Bitcoin Forum

 Last thread link is here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1170756




New thread  picks will open at block 300

(+2.90%) for now

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficultyBitcoin Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   61,054,821,483 (+2.90%)
Adjust time:   After 1923 Blocks, About 13.6 days
Hashrate(?):   421,351,693 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   7:50 (4.7 minutes ago)

Difficulty History

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate


Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s -------- tss the winner!



Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014   2,193,847,870   22.59%   15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014   1,789,546,951   26.16%   12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014   1,418,481,395   20.12%   10,153,885 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com

The s-7's may ship this week

https://www.bitmaintech.com/product.htm

https://www.bitmaintech.com/productDetail.htm?pid=00020150827084021471OHYdwd9D06A0


Batch one scheduled shipping date is in late September of 21~30. If shipping out 10 days later than the scheduled one, it won't be considered as delay.


If they ship on time people will get them around sept 22 to oct3.

Many have been sold  this diff period has got to be very interesting.  Maybe a bit 6 to 8%.

A suggestion is wait  to see if these ship on time then place your guess.

My orders for 2 were placed the first day and I have no shipping info as of today.

I'm sorry, what to you mean picks will start at block 300? :P

okay  you get to make a free pick that can win you 0.10 btc

look below in bold we started at block 2016 and count down to 0

we are at 1913  when we are at 1716   we will have done 300 blocks and you can make a pick.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty



Bitcoin Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   60,909,223,768 (+2.65%)
Adjust time:   After 1913 Blocks, About 13.6 days
Hashrate(?):   422,316,658 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.6 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   

@torepia

when you pick  you can pick a range  like 0.01 to 0.25  look at this set of picks from last adjustment.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1170756.msg12393499#msg12393499-1.01% to -1.25%   philipma1957



-0.76% to -1.00%   Questor correction done


+2.01% to +2.25% tlhIwI

+2.76% to +3.00% Jonnybravo0311
+3.01% to +3.25% HerbPean

+3.76% to +4.00% EternalWingsofGod


+4.01% to +4.25% tss  ---------  he was the winner


+4.26% to +4.50% wlefever
+4.51% to +4.75% Last of the V8s
+4.76% to +5.00% valkir
+5.01% to +5.25% mavericklm   note I went up not down
+5.26% to +5.50% alh
+5.51% to +5.75% edonkey
+5.76% to +6.00% Mikestang
+6.01% to +6.25% ezeminer
+6.26% to +6.50% wpt1wpt1
+6.51% to +6.75% notlist3d
+6.76% to +7.00% Kexkey
+7.01% to +7.25% VirosaGITS
+7.25% to  +7.50% adaseb
+7.51% to +7.75% zebedee

+7.76% to + 8.00% DanielRo correction done

+8.01% to +8.25% CrazyGuy


so when it starts in about 2 days or block 300 made or block 1716 on count down   pick a set of numbers from above that not one other person picked.

that will be your set.

Note no  picks are made yet so all numbers can be picked.

my pick is always -1.01% to -1.25%   it is a long story but any other set   is good to pick.

I really hope the "(+2.90%) for now" is close to get back to the 2 percent norm would be nice.  I'm still not sure though I think there are still a lot of S7's to be made.  Hashnest specifically I think would be a batch itself.

There is also the issue/fact that S7 Batch 1 will start onlining during this period. I hope the difficulty back down a bit, but i'm not sure of the effect on difficulty all the elements like miners dropping off because of diff increase, miners coming on because of outdoor temperature finally dropping and new miners being put online will have.

I'm not sure how many S7 will come online and i don't really feel like digging through Bitmain's TXIDs to figure it out, but i'm betting we'll be fairly close to 5% this period once again.

I think that's wishful thinking, I feel another >5% shift this round, but we shall see.  A lot is dependent on the S7s getting out, as has been stated.  Let the fun begin!

I think there will be a batch made for hashnest that has not been made yet on S7's.  So I am being wishful.  Likely we will see another greater then what our norm was.

I really want to be wrong though.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (+2.52%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   60,833,404,522 (+2.52%)
Adjust time:   After 1774 Blocks, About 12.4 days
Hashrate(?):   413,033,418 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   9:20 (2.8 minutes ago)


we have made 242 blocks as of now  so in around 9-12 hours picks will start.

If I get my S7s next week this is going to be a double digit hashrate jump mwahahaha





(for my lil' farm that is)

Hopefully difficulty drops.... But it might bounce once everyone powers on their miners.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,232,173,915 (+1.51%)  
Adjust time: After 1716 Blocks, About 12.2 days  
Hashrate(?): 390,642,010 GH/s


Technically could start it but will wait for the official start beacon ^^ Exactly 300 blocks now.

