Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: tokeweed on April 18, 2015, 11:20:52 AM



Title: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: tokeweed on April 18, 2015, 11:20:52 AM
http://www.budgetsaresexy.com/images/frowny-face.gif

The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Omikifuse on April 18, 2015, 11:40:24 AM
good to see people that bring us news that never have been revealed to anyone anytime in the past, anywhere


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: ssmc2 on April 18, 2015, 01:23:03 PM
That's interesting, I thought it was due to a bot called CHINA


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: randy8777 on April 18, 2015, 01:29:42 PM
why are you guys so in a rush. no need to think about $1200 when we not even manage to stay above $300 that just doesn't make sense. once we're heading towards $700 then we can talk about $1000


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: umairsaleem on April 18, 2015, 01:56:05 PM
Stop talking 1200$ when we're heading to 100$.

That's interesting, I thought it was due to a bot called CHINA

Yes, we would never see 1200$ without Chinese.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Morecoin Freeman on April 18, 2015, 02:11:41 PM
It is possible to identify the short-term tops and bottoms but knowing exactly where the price will or will never go in the next couple of years is absolutely impossible.

So there is no point in this topic and the price going over thousand USD again at some point in time is not unlikely.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Chef Ramsay on April 18, 2015, 03:59:42 PM
Some people are so shell shocked that their minds don't work well anymore. Pricing is all about demand and everyone and their brother has a bot these days if the want one.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: gentlemand on April 18, 2015, 04:23:59 PM
Jesus.

Why didn't anyone tell me this before? I feel like everything's been kicked away beneath me. I don't know who to turn to.

Hold me.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: srgkrgkj on April 18, 2015, 04:33:08 PM
Jesus.

Why didn't anyone tell me this before? I feel like everything's been kicked away beneath me. I don't know who to turn to.

Hold me.

xD sure, this is just pure speculation but we might not reach a price of 1xxx for a whole year to say the least. Current order books show strong resistence at current and lower levels but we may have to visit sub 200 before we head to the moon :P but again 10 years is a bit too much i expect 5 figures by then !


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: dropt on April 18, 2015, 06:00:27 PM
Threads like this always get me.  As if $1200 seemed possible at the beginning of 2013.  It seemed impossible that it would see $266 after it had trouble maintaining $100 after the early 2013 implosion.

If anything, BTC has shown that near anything is possible.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Deadstock on April 18, 2015, 06:05:28 PM
more like $120 is possible


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: ً؛قو on April 18, 2015, 06:50:43 PM
OP needs to changes its information channels he is seriously lagging

will we see 1.2k again, yes
will it be in less than 10years, yes


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Amph on April 18, 2015, 07:06:08 PM
That's interesting, I thought it was due to a bot called CHINA

willy bot can arguably be a chinese bot, notice how the pump of willy coincided with the chinese that entered the bitcoin market

more like $120 is possible

120 in 10 years, that's heavily discutible, no way it will be that low, otherwise it mean that bitcoin was replaced/dead


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: coinableS on April 18, 2015, 07:18:34 PM
It was also caused by crazed demand and greed. We may see $1200 again much sooner than you think.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: 1Referee on April 18, 2015, 07:39:22 PM
If you browse through the forum then you will see people saying $10K within a few years, etc. Which is pure nonsense.

If you just be, and think realistically, then it would be a miracle if we see and manage to stay above $1000 within 3 years.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: D05GTO on April 18, 2015, 07:45:13 PM
If you browse through the forum then you will see people saying $10K within a few years, etc. Which is pure nonsense.

If you just be, and think realistically, then it would be a miracle if we see and manage to stay above $1000 within 3 years.

Which you also see when browsing the forum, that ever reaching $2, $30, $60 is impossible, etc. Which is pure nonsense too. LOL


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Alley on April 18, 2015, 09:05:53 PM
Can you even imagine the difficulty and demand for miners with a $10k coin?


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Natalia_AnatolioPAMM on April 18, 2015, 09:21:09 PM
never ever


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Snipe85 on April 18, 2015, 11:25:12 PM
That's interesting, I thought it was due to a bot called CHINA

willy bot can arguably be a chinese bot, notice how the pump of willy coincided with the chinese that entered the bitcoin market

It was a Japanese bot. :D
Jokes aside it was China. They had the biggest volume since their exchanges started pumping.
Same with the big fall in early 2014 it was caused by Chinese banks refusing to provide services to exchanges.



Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Morecoin Freeman on April 18, 2015, 11:29:02 PM
http://fc07.deviantart.net/fs38/f/2008/321/5/9/Willy_Wonka_Bot_by_shawnisboring.png


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: vvv8 on April 19, 2015, 12:45:30 AM
OP needs to smoke more weed and educate himself better, seems like he's failing ATM tho


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: knight22 on April 19, 2015, 12:53:37 AM
If Willy was responsible for the latest surge then Billy the bot will bring us to 10K  ::)


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: uhoh on April 19, 2015, 01:15:56 AM
It's the same as it has always been

Within 10 years it will either be:

1. A fuck-tonne
2. Nothing.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: shmadz on April 19, 2015, 01:34:48 AM
It's the same as it has always been

Within 10 years it will either be:

1. A fuck-tonne
2. Nothing.

Within the next ten years I expect a similar, binary, outcome.

