Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Mining speculation => Topic started by: philipma1957 on October 29, 2015, 11:14:24 AM



Title: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 29, 2015, 11:14:24 AM
Last diff was +2.25% DanielRo won it by the slim margin of .01%

He has decided to roll the compac stick bonus into this prize period. Thank you.

So this winner gets .1btc  and 1  sidehack compac stick

The bonus reward is this stick.  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1086011.0  it was the second tester stick


http://imagizer.imageshack.us/v2/800x600q90/908/7DSv14.jpg



http://imagizer.imageshack.us/v2/800x600q90/673/XJvLCs.jpg



Difficulty History

Date                   Difficulty        Change   Hash Rate


Oct 29 2015   62,253,982,450   2.25%   445,631,364 GH/s


Oct 15 2015   60,883,825,480   0.12%   435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s


thread is locked for now.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 29, 2015, 06:19:53 PM
Threads open. picks start on the 300th block.

I go with my usual


 -1.01% to -1.25%


hey coins are up to 310!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ezeminer on October 29, 2015, 06:20:48 PM
Threads open. picks start on the 300th block.

I go with my usual


 -1.01% to -1.25%


hey coins are up to 310!

Hey coins are wild today :D


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on October 29, 2015, 06:23:09 PM
Threads open. picks start on the 300th block.

I go with my usual


 -1.01% to -1.25%


hey coins are up to 310!

Hey coins are wild today :D

Today's high was: $318.72 which is pretty amazing.  It dipped to around 310, but I'm having trouble being sad with a number over 300.  I thought it would take a few weeks to get  over 300 hurdle.... nope just a day. 

My hope is we don't drop under 300 though if some decide to sell a few coins.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: RichBC on October 29, 2015, 06:35:09 PM


Today's high was: $318.72 which is pretty amazing.  It dipped to around 310, but I'm having trouble being sad with a number over 300.  I thought it would take a few weeks to get  over 300 hurdle.... nope just a day. 

My hope is we don't drop under 300 though if some decide to sell a few coins.

Have to say I expected some resitance around $300 but it seems to have blasted through, must be a pull back at some point? This will be a very interesting difficulty period.  :) I think we are due for a biggeeee.

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on October 29, 2015, 06:39:27 PM
Threads open. picks start on the 300th block.

I go with my usual


 -1.01% to -1.25%


hey coins are up to 310!

Hey coins are wild today :D

Today's high was: $318.72 which is pretty amazing.  It dipped to around 310, but I'm having trouble being sad with a number over 300.  I thought it would take a few weeks to get  over 300 hurdle.... nope just a day. 

My hope is we don't drop under 300 though if some decide to sell a few coins.

My electric bill is coming due. You've been warned  ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on October 29, 2015, 07:11:27 PM
Coin price is strong and getting stronger, we finally got over the dip that XT caused.  I think we'll see sub-5% for most of this winter, 70G network difficulty coming soon!  :-X


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 29, 2015, 07:37:11 PM
Coin price is strong and getting stronger, we finally got over the dip that XT caused.  I think we'll see sub-5% for most of this winter, 70G network difficulty coming soon!  :-X

if btc wants to average 10% while diff averages 5% it works for me.

when coins were at 1000 usd the best gear was about 2 watts and diff was tiny.

we can sit and argue that btc was overvalued back in nov of 2013 and we can sit and argue coins are undervalued at 310 in nov of 2015.

truth is the history of btc is too short to really get an idea of the true worth of a coin.

I would like to see coins doing a nice upward move for the next two months out pacing the diff.

An amazing thing my two batch 1 s-3's are still pulling in a profit (2.5 cent power costs)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: tlhIlwI on October 29, 2015, 08:00:38 PM
For optimum BTC after power cost, I had to turn UP the max voltage on my SP20s with the last diff change.  They at now at 0.71V (1.4T-1.5T each).  I never imagined I would be running these so high after 10 months of mining.  I even made ROI during the last diff.  I'm not complaining!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: RichBC on October 29, 2015, 08:04:26 PM
Coin price is strong and getting stronger, we finally got over the dip that XT caused.  I think we'll see sub-5% for most of this winter, 70G network difficulty coming soon!  :-X

if btc wants to average 10% while diff averages 5% it works for me.

when coins were at 1000 usd the best gear was about 2 watts and diff was tiny.

we can sit and argue that btc was overvalued back in nov of 2013 and we can sit and argue coins are undervalued at 310 in nov of 2015.

truth is the history of btc is too short to really get an idea of the true worth of a coin.

I would like to see coins doing a nice upward move for the next two months out pacing the diff.

An amazing thing my two batch 1 s-3's are still pulling in a profit (2.5 cent power costs)

Just kicking myself for not having begged, stealed or borrowed when we were down at $220.... Oh well will just have to settle for cranking the Miners up to max and generate what I can now.

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 29, 2015, 08:09:39 PM
Coin price is strong and getting stronger, we finally got over the dip that XT caused.  I think we'll see sub-5% for most of this winter, 70G network difficulty coming soon!  :-X

if btc wants to average 10% while diff averages 5% it works for me.

when coins were at 1000 usd the best gear was about 2 watts and diff was tiny.

we can sit and argue that btc was overvalued back in nov of 2013 and we can sit and argue coins are undervalued at 310 in nov of 2015.

truth is the history of btc is too short to really get an idea of the true worth of a coin.

I would like to see coins doing a nice upward move for the next two months out pacing the diff.

An amazing thing my two batch 1 s-3's are still pulling in a profit (2.5 cent power costs)

Just kicking myself for not having begged, stealed or borrowed when we were down at $220.... Oh well will just have to settle for cranking the Miners up to max and generate what I can now.

Rich

well I pushed hard in late august
I now have 16th in cloud from bitmaintech ----------------- this is ending soon.
2 in hand s-7's
1 hosted s-7
4 s-3's
some sidehack sticks.
comes to just over 31th

I never had 31th working fo me. until this week.
I would love to see a big coin move over 400


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ingiltere on October 29, 2015, 09:46:46 PM
I was very close last round. I hope this time I can find the right range. Waiting picks to open.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on October 30, 2015, 03:14:37 AM
I was very close last round. I hope this time I can find the right range. Waiting picks to open.

The price is getting solid again and looking at the Press Section of the forum covers on the economist launches of Bitcoin exchanges and the overall market sentiment leans toward a bullish market and in turn a higher mining difficulty.
The picks and the settlement this round will be fun to watch.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: tss on October 30, 2015, 03:43:50 AM
bitmain sold out of batch 2 and 3 s7s during the price run up.  if they get delivered as promised i think we can expect to see over 4% this time around


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 30, 2015, 03:52:39 AM
Sold a fourth coin today.   got over 325.

all told I sold off 4 coins  1200 for the four.   My power cost will be taken care of until next year.


lets see I burn 2400 plus 500 = 3000 in house that is 72 kwatts a day or 2160 kwatts in a month about 225 plus 87  for the hosted unit

so 312 a month  so I have my power costs taken care of for 4 months.

