Bitcoin Forum

Hi all,

This will be my thread for Adrenaline LIVE ACTION Tips.
E.g. I will post only Live Bets here. After few tips I will publish and statistic.

I will be active 13-15GMT and 20-05GMT. So bets will be posted mostly in this interval.

Live bets are bringing me huge dose of adrenaline, so let's have fun together!

And don't forget to check my Free PRE Game Sports Tips, +14%Y (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1201156.0) thread.

And if you are happy with my tips or make some money:
BTC Buy me a beer! :) 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe


Q: On what sports you are betting? What tips will I find here?
A: During the day mainly tennis, football and basketball. Nightly - mostly American MLB, NFL and NBA.

Q: Are you betting your own tips?
A: Yes, but with fiat because of the better odds. But I just find out  FairLay (https://goo.gl/XRuSqF) have even better?! odds, so I'm slowly moving completely to BTC.

Q: What those 5/10, 10/10, 3/10, etc. staking numbers mean?
A: How much you should bet following me. For example if you are usually betting with 5% of your bankroll, 10/10 mean to bet with your full 5%, 3/10 mean to bet with 30% of your regular size - in this example with 1.5% of your bankroll.

Q: What bankroll management should I keep?
A: It depends of you. How risky do you want to bet, how much do you want to gain. But always remember - never bet more than you can afford to lose! It's still gambling!

Q: When Asian Handicap Win/Lose?
A: THIS (http://www.fanta88.com/Images/table.gif) table should give a good perspective of when AH win/lose. Also you could check and this Betting FAQ (http://www.covers.com/sportsbetting/betting-faq.aspx). If something is still unclear, shoot it on this thread or on PM.

I recommend Flat betting with 5% of your bankroll if you are not comfortable with big swings or Kelly calculated size (http://www.albionresearch.com/kelly/) for max profit.

Few examples about betting size and strategy with the results from past few days (keeping in mind I'm in a hot streak!)

Initial bankroll is 1 BTC for all examples.
-->>> Statistic is from my PRE Game thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1201156) and is posted here for example! But still real bets from there!

Flat betting without increasing of betting size:

(Safest) 112 Bets, betting size 0.01BTC  (1%), Staked: 0.97 BTC Returned: 1.24605, PROFIT +0.27605 BTC ROI:  +27%
(Modest) 112 Bets, betting size 0.05BTC  (5%), Staked: 4.85 BTC Returned: 6.23025, PROFIT +1.38025 BTC ROI: +138%
(Risky)  112 Bets, betting size 0.10BTC (10%), Staked: 9.70 BTC Returned: 12.4605, PROFIT +2.76050 BTC ROI: +276%

  + less risky bank management.
  - low to modest profit.

Kelly settled with 10% edge:

(Kelly) 112 Bets, betting size: highly varying, PROFIT +4.71 BTC ROI: +477%
 
  + high to maximum profit.
  - big variance on good and bad streaks.

Q: Ok, got it. And now where to bet?

Best Odds I've ever seen are at FairLay (https://goo.gl/XRuSqF). They usually even beat Pinnacle and other top fiat bookies. But still doesn't have too many events.

Other places with decent odds and lines:

BitcoinRush (https://goo.gl/qz1Nhg)
NitrogenSports (https://goo.gl/UVSqRZ)
BetCoin (https://goo.gl/jyWImL)
CloudBet (https://goo.gl/tFOnNN)

---

Check THIS (http://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/learning-centre/betting-terminology/stake-yield-roi-investment-definitions/) link for some betting theory.
Feel free to ask me if you have another questions! And GOOD LUCK :D

Reserved.

Let's start (crossing fingers :D ) :

Kansas City Royals - Houston Astros (Baseball - Livebet)
Pick:  Kansas City Royals (Match Winner-Full Time Including Overtime)(4:4)
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.8  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365

Also had O8.5 at 3:4 but Royals make it 4:4 till writing... :)

good luck with tips :)
ill follow up if i catch it on time :)
regards.
-Katerniko1

Thanks mate!
Soon I will add emailing list - to be sure everybody will catch it  :D

And you could also check my  Pre-Game Sport TIPS, +14%Y (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1201156.0) thread. I'm usually publishing tips min 30 mins earlier, so they are easier to catch.