This round will be interesting as it is possible to call high and be left hanging out to dry, or end low if the shipping is a bit later than usual or people have difficulty with setup, should be fun to see peoples picks this time.

It's diving down... nice job with those USB miners Phil. Keep them unplugged.

http://i.snag.gy/Iy6iS.jpg

too late take a look at this 20 sticks doing 130gh

https://i.imgur.com/DI2S4QG.jpg



pretty lights

https://i.imgur.com/qnXXZ1V.jpg

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!



as for
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  

they say   :  +(1.54%)




Picks below

-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957


I suggest people to not rush to pick since the s-7's are shipping very soon.

And unlike the S7, Phillip didn't need hearing protection to take the pictures of his 130GH Stick Farm!

The S7 is powerful, loud, and Hot.

The Gecko sticks are cool, silent, and SEXY. The blinking lights are the "Cats Meow"!   :)

3.26% to 4.00% MY prediction lets hope this time !

+ 5.01% to + 5.25%.

Going with an outlier so will either be solid or left hanging out to dry ^^

8.26%-8.5% For this round

-0.76% to -1.00% Last of the V8s pls/thx

I think this should be a negative

-1.26% to   -1.50%   Tupsu

+   1.01% to 1.25%

Picks below

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Last of the V8s


+ 1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+3.26% to +4.00% lolxxxx

+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo



+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod  -    Takes some guts to pick this!



I suggest people to not rush to pick since the s-7's are shipping very soon.

The other cat says: +2.26% to +2.50%

+ 4.20% to +4.44%.

Did I do it right?  ;D

+1.76 to +2.00 please
thanks

+0.76% to +1.00%   flikflak


thanks

+ 4.01% to + 4.25%.

Thanks!

+3.01% to +3.25% for me please, thanks!

It should be in 0.25 increments, i.e. 4.26-4.50

You can only take 0.25% so I'm going to assume 3.26-3.50 - let us know ASAP if you want to pick 3.51-3.75 or 3.76-4.00 - before someone else picks those.

Let me post the updated list until Phil has time to review this:

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Last of the V8s

+0.76% to +1.00% flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+1.76% to +2.00% Biodom

+2.26% to +2.50% edonkey

+3.01% to +3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50% lolxxxx - corrected

+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected

+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo



+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod

+5.26 to 5.50 for me please my dog can smell it coming.

Let me post the updated list until Phil has time to review this:

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Last of the V8s

+0.76% to +1.00% flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+1.76% to +2.00% Biodom

+2.26% to +2.50% edonkey

+3.01% to +3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50% lolxxxx - corrected  missed that error as I did it like 5 n the morning.

+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected

+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo

+5.26% to  +5.50% wpt1wpt1

+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod

looks good so far

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+0.95%)
 
Bitcoin Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   59,897,323,581 (+0.95%)

Adjust time:   After 1627 Blocks About 11.6 days   we are 389 blocks in   so in 4 ½  days or so   we should be at block 1000 so you have time to pick.

I would like to think it would be negative but... with S7 coming online...

+3.51% to +3.75% RichBC

Thanks

I will take +2,01% to +2,25%

Thanks Phil :)

+2.76% to +3.00%

+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS

If you please, might as well bet on my S7 coming online speculation. :)

-1.76% to  -2.00% please

-1.76% to  -2.00%   grn

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25%    philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%    Last of the V8s

+0.26% to +0.50%  Kexkey --------------- corrected from +0.59 to + 0.50  you must have missed the key as 9 is next to 0
+0.76% to +1.00%  flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25%  mavericklm

+1.76% to +2.00%  Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25%  HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50%  edonkey

+2.76% to +3.00%  ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25%  wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50%  lolxxxx - corrected  missed that error as I did it like 5 n the morning.
+3.51% to +3.75%  RichBC

+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo

+5.26% to  +5.50% wpt1wpt1

+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod

looks good so far

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+0.83%)
 
Bitcoin Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   59,829,106,605 (+0.83%)

Adjust time:   After 1606 Blocks, About 11.5 days   400 made

+2.51% to +2.75% Questor

-1.76% to  -2.00%   grn

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25%    philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%    Last of the V8s

+0.76% to +1.00%  flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25%  mavericklm

+1.76% to +2.00%  Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25%  HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50%  edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75%  Questor
+2.76% to +3.00%  ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25%  wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50%  lolxxxx - corrected  missed that error as I did it like 5 n the morning.
+3.51% to +3.75%  RichBC