Lets see us go up and over 400.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   64,211,347,324 (+3.14%)
Adjust time:   After 1870 Blocks, About 12.8 days
Hashrate(?):   446,994,246 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.2 minutes
Updated:   23:50 (3.3 minutes ago)



http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10-29-2015      153                   9 over


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on October 30, 2015, 04:45:52 AM
Sold a fourth coin today.   got over 325.

all told I sold off 4 coins  1200 for the four.   My power cost will be taken care of until next year.


lets see I burn 2400 plus 500 = 3000 in house that is 72 kwatts a day or 2160 kwatts in a month about 225 plus 87  for the hosted unit

so 312 a month  so I have my power costs taken care of for 4 months.

Lets see us go up and over 400.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   64,211,347,324 (+3.14%)
Adjust time:   After 1870 Blocks, About 12.8 days
Hashrate(?):   446,994,246 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.2 minutes
Updated:   23:50 (3.3 minutes ago)



http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10-29-2015      153                   9 over


I am just amazed coinbase is currently 336 on price.  I mean we are over a hundred dollars  higher then where we sit forever.  That is just a huge jump.

And difficulty did not just sky rocket... so it's like to fronts with great news.  I just am loving being a miner right now.   It has been a interesting time to say the least.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on October 30, 2015, 05:07:53 AM
I think the price isn't causing an increase in difficulty because most likely people didn't power off their miners, they just sold them. So they were running the entire time by someone with cheaper electricity.

Even someone powering up an old S1 isn't going to increase the hashrate at all.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on October 30, 2015, 05:13:05 AM
I think the price isn't causing an increase in difficulty because most likely people didn't power off their miners, they just sold them. So they were running the entire time by someone with cheaper electricity.

Even someone powering up an old S1 isn't going to increase the hashrate at all.

I would agree on the selling of miners.  They just loose value so quick anymore you cant sit them in a corner and not use or each day they loose a little value.  All my old miners I have sold. 

I figure they are each in cheap or "free" electricity places and are running still today on a lot of them.   Some sit and wait till winter but I find this crazy with how they lose value to sit till winter for heat.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on October 30, 2015, 05:40:10 AM
I think the price isn't causing an increase in difficulty because most likely people didn't power off their miners, they just sold them. So they were running the entire time by someone with cheaper electricity.

Even someone powering up an old S1 isn't going to increase the hashrate at all.

I would agree on the selling of miners.  They just loose value so quick anymore you cant sit them in a corner and not use or each day they loose a little value.  All my old miners I have sold. 

I figure they are each in cheap or "free" electricity places and are running still today on a lot of them.   Some sit and wait till winter but I find this crazy with how they lose value to sit till winter for heat.

Yes, I think the only miners sitting and collecting dust are those 30Gh/s Butterfly labs and those USB Stick miners. Everything else is still hashing away.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on October 30, 2015, 06:16:08 AM
My S1 and S3 are still turned off.  Electricity is so expensive here in so. Cal. that it is almost impossible to mine at a profit.  When it gets cold I'll turn them back on for heat and because I really enjoy mining, but for now it still isn't cost effective for me to run anything except my little usb "farm".


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on October 30, 2015, 06:56:44 AM
My S1 and S3 are still turned off.  Electricity is so expensive here in so. Cal. that it is almost impossible to mine at a profit.  When it gets cold I'll turn them back on for heat and because I really enjoy mining, but for now it still isn't cost effective for me to run anything except my little usb "farm".

Why don't you just sell them here or on eBay?


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: alh on October 30, 2015, 07:06:32 AM
While I know this thread is for difficulty changes, and picks remain closed, I just have to comment:

BTCquote price presently shows $326!!!

This is stunning in my opinion. Clearly over the last 60 days, BTC price increases have outpaced difficulty increases. This is a huge surprise compared to the previous year.

I have to think this will lure some latent mining hardware to restart as they might now turn a running profit, even if not really ROI more.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on October 30, 2015, 07:25:26 AM
While I know this thread is for difficulty changes, and picks remain closed, I just have to comment:

BTCquote price presently shows $326!!!

This is stunning in my opinion. Clearly over the last 60 days, BTC price increases have outpaced difficulty increases. This is a huge surprise compared to the previous year.

I have to think this will lure some latent mining hardware to restart as they might now turn a running profit, even if not really ROI more.

Yes mining is the most profitable now then anytime in the past 11 months,.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on October 30, 2015, 07:30:12 AM
While I know this thread is for difficulty changes, and picks remain closed, I just have to comment:

BTCquote price presently shows $326!!!

This is stunning in my opinion. Clearly over the last 60 days, BTC price increases have outpaced difficulty increases. This is a huge surprise compared to the previous year.

I have to think this will lure some latent mining hardware to restart as they might now turn a running profit, even if not really ROI more.

Yes mining is the most profitable now then anytime in the past 11 months,.

There is a even bigger effect though.  Since people mined during that time all that they held from mining now went up in value.  So it not only helps furture earnings on mining, but past earnings get bigger if minner did not sell coins.

So it's a win/win.  For all the hard it is to be a miner now day's this is a breath of fresh air.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on October 30, 2015, 07:32:44 AM
While I know this thread is for difficulty changes, and picks remain closed, I just have to comment:

BTCquote price presently shows $326!!!

This is stunning in my opinion. Clearly over the last 60 days, BTC price increases have outpaced difficulty increases. This is a huge surprise compared to the previous year.

I have to think this will lure some latent mining hardware to restart as they might now turn a running profit, even if not really ROI more.

Yes mining is the most profitable now then anytime in the past 11 months,.

Without a doubt their is a some historically interesting context here, one is that the last mining rush left a lot of home-miners burned out from the constant difficulty increases and less valued units. Some moved to cloudmining and were burned as well leading towards less variation in my opinion.

This increase in difficulty will in contrast have fewer independent miners and more consolidated groups raking in the profit and it might be some time till the home-users pick up on this wave again.

In other words it's now paying off to have slogged through for the dedicated miner :).


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on October 30, 2015, 04:56:11 PM
My S1 and S3 are still turned off.  Electricity is so expensive here in so. Cal. that it is almost impossible to mine at a profit.  When it gets cold I'll turn them back on for heat and because I really enjoy mining, but for now it still isn't cost effective for me to run anything except my little usb "farm".

Why don't you just sell them here or on eBay?

Why would I want to do that?  I enjoy mining from a technical and tinkering perspective and I still believe that the S3 is the best machine on the market for the average Joe.

My S1 boards are going to gekkoscience in support of the pod miner they are developing, and I'm saving that chassis and controller for when they develop and release full boards.

My S3 will get used all winter again as a solo mining lottery ticket.

