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Title: The next step: MPT Post by: bpd on August 30, 2012, 12:28:50 AM There are now 35,000 BTC of documented bets with Matthew N Wright:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ajtx05YrHtIydFVHcGxLOExTbnhqajJLZmlSZUNtM3c#gid=0 Some of these participants have made substantial bets of up to 6,000 BTC. The logical next step is for one or more of the bettors to issue Matthew-passthrough (MPT) bonds on the GLBSE. Who will be the first to do it? Title: Re: The next step: MPT Post by: DeathAndTaxes on August 30, 2012, 12:34:48 AM If I thought there was any chance he would pay I would offer CDS (Credit default swaps) so gamblers could insure their winning bets against a default. :)
Title: Re: The next step: MPT Post by: bpd on August 30, 2012, 01:07:39 AM Well, by offering an MPT, we could determine the probability the market puts on Matthew paying out. If price of an MPT bond is X and price of a PPT bond is Y, then Prob(Matthew pays) = X/(1-Y)
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