+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo

+5.26% to  +5.50% wpt1wpt1

+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod

looks good so far

+0.51 to +0.75% please

-1.76% to  -2.00%   grn

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25%    philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%    Last of the V8s

+0.51% to +0.75%  zebedee
+0.76% to +1.00%  flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25%  mavericklm

+1.76% to +2.00%  Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25%  HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50%  edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75%  Questor
+2.76% to +3.00%  ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25%  wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50%  lolxxxx - corrected  missed that error as I did it like 5 n the morning.
+3.51% to +3.75%  RichBC

+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo

+5.26% to  +5.50% wpt1wpt1

+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod

looks good so far

http://nextdifficulty.com/

Conservative: -3.1% ''normal''-3.9% Continous: -6.4 %

bitcoinwisdom.com   59476228410   0.2%
bitcoincharts.com   58730449983   -1%
mining-profit.com   53995169622   -9%

maybe we are lucky and we get 2 negatives in a row?  ;D

+0.26 to +0.59 for me.

When Bitmain ships the first batch of S7s, they will have to unplug them and maybe that will have an effect on hashrate.

yep.  I just got my notice for 2 units today. So I should see them in 3 to 5 days.  My guess is rates will drop for 3 to 5 days then climb back up.

+3.76 to +4.00 please

- 3,25% to -3,5%

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (-1.33%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   58,548,863,391 (-1.33%)
Adjust time:   After 1493 Blocks, About 11.0 days

we have made 523 blocks  ..  2016 - 1493 = 523

we should be at 558

so real time number is 523/558 = 0.9372 - 1 = -0.0627 which in percent is -6.27%

These should be low as the guess is the s-7's are off bitmaintech's mines and getting shipped.

maybe the up tick starts in 5 days. As gear starts going on line.  Mine should be here on fri the 25th of sept.

I could see the rates moving up over the weekend.

This is going to be a very active difficulty period, I bet we see swings that have a higher total range than any we've seen in a long time.

I can't imagine staying negative too long...

Jan 27 2015    41,272,873,895    -6.14%    295,442,739 GH/s

can we get better than this!?!?!?  ;D

Mikestang, the more hash rate, the bigger the swings! maybe the s7 shipping is doing its shit too

I think there is a good chance this means S7's hit the mail.   So chances are we can see this come back online after a bit.

Bad thing is then chances are that means they have some empty slots at data center which we can see a decent amount more of S7's go back online.  But i hope I'm wrong and it really did go negative.  But I think S7 is linked to this.

Well my guess is it will be longer than that.

Bitfurry's chip at 0.06 J/GH is the one that scares me the most though.

Oh and I meant 0.26 to 0.50% for my guess...

I would like 1 good jump -2 to 0  would be nice.

My 2 pieces should come on weds the 23rd

Neither can I, but it does make me wonder if this period or next will be the one to see a bump in the rate.
As it is looks like its starting off negative.
Still a while left in this round though :)

Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 58,867,506,934 (-0.79%)  
Adjust time: After 1413 Blocks, About 10.2 days  
Hashrate(?): 395,645,198 GH/s

I think we can count on it going out of negative pretty quickly.  It is amazing though to see negative at all during this period.  I think it's safe to assume when the S7's hit peoples homes we will jump up again. How much not sure guess that's why they call it speculation :).

I really want to have closer to 2 then 5 this period, but not sure if my wishes will matter.

well blockchain shows

https://blockchain.info/blocks

375530 (Main Chain)   2015-09-22 00:02:52
375608 (Main Chain)   2015-09-22 10:46:20

this is 79 blocks  in 10 hours and 46 min  for the day  'norm' is  65  so 79/65  x 144 = 175  which would mean bitmaintech has put some more online after shipping a lot off line

https://blockchain.info/blocks/AntPool


13 today on pace for 30

 8 Mon --------- really low

17 Sun ---------- low

Please reserve from -0.51% to -0.75%  for me :) Thanks

+0.01% to +0.25% - cakir

I don't think this time will be a high jump. Lots of S2's are down from Hashnest, and now S3's are gonna be down too.

- 3.26% to -3.50%   majestymage


-1.76% to  -2.00%   grn

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25%    philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%    Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%    kolesozw


+0.01% to +0.25%  cakir

+0.51% to +0.75%  zebedee
+0.76% to +1.00%  flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25%  mavericklm

+1.76% to +2.00%  Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25%  HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50%  edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75%  Questor
+2.76% to +3.00%  ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25%  wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50%  lolxxxx - corrected
+3.51% to +3.75%  RichBC
+3.76% to +4.00% Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected

+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to  +5.50% wpt1wpt1


+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod

It appears bitwisdom is going up slowly I think soon a lot will receive S7's and we will see a jump as they are plugged in.  I think this should happen anytime.

