Bitcoin Forum

Okay last period no winner. We have a double carry over of 0.20 bc plus the added 0.10 btc so 0.30 to the winner.

Picks start on block 300

last thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1076732.0


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   52,406,234,485 (+5.46%)
Adjust time:   After 1958 Blocks, About 13.4 days
Hashrate(?):   350,047,687 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes
Updated:   11:55 (1.6 minutes ago)



Price = $235.00

Difficulty History

Date   --------------Difficulty--   Change-----   Hash Rate

Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s    last jump----- price = 234



May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014   2,193,847,870   22.59%   15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014   1,789,546,951   26.16%   12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014   1,418,481,395   20.12%   10,153,885 GH/s
Dec 21 2013   1,180,923,195   30.01%   8,453,378 GH/s
Dec 10 2013   908,350,862   28.41%   6,502,229 GH/s
Nov 29 2013   707,408,283   16.07%   5,063,826 GH/s
Nov 17 2013   609,482,680   19.29%   4,362,847 GH/s
Nov 05 2013   510,929,738   30.70%   3,657,378 GH/s
Oct 26 2013   390,928,788   46.02%   2,798,377 GH/s
Oct 16 2013   267,731,249   41.45%   1,916,495 GH/s

Maybe we finally go over 50 bill this time.

The  picks start in another   250    blocks or so.


 300 made --- 1716 left to be exact


we are at

48 made ----- 1958 left


I think block 360874 was the starting point for this adjustment

we are at block 360922

we made 48 blocks in 9 hours 22 minutes should make 6 x 9 = 54 + 2 = 56 blocks

So we are off slowly maybe - 8 on the first day.

Would be funny if we drop -3 to -5 % this time and keep under the 50 bill mark.

This is a new ATH!  :o

Hope we will stay below 50 bill.

But pretty sure we will go over. New gear are coming soon.

Cant wait to see the new miners!  ;D

within the next four difficulty changes I would bet, maybe 2 cycles.

Hopefully we'll get some awesome efficient stuff

Its probably going to end up flat, might go up in another month or so.

It will take a lot of hash power to double the difficulty to 100,000,000,000

700PH to get to 100B difficulty.

Roughly based on difficulty numbers

360864 was the first block

my bad you are correct.

Price is 236 and rising nicely.  Could be a good week if price keeps going up.

Early in this change but might see a 5 again.

I would like to pick : +4.01% - +4.25%

Thanks !

I will take +3,26 to 3,50  ;D

Cat says +4.51 to +4.75.

+2.76 to 3.00%

+5,25% - 5,50%

3.01-3.25 please

Also bitwsidsom does not look to bad:


Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    51,751,588,941 (+4.14%)
Adjust time:    After 1682 Blocks, About 11.7 days
Hashrate(?):    353,102,717 GH/s

Price jumped to over 250....  so very nice day.

+2.51 to +2.75 please
thanks

price is down from peak to $248...still, great advance

1.01 to 1.25 ;D

thx!

I think everybody will bet high this time and we'll have 0.4 BTC for the next round.

yeah well I am at my -1.11%   or -1.01% to -1.25%

My suggestion to all is wait another day or two to pick.

See if price on coin gets up and  well over 250  (say 260 or more) rather then  going over 250 and back down.

we are about 400 blocks in   still 600 before we close picks.

LOL! This.

I tried to talk my cat out of his high guess, but he wouldn't change it. I hope he's wrong and it comes in much lower.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+3.83%)   BTC =248 USD



Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   51,597,527,512 (+3.83%)
Adjust time:   After 1677 Blocks, About 11.7 days
Hashrate(?):   349,577,026 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   13:35 (1.3 minutes ago)



-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir


+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean

+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey


+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

June 14th
360971  23:15
360864  04:56     19 hours = 114  norm   made = 108   -6 so we are - 6 blocks for June 14th

June 15th
361115 23:53
360972 00:08    ------------- 144 norm    made = 144  0 so we are -6 blocks at end of June 15th


June 16th
361205 17:40
361116 00:21 17 ⅔ hours = 106 norm made =  90  -16 so we are -22 blocks mid day June 16th



 so 364 is norm we are 342 = 0.9395 -1 = -0.0604 and this is - 6.04%  far different then bitcoinwisdom pick of +3.83 %

now we are early but a -6% and 248 usd price at the end of this adjustment would be really good .

