D
Is AB Involved with Subprimed Loans? - Yahoo
19 Nov 2007 – Probably what will happen is that while the stock markets careen around in a whirlwind of eufearia (which is the opposite of euphoria)...


But this thread is number one on (my) google now, so we win.