All or nothing.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Biodom on April 19, 2015, 02:42:50 AM
It's the same as it has always been

Within 10 years it will either be:

1. A fuck-tonne
2. Nothing.

Within the next ten years I expect a similar, binary, outcome.

All or nothing.

bitcoin will be valuable only if status quo changes for whatever reason.

example-cash in the bank is just another bank liability that has to be reconciled with other positions.
Deposits are now a part of banks capital structure.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/ellen-brown/new-g20-bailin-rules-now-_b_6244394.html

On the other hand, bitcoin has no liabilities (at least for now), hence it could become valuable if someone would prefer such assets.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: spiderbrain on April 19, 2015, 02:43:34 AM
So the global fiat money system is fine and we can all go back to bed? $10 Billion is nothing as far as global currency is concerned. The last bubble overshot, and the next one will too, but overall we're going up until a universally better crypto comes along or we hit the market cap of a medium sized country.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: spiderbrain on April 19, 2015, 02:45:47 AM
On the other hand, bitcoin has no liabilities (at least for now), hence it could become valuable if someone would prefer such assets.
I prefer such assets :)


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Bit_Happy on April 19, 2015, 02:50:08 AM
Just watch what happens to this sub-forum once the rally finally gets started.
"Bitcoin going to $100,000 each!!!" threads will be all over the place.  :)


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Amph on April 19, 2015, 07:25:33 AM
It's the same as it has always been

Within 10 years it will either be:

1. A fuck-tonne
2. Nothing.

what about the price will remain the same, but the adoption will be huge, and we reach mainstream status anyway?


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: randy8777 on April 19, 2015, 07:53:05 AM
It's the same as it has always been

Within 10 years it will either be:

1. A fuck-tonne
2. Nothing.

what about the price will remain the same, but the adoption will be huge, and we reach mainstream status anyway?

price will go up as there will be high demand for btc. you need to buy it first to spend it. and let's say 50% of the people will hold a few coins as investment.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: bornil267645 on April 19, 2015, 10:54:06 AM
No need to head that high, considering the current market price. Just take it step by step or in this case, by 100 would be so much better. But too much price surge will hang the volatile label on BTC for good.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: ssmc2 on April 19, 2015, 03:05:49 PM
It's the same as it has always been

Within 10 years it will either be:

1. A fuck-tonne
2. Nothing.

what about the price will remain the same, but the adoption will be huge, and we reach mainstream status anyway?

Does not compute


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: tokeweed on April 19, 2015, 03:40:42 PM
http://www.budgetsaresexy.com/images/frowny-face.gif

The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com

Another investigation on Willy and price manipulation...  http://blog.wizsec.jp/2015/02/mtgox-investigation-release.html


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: thejaytiesto on April 19, 2015, 04:51:43 PM
http://www.budgetsaresexy.com/images/frowny-face.gif

The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com
10 years to collect cheap ass BTC before the next rally goes x10 ATH, seems like a good plan to me and anyone that has a good understanding of what is going on.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: tokeweed on April 19, 2015, 05:15:30 PM
http://www.budgetsaresexy.com/images/frowny-face.gif

The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com
10 years to collect cheap ass BTC before the next rally goes x10 ATH, seems like a good plan to me and anyone that has a good understanding of what is going on.

Good thinking...  So it's in our best interest for BTC to go to double digits then.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Chef Ramsay on April 19, 2015, 06:34:17 PM
http://www.budgetsaresexy.com/images/frowny-face.gif

The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com
10 years to collect cheap ass BTC before the next rally goes x10 ATH, seems like a good plan to me and anyone that has a good understanding of what is going on.

Good thinking...  So it's in our best interest for BTC to go to double digits then.
Laugh out loud, you're dreaming if you think there's a shot for double digits again. The mid 1xx ranges will see a fury of buying like never before seen, if that level even happens.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: oblivi on April 19, 2015, 07:37:10 PM
http://www.budgetsaresexy.com/images/frowny-face.gif

The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com
10 years to collect cheap ass BTC before the next rally goes x10 ATH, seems like a good plan to me and anyone that has a good understanding of what is going on.

Good thinking...  So it's in our best interest for BTC to go to double digits then.

I don't really care. If you are aware of were the world is going, you know that in the end Bitcoin will be recognized as something extremely revolutionizing and useful all over the world. This just started, and at the very beginnings of revolutionary technology the 99% don't know how to deal with it. Worrying about the price right now is mental masturbation, what matters is the technology, just like the internet was a mess at the begining, but if you aren't an idiot you could see the potential early on.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: btcbug on April 19, 2015, 09:44:47 PM
Ok, so let's fire up another bot then and go for 10k   ;D


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: panju1 on April 20, 2015, 12:28:15 AM
No need to head that high, considering the current market price. Just take it step by step or in this case, by 100 would be so much better. But too much price surge will hang the volatile label on BTC for good.