And if you are happy with my tips or make some money:
Buy me a beer! BTC 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe

emailing would be nice :)
and if i earn some from your tips ill get you that beer you looking for :D
regards.
-Katerniko1

Basketball - Livebet
Pick:  Philadelphia 76ers Under 102.5 (Team Score Over Under-Full Time Including Overtime)(31:24)
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.08  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Marathonbet

And if you are happy with my tips or make some money:
Buy me a beer! BTC 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe

Football - Livebet
Croatia - Team Total Goals -  Croatia // Croatia - Bulgaria Euro Q
Pick:  FT Over 3 (2:0)
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.8  Verified odd Bookmaker:  188bet

Crossing fingers :D Some adrenaline for tonight :)

And if you are happy with my tips or make some money:
Buy me a beer! BTC 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe

Beer thing is global :) Was not directly to you, but I never refuse beers :D Still nobody bought me a beer or two, but I'm making enough from my bets :D

=====
And a new one for night action :D

Baseball - Livebet
Pick:  St. Louis Cardinals Over 3.5 (Team Score Over Under-Full Time Including Overtime) (0:0)
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.98  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Betsson SB

And if you are happy with my tips or make some money:
Buy me a beer! BTC 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe

Lost last one. But still +9.4 units.
Crossing fingers for this one :D

Baseball -     Livebet
Pick:  Kansas City Royals (Match Winner-Full Time Including Overtime)(0:1)   
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.91  Verified odd Bookmaker:  5dimes

How to bet? Where to Bet? Check 1st post of this thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1201156.0). 

If you have any question - ask bravely :) And GOOD LUCK in money collecting. 

If you are like my tips or make some money:
Buy me a beer! BTC 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe

Lost this one. So Live Picks are W2/L2

But my Pre-Game thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1201156) shown a big profit again with NFL results. $$$$.

And now I just published another MLB pick.

i am quite impressed on the other thread. is there a way i can just invest and it will auto follow ur bet?

Sorry. By mistake answered in the other thread:

For now I'm not planning any investment options, because usually people are not interested on such things, check Joca's trial for example. But with the  FairLay odds and available coins to bet - good money could be made, betting before posting picks. I guess I will make it 80/20 paid. e.g. 80 paid picks and 20 free picks. But this will be after at least 200-400 picks - to show a cool record. Also investment option could be considered, if there is enough interest in it.

hope you are the best in mlb match because very confused to know who will win in mlb match this season

Yeah, MLB is awful this season. And I'm not getting it too good either.

Picks: 19
Profit: +35 units
Yield: +25%

Win-Loss-Void:   10-9-0

Stake avg.:   7.5
Odd avg.:   2.08

Staked:   143
Returned:   178.36

But this is from my Pre-Game thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1201156). And I don't have the feeling I will maintaining such a winning rate.
And about stats - W10 L9 wins are at bigger 10/10, loses are on my experimental 3/10 higher lines.

But I will do my best to keep in on the plus side :D

Some action for tonight:

Baseball -  Livebet
Pick:  Los Angeles Dodgers (Match Winner-Full Time Including Overtime)(0:0)
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.8  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365

Let's watch and cheer!

Starting the day :)

Armenia U21 - Luxembourg U21
Pick:  Under 2.5 (Over Under-Full Time Excluding Overtime)  (Current 0:1)
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.06  Verified odd Bookmaker:  SBOBET

Dodgers  lead strong with 0:3 in 2nd inning and I even considered to close it with another bet on Mets as odds jumped to 2.4 for Mets. And then... bammmm 4 runs in 4 mins. Then Dodgers  was destroyed...


Stats till now is W3/L3 :)

Let's count some point! :D

Basketball -     Livebet
Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks
Pick:  Oklahoma City Thunder Over 111.5 (Team Score Over Under-Full Time Including Overtime)(14:10)   
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.83  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365

Let's cross fingers for as goal :)

Football -     Livebet
Toronto FC - New York Red Bull
Pick:  New York Red Bull Over 0.5 (Team Score Over Under-Full Time Excluding Overtime)(1:0)   
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.98  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Unibet

let's try and :

Football -     Livebet
Copiapo - Colo Colo Track it!  Share on FB
Pick:  Over 4.5 (Over Under-Full Time Excluding Overtime)(2:2)   Result: Pending   
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.95  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Unibet

Going with one win ahead :)

I will wait a bit for you to post more tips and then I will check your accuracy with this. Then I will bet according to your predictions and if I win tip you :) Good job with the thread so far.

Thanks :)

You could also check and my Pre-Game thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1201156). There is a stats on it.
Here I'm waiting to do at least 20-30 bets and then I will put stats also.

GL

Will most of your bets here made on livebet?? if that is the case, it will be a lot a lot easier for me to know where to find the bet. cause i always cant bet most of what you predict on the other site even when i search for all 3 bet site.

Almost all site without FairLay have live betting.

====

And something for tonight:

Am. Football -     Livebet
Indianapolis Colts - New England Patriots
Pick:  Under 30.5 (Over Under-First Half)(7:7)   
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Betfred

2nd try...

Am. Football -     Livebet
Indianapolis Colts - New England Patriots
Pick:  New England Patriots Over 37.5 (Team Score Over Under-Full Time Including Overtime) (21:20)   
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.9  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365