The $100 or so I would get for both of them wouldn't be worth it to get rid of them, there's nothing out there better suited for a miner like me.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 30, 2015, 06:38:20 PM
We made 255 blocks so far. So picks will start in 5 to 8 hours


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   64,963,362,019 (+4.35%)
Adjust time:   After 1761 Blocks, About 11.8 days
Hashrate(?):   457,396,431 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes
Updated:   14:35 (2.5 minutes ago)

coinbase is at 330

and I have sold 1 more coin 


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Biodom on October 30, 2015, 07:16:41 PM
I have sold 1 more coin  

and look at that pacmic 3, already 95% in, should be done by midmonth at the latest (3-4 weeks earlier than I expected).
if all goes accordingly, it was pretty sweet if someone instabought btc on coinbase for $$, then bought pacmic3 at 0.66


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 30, 2015, 09:16:50 PM
I have sold 1 more coin  

and look at that pacmic 3, already 95% in, should be done by midmonth at the latest (3-4 weeks earlier than I expected).
if all goes accordingly, it was pretty sweet if someone instabought btc on coinbase for $$, then bought pacmic3 at 0.66

yeah 9.99 btc gets back  about 10.35 btc but  I paid 220 to 250 for the 9.99   say 2350 usd


I sold 5 coins for 1530

 leaving me 5.35 btc at a cost of 800

if I cash the 5.35 at 330 that = 1765.50   which is a 965 profit


Back to thread


 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,412,188,823 (+5.07%)
Adjust time:   After 1738 Blocks, About 11.5 days
Hashrate(?):   465,646,917 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.3 minutes
Updated:   17:15 (3.0 minutes ago)


picks start in 22 blocks about  2-4  hours.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Zz on October 30, 2015, 10:37:27 PM
I'm waiting picks to open again. How many blocks left?


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on October 30, 2015, 10:39:00 PM
I'm waiting picks to open again. How many blocks left?

Picks open after 300 Blocks 2016 blocks - 300 is 1716
We are at 1729 so in about three hours


Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,404,170,260 (+5.06%)
Adjust time:   After 1729 Blocks, About 11.5 days


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ingiltere on October 31, 2015, 12:11:27 AM
I was very close last round. I hope this time I can find the right range. Waiting picks to open.

The price is getting solid again and looking at the Press Section of the forum covers on the economist launches of Bitcoin exchanges and the overall market sentiment leans toward a bullish market and in turn a higher mining difficulty.
The picks and the settlement this round will be fun to watch.

Yeah, I feel like this round will be harder to guess. One thing for sure is we'll see bigger rise in difficulty.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Zz on October 31, 2015, 12:17:03 AM
It's time to open picks! Adjust time: After 1716 Blocks

My pick is +2.26 - 2.50


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: isvicre on October 31, 2015, 12:19:30 AM
New devices will come, old stopped devices will run again.

Next difficulty will be between +1.76 and +2.00.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: cakir on October 31, 2015, 12:20:59 AM
I choose: +2.01 to +2.25


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: The Young Turk on October 31, 2015, 12:21:39 AM
+2.51 to +2.75 please.
(I've learned the thread when a Turkish user won the prize, Lboss ;D )


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: kripto para on October 31, 2015, 12:22:17 AM
+2.51 to +2.75 please.
(I've learned the thread when a Turkish user won the prize, Lboss ;D )
My choice: +3.51 to +3.75
Actually @cakir won it once too.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: DanDan on October 31, 2015, 12:22:51 AM
+2.76 to +3.00

I'm not an expert like most of you are, I'm just guessing a difficulty rise.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: smiletyson on October 31, 2015, 12:24:11 AM
+5.01 to +5.25


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: cakir on October 31, 2015, 12:25:18 AM
+2.51 to +2.75 please.
(I've learned the thread when a Turkish user won the prize, Lboss ;D )
My choice: +3.51 to +3.75
Actually @cakir won it once too.

That's right, I've won it once then Lboss won it. Now Turkish users are all over here ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: DanielRo on October 31, 2015, 12:26:28 AM
WTF. 8 pics in a few minutes.
+3.26% to + 3.50% DanielRo

If Bitcoin price will rise day by day we will be over 5%. But who knows  ???.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ingiltere on October 31, 2015, 12:29:11 AM
WTF. 8 pics in a few minutes.
+3.26% to + 3.50% DanielRo

WTF? 9th pick in a few minutes. We don't even have time to drink water?
I don't know what to choose. I think about S7 impact in difficulty.

+3.76 to +4.00 would be good.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ACAB on October 31, 2015, 12:31:25 AM
Price is rising, people opened old devices. I'm expecting bigger rise in difficulty.

+3.01 to +3.25


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: DanielRo on October 31, 2015, 12:32:43 AM
WTF. 8 pics in a few minutes.
+3.26% to + 3.50% DanielRo

WTF? 9th pick in a few minutes. We don't even have time to drink water?
I don't know what to choose. I think about S7 impact in difficulty.

+3.51 to +3.75 would be good.

3.51 to 3.75 it's taken by kripto para


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on October 31, 2015, 12:51:55 AM
+5.26 to +5.50 Notlist3d

Thanks once again for doing this!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: VirosaGITS on October 31, 2015, 12:55:01 AM
WTF. 8 pics in a few minutes.
+3.26% to + 3.50% DanielRo

If Bitcoin price will rise day by day we will be over 5%. But who knows  ???.

This has gotten very popular ;)

+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ezeminer on October 31, 2015, 01:12:47 AM
4.51% to 4.75% ezeminer
or closest available at this time


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: zebedee on October 31, 2015, 01:21:11 AM
+9.51 to +9.75 zebedee

You guys are all way too pessimistic.  This could be over 10% easily.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on October 31, 2015, 01:23:09 AM
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere

+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS <- bonus points for clicky-drag
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

Guys and gals please make it easier for Phil to manage this and post your guesses formatted exactly as above. Thank you.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: edonkey on October 31, 2015, 02:21:05 AM
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey

This time both cats voted. They were complaining about slim pickings though.

This contest fills up fast nowadays...


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Biodom on October 31, 2015, 02:56:56 AM
+5.51 to +5.75 Biodom

thanks


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on October 31, 2015, 02:58:36 AM
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

thank you!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 03:26:45 AM
wow I take a nap   (fall allergies fallen rotten leaves)

and every one has voted. (almost everyone)

Let me recap it all.

-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey

+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on October 31, 2015, 03:28:47 AM
shit happens! like btc price going up very fast ;D

diff will follow :(


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 03:43:07 AM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks

we made 323 blocks instead of 291 this is plus  10.99 %

it is early but that is a big number


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,406,079,009 (+5.06%)
Adjust time:   After 1693 Blocks, About 11.3 days
Hashrate(?):   463,928,881 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.7 minutes
6 blocks: 57.4 minutes
Updated:   23:40 (1.5 minutes ago)

lets hope for a slow weekend.

hashnest is adding 500 s-7 on the 3 to 15th of nov  500 s-7 = 2.4ph this is only .5%

maybe someone else is pushing hash.
Avalon
bitfury
KNC
SP-TECH  may be doing a launch.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on October 31, 2015, 04:38:27 AM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks

we made 323 blocks instead of 291 this is plus  10.99 %

it is early but that is a big number


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,406,079,009 (+5.06%)
Adjust time:   After 1693 Blocks, About 11.3 days
Hashrate(?):   463,928,881 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.7 minutes
6 blocks: 57.4 minutes
Updated:   23:40 (1.5 minutes ago)

lets hope for a slow weekend.

hashnest is adding 500 s-7 on the 3 to 15th of nov  500 s-7 = 2.4ph this is only .5%

maybe someone else is pushing hash.
Avalon
bitfury
KNC
SP-TECH  may be doing a launch.