-0.76% to -1.00% please
down a tad - people taking summer vacations

-0.50 to -0.75 please. 

ill take -2.01% to -2.25%

-2.01% to -2.25% tss

-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%

+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir


+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean

+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey


+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

I can't believe I made that mistake!  Yes, I meant -0.51 to -0.75.  Thanks.

+3.51 to 3.75

-0.01 to -0.25 for me!  Thanks and good luck!

+3.76 to 4.00 for me, thanks!

+2.01 to +2.25 please

+2.26 to +2.50 please

This period has been really nice as far as BTC pricing.   It's settled down some from earlier jumps, currently a little over 250.

And with bitwisdom looking like this it could be a very nice time during this change:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    50,998,155,506 (+2.63%)
Adjust time:    After 1596 Blocks, About 11.3 days
Hashrate(?):    339,588,894 GH/s

+0.01 to +0.25% for me, thank you

I hate to see it, but I think two positives in a row this time.

+4.26 to + 4.50 for me please.

I think it'll go up again, but not by much.  I'll take the +1.76% to +2.00% slot please :)

Morning/mid-day bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    51,002,656,971 (+2.64%)
Adjust time:    After 1547 Blocks, About 11.0 days
Hashrate(?):    341,842,385 GH/s

Price went up earlier in morning dropped to around 249 currently.

i took

+4.76% to +5.00%

I think nobody took +1.26 to + 1.50 %. Please reserve it for me :)

-2.01% to -2.25% tss

-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%
-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss

+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993
+2.26% to +2.50% wpt1wpt1
+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir
+3.51% to +3.75% SunnyIgor
+3.76% to +4.00% akashamar
+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean
+4.26% to +4.50% Mikestang
+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey
+4.76% to +5.00% kenscho

+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114    -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144    -2

6-16-2015   125-----144   -19

6-17-2016   143-----144   - 1

total             518-----546  -28

so real number is under -5.12% as of the end of 6-17-2015!

Is it still open?

yes we have done only 568 blocks picks are open until  block 1000

Just the late night update from Minnesota:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    50,640,481,394 (+1.91%)
Adjust time:    After 1444 Blocks, About 10.3 days
Hashrate(?):    348,309,234 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.8 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
   
Updated:    2:40 (38.0 seconds ago)

Price: $246 (was $250 earlier in the day)

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1072425.msg11649161#msg11649161
winter is coming

bit fury is not stupid.  replacement of .5 watt gear using .35 watt gear means a huge gain in power savings.

to grow the network it not important.  if they had 40ph at .5 watts that was 20 megawatts  at .35 watts it is 14 megawatts  6 megawatts at 3 cents  = $180,000 in power savings

they will not grow hashpower much. unless others do.  my guess is no company will grow the network much.  I would be stunned to see it grow  much more then 2% a jump.

Do you know if bitfury or other new hardware is gonna be sold to the public? I cant seem to find info on this anywhere...
Or are they just hoarding and self mining?

-1.26- -1.50

-2.01% to -2.25% tss

-1.26% to -1.50%  gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%
-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss

+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993
+2.26% to +2.50% wpt1wpt1
+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir
+3.51% to +3.75% SunnyIgor
+3.76% to +4.00% akashamar
+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean
+4.26% to +4.50% Mikestang
+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey
+4.76% to +5.00% kenscho
+5.01% to +5.25% RoadStress
+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

 About 636 blocks made so far and
we are  dropping:

 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+2.12%)

 this is far higher then current number (-2 or lower) I will update it tonight.




Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   50,747,675,275 (+2.12%)
Adjust time:   After 1380 Blocks, About 9.7 days
Hashrate(?):   346,749,671 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   13:35 (4.7 minutes ago)

+5.01 to +5.25

Thank you.

-1.76 to -2.00 please

Bitwisdom not looking to bad:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    51,199,019,374 (+3.03%)
Adjust time:    After 1309 Blocks, About 9.1 days
Hashrate(?):    351,404,234 GH/s

Price still hanging around 249.

Bitwisdom's morning:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    51,426,106,598 (+3.49%)
Adjust time:    After 1247 Blocks, About 8.6 days
Hashrate(?):    362,747,385 GH/s

Price is dropping to around 245 currently.

oh oh oh  ;D stay like that!  :P

what range is still available? i want to choose a positive range and not above 10

something like +2.25 +2.5

6 post higher.  ;)

-2.01% to -2.25% tss
-1.76% to -2.00% Jamphone
-1.26% to -1.50%  gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%
-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss

+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993
+2.26% to +2.50% wpt1wpt1
+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir
+3.51% to +3.75% SunnyIgor
+3.76% to +4.00% akashamar
+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean
+4.26% to +4.50% Mikestang
+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey
+4.76% to +5.00% kenscho
+5.01% to +5.25% RoadStress
+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

 About 811 blocks made so far and

BTC prices are  dropping: to 243 usd



 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+3.69%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   51,527,648,489 (+3.69%)
Adjust time:   After 1205 Blocks, About 8.2 days
Hashrate(?):   365,017,241 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.5 minutes
6 blocks: 59.0 minutes
Updated:   16:30 (5.5 minutes ago)





@Amph try  +1.51 to +1.75

we are 810-811  another 190 or so and picks stop

Can I take +1.51 to +1.75 if Amph didnt take it?

yeah I guess so  seems fair to me, but suchmoon would be final decision since he pays rewards.


I am going to pencil you in.

-2.01% to -2.25% tss
-1.76% to -2.00% Jamphone
-1.26% to -1.50%  gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%
-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss
+1.51% to +1.75% EMIF    ----------pending suchmoon's final say.
+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993
+2.26% to +2.50% wpt1wpt1
+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir
+3.51% to +3.75% SunnyIgor
+3.76% to +4.00% akashamar
+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean
+4.26% to +4.50% Mikestang
+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey
+4.76% to +5.00% kenscho
+5.01% to +5.25% RoadStress
+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

 About 849 blocks made so far and

BTC prices are  dropping: to 241 usd



 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+3.15%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   51,257,106,807 (+3.15%)
Adjust time:   After 1167 Blocks, About 8.0 days
Hashrate(?):   369,336,112 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Updated:   23:15 (1.4 minutes ago)






@Amph try  +1.51 to +1.75  I put  EMIF in that spot

we are 859  another 141 or so and picks stop

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2016   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2016    165-----144   = +21

6-19-2016    147-----144 =    +3

total             830-----834   =  -4

so real number is ( -0.479%)  as of the end of 6-19-2015!

While I think it will be positive, I don't think it will be as bad as 5%. With little room available, I'll take:

+0.76% to +1.00%

Now I just have to hope that HaoBTC takes their time in finishing their move to Kangding.

I will be blown away if we get another negative but it would be nice.  Price at least is hanging above 240.    Hopefully we see it go up again.

i'm taking it actually, it's a good enough range for me

sry  ;D

I think youre a little bit late. But final words are belongs to suchmoon

-2.01% to -2.25% tss
-1.76% to -2.00% Jamphone

-1.26% to -1.50%  gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%

-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee

+0.51% to +0.75% Amph---------------- settled Amph gets this
+0.76% to +1.00% alh
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss
+1.51% to +1.75% EMIF    ----------and EMIF gets this.
+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993
+2.26% to +2.50% wpt1wpt1
+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir
+3.51% to +3.75% SunnyIgor
+3.76% to +4.00% akashamar
+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean
+4.26% to +4.50% Mikestang
+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey
+4.76% to +5.00% kenscho
+5.01% to +5.25% RoadStress
+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

 About 849 blocks made so far and

BTC prices are  dropping: to 241 usd



 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+3.15%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   51,257,106,807 (+3.15%)
Adjust time:   After 1167 Blocks, About 8.0 days
Hashrate(?):   369,336,112 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Updated:   23:15 (1.4 minutes ago)






@Amph try  +1.51 to +1.75  I put  EMIF in that spot

@Amph I put you in  for 0.51% to 0.75%

I do not want drama about it.