I do find it interesting bitmain already put more online.   I wonder if these are batch 2 or hashnest, or even a big buyer.   I wish BTC was more transparent.

Looks like you lost my bet in the copy'n'paste...

It made me smile when I thought about how the 21 Bitcoin computer will affect the global hashrate.   ;)

As much as this post will.

I think we're about done seeing miners turned off, they should be coming back online in the next couple days and the numbers will start climbing again.

+1.51% to +1.75% please

I'll take +1.76% to +2.00%

I think we safely ignore the $400 21Inc Juggernaut until around Thanksgiving (US Holiday in late November). Of course we don't know what 21Inc is actually in terms of deploying miners within it's own walls. Probably something a lot more substantial than what they are sell for Pre-Order now.

he he...i already claimed that one beforehand...Phil to the rescue...

Bitwisdom night:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,467,573,146 (-1.46%)
Adjust time:    After 1295 Blocks, About 9.4 days
Hashrate(?):    402,473,827 GH/s

Appears a lot of S7 shipping notices in S7 thread.  We should see them going online pretty soon from end users.

- 3.26% to -3.50%   majestymage


-1.76% to  -2.00%   grn

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25%    philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%    Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%    kolesozw


+0.01% to +0.25%  cakir
+0.26% to +0.50%  Kexkey
+0.51% to +0.75%  zebedee
+0.76% to +1.00%  flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25%  mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50%  alh --------------- I gave you this as Biodom had your pick sooner
+1.51% to +1.75%  tss
+1.76% to +2.00%  Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25%  HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50%  edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75%  Questor
+2.76% to +3.00%  ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25%  wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50%  lolxxxx - corrected
+3.51% to +3.75%  RichBC
+3.76% to +4.00% Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected

+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to  +5.50% wpt1wpt1


+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod


at alh  



 

 I gave alh 1.26% to 1.50%

at Kexkey I put your number back in.

To all please review list as I am doing just a bit more real world stuff then normal and i can't seem to do this that well this time.

since yesterday


https://blockchain.info/blocks

375687 (Main Chain)   2015-09-23 00:06:40

375760 (Main Chain)   2015-09-23 11:13:23


that is 74 blocks made   in 11hrs 10 min  67 is norm

so 74/67 = 1.104  x 144 = a pace of 159 for the day

so far we have  made 784 blocks 1232 blocks to go.

by tonight we may be at   -1 to 0%

by tomorrow plus.

and my 2 s-7's are in NJ due to arrive today.

nooooooooooooooooooooooo
 ;D

It's only a matter of time till all those S7's hit the network again.  Wish it would stay though even though I know it wont.

Here is morning bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,620,295,897 (-1.21%)
Adjust time:    After 1201 Blocks, About 8.7 days
Hashrate(?):    426,145,381 GH/s

The negative swing at the beginning of this period is like the tide being drawn out to sea before a huge tsunami washes over everything...

In case folks haven't seen it, Spondoolies has decided to return fire at Bitmain, with their 100+ TH SP50 monster. Looks to me like the ASIC arms race will resume. No date or price yet on shipment, so I think this adjustment will not reflect any SP50's. Eventually they will show up and push difficulty to new heights.

well there is some hope with these in that no one knows when they drop.  

maybe next week.
maybe next month.
maybe nov.
maybe dec.

an awful lot of money riding on one controller.

I would prefer an Intel nuc as the controller

Bitwisdom slowly going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,839,841,526 (-0.84%)
Adjust time:    After 1132 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):    434,365,705 GH/

I think the S7's have hit some door's.   Will be interesting to watch next day or two.

-0.01 to -0.25 please.

I'm expecting only a little diff raise (+0.26% to +0.50% probably) but all slots are taken. I think -0.50 to -0.25 is my best shot right now. Negative difficulty is still a possibility.

you are the last one in.

Bitwisdom still does not seem everyone has gotten their S7's

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,800,027,102 (-0.90%)
Adjust time:    After 985 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    445,562,864 GH/s

I keep expecting to see it and a big jump.   But has not happened yet.

Beside, i doubt that the first batch included thousands and thousands of S7s. By that i mean 1000 S7 is still only 5PH/s, so its not even 1% raise.

It might have been only hashnest that received 1k unit and there were a few more thousands units sold and shipped but that sound a bit of a feat in 10 days, so i'm guessing it would not be something like 5% raise just from Batch 1 S7.