Ouch on 10.... I think it's going to be S7's and Avalons.   S7's announced more coming to hashnest so I assume they make a batch big enough for that and possibly some sells.  And Avalon 6's should really be doing burn-ins if shipping soon as some indicate.

I hope 10 is a number that will drop... but who knows this early.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: RichBC on October 31, 2015, 06:34:34 AM
I think it's going to be big...


+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC


Thanks Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on October 31, 2015, 06:38:50 AM
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: tss on October 31, 2015, 06:51:48 AM
+5.76% to +6.00% tss


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Tupsu on October 31, 2015, 08:38:21 AM
-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: dukeneptun on October 31, 2015, 09:03:20 AM
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun

Actually I'm expecting bigger rise but all choices are already taken (%3-5) in my mind.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on October 31, 2015, 09:30:50 AM
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun

Actually I'm expecting bigger rise but all choices are already taken (%3-5) in my mind.

It's gotten quite popular It is fun to guess even when your wrong... I'm yet to win... maybe this week will be my week :).  But I'm hoping I'm above the number but I'm not sure this one could hurt.

it was pretty amazing though watching today how fast the picks come in.  Word is spreading which is good.  Thanks to phil and suchmoon for doing it!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Last of the V8s on October 31, 2015, 09:59:54 AM
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
hope to be wrong


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on October 31, 2015, 11:50:38 AM
Because of the market price rising I feel this round will surprise us
+8.26-8.5 %


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 01:04:23 PM

wow I take a nap   (fall allergies fallen rotten leaves)

and every one has voted. (almost everyone)

Let me recap it all.
-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss

+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC

+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1
+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee
[/quote]


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: LGD2Business on October 31, 2015, 01:30:37 PM
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business

Because choo choo comes up with difficulty raise.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 03:06:43 PM

Let me recap it all.
-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss

+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business

+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine I won't do any advance reservations.  Please do not pm me and ask for them.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: d57heinz on October 31, 2015, 03:11:34 PM
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz

Thanks again


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 03:42:53 PM
-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957


+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss

+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine I won't do any advance reservations.  Please do not pm me and ask for them.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: wpt1wpt1 on October 31, 2015, 04:08:39 PM
+7.01% to +7.25% Please


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: HerbPean on October 31, 2015, 04:31:02 PM
Well i'm so late to the party. Gonna sit this one next to you Phil :P BTW we should find away to liberate you from your spot ... I mean i'm ok with letting you get the first pick. Just my 2 cents :P

-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 04:39:04 PM

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm

+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz

+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine:

 I won't do any advance reservations.


 Please do not pm me and ask for them.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: wlefever on October 31, 2015, 08:28:10 PM
Man this fills up fast now! +1.26% to + 1.50%  wlefever for me please


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 10:41:10 PM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz

+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine:

 I won't do any advance reservations.


 Please do not pm me and ask for them.




Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on October 31, 2015, 11:07:46 PM
I won't do any advance reservations.

Please do not pm me and ask for them.

I was thinking about this issue a few weeks back but then it didn't look so busy yet.

Perhaps we should do an early round - maybe blocks 300 to 500 - for users who participated in the contest at least 5 times or something like that. Another option would be to give priority if you use the same spot from the previous round. Yet another option would be to charge a small amount (0.001?) for an early entry and add it to the pool. Or some combination of these.

The problem is of course that any extra rules increase the bureaucracy and this should be simple and fun. Anyone has any ideas how to make this more fair for more people in various time zones etc - please share.

One thing to remember though is that this is pretty much a lottery. We've had many cases where the winner didn't pick their favorite spot, where the diff moved a few spots within the last hours before adjustment, etc. Due to the inherently random nature of mining this is much more a game of luck than a game of skill.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Biodom on October 31, 2015, 11:22:41 PM
it's your game, but what you propose would make it way too complicated, in my opinion.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on October 31, 2015, 11:32:42 PM
it's your game, but what you propose would make it way too complicated, in my opinion.

I agree with the more complicated part - not with "your game" - I think it's everyone's game :). That's why I'm asking for ideas, maybe someone can come up with something interesting here.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Biodom on October 31, 2015, 11:43:18 PM
it's your game, but what you propose would make it way too complicated, in my opinion.

I agree with the more complicated part - not with "your game" - I think it's everyone's game :). That's why I'm asking for ideas, maybe someone can come up with something interesting here.

i meant that you were the one paying so far, but I get your point re "everyone's".
maybe it is time for participants to pitch in 0.01 or 0.005 (or a buck or two) or limit the final to $30 in btc, for example.
it might deter some, though


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 12:08:55 AM
it's your game, but what you propose would make it way too complicated, in my opinion.

I agree with the more complicated part - not with "your game" - I think it's everyone's game :). That's why I'm asking for ideas, maybe someone can come up with something interesting here.

i meant that you were the one paying so far, but I get your point re "everyone's".
maybe it is time for participants to pitch in 0.01 or 0.005 (or a buck or two) or limit the final to $30 in btc, for example.
it might deter some, though
i think we need to structure it a bit different i have a few ideas. i will write them up after we close this set of picks.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 03:22:21 AM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37


we are a bit slower on the first day of the  weekend

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,224,932,310 (+4.77%)
Adjust time:   After 1550 Blocks, About 10.4 days
Hashrate(?):   482,328,477 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.8 minutes
Updated:   23:20 (5.1 minutes ago)

we have 466 blocks made should be  429 so we are plus     +8.62%


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ezeminer on November 01, 2015, 03:41:49 AM
it's your game, but what you propose would make it way too complicated, in my opinion.

I agree with the more complicated part - not with "your game" - I think it's everyone's game :). That's why I'm asking for ideas, maybe someone can come up with something interesting here.

i meant that you were the one paying so far, but I get your point re "everyone's".
maybe it is time for participants to pitch in 0.01 or 0.005 (or a buck or two) or limit the final to $30 in btc, for example.
it might deter some, though
i think we need to structure it a bit different i have a few ideas. i will write them up after we close this set of picks.

At this point everyone just jumps at the very start... I almost think you could do football squares instead and have a great turnout.

So that it becomes fair for everyone, and it wouldn't mean 10 participants in 10 minutes


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 03:49:03 AM
it's your game, but what you propose would make it way too complicated, in my opinion.

I agree with the more complicated part - not with "your game" - I think it's everyone's game :). That's why I'm asking for ideas, maybe someone can come up with something interesting here.

i meant that you were the one paying so far, but I get your point re "everyone's".
maybe it is time for participants to pitch in 0.01 or 0.005 (or a buck or two) or limit the final to $30 in btc, for example.
it might deter some, though
i think we need to structure it a bit different i have a few ideas. i will write them up after we close this set of picks.

At this point everyone just jumps at the very start... I almost think you could do football squares instead and have a great turnout.

So that it becomes fair for everyone, and it wouldn't mean 10 participants in 10 minutes

yeah my idea is close to yours. make 81 ranges   -10 to +10  



  then use randomnumber.org to assign ranges to the entries.

if you get assigned 0 you get .2 prize if you get any other range you get .1 prize

end entries  at block 1000.

since all ranges will get picked randomly you can put your name in from block 0 to block 1000.

if we don't get 81 names some ranges end up rollover.

more ideas are welcome.
 