We have had a lot of fun doing this.


We have  done 881 blocks so far about  119 left before closing.







 we have "0" left which gets a bonus of .1 btc    if my math is correct it would get .4 btc

we have +0.26% to +0.51% left

we have some negatives left

-1.51% to - 1.75%

-0.26% to -0.50%


the numbers above   all are in range

below are possible but out of range

lower then -2.25% no picks so far

higher then + 5.50% no picks so far

What? Someone mentioned my name?

I think Philip settled this already and it looks fair to me.

yeah it is all good. 




(+2.20%)  with 905 blocks made

price swung up to 246 from 243

It's looking like a pretty good week.  Price is headed up nicely at a slow pace.   And considering looks to be small change upward that is a win I think.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (+2.22%)



Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   50,795,361,102 (+2.22%)
Adjust time:   After 1071 Blocks, About 7.4 days
Hashrate(?):   371,491,757 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.9 minutes
Updated:   16:0 (4.0 minutes ago)


Price = http://246


I have been tracking real time diff

via

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

we are negative diff in real time.  

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   361809
Total BTC   14.295M
 
Difficulty   49692386355
Estimated   49939113476 in 1071 blks
 
Network total   338490.823 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.71 / 631 s


Has us at about +0.48%


we have some good low numbers left grab them

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2015   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2015   165-----144   = +21

6-19-2015   147-----144 =    +3

6-20-2015    134-----144 = -10

total             964-----978   =  -14

so real number is ( -1.4319%)  as of the end of 6-20-2015!

maybe i should have changed my option when i had the time ;D neah! hodl! :D

hopping for - + - + - + - diff from now on

maybe next one will be above 5% if someone hits the switch, and because of the negative this time

LE: https://blockchain.info/blocks/BitFury they came out of the unknown part?!

Morning bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    50,126,689,040 (+0.87%)
Adjust time:    After 990 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    355,713,133 GH/s

Keeps going down.  Not a bad thing.  Price is around 245.  So really a pretty good week.

1000th block is past picks are closed:


-2.01% to -2.25% tss
-1.76% to -2.00% Jamphone

-1.26% to -1.50%  gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%


>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for -0.26% to -0.50%


-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for 0  which would be 0.4 btc prize with the bonus and rollover combined

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one took this pick  +0.26% to +0.50%

+0.51% to +0.75% Amph---------------- settled Amph gets this
+0.76% to +1.00% alh
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss
+1.51% to +1.75% EMIF    ----------and EMIF gets this.
+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993
+2.26% to +2.50% wpt1wpt1
+2.51% to +2.75% Biodom
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% notlist3d
+3.26% to +3.50% valkir
+3.51% to +3.75% SunnyIgor
+3.76% to +4.00% akashamar
+4.01% to +4.25% HerbPean
+4.26% to +4.50% Mikestang
+4.51% to +4.75% edonkey
+4.76% to +5.00% kenscho
+5.01% to +5.25% RoadStress
+5.25% to +5.50% Moebius327

good luck to all of the above.

right now we are at


 +0.49

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

price = 244 usd


And we may end up under 50 bill diff if the .5% holds.

Bitwisdom keeps looking nicer and nicer:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,710,346,505 (+0.04%)
Adjust time:    After 911 Blocks, About 6.5 days
Hashrate(?):    347,946,446 GH/s

Price went up and down but is around 244 at the moment.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2015   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2015   165-----144   = +21

6-19-2015   147-----144 =    +3

6-20-2015    134-----144 = -10

6-21-2015    125----144 = -19

total             1089---1122   =  -33

so real number is ( -2.94%)  as of the end of 6-21-2015!