Did someone work out how many S7 orders they took by following the blocktrail?

Around 600 but I stopped checking.  So it may be up to 1000.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (-0.42%)

we made 1089 blocks and have 927 left

The big thing I wonder is how many they will have internally.   It seems like with their own mines and hashnest it would be quite a few.

Some day I would expect they upgrade S2's to something.  But I think they are still profitable at the low prices chances are that they pay. 

In terms of hashnest and other internal Bitmain mining facilities, I expect those folks received their S7 boxes in the last couple of months. Wherever they were selling used S5's from, had already received an S7 replacement.

Are you saying that the worst hashrate spike is behind us? :)

Probably not, it's highly likely Bitmain will ramp up production and drop the price sharply on S7. I speculate on this because other companies now came up with a retort for the S7 and i'm afraid Bitmain is going to have to beat them in quantity over quality with a S7+ or such.

Basically Spoondoolies is comming out with a 0.15W/GH, bitfury something even lower. So i'm not sure when they will be available by the unit or if at all but they are obtainable as bulk, so you will probably be seeing resellers sell those to home-ish/small miner operations relatively shortly after their release.

Basically what i'm saying is, we're looking at another hardware war and i don't think this could equate to a low difficulty increase in any way.

No, I am just saying that Bitmain has been enjoying reduced energy costs as they phased in S7's over the last couple of months. The S7, and all the other new gear are going to push difficulty plenty hard. In terms of percentages, it probably won't be as bad as 2013-2014, only because the hashrate and difficulty are so high already . I wonder if the ASIC vendors are thinking the market could cool considerably as the halving approaches next year. Best to make them $$$$ now, while the selling is good.

I think we can quit worrying about a difficulty decrease for a while. It was keeping awake at night....  :) :)

I think bitmain would have been pretty easy to use them internally.  I still think they kept S5+ design as they could easily do internal S7+'s.  They can use 3 S7's and one controller.   

I still am not sure we are done with the 5 percent increases.  I think batch 2 or internal S7's will do a decent spike yet.  And when ever SP50 becomes something shipped out... that will sting chances are on difficulty raise.

+0.06% right now.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25.    167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday


  

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+0.42%)

we made 1194 blocks and have 822  left.


This is about 4-5 days. .  If s-7 ships the weekend may slow shipping so sat and sun may be decent.  Then a big jump on Monday

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    59,905,746,706 (+0.96%)
Adjust time:    After 815 Blocks, About 5.6 days
Hashrate(?):    453,913,113 GH/s

with the remaining time it can reach even and maybe 3%?

i would like to have 2.22 as my pick

That was underwhelming looks like it will be end as a stable round.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 59,979,751,285 (+1.09%) 
Adjust time: After 781 Blocks, About 5.3 days 
Hashrate(?): 455,742,758 GH/s

If few SP50 are plugged in I hope to reach over 5%  ;D.
Right now we are over 2%.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25.    167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday

Sept 26     152 plus 8     brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
  

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.31%)

we made 1340 blocks and have 676  left.


This is about 4.5 days. .  


that 2.31 is off real time number  of 1340 vs 1336 = +0.299%

 for us to reach 2.31%  is possible if we do the   next  4 days over 150 average.

To not get the 5 percent would be nice. I'm would like a change under 2 again, but I dont think that will happen.

At least hopefully not another +5 week... hopefully

Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,896,634,893 (+2.63%) Damn!

Will we ever see again +25% jumps?!?! .....

We have grown to the point +25 most likely will never happen again.  If some how all the companies came up with a new NM at once and pumped out a ton..... guess there is a way it could happen but it wont.

I think 5 is seen as a big jump now.   The day's we got 15-25's we also were having 3 month ROI in many cases.  Roi is longer and percent rising is slower aswell.

The 504 block is still at 440~ PH after a few days and with 4.2 days left, we're still looking at quite a bit higher than 2.6%~

With the long ROI, I guess the big winners in North America are the electric companies lol.

 plus 5 this time would be very hard to do.  we would need to do those 676 blocks in 4 days or 169 blocks 4 days in a row.


https://blockchain.info/blocks

so far we did 118 today in 19 hours which is a 149 block day or just about 3.5% this pace will move us from   0.3% to 2.3%  


now 141 in 22 hours and 40 min   we should be at 136  so we are still at that 149 pace for the day

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25.    167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday

Sept 26     152 plus 8     brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
  
Sept 27     144 even     we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun

Sept 28      140 -4         and how about that a big fat 0 - or +

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+1.79%)

we made 1632 blocks and have 384  left.