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 01, 2015, 04:09:05 AM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37


we are a bit slower on the first day of the  weekend

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,224,932,310 (+4.77%)
Adjust time:   After 1550 Blocks, About 10.4 days
Hashrate(?):   482,328,477 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.8 minutes
Updated:   23:20 (5.1 minutes ago)

we have 466 blocks made should be  429 so we are plus     +8.62%

I really like the idea of slowing down I was starting to get scared on first one.  I really don't want to see 5-10... I like level under 5.... 2 is my favorite as I use it as best case on most of my ROI.   Worst case I do a lot of numbers... but best case I normally just do 2 and if it's under I am extremely happy.

I'm afraid of Avalon and Bitmain both making gear at same time.   The good thing is our overall hashrate is pretty big so it's getting harder and harder to do a huge percent jump.  I wonder what it will be like in a year or even two if hashrate will be even more steady.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 01, 2015, 04:53:23 AM
yeah my idea is close to yours. make 81 ranges   -10 to +10  



  then use randomnumber.org to assign ranges to the entries.

if you get assigned 0 you get .2 prize if you get any other range you get .1 prize

end entries  at block 1000.

since all ranges will get picked randomly you can put your name in from block 0 to block 1000.

if we don't get 81 names some ranges end up rollover.

more ideas are welcome.


I know I said it's a game of chance but still completely random may be a bit too far. I'd like to try to maintain at least the illusion of choice  ;D.

We could allow multiple picks for the same range, maybe up to five. Then the timing wouldn't matter so much but the prize might need to be split between multiple winners.

Another thing we could consider is limiting participation to Full Members or Sr. Members and up (an exception can be made for former participants).



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: RichBC on November 01, 2015, 07:28:18 AM
yeah my idea is close to yours. make 81 ranges   -10 to +10  



  then use randomnumber.org to assign ranges to the entries.

if you get assigned 0 you get .2 prize if you get any other range you get .1 prize

end entries  at block 1000.

since all ranges will get picked randomly you can put your name in from block 0 to block 1000.

if we don't get 81 names some ranges end up rollover.

more ideas are welcome.


I know I said it's a game of chance but still completely random may be a bit too far. I'd like to try to maintain at least the illusion of choice  ;D.

We could allow multiple picks for the same range, maybe up to five. Then the timing wouldn't matter so much but the prize might need to be split between multiple winners.

Another thing we could consider is limiting participation to Full Members or Sr. Members and up (an exception can be made for former participants).



I've only played the "Game" a couple of times and cannot see much wrong with it as it stands. We were asleep in the UK when picks opened this time but I knew that was going to be the case, could have stayed up but chose not to. For me all part of the game and I think it would be a great pity to remove choice, and let's remember that even with first pick this is already a game of chance.  :)

So yes more slots would be fine, so long as they get filled. How about a combination of smaller slots and opening picks earlier so that early voters have less information but first choice.

And a big thanks to Phil for running the game.

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on November 01, 2015, 07:32:41 AM
KISS method... it's fine as it is ;D

with the price comes big jumps  :(
and it has big swings too!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 01, 2015, 08:28:37 AM
Today I knew was going to be a slow day. I kept waiting and waiting for confirmations. There were multiple times of the day where it took 2 hours to find 6 blocks according to Blockchain.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: lolxxxx on November 01, 2015, 02:07:28 PM
0.76% to 1.00%


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 02:57:56 PM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz

+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine:

 I won't do any advance reservations.


 Please do not pm me and ask for them.





Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ezeminer on November 01, 2015, 03:38:07 PM
So here's a rough sketch if you're interested.

along the top it will be the 0.0x number
and along the side it will be the 0.x0 number

With a little nicer of a table than this,
-------------------------------------------------
|  1 |  2 |  3 |  4 |  5 |  6 |  7 |  8 |  9 | 10 |
-------------------------------------------------
| 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
-------------------------------------------------------

Then you'd be set for 100 contestants.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: HerbPean on November 01, 2015, 04:06:53 PM
Hashrate(?):   500,036,826 GH/s

Firt time we hit the 500 on bitcoinwisdom.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 09:41:34 PM
please don't do this =========

 as it makes switching  picks an issue.

I ADDED your pick in the next post

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor                       <-added my pic here
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 09:43:18 PM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine:

 I won't do any advance reservations.


 Please do not pm me and ask for them.





Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 01, 2015, 11:33:48 PM
Bitwisdom keeps goig up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,672,791,064 (+5.49%)
Adjust time:    After 1423 Blocks, About 9.4 days
Hashrate(?):    484,451,571 GH/s


I hope this changes but the wave of new miners might just finally be hitting us.  Price is around 327 so still pretty good on that front.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 11:39:55 PM
Bitwisdom keeps goig up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,672,791,064 (+5.49%)
Adjust time:    After 1423 Blocks, About 9.4 days
Hashrate(?):    484,451,571 GH/s


I hope this changes but the wave of new miners might just finally be hitting us.  Price is around 327 so still pretty good on that front.

We are plus six or seven blocks for just today so that is about five percent.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: sloopy on November 01, 2015, 11:55:28 PM

+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy

First opening. I have to get here sooner ;)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: EternalWingsofGod on November 02, 2015, 12:24:09 AM

First opening. I have to get here sooner ;)

Ha-ha this thread has grown a lot more popular, its also due to the increase in Bitcoin prices.
The correlation between the amount of interest people have in mining is similar to the number of people who make picks in the thread at any point in time  ;)

All the likely targets were taken so I'll strategize this round and use time advantage in case some serious hash appears before the picks close.
Aka an above 10% prediction. Or just let it close naturally  ;)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 12:26:37 AM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine:

 I won't do any advance reservations.


 Please do not pm me and ask for them.





Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Kexkey on November 02, 2015, 01:06:59 AM
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey

Game is getting popular, that's cool!  Phil, maybe we should change for 0.10% or 0.20% slices instead of 0.25%, that would open more slots.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 02:20:53 AM
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey

Game is getting popular, that's cool!  Phil, maybe we should change for 0.10% or 0.20% slices instead of 0.25%, that would open more slots.



 That is  a simple fix should work. We combine  your idea say


 .10%  ranges  and shift from blocks  300-1000   to   600-1200

should slow the rush a bit and leave room for picks


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 02:27:05 AM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine:

 I won't do any advance reservations.


 Please do not pm me and ask for them.




I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot.  along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

 right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT  80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be  well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 02, 2015, 03:07:09 AM
I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot.  along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

 right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT  80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be  well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome

I like it. We can simplify the picks too. Instead of expecting +3.01 to +3.25, +3.26 to +3.50 etc the picks can be simply:

+3.0 phil
+3.1 suchmoon
+3.2 edonkey's cat

etc.

which would easily and intuitively translate to:

+3.00 to +3.09
+3.10 to +3.19
+3.20 to +3.29

etc.

