Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Mining speculation => Topic started by: The-Real-Link on October 20, 2012, 05:39:53 PM



Title: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: The-Real-Link on October 20, 2012, 05:39:53 PM

  Pretty much what the description says ;).

  Now that we know BFL may launch in Nov to Dec. any shot at 50 coins a block or nope?


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: crazyates on October 20, 2012, 06:00:11 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=81.0


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: BobbyJo on October 20, 2012, 08:43:09 PM
Not a chance!


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: zoinky on October 20, 2012, 10:32:00 PM
Slim chance.


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: CrazyGuy on October 21, 2012, 02:03:24 AM
I really hope so but the bitcoin magazine mention of end of November, beginning of December timeline is cutting it very close.


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: Korbman on October 21, 2012, 03:37:57 AM
Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: The-Real-Link on October 21, 2012, 05:20:52 AM
Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.

Oh?  Did they change the 1/3rd rule as originally planned?  Should check that link above that was made.  Thanks.


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: dirtycat on October 21, 2012, 12:35:33 PM
doesn't look like its going to happen  :(


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: ewibit on October 21, 2012, 05:28:48 PM
probably no..


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: zikeji on October 21, 2012, 05:57:37 PM
I think some of the very early BFL orders will get theirs in time.


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: luffy on October 21, 2012, 05:59:37 PM
perhaps only the testing units  ;)


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: crazyates on October 21, 2012, 05:59:52 PM
Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.
Oh?  Did they change the 1/3rd rule as originally planned?  Should check that link above that was made.  Thanks.
The final 1/3 of BFL's shipping, the randomly picked ones, will still only come from the first month of pre-orders. You can't place an order now, and hope it gets into the final 1/3.


Title: Re: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?
Post by: kwoody on November 03, 2012, 06:42:55 AM
I've said it before in another thread, but I'll say it again; I predict ASIC manufacturers will do what is best for the market they serve, which would be releasing batch-1 shortly after the block reward halving. Less volatility in BTC supply this way. Predicting early early December release.