This is about 2.5 days. .  


that 1.79%  is off  the real time number  of 1632 blocks made vs 1632 = +0.000%

So how can this be?

well no one is build much gear at the moment or variance or  bitmaintech turned the gear off dropping the rates as much as 5%

and most of the gear has now arrived  bringing us back to 0.

this is a strong indication that no one else
bitfury
knc
avalon
21
the a2 chip builder
sfards is adding a shit ton of gear this jump.

As always time will tell and we could burn those 384 blocks up in  days flat = big jump.

Kind of fun to guess though.

I like it better then the previous weeks.  I am hoping we can get a few weeks of 2-3.  But that is kinda a wish I think that will be hit and miss depending on batches of S7 in near future.

In far future I have no idea what SP50's will do to it once they start pumping those out.

Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,512,073,538 (+1.98%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

green going down a bit, maybe the rest will follow :)

Its Monday fairly globally now so shipping will resume. We'll possible see a preview of whats to come, with what the remainder of Batch 1 S7 will do to the difficulty.

Meanwhile we can hope the manufacturing power of SP50 won't be world shattering, if the difficulty only increase at a small pace, the BTC price might keep up and only miners that were already mining very tight on the margin will be offlined, but allowed to smoothly fade out.

Price had a nice weekend, picked up almost $10.  Currently closing in on $240, if price can keep climbing and diff stays flat this will be a good adjustment period.  But the tidal wave is coming, I can feel all those S7s getting unboxed out there...

The last 24 hours has been good on price no doubt about it.  I hope it continues but I am happy with slow and no big drops.   

I think a decent amount of them have hit their homes at this point on S7's.  I do wonder how long till they make another batch.  I still think a internal use for something such as hashnest or a data center upgrading from A1's (or other old gear) could add to our hash rate fast.   I wonder if no batch open for sale as sales mentioned before, or if they are truly just out of inventory.

so far today in 22 hours and 20 min which should be 134 blocks

we made 376576 - 376445 =  132 blocks   not that bad



https://blockchain.info/blocks

I always love your updates thank you for doing them.  I have wondered how do you get the number we should be at?   Is it a website your going to or are you doing some math by hand? 

1 block every 10 mins is 6 blocks an hour is 144 a day, so start at midnight being 0 blocks for the day and depending what time of day it is you can easily figure out how many blocks "should have been" solved already.  At least I'm guessing that's how he does it.

I really enjoy this thread and the updates, too.  Watching the diff is just part of the fun of bitcoin.  /popcorn

This may be a horribly stupid question but how do you get the 144 number that it should have been?   It seems like it would change which each difficulty change.  I'm not clicking on how you get the "should be" number.

And thank you for taking time to help me understand it,  I'm just wanting to be able to calculate it myself.

For 24 hours @Mikestang gave the calculation. 10 minutes is average of the block time between blocks.


Check the date of block 376445; it's 2015-09-28 00:03:37 (First block of the day)
https://blockchain.info/block/00000000000000000c91485e60e4bbf4143c7993c7d53c6e36493dde7b1b99ca

Check the date of block 376576; it's 2015-09-28 22:19:20 (Last block at the given time)
https://blockchain.info/block/00000000000000000b304a89e75f6174f2aeb551fee3338416f020e6fff9e096

Approximately 22 hours and 20 minutes passed between those blocks.

Now; Multiply the hours by 6 and divide the minutes by 10 then calculate the sum: 22*6 + 20/10 = 134 blocks should be found. (That's average, proposed by Satoshi Nakamoto)

But; Check the block count by calculating the difference between block heights: 376576 - 376445 =  132

That shows 2 blocks away from the average.

Wow thank you for doing this!   Truly made it easy to understand.  I think i now can calculate it.   Bookmarked this even :)

Thanks again for your time doing it. We are less then a dollar away from 240.... crossing fingers for 240 value hopefully in near future.

yeah the explanations above fit pretty much exact.  I always like to play with math especially when money gets involved. (hence my accounting degree)

Night bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,443,097,899 (+1.87%)
Adjust time:    After 379 Blocks, About 2.5 days
Hashrate(?):    438,139,628 GH/s

So I really like that if we could get under 2 that would be amazing.  But likely there are still enough batch 1 S7's being delivered we likely will be over 2.

Price around 238.  It teased us and got under a dollar away from 240 but never did get to it.

*6 blocks an hour x 24 hours a day is 144...

