Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: rouhaud on June 02, 2011, 02:56:51 AM



Title: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: rouhaud on June 02, 2011, 02:56:51 AM
just a question to know probability to be rich a future day???


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Jaime Frontero on June 02, 2011, 03:07:13 AM
slush's pool has about 18% of the current network - and (although he's recently removed the 'connected miner' number) probably about 4-5,000 mining accounts.  many are multiple accounts - so call it 2,500 individuals.

extrapolating, that would be about 12,000 miners for the entire network.

now... how many use the system, but don't mine?  a tougher number to estimate.

my suspicion is not as many, but growing much faster than the mining segment.

so... my pure, wild-ass guess - without anything particularly factual behind it - is something on the order of 25,000.

by the end of summer, i'd expect that to triple.  or more.  i think that right now is the make or break moment for Bitcoin.

20 USD/BTC by the end of july is a lock.


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Stephen Gornick on June 02, 2011, 08:12:07 AM
daily counts of nodes seen (within 24 hour period)
  http://stats.bitcoin.it/rrd/nodes_total-year.png


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Jaime Frontero on June 02, 2011, 08:17:08 AM
daily counts of nodes seen (within 24 hour period)
  http://stats.bitcoin.it/rrd/nodes_total-year.png


hmmm.

so my wild-ass guess wasn't so bad, if you stop to consider that not every node will be active every day...


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: IIOII on June 02, 2011, 08:48:49 AM
Well, you should not underestimate the offline-thing.

The potential within the technology-interested audience alone is several millions.

Growth is starting to get exponential now.


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: cloud9 on June 02, 2011, 08:59:45 AM
And the graph excludes users that just use mtgox.com or mybitcoin.com or others without bothering with a client.  Checking the traffic to bitcoin.org on alexa.com as a percentage of internet usage gives a more fairer estimation.  Now multiply that with the estimated amount of internet users and get another estimate.


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: MacRohard on June 02, 2011, 11:29:44 AM
slush's pool has about 18% of the current network - and (although he's recently removed the 'connected miner' number) probably about 4-5,000 mining accounts.  many are multiple accounts - so call it 2,500 individuals.

extrapolating, that would be about 12,000 miners for the entire network.

now... how many use the system, but don't mine?  a tougher number to estimate.

my suspicion is not as many, but growing much faster than the mining segment.

so... my pure, wild-ass guess - without anything particularly factual behind it - is something on the order of 25,000.

by the end of summer, i'd expect that to triple.  or more.  i think that right now is the make or break moment for Bitcoin.

20 USD/BTC by the end of july is a lock.

I checked my addr.dat file a few days ago and found over 130,000 unique IPs, so I think 25,000 is probably nowhere close.


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Bit_Happy on June 02, 2011, 12:24:58 PM
Q) How many bitcoiners are in the world?
A) More than there was yesterday.   :D


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Jaime Frontero on June 02, 2011, 04:26:50 PM
slush's pool has about 18% of the current network - and (although he's recently removed the 'connected miner' number) probably about 4-5,000 mining accounts.  many are multiple accounts - so call it 2,500 individuals.

extrapolating, that would be about 12,000 miners for the entire network.

now... how many use the system, but don't mine?  a tougher number to estimate.

my suspicion is not as many, but growing much faster than the mining segment.

so... my pure, wild-ass guess - without anything particularly factual behind it - is something on the order of 25,000.

by the end of summer, i'd expect that to triple.  or more.  i think that right now is the make or break moment for Bitcoin.

20 USD/BTC by the end of july is a lock.

I checked my addr.dat file a few days ago and found over 130,000 unique IPs, so I think 25,000 is probably nowhere close.

awesome!

i would be so pleased to be wrong by that margin.


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Dansker on June 02, 2011, 04:34:53 PM
Soon it will be millions....


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: cypherdoc on June 02, 2011, 04:37:29 PM
daily counts of nodes seen (within 24 hour period)
  http://stats.bitcoin.it/rrd/nodes_total-year.png


Stephen, where'd u get that graph?


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Serge on June 02, 2011, 04:38:43 PM
Sourceforge stats report on client downloads

Total downloads
309,975

May 2011
174,184

http://sourceforge.net/projects/bitcoin/files/Bitcoin/stats/timeline?dates=2008-05-26+to+2011-06-02


Buckle up! 8)


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: Dansker on June 02, 2011, 04:43:38 PM
Sourceforge stats report on client downloads

Total downloads
309,975

May 2011
174,184

http://sourceforge.net/projects/bitcoin/files/Bitcoin/stats/timeline?dates=2008-05-26+to+2011-06-02


Buckle up! 8)

It's gonna blow!? :D


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: cindylove on June 04, 2011, 09:27:05 PM
Sourceforge stats report on client downloads

Total downloads
309,975

May 2011
174,184

http://sourceforge.net/projects/bitcoin/files/Bitcoin/stats/timeline?dates=2008-05-26+to+2011-06-02


Buckle up! 8)

I see there is only 1 download from Libya. I wonder if it's Qaddafi.


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: IIOII on June 05, 2011, 12:16:46 AM
I see there is only 1 download from Libya. I wonder if it's Qaddafi.

I'm sure we'll notice when he connects his gaming machines mining equipment...  :o


Title: Re: how many bitcoiners are in the world
Post by: oberonmtl on June 05, 2011, 12:29:16 AM
Has there been any discussion of forex infecting bitcoin?

I think that if bitcoin reflects reality, then the wealth contained in bitcoin is most dependent on the stability of "reality" (or the reality that maintains bitcoin)?

Any critical discussion on this? with the ballooning number of bitcoiners....