Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Mellnik on July 10, 2015, 10:28:46 AM



Title: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: Mellnik on July 10, 2015, 10:28:46 AM
We have reached the first sell off  :D

https://i.imgur.com/JEAs0Ns.png

After this rockets are ready for moon lift off  ;)


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: OmegaStarScream on July 10, 2015, 10:33:30 AM
Wondering where you guys come with those charts made with paint or whatever :o So you are telling me that there will be a dump after this? since from what you say we are at First sell and now we should go down ... if First sell = 290$ , really asking my self how the "New Paradigm" is and "when"


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: Mellnik on July 10, 2015, 10:36:04 AM
Wondering where you guys come with those charts made with paint or whatever :o So you are telling me that there will be a dump after this? since from what you say we are at First sell and now we should go down ... if First sell = 290$ , really asking my self how the "New Paradigm" is and "when"

Indeed, edited this picture in Paint. Problem with Paint?


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: spiderbrain on July 10, 2015, 10:43:40 AM
Wondering where you guys come with those charts made with paint or whatever :o So you are telling me that there will be a dump after this? since from what you say we are at First sell and now we should go down ... if First sell = 290$ , really asking my self how the "New Paradigm" is and "when"

Indeed, edited this picture in Paint. Problem with Paint?
Where to begin? I presume you are also running windows XP?


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: Mellnik on July 10, 2015, 10:50:31 AM
Wondering where you guys come with those charts made with paint or whatever :o So you are telling me that there will be a dump after this? since from what you say we are at First sell and now we should go down ... if First sell = 290$ , really asking my self how the "New Paradigm" is and "when"

Indeed, edited this picture in Paint. Problem with Paint?
Where to begin? I presume you are also running windows XP?

Actually Windows 2000 because my i7-5930K can't handle high-end Windows XP.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: spud21 on July 10, 2015, 10:54:43 AM
WTF does the OP mean by the first sell off? There have already been at least 5 big sell offs during Bitcoin's history at $1. $10, $30, $250, and $1100. I'm sure you could find other big sell offs if you looked. You could say that chart pattern repeated itself 5 times over, but it never works out exactly like that chart.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: SparkedDev on July 10, 2015, 10:56:53 AM
WTF does the OP mean by the first sell off? There have already been at least 5 big sell offs during Bitcoin's history at $1. $10, $30, $250, and $1100. I'm sure you could find other big sell offs if you looked. You could say that chart pattern repeated itself 5 times over, but it never works out exactly like that chart.

In the past there has been a point of a dip in price and sky rockets. Its happen a few times if it will happen again no one really knows.






Btw boss paint skills bro.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: OmegaStarScream on July 10, 2015, 11:00:09 AM
Wondering where you guys come with those charts made with paint or whatever :o So you are telling me that there will be a dump after this? since from what you say we are at First sell and now we should go down ... if First sell = 290$ , really asking my self how the "New Paradigm" is and "when"

Indeed, edited this picture in Paint. Problem with Paint?

I have nothing against paint , in fact it's a very useful program . What I meant that this is not made by professionals in economics or finance unless you are ... what are your prooves for the charts you just shared with us ??? nothing just a line going UP and down without any reason.





Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: afbitcoins on July 10, 2015, 11:01:50 AM
Lol Windows XP is one of the best versions of windows though. Time to move to Linux I'd say.

I'm confused how this is a sell off. Price is going up.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: Meuh6879 on July 10, 2015, 11:03:36 AM
Better resolution.

http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img540/3716/SZulwA.jpg




OR



http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img673/252/F0Gp2i.png


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: SparkedDev on July 10, 2015, 11:05:47 AM
Lol Windows XP is one of the best versions of windows though. Time to move to Linux I'd say.

I'm confused how this is a sell off. Price is going up.


I don't think anyone really knows whats going on then people who have the money to move markets for there own gains.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: Shiver on July 10, 2015, 12:07:52 PM
If we are to use that chart as a way to explain it, I'd say that with the red line we're on the right hand side where it 'returns to mean' (the line in its entirety would only cover the most recent bubble), but also say that we're still in the 'awareness' stage, so I'd squish that whole red line to occupy only the left hand side of the chart to make the end of the line land in the awareness stage.  Hope that makes sense.



Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: Amph on July 10, 2015, 12:09:21 PM
you're not looking at the whole picture, we are more likely in the take off zone, this take off will last until 1k

small swings here and there must be ignored, you need to zoom in that chart to x100 to see them clearly in that straight line


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: MF Doom on July 10, 2015, 12:47:11 PM
I've seen this chart floated around a lot, but I dont think it can be applied to btc.  Btc is not like other "investments"/currencies.  Just because its rising (seemingly due to economic uncertainty around the world) doesnt mean it can fit into this chart.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: spazzdla on July 10, 2015, 01:15:31 PM
This could be the king of LTC bear traps...

The next months will FINALLY be interesting lol.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: maardein on July 10, 2015, 01:24:47 PM
So, IF this indeed is the bear trap, when do you expect the 'mania' phase to commence? And what kind of highs are we going to see?