The expected blocks solved per day is irrespective of difficulty, it's what you would expect if a block was solved every 10 minutes exactly.

and cakir explained the other part already.  :)

pace has picked up

https://blockchain.info/blocks


376674 (Main Chain)   2015-09-29 11:47:30

376588 (Main Chain)   2015-09-29 00:01:33   


87 blocks should be 71 in this amount of time  this could be a 176 block day   

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficultyBitcoin   (+2.01%)

Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   60,527,225,267 (+2.01%)
Adjust time:   After 319 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?):   441,035,725 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.9 minutes
Updated:   7:50 (4.1 minutes ago)

seen this posted the other day.. Looks like Bitmain purchased BTC.com from ole homero lol..  Anyway  it looks like f2pool got a huge push in hash last few days.. https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/pool?pool_mode=day3  

Lost of nice stats and graphs on this site.:)


edit:  chain.so shows us at 511.43 PH/s.. could just be another spike of variance like it was a week back or so.
Best Regards
d57heinz

Spooky...

At least they put it to good use. But I think their diff estimate is even worse than BitcoinWisdom's:

https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/diff


Unless they know something we don't, e.g. how many S7++ they are going to deploy today and tomorrow LOL

I would agree chances of S7's in mail and making this jump is slim chance.  I do think we will see a jump from orders on S7's just not to that extent.

Sadly BTC around 238 never did hit over 240 last night, which I was hoping for.

If I am reading things right, we might also get a brief respite for the 1st half of the next adjustment. Supposedly Bitmain will be on holiday Oct 1 through Oct 8th. While I expect stuff that is shipped will arrive, there should be a 1 week hiatus on S7 production. I have to beleive that will manifest itself in some positive way (e.g. smaller difficulty increase).

Sound more likely to me that the S7 production is outsourced and they already have 2 whole batches on the way. During the next 2 weeks its Batch 1 that will hit doors, then after that it will be Batch 2 and 3. I don't see much respite here.

The Batch 1 already being in the mail won't pause for a holiday =/

Difficulty is still not looking to bad on bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,756,105,068 (+2.39%)
Adjust time:    After 223 Blocks, About 1.5 days
Hashrate(?):    452,368,788 GH/s

So appear not a lot of S7 plugged in like I was afraid of.  Maybe we have till batch 2 and 3 before another 5 jump hopefully.

Price is hanging around 237.  So not bad, hopefully we have a nice slow increase.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25.    167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday

Sept 26     152 plus 8     brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
  
Sept 27     144 even     we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun

Sept 28      140 -4         and how about that a big fat 0 - or +

Sept 29      170  + 26 blocks  so we are now + 26 blocks

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.07%)

we made 1802 blocks and have 214  left.


This is about 1.4 days. .  


that 2.07%   is off  by 0.60% as  the real time number  of 1802 blocks made vs  1776 = +1.464%

So with the weekend over and a ton of s-7's turning up  we have had a 1.46% jump in 1 day.  so if we wail away and have a second 170 block day we could push 3% this jump.

Perhaps well as it is was left hanging out to dry this round ha-ha guess it was a tad to soon to call that.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%) 
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days 
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s

so, you are telling me there is a chance...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9IgLueodZA

Thats how I feel about my S7's shipping on time, haha!

we made about 145-146 blocks today.  so  under 2% looks possible.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+2.19%)


Adjust time:   After 86 Blocks, About 13.6 hours


+0.76% to +1.00%  flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25%  mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50%  alh --------------- I gave you this as Biodom had your pick sooner
+1.51% to +1.75%  tss
+1.76% to +2.00%  Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25%  HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50%  edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75%  Questor
+2.76% to +3.00%  ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25%  wlefever


looks like the winner will be from the ones above.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25.    167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday

Sept 26     152 plus 8     brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
  
Sept 27     144 even     we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun

Sept 28      140 -4         and how about that a big fat 0 - or +

Sept 29      170  + 26 blocks  so we are now + 26 blocks

Sept 30      154   + 10   so we are +36


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.02%)

This is about 11.4 hours. .  


  1944 blocks are made  normal is 1908   so we are around    (+1.88%)

Looking pretty good for Biodom. tss needs to hit PAUSE for a couple of hours, or Herb will need to light up his undelivered S7's.....  :)

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,416,209,406 (+1.82%)
Adjust time:    After 57 Blocks, About 8.9 hours
Hashrate(?):    446,301,366 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.2 minutes
6 blocks: 56.4 minutes

Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,388,544,073 (+1.77%)
Adjust time:    After 56 Blocks, About 8.8 hours

under 2% is pretty good!

+1.99% right now.
Biodom head to head with HerbPean.
17 more blocks to be solved.