Basically you guess the percentage to one decimal place A.B and you win if the actual percentage ends up being anything that starts with your number i.e. A.Bx

Just need to figure out the 0.00 situation. Perhaps have the whole -0.09 to +0.09 range as a single pick. This one would have a higher chance to win.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on November 02, 2015, 03:11:13 AM
+7.76% to +8.00% Mikestang



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 03:22:30 AM
I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot.  along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

 right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT  80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be  well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome

I like it. We can simplify the picks too. Instead of expecting +3.01 to +3.25, +3.26 to +3.50 etc the picks can be simply:

+3.0 phil
+3.1 suchmoon
+3.2 edonkey's cat

etc.

which would easily and intuitively translate to:

+3.00 to +3.09
+3.10 to +3.19
+3.20 to +3.29

etc.

Basically you guess the percentage to one decimal place A.B and you win if the actual percentage ends up being anything that starts with your number i.e. A.Bx

Just need to figure out the 0.00 situation. Perhaps have the whole -0.09 to +0.09 range as a single pick. This one would have a higher chance to win.


does this fix it? been drinking watching the world series so my math can slip a bit.


-0.2         -0.20 to -0.11
-0.1         -0.10 to -0.01
 0.0        +0.00 to +0.09
+0.1       +0.10 to +0.19
+0.2       +0.20 to +0.29


those are all equal correct?  

^^^
I like the above not sure about the blue below


     we can go from    -10 to +10


I simply make a list   with all ranges.  if we drop under -10 or over + 10 we roll the prize over.

if  no one picks a winner inside    -10 to + 10 we roll the prize over.





Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 03:37:11 AM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43

we are a bit slower on the first day of the  weekend
and still okay for sunday



Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,986,943,064 (+6.00%)
Adjust time:   After 1386 Blocks, About 9.1 days
Hashrate(?):   493,066,155 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.7 minutes





we have 630 blocks made should be  587 so we are plus     +7.32%


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: valkir on November 02, 2015, 05:16:24 AM
oups too late for this one  :P


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on November 02, 2015, 05:38:31 AM
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,891,692,097 (+5.84%)
Adjust time:    After 1375 Blocks, About 9.1 days
Hashrate(?):    499,238,409 GH/s

:(

Also cold weather is getting in:  Temperatura acum: -3˚C


The .1 range seems fine! ;)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 02, 2015, 06:32:14 AM
does this fix it? been drinking watching the world series so my math can slip a bit.


-0.2         -0.20 to -0.11
-0.1         -0.10 to -0.01
 0.0        +0.00 to +0.09
+0.1       +0.10 to +0.19
+0.2       +0.20 to +0.29


those are all equal correct?  

I think they are. It's a bit less convenient on the negative side since you have to remember that -0.2 goes to -0.11 and not to -0.29 but we're less likely to use those negative ranges so we should be ok.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ezeminer on November 02, 2015, 07:35:49 AM
does this fix it? been drinking watching the world series so my math can slip a bit.


-0.2         -0.20 to -0.11
-0.1         -0.10 to -0.01
 0.0        +0.00 to +0.09
+0.1       +0.10 to +0.19
+0.2       +0.20 to +0.29


those are all equal correct?  

I think they are. It's a bit less convenient on the negative side since you have to remember that -0.2 goes to -0.11 and not to -0.29 but we're less likely to use those negative ranges so we should be ok.

what about like zero is a double prize again, but then it would go

-0.2     -0.2 to -0.11
-0.1     -0.1 to -0.01
0          0
0.1       0.01 to 0.1
0.2       0.11 to 0.2

thus simplifying it


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Lituation on November 02, 2015, 10:40:01 AM
That filled up real quick. It seems like this speculation thread is very popular now.

+8.51% to +8.75% Lituation

I prefer 0.25 range than 0.10, because it's already too hard to guess difficulty. Let's take a look at previous thread, he won by 0.01 points.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 12:12:41 PM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% Mikestang
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1
+8.51% to +8.75% Lituation

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

  " can you pick  x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always


 -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of  the member

 "Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

 So other then mine:

 I won't do any advance reservations.


 Please do not pm me and ask for them.




I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot.  along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

 right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT  80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be  well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 12:13:37 PM
oups too late for this one  :P

we still have some 8's and 9's left or even a 10

______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________

That filled up real quick. It seems like this speculation thread is very popular now.

+8.51% to +8.75% Lituation

I prefer 0.25 range than 0.10, because it's already too hard to guess difficulty. Let's take a look at previous thread, he won by 0.01 points.

it will be harder to win with a 0.10 range,but and here is the key we are still keeping it free to enter. So why not allow for more people to join.  With coin price rising it is a good idea.

If coins drop back to 200-220 and interest is lost we could increase back to 0.25 range

also we will start at block 600 not 300 which should help a picker drop real high or real low guesses

______________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________


does this fix it? been drinking watching the world series so my math can slip a bit.


-0.2         -0.20 to -0.11
-0.1         -0.10 to -0.01
 0.0        +0.00 to +0.09
+0.1       +0.10 to +0.19
+0.2       +0.20 to +0.29


those are all equal correct?  

I think they are. It's a bit less convenient on the negative side since you have to remember that -0.2 goes to -0.11 and not to -0.29 but we're less likely to use those negative ranges so we should be ok.

what about like zero is a double prize again, but then it would go

-0.2     -0.2 to -0.11
-0.1     -0.1 to -0.01
0          0
0.1       0.01 to 0.1
0.2       0.11 to 0.2

thus simplifying it

Leaning towards first choice with no bonus for 0
I do think we will have rollovers more often since there will be 200 ranges from -10 to +10
vs 80 ranges.
not to mention you can go lower or higher then -10 to +10


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: RichBC on November 02, 2015, 12:25:15 PM


I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot.  along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

 right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT  80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be  well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome

Why not open picks early & close them late. There are a lot more picks with 0.1 and you only have one shot. So you would then have the additional gamble of choosing between going in early to get the slot you want v waiting for more information before choosing? I think delaying the start might make for a bigger rush on opening?


Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 12:28:27 PM


I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot.  along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

 right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT  80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be  well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome

Why not open picks early & close them late. There are a lot more picks with 0.1 and you only have one shot. So you would then have the additional gamble of choosing between going in early to get the slot you want v waiting for more information before choosing? I think delaying the start might make for a bigger rush on opening?


Rich

good concept.  
we could try both in consecutive adjustments.
 then a quick vote as to which is better.

and on the brighter side coins are up to 338 I sold 300 usd worth about .89 this morning.  That is another month of power.  Since the rise of price I sold 1800 usd about six coins.
That is either the price of 6 months power for me or the price of one of my 3 s-7's.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   they have us at (+4.64%)  I have us over 7%
Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,141,275,089 (+4.64%)
Adjust time:   After 1344 Blocks, About 9.0 days
Hashrate(?):   480,823,374 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.7 minutes
Updated:   7:40 (1.6 minutes ago)

From sept 4 to nov 2
price has jumped from 231 to 338  that is 46.32%

diff has jump from 56,957,648,455 to around 66,000,000,000 that is    15.87%

So diff could move real hard or maybe not very interesting time to be a miner.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 02, 2015, 02:14:44 PM
*snip

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   they have us at (+4.64%)  I have us over 7%
Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,141,275,089 (+4.64%)
Adjust time:   After 1344 Blocks, About 9.0 days
Hashrate(?):   480,823,374 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.7 minutes
Updated:   7:40 (1.6 minutes ago)

From sept 4 to nov 2
price has jumped from 231 to 338  that is 46.32%

diff has jump from 56,957,648,455 to around 66,000,000,000 that is    15.87%

So diff could move real hard or maybe not very interesting time to be a miner.