Now - 2.94%  real time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNN1KmSH7Dk

flo rida! 


BTW  I think it is a truly brilliant nametag for a rapper.

I'd heard of him many, many times, but only now seeing it spelled out realize it's Florida.  ha!

yeah I saw him and Pitbull doing a  special from Miami when I figured out what his name meant I cracked up laughing .

Time to form up my band, Cali for Nia.  8)

Late night update for those folks that check-in here:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,806,032,346 (+0.23%)
Adjust time:    After 734 Blocks, About 5.2 days
Hashrate(?):    340,748,975 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.3 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours

Price: $245

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2015   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2015   165-----144   = +21

6-19-2015   147-----144 =    +3

6-20-2015    134-----144 = -10

6-21-2015    125----144 = -19

6-22-2015    144----144  =  0

6-23-2015    144----144  = 0

total             1377---1410   =  -33

so real number is ( -2.34%)  as of the end of 6-23-2015!



Now (- 2.34%)  is a  real time number as of the end of 6/23/2015

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

 (+0.53%%) a prediction number.------------------- frankly it is off by a mile --based on current real time number of -2.34%



Price is about BTC/USD: $245.00


So far if the numbers hold we will be under 50 bill diff.

My late night update from bitcoinwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    50,308,957,959 (+1.24%)
Adjust time:    After 581 Blocks, About 4.0 days
Hashrate(?):    351,673,066 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.5 minutes
6 blocks: 59.0 minutes

Price $245

My poorly calibrated eyeball thinks that the last difficulty jump moved us to a pretty stable state, and what we are seeing now is the normal "variance". I think that we see drops, and then subsequent jumps due to some amount of miner relocation. Just watching the HaoBTC thread and videos make it clear that there is a fair amount of PH that's down for a few days and then "springs back to life" after it has found a new, lower cost home.

The game is all about efficiency and electricity cost. A fact which is probably obvious to all.  :)

Morning bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    50,349,638,137 (+1.32%)
Adjust time:    After 547 Blocks, About 3.7 days
Hashrate(?):    357,065,121 GH/s

And price is around 243 so still not a bad week.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2015   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2015   165-----144   = +21

6-19-2015   147-----144 =    +3

6-20-2015    138-----144 = -10

6-21-2015    125----144 = -19

6-22-2015    144----144  =  0

6-23-2015    144----144  = 0

6-24-2015    149----144 = +5

6-25-2015    160----144 =  +16

total             1690---1698   =  -8

so real number is ( -0.471%)  as of the end of 6-25-2015!





https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+0.24%)

 
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00


So far if the numbers hold we will be under 50 bill diff.

we have around 472 blocks left

Looks like bitwisdom is showing a tad positive:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,810,584,803 (+0.24%)
Adjust time:    After 398 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?):    371,584,155 GH/s

(it could jump back to negative it's a small positive at this point)

If you look at the bitcoinwisdom chart it looks like it spent most of the current cycle in the negative territory, so for the adjustment to be at or above zero it would need to have a spike up during those last ~300 blocks. Which it appears to be doing. I expect a very small change this time. Incredibly we have a couple of empty spots on both sides of zero so it could be yet another rollover  ;D

yeah two shots at a miss also if you count 0, three shots  at a miss.  at this moment we are negative -0.66%


http://www.bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   362492
Total BTC   14.312M
 
Difficulty   49692386355
Estimated   49363464644 in 388 blks
 
Network total   398950.450 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.73 / 535 s


but with 388 blocks  left  we can change a lot

We have a huge push in the Hashrate at the moment. I guess it will stay like that for the rest of the current Diff.