I really don't know much about the market mechanics, I just know I love the excitement when these kind of fluctuations happen :D


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: qwk on July 10, 2015, 01:28:47 PM
I've seen this chart floated around a lot, but I dont think it can be applied to btc.
It can, but is usually wrongly done so.
I've said it before and more than once, most people forget to actually read "anatomy of a bubble", especially ignoring the phases' descriptions: Smart Money - Institutional Investors, Public.
The chart is applicable when, and only when both the curve and the phases match.
So far, we're not even in "Institutional Investors".


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: spazzdla on July 10, 2015, 01:31:37 PM
So, IF this indeed is the bear trap, when do you expect the 'mania' phase to commence? And what kind of highs are we going to see?

I really don't know much about the market mechanics, I just know I love the excitement when these kind of fluctuations happen :D

September, based 100% on Martin Armstrongs market analysis.




Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: RodeoX on July 10, 2015, 01:35:52 PM
Oh boy, here come the charts again.  ::)

My personal fav.

http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extrapolating.png


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: deluxeCITY on July 10, 2015, 01:38:16 PM
We have reached the first sell off  :D

https://i.imgur.com/JEAs0Ns.png

After this rockets are ready for moon lift off  ;)

If I had a bitcoin for every time I seen this chart posted I'd be richer then satoshi but I do have to agree with you. Bears will be trapped good soon.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: Kevinrasf on July 10, 2015, 01:52:18 PM
We have reached the first sell off  :D

https://i.imgur.com/JEAs0Ns.png

After this rockets are ready for moon lift off  ;)

If I had a bitcoin for every time I seen this chart posted I'd be richer then satoshi but I do have to agree with you. Bears will be trapped good soon.

The guy who made that chart should've copyrighted it, and should ask a fee for people to use it lol.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: AmDD on July 10, 2015, 01:57:14 PM
Oh boy, here come the charts again.  ::)

My personal fav.

http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extrapolating.png

LMAO!!

yeah, you all are reading into this way too much!


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: NUFCrichard on July 10, 2015, 02:08:30 PM
We have reached the first sell off  :D

https://i.imgur.com/JEAs0Ns.png

After this rockets are ready for moon lift off  ;)

If I had a bitcoin for every time I seen this chart posted I'd be richer then satoshi but I do have to agree with you. Bears will be trapped good soon.

The guy who made that chart should've copyrighted it, and should ask a fee for people to use it lol.

If the chart is at all appropriate, we are at the back to mean phase from the last cycle!  That looks pretty clear to me anyway.

Hopefully we can start a nice new cycle, with an bigger peak and no massive crash afterwards, then we can never see this stupid chart again!



Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: monbux on July 10, 2015, 02:12:09 PM
I've seen this chart floated around a lot, but I dont think it can be applied to btc.  Btc is not like other "investments"/currencies.  Just because its rising (seemingly due to economic uncertainty around the world) doesnt mean it can fit into this chart.
Well, maybe not, but it fit pretty well during the rise and drop to $1200.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: qwk on July 10, 2015, 02:16:43 PM
If the chart is at all appropriate, we are at the back to mean phase from the last cycle!  That looks pretty clear to me anyway.
That's because you're wearing sunglasses ;)
I've said it before and more than once, most people forget to actually read "anatomy of a bubble", especially ignoring the phases' descriptions: Smart Money - Institutional Investors, Public.
The chart is applicable when, and only when both the curve and the phases match.
So far, we're not even in "Institutional Investors".


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: jonald_fyookball on July 10, 2015, 06:59:59 PM
Wondering where you guys come with those charts made with paint or whatever :o So you are telling me that there will be a dump after this? since from what you say we are at First sell and now we should go down ... if First sell = 290$ , really asking my self how the "New Paradigm" is and "when"

Indeed, edited this picture in Paint. Problem with Paint?

I have nothing against paint , in fact it's a very useful program . What I meant that this is not made by professionals in economics or finance unless you are ... what are your prooves for the charts you just shared with us ??? nothing just a line going UP and down without any reason.





try Paint.NET  -- free and much better than ms paint.


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: spazzdla on July 10, 2015, 07:34:44 PM
I'm betting on..

a move to 4-600

a move back to 3-500

unknown


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: deluxeCITY on July 11, 2015, 03:56:54 PM
We have reached the first sell off  :D

https://i.imgur.com/JEAs0Ns.png

After this rockets are ready for moon lift off  ;)

If I had a bitcoin for every time I seen this chart posted I'd be richer then satoshi but I do have to agree with you. Bears will be trapped good soon.

The guy who made that chart should've copyrighted it, and should ask a fee for people to use it lol.

If the chart is at all appropriate, we are at the back to mean phase from the last cycle!  That looks pretty clear to me anyway.

Hopefully we can start a nice new cycle, with an bigger peak and no massive crash afterwards, then we can never see this stupid chart again!



We cant redo the cycle without another big crash at some point. Otherwise the chart would be meaningless.

-Sent from my CIRC wallet-


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: unamis76 on July 11, 2015, 03:59:40 PM
I've seen people say we're on the beginning of that chart, in the middle, in the end... Just forget that goddamned chart :D

Oh boy, here come the charts again.  ::)

My personal fav.

http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extrapolating.png

Haha, was precisely thinking in posting this one after opening the thread!


Title: Re: Bear Trap triggered
Post by: cellard on July 11, 2015, 04:16:51 PM
The bears are started to get scared. You can tell by the amount of fud posts, they are decreasing every day that the average price goes up. Time to give up on your FUD and buy in.