+2.54% right now.
edonkey head to head with Questor.
2 more blocks.

+2.43% right now. One more block.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s

we have fixed the bug(using latest 2016 blocks instead of 1008). Now it's looks ok: 2.39% - 60.75G. And just now the new diff come out: 60.81G.

Well well, thats a tight one with 2.49%. Congratz edonkey!

We did a mad rush of blocks. +2.49%

East coast of USA is going to have a H-Cane

I wonder if it will be like Sandy and knock out power for days.



Difficulty History

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s



Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014   2,193,847,870   22.59%   15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014   1,789,546,951   26.16%   12,810,076 GH/s

The cats finally did it!

edonkey - bake a lasagna for your cats and let me know your BTC address.

Congrats for the prize, we got a pretty acceptable difficulty raise. And now let the S7 waves kicks in. The next difficulty raise may very well look a bit more "interesting". About all first 3 batches of S7s should hit/start hitting soon enough to see what they can do to the difficulty for real.

At last! One of the cats came through FTW!

The other cat is jealous now. Maybe she'll try harder next time.

They're not like Garfield though. Fishy treats are way better than lasagna.

congrats !

I was sure I was getting this one :P

Congratz it's nice to see a difficulty less then 5.   So I consider this a win.

We will have to wait and see I really hop once batch 2-3 on S7 ship we don't see 5's again.

I actually think we will get a near steady diff this next two weeks as bitmain and rest of china on holidays till 9th.. Assuming they get everything shipped by the 14 th .. it looks like unless the other asic manu. start putting more online then it may slack a bit.. Well at least i hope so anyway.. Congrats edonkey on getting it right this round.. Ill try to put mine in for next thread soon as it comes.. Seems they get filled in quick with the slots i like:)

Best Regards
d57heinz

Plot twist - there is no reward payout this time because edonkey decided to let the reward roll over.

In other words, the next reward is going to be 0.2 BTC: 0.1 BTC contributed by edonkey, plus the regular 0.1 BTC.

Congratulations again to the winner and big thanks for spicing up the game and of course you get this:

BRAGGING RIGHTS

I think Bitmain should already have all of their S7s deployed, right?  So I expect the next diff jumps to include all of the S7s that have been shipped out around the world.  I though we'd see a big jump this time, but we took a negative dive right at the beginning, then climbed back to +2.5%.  If we didn't start this adjustment negative then the + adjustment would have been much greater, but still not much more than 5%.  Of course 5% adjustment today is a much larger number than a 5% adjustment a year ago.  I've been mining only a couple months but the diff has grown 50% in the time I've been active, ~40G to 60G today, wow!

Congrats to edonkey and thanks for the rollover. Yes I think we were lucky this time round. We might also be lucky on the next one because of the Holiday delaying shipments? However.. if we are lucky on the next one, the one after that is going to be a bigggeee.  :)

Rich

There's still people complaining that Batch 1 didn't ship out for them yet, while they already paid for it. Meanwhile there's batch 2 and 3 for less price than they paid and they didnt even ship them out yet.

Sound to me like there's going to be a lot of complaining for a while.

TLDR: The full scope of Batch 1/2/3 is yet to be seen. But i'm sure we could extrapolate by stalking Bitmain's btc address and transaction trail.

I have a feeling some will be issued coupons.   Don't know if they will be worth the delay though.  But with the holiday it's pretty amazing some will have missed the 10 day window  after listed.   

So i personally wonder if maybe they oversold the first batch compared to what they had made, or if they simply did not get them shipped out.  Either way I think we will see batch one shipped out before 2-3.  But still will be some not happy in batch 1 if they dont get something for delay.  And in past they have done coupons a lot.  On L1 that they completely decided not to do it was a refund of it + a little amount or a coupon I believe if I rember right.  Been a long time since L1 happenings.

For the L1 they refunded using the original USD price, which due to a drop in BTC exchange rate was a good deal. And they gave extra BTC if you took the refund as a coupon.

Something like that would be nice for the S7 B1 but there is no competition now so Bitmain might just throw their "10 days" excuse at us. If there was a compensation planned then yesterday (before the holiday) would have been a good time to announce it or at least assure that shipments will happen before the 10th.

Maybe they feel its redundant to always address customer's concerns with "Your concerns will be addressed." over and over and over again. I mean their communication isint really up to snuff when they use "Second hand S5" for their last S5 batch that was used hardware but not second hand at all.

But the 10 days iirc was from 21 to 30 sept? So every day now is one more officially "late" day.

Okay going to lock this one.

the new one is here.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1197739.0