I smell +1-2% at least

https://blockchain.info/blocks

362517    17:26         
362402    00:04

so 116 blocks in 17.5 hours   should be 6 x 17.5 = 105   so 11 plus today with 6.5 hours to go.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2015   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2015   165-----144   = +21

6-19-2015   147-----144 =    +3

6-20-2015    138-----144 = -10

6-21-2015    125----144 = -19

6-22-2015    144----144  =  0

6-23-2015    144----144  = 0

6-24-2015    149----144 = +5

6-25-2015    160----144 =  +16

6-26-2015    150----144 = +6

total             1840---1842   =  -2

so real number is ( -0.108%)  as of the end of 6-25-2015!





https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+0.24%)

 
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00


So far if the numbers hold we will be under 50 bill diff.

we have around 307 blocks left

Yeah let's hope for a bit of badluck so we stay under 50G :P

It is so close, but I'm watching my chances slip away with this hash rate increase.

yeah we have drifted up a bit more.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   50,115,392,001 (+0.85%)


http://www.bitcoincharts.com/


Difficulty   49692386355
Estimated   50151443039 in 209 blks

+0.67%  

both have us over 0%

and it is possible to do a carryover!

below are the closest    

-1.26% to -1.50%  gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%


>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for -0.26% to -0.50%


-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for 0  which would be 0.4 btc prize with the bonus and rollover combined

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one took this pick  +0.26% to +0.50%

+0.51% to +0.75% Amph---------------- settled Amph gets this
+0.76% to +1.00% alh
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss
+1.51% to +1.75% EMIF    ----------and EMIF gets this.
+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993






 

Looks like someone gonna win the jackpot ! :)

I was hoping for my 4:20 ... but nope ! :D

WoW antoher big push in the HashRate (390PH as per Bitcoinwisdom)

yeah onwards and upwards   we may clear 2% by the time this is over.

There always seems to be a bump in network hash power right toward the end of adjustment.  Coincidence, or by design I wonder?

Yeah, looks like it's going to exceed my 1% increase. Maybe that guy with the 1000 "BitFury Bulb" farm finally turned it on!  :)

Did anyone ever hear what the hashrate of the bulb was?

fifth time in a row.  And solid each time. my guess is by design.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2015   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2015   165-----144   = +21

6-19-2015   147-----144 =    +3

6-20-2015    138-----144 = -10

6-21-2015    125----144 = -19

6-22-2015    144----144  =  0

6-23-2015    144----144  = 0

6-24-2015    149----144 = +5

6-25-2015    160----144 =  +16

6-26-2015    150----144 = +6

total             1840---1842   =  -2

so real number is ( -0.108%)  as of the end of 6-26-2015!





https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+0.72%)

 
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00




we have around 155 blocks left.


https://blockchain.info/blocks   and on 6/27 so far

362725    03:05
362708    00:00    this is 18 blocks normal is 6 x 3 = 18

                            looks like we will get a new diff 10 pm sat eastern standard time.  give or take a few hours.

Late night update from Minnesota:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    50,092,210,887 (+0.80%)
Adjust time:    After 128 Blocks, About 21.2 hours
Hashrate(?):    377,761,804 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.8 minutes
6 blocks: 59.5 minutes
   
Updated:    2:50 (3.9 minutes ago)

BTC Price: $244

Looks like I might still be in the hunt!

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+0.20%)



Bitcoin Difficulty:   49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:   49,791,157,990 (+0.20%)
Adjust time:   After 104 Blocks, About 17.3 hours
Hashrate(?):   364,733,812 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.8 minutes
Updated:   9:30 (1.5 minutes ago)


dropped  a bit.  It looks like it may be under 50 bill and very close to 0 up or down.

It is dropping slightly now bitwisdom shows a tad under 0

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,644,077,994 (-0.10%)
Adjust time:    After 97 Blocks, About 16.2 hours
Hashrate(?):    359,552,414 GH/s

So looking like a good difficulty change.

https://blockchain.info/blocks


362788-------16:26
362708-------00:00

81 blocks in 16:30 hours

we should have 99 blocks in 16:30 hours.

so for today  we are really low -18 blocks   

what does it mean. 