The price is what surprises me so much.  We are doing really good in a sort period of time. I thought we would see a big sell off at 300... and we saw a little but not massive it kept going up in value.

Now to be looking close to 240 is a pretty big deal.  If we hit 345 is my number I now want to see.  That will be 50 percent jump from 230 in not a very long time at all.  It's a good time to be a miner.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 02, 2015, 03:26:54 PM
So diff could move real hard or maybe not very interesting time to be a miner.

For the difficulty to move by something like 10-20% you would need 50-100 PH/s of hardware to be deployed and that isn't easy or cheap. With the uncertainty of the block reward halving coming up in just a few months (July-ish next year) we will probably see the difficulty lagging behind this price rally and we will probably see a price correction too. Or we'll all be rich, I'm fine with that too  ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 04:30:38 PM
So diff could move real hard or maybe not very interesting time to be a miner.

For the difficulty to move by something like 10-20% you would need 50-100 PH/s of hardware to be deployed and that isn't easy or cheap. With the uncertainty of the block reward halving coming up in just a few months (July-ish next year) we will probably see the difficulty lagging behind this price rally and we will probably see a price correction too. Or we'll all be rich, I'm fine with that too  ;D

that works for me


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 02, 2015, 05:31:23 PM
So diff could move real hard or maybe not very interesting time to be a miner.

For the difficulty to move by something like 10-20% you would need 50-100 PH/s of hardware to be deployed and that isn't easy or cheap. With the uncertainty of the block reward halving coming up in just a few months (July-ish next year) we will probably see the difficulty lagging behind this price rally and we will probably see a price correction too. Or we'll all be rich, I'm fine with that too  ;D

that works for me

I'm thinking the same were getting to a point there is a lot of hash in the network.   So it's much harder to do big jumps.  For example we at one time got 20+ jumps long ago.... for 20+ it would take a ton of miners and massive ivestment.

I'm hoping we top out around 5 anymore, but I would rather be around 2.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 09:30:11 PM
coins are exploding 359 at coinbase!!

man oh man.

people are going to be dragging all their old gear out of storage.

Bitmaintech is in a very interesting spot.

And all the early picks under 5% on this thread are in poor shape.

looks like we will go  6% minimum if coins keep shooting upwards.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on November 02, 2015, 10:25:01 PM
Rising coin price coupled with falling temperatures in the northern hemisphere and winter electricity rates, and all this new hardware is going to make the next few months very fun to watch from a difficulty speculation perspective.  Throw the halving in and wow, there's really no saying what things will look like in the near future.

I got a late guess in this round, but I'm glad I did because it's looking to be headed that direction.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 02, 2015, 10:43:47 PM
Rising coin price coupled with falling temperatures in the northern hemisphere and winter electricity rates, and all this new hardware is going to make the next few months very fun to watch from a difficulty speculation perspective.  Throw the halving in and wow, there's really no saying what things will look like in the near future.

I got a late guess in this round, but I'm glad I did because it's looking to be headed that direction.

Even in midwest temps have been falling quite a bit.  I have not done it yet but I'm thinking I will be able to unplug my window fans that were helping air circulate from windows to mid room where miners were. 

Winter is a comming... which is always a good season for  miners.  Add higher prices per coin and were doing even better.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 11:10:13 PM
Rising coin price coupled with falling temperatures in the northern hemisphere and winter electricity rates, and all this new hardware is going to make the next few months very fun to watch from a difficulty speculation perspective.  Throw the halving in and wow, there's really no saying what things will look like in the near future.

I got a late guess in this round, but I'm glad I did because it's looking to be headed that direction.

Even in midwest temps have been falling quite a bit.  I have not done it yet but I'm thinking I will be able to unplug my window fans that were helping air circulate from windows to mid room where miners were. 

Winter is a comming... which is always a good season for  miners.  Add higher prices per coin and were doing even better.


coins are over 371 usd on coinbase baby!!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 02, 2015, 11:20:13 PM
Rising coin price coupled with falling temperatures in the northern hemisphere and winter electricity rates, and all this new hardware is going to make the next few months very fun to watch from a difficulty speculation perspective.  Throw the halving in and wow, there's really no saying what things will look like in the near future.

I got a late guess in this round, but I'm glad I did because it's looking to be headed that direction.

Even in midwest temps have been falling quite a bit.  I have not done it yet but I'm thinking I will be able to unplug my window fans that were helping air circulate from windows to mid room where miners were. 

Winter is a comming... which is always a good season for  miners.  Add higher prices per coin and were doing even better.


coins are over 371 usd on coinbase baby!!

You beat me to the post!  Was just seeing that it dipped just a little but still in high 360!  Hopefully cross back into 270 again.... man talk about a good day.

It is a fun time to be a miner!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 02, 2015, 11:46:25 PM
Rising coin price coupled with falling temperatures in the northern hemisphere and winter electricity rates, and all this new hardware is going to make the next few months very fun to watch from a difficulty speculation perspective.  Throw the halving in and wow, there's really no saying what things will look like in the near future.

I got a late guess in this round, but I'm glad I did because it's looking to be headed that direction.

Even in midwest temps have been falling quite a bit.  I have not done it yet but I'm thinking I will be able to unplug my window fans that were helping air circulate from windows to mid room where miners were. 

Winter is a comming... which is always a good season for  miners.  Add higher prices per coin and were doing even better.


coins are over 371 usd on coinbase baby!!

You beat me to the post!  Was just seeing that it dipped just a little but still in high 360!  Hopefully cross back into 270 again.... man talk about a good day.

It is a fun time to be a miner!

I sold some at 369


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 03, 2015, 02:38:49 AM
According to my calculations I am making exactly as much now as I was making back in the GPU Litecoin mining days. Back when every R9 270X was making $5/per day/per card. Only this time with ASIC equipment.

I really wish I didn't sell all my coins earlier at $300.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 02:41:51 AM
According to my calculations I am making exactly as much now as I was making back in the GPU Litecoin mining days. Back when every R9 270X was making $5/per day/per card. Only this time with ASIC equipment.

I really wish I didn't sell all my coins earlier at $300.



I sold most at 300  six to be exact.

then 1 at 356 and 1 at  369.

The rest I am holding I wish I waited just a little longer, but WTF if they drop  down to 280 I will look smart.

If they go to 500 I still have a few left.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 03, 2015, 02:46:12 AM
Rising coin price coupled with falling temperatures in the northern hemisphere and winter electricity rates, and all this new hardware is going to make the next few months very fun to watch from a difficulty speculation perspective.  Throw the halving in and wow, there's really no saying what things will look like in the near future.