Yup, a steady bull run is preferable to a sudden surge.
I am waiting for the halving of the block reward to serve as a catalyst.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: stonerider on April 20, 2015, 03:42:25 AM
As long as the top 1% hold 99.999% of the bitcoins in existence, we will never see $1200. When only the elites, the early adopters and whales, hold the coins, there is no utility to the coins. Just let the coins die. Bitcoin has become millionaire's toy. Even now, they are manipulating the prices, taking coins from the ignorant masses is just like taking candy from a baby.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Amph on April 20, 2015, 06:36:59 AM
As long as the top 1% hold 99.999% of the bitcoins in existence, we will never see $1200. When only the elites, the early adopters and whales, hold the coins, there is no utility to the coins. Just let the coins die. Bitcoin has become millionaire's toy. Even now, they are manipulating the prices, taking coins from the ignorant masses is just like taking candy from a baby.

the problem isn't only that, the problem is that there is also competition with other type of trading, like stocks/gold ecc, so many are forced to hold bitcoin while playing with those others kind of trading

it safer to hold right now even for whales(they are probably playing with little money, notice the small swings...)


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: tokeweed on April 20, 2015, 06:46:14 AM
As long as the top 1% hold 99.999% of the bitcoins in existence, we will never see $1200. When only the elites, the early adopters and whales, hold the coins, there is no utility to the coins. Just let the coins die. Bitcoin has become millionaire's toy. Even now, they are manipulating the prices, taking coins from the ignorant masses is just like taking candy from a baby.

the problem isn't only that, the problem is that there is also competition with other type of trading, like stocks/gold ecc, so many are forced to hold bitcoin while playing with those others kind of trading

it safer to hold right now even for whales(they are probably playing with little money, notice the small swings...)

On a downtrending market hedging some to fiat is not a bad decision.  If you can borrow some BTC, short it.  But like anything...  keep your losses small.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Snorek on April 20, 2015, 07:12:09 AM
If Willy was responsible for the latest surge then Billy the bot will bring us to 10K  ::)
That is exactly my thought. How we are sure that there won't be any other Willy Bots in the future? AFAIK there is nothing that prevents this kind of activity.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: WhatTheGox on April 20, 2015, 07:36:13 AM

The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com

If it were that easy to pump the value of something like that then it will happen again.  Everything moves faster in bitcoin vs traditional markets 10 years is a lifetime.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: Amph on April 20, 2015, 08:10:00 AM
If Willy was responsible for the latest surge then Billy the bot will bring us to 10K  ::)
That is exactly my thought. How we are sure that there won't be any other Willy Bots in the future? AFAIK there is nothing that prevents this kind of activity.

not really advisable, billi bot was managed by a hacker that has taken the control of the trading in that era, at least this is what that article say, if a rise of 10k happen because of willy 2.0 then expect even a big crash than the last one


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: ensurance982 on April 20, 2015, 09:43:34 AM
The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com

Well even if I *do* buy most of the Willy report, we're now approaching a long-term trendline drawn without the gox-bubbles! Once again, I feel capitulation kicking in. Shorting now may be dangerous!


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: tokeweed on April 20, 2015, 10:35:11 AM
The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com

Well even if I *do* buy most of the Willy report, we're now approaching a long-term trendline drawn without the gox-bubbles! Once again, I feel capitulation kicking in. Shorting now may be dangerous!

Maybe...  We'll see.


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: ensurance982 on April 20, 2015, 10:37:25 AM
The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com

Well even if I *do* buy most of the Willy report, we're now approaching a long-term trendline drawn without the gox-bubbles! Once again, I feel capitulation kicking in. Shorting now may be dangerous!

Maybe...  We'll see.

Also, keep in mind that we've seen Bitcoin go up 100x before Willy was active :) You have to take a step back from the timeframes outlined in the Willy report and see that there have been bubbles before our beloved bot began buying as if there's no tomorrow!


Title: Re: Reality is sinking in... We may not see $1200 again. Not in 10(?) years.
Post by: tokeweed on April 20, 2015, 10:39:31 AM
The late 2013 surge was caused by a bot called Willy.

https://willyreport.wordpress.com

Well even if I *do* buy most of the Willy report, we're now approaching a long-term trendline drawn without the gox-bubbles! Once again, I feel capitulation kicking in. Shorting now may be dangerous!

Maybe...  We'll see.

Also, keep in mind that we've seen Bitcoin go up 100x before Willy was active :) You have to take a step back from the timeframes outlined in the Willy report and see that there have been bubbles before our beloved bot began buying as if there's no tomorrow!

Again...  We'll see.  I'm an open mind.  But looking at the charts right now, it's still trending down.