IT IS CLOSE TO CERTAIN WE WILL GO - NOT +

AND WE WILL STAY UNDER 50 BILL DIFF !!!!!!!

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

part day

6-14-2014  108-----114          -6

full days

6-15-2015   142-----144         -2

6-16-2015   125-----144        -19

6-17-2015   143-----144         - 1

6-18-2015   165-----144   = +21

6-19-2015   147-----144 =    +3

6-20-2015    138-----144 = -10

6-21-2015    125----144 = -19

6-22-2015    144----144  =  0

6-23-2015    144----144  = 0

6-24-2015    149----144 = +5

6-25-2015    160----144 =  +16

6-26-2015    150----144 = +6

6-27-2015    133----144 = -11


total             1973---1986   =  -13



this is a real number of   (-0.65%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(-0.23%)

 
Price is about BTC/USD: $251.00




we have around 26 blocks left.

a neg number will happen in 3 to 6 hours.


the closest to winning are below


-1.26% to -1.50%  gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25%  philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%  Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%  tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%


>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for -0.26% to -0.50%


-0.01% to -0.25%  Kexkey

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for 0  which would be 0.4 btc prize with the bonus and rollover combined

+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one took this pick  +0.26% to +0.50%


+0.51% to +0.75% Amph---------------- settled Amph gets this
+0.76% to +1.00% alh



It looks like it can carry over again!!!


I think block 362870 is the new diff

We are at 362855

Nooooo, not negative! That means my cat's guess is wrong again ;)

I mean, yay negative! That's better for everyone's profitability!

Sorry. I lost perspective there for a moment...

Almost there, and it will be a negative!

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,396,390,125 (-0.60%)
Adjust time:    After 1 Blocks, About 9.9 minutes
Hashrate(?):    364,101,708 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
   
Updated:    2:0 (2.9 minutes ago)

BTC Price: $247

Looks like tlhIwI got it, -0.58%.

aaarghh so close. congrats tlhIlwI verrry jelly

A negative and price 247 I'm considering this a win for all of us :) .  Really has been a good summer.

Totally agree.  Pretty surprising, actually.

Man I was close!  Next time.  Congrats tlhIlwI!   8)

Just woke up   and the winner is  not me.  oh well  I was close.
We are still under 50 bill diff and coins are over 245 usd.

If my math is correct the winner gets 0.3 btc

tlhIwI got it


Once suchmoon settles with him I will open next thread.



Difficulty History
Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate

Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s




Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014   2,193,847,870   22.59%   15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014   1,789,546,951   26.16%   12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014   1,418,481,395   20.12%   10,153,885 GH/s
Dec 21 2013   1,180,923,195   30.01%   8,453,378 GH/s
Dec 10 2013   908,350,862   28.41%   6,502,229 GH/s
Nov 29 2013   707,408,283   16.07%   5,063,826 GH/s
Nov 17 2013   609,482,680   19.29%   4,362,847 GH/s
Nov 05 2013   510,929,738   30.70%   3,657,378 GH/s
Oct 26 2013   390,928,788   46.02%   2,798,377 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com

Wow, thanks!

I thought for certain it had slipped away from my guess for good when the hash rate went so high a couple days ago, but there were several long blocks in a row last night.

My address: 1GpBnxMNxfTiHpxnAso8n69bxAt188fX47

Thanks again!

Congrats ! :D

 At the winner have you been paid by suchmoon?

Please lt me know so I can close the thread.

Not yet... still waiting.

Congrats, nice carry over win!

New thread up yet?

Not to worry. I am sure suchmoon will handle it today or Tues.

My apologies, been traveling, stupidly poor Internet connectivity.

Done now:

https://blockchain.info/tx/4439e09b0bbd31c97509cac40226d0cd533ee477994e34e84c55886a5cbf6764

Congrats tlhIlwI !!! Largest win so far if I remember correctly.

Thanks suchmoon and philipma1957!  That makes for a nice end to June.  philipma1957 you can close this thread.

Time to lock it up.

New thread link:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1102528.0