I got a late guess in this round, but I'm glad I did because it's looking to be headed that direction.

Even in midwest temps have been falling quite a bit.  I have not done it yet but I'm thinking I will be able to unplug my window fans that were helping air circulate from windows to mid room where miners were. 

Winter is a comming... which is always a good season for  miners.  Add higher prices per coin and were doing even better.


coins are over 371 usd on coinbase baby!!

You beat me to the post!  Was just seeing that it dipped just a little but still in high 360!  Hopefully cross back into 270 again.... man talk about a good day.

It is a fun time to be a miner!

I sold some at 369

Pretty amazing it went up and down a little while and is currently on coinbase at 367.. one heck of a day and nice place to stop at hopefully we keep this gain.

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,869,068,079 (+5.81%)
Adjust time:    After 1243 Blocks, About 8.2 days
Hashrate(?):    479,470,161 GH/s

Bitwisdom is over 5 but I cant even be mad with increase in price


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 03, 2015, 02:48:19 AM
According to my calculations I am making exactly as much now as I was making back in the GPU Litecoin mining days. Back when every R9 270X was making $5/per day/per card. Only this time with ASIC equipment.

I really wish I didn't sell all my coins earlier at $300.



I sold most at 300  six to be exact.

then 1 at 356 and 1 at  369.

The rest I am holding I wish I waited just a little longer, but WTF if they drop  down to 280 I will look smart.

If they go to 500 I still have a few left.

I know what you mean I sold my S4's and put in a account to pay mining electricity.  I thought I was playing it safe and thought the same what if it goes other way.

I missed at least 1k dollars by not investing back into bitcoin and putting in a bank account in USD.   I feel stupid for it now... but I'm a cautious investor.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 03, 2015, 02:53:04 AM
According to my calculations I am making exactly as much now as I was making back in the GPU Litecoin mining days. Back when every R9 270X was making $5/per day/per card. Only this time with ASIC equipment.

I really wish I didn't sell all my coins earlier at $300.



I sold most at 300  six to be exact.

then 1 at 356 and 1 at  369.

The rest I am holding I wish I waited just a little longer, but WTF if they drop  down to 280 I will look smart.

If they go to 500 I still have a few left.

I know what you mean I sold my S4's and put in a account to pay mining electricity.  I thought I was playing it safe and thought the same what if it goes other way.

I missed at least 1k dollars by not investing back into bitcoin and putting in a bank account in USD.   I feel stupid for it now... but I'm a cautious investor.

I agree with you. Sometimes its better to take a little profit then not get any profit at all or even worse, get a loss.

Who knew it would go to $375.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 03:09:57 AM
According to my calculations I am making exactly as much now as I was making back in the GPU Litecoin mining days. Back when every R9 270X was making $5/per day/per card. Only this time with ASIC equipment.

I really wish I didn't sell all my coins earlier at $300.



I sold most at 300  six to be exact.

then 1 at 356 and 1 at  369.

The rest I am holding I wish I waited just a little longer, but WTF if they drop  down to 280 I will look smart.

If they go to 500 I still have a few left.

I know what you mean I sold my S4's and put in a account to pay mining electricity.  I thought I was playing it safe and thought the same what if it goes other way.

I missed at least 1k dollars by not investing back into bitcoin and putting in a bank account in USD.   I feel stupid for it now... but I'm a cautious investor.

I agree with you. Sometimes its better to take a little profit then not get any profit at all or even worse, get a loss.

Who knew it would go to $375.


I sold 2500 worth of coins.

 But I was very extended in that I have 3 s-7's costing over 5200.

If coins whale  away and  go way up   the s-7's do well.  If coins tank I have banked good money.

I really go with half a loaf is better then none.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 03, 2015, 03:13:35 AM
According to my calculations I am making exactly as much now as I was making back in the GPU Litecoin mining days. Back when every R9 270X was making $5/per day/per card. Only this time with ASIC equipment.

I really wish I didn't sell all my coins earlier at $300.



I sold most at 300  six to be exact.

then 1 at 356 and 1 at  369.

The rest I am holding I wish I waited just a little longer, but WTF if they drop  down to 280 I will look smart.

If they go to 500 I still have a few left.

I know what you mean I sold my S4's and put in a account to pay mining electricity.  I thought I was playing it safe and thought the same what if it goes other way.

I missed at least 1k dollars by not investing back into bitcoin and putting in a bank account in USD.   I feel stupid for it now... but I'm a cautious investor.

I agree with you. Sometimes its better to take a little profit then not get any profit at all or even worse, get a loss.

Who knew it would go to $375.


I sold 2500 worth of coins.

 But I was very extended in that I have 3 s-7's costing over 5200.

If coins whale  away and  go way up   the s-7's do well.  If coins tank I have banked good money.

I really go with half a loaf is better then none.

You are right it is not all bad.  This jump makes mining much more profitable then 230's we were at forever.  So even if we profit not max... still is good overall.

I really want to see what Bitmain does on S7 price.  I can't speculate good enough to know.  But in past when it is this big of jump they raised price.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 03:56:45 AM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57


pace has picked up we have made 782 blocks should be at 725

I clock us at +7.86%

the 5.85% below is very likely too low


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,897,437,872 (+5.85%)
Adjust time:   After 1234 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):   476,415,628 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.7 minutes


coins are nuts  coinbase is pushing 377     we could crack 400 overnight


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 03, 2015, 05:02:03 AM
All my miners right now feel like Golden Geese. I probably wouldn't sell them at any price.

Maybe $1000 for my Antminer S3+


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 05:36:48 AM
All my miners right now feel like Golden Geese. I probably wouldn't sell them at any price.

Maybe $1000 for my Antminer S3+

coins need to rise a bit more then 400 for that. ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: EternalWingsofGod on November 03, 2015, 08:05:50 AM
pace has picked up we have made 782 blocks should be at 725

I clock us at +7.86%

the 5.85% below is very likely too low

I forget what block picks are no longer accepted but seeing how it hit $500 dollars on a Canadian exchange (cavirtex) which is halfway to 1k and keeps appreciating at a rapid pace i'll keeps lurking waiting for a high pick.

In regards to pick claims I think that a range decrease of 0.1% is a good idea, however if the price appreciates at the rate it has during the next few rounds keeping 0.25% would work as old miners are likely to return to operation and the old miners becoming operational again increases the  variances if these prices remain and sustain themselves for a while.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 09:21:07 AM
pace has picked up we have made 782 blocks should be at 725

I clock us at +7.86%

the 5.85% below is very likely too low

I forget what block picks are no longer accepted but seeing how it hit $500 dollars on a Canadian exchange (cavirtex) which is halfway to 1k and keeps appreciating at a rapid pace i'll keeps lurking waiting for a high pick.

In regards to pick claims I think that a range decrease of 0.1% is a good idea, however if the price appreciates at the rate it has during the next few rounds keeping 0.25% would work as old miners are likely to return to operation and the old miners becoming operational again increases the  variances if these prices remain and sustain themselves for a while.

we stop at 1000 so we have about  180 to go then picks will close


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 03, 2015, 09:25:28 AM
coins are nuts  coinbase is pushing 377     we could crack 400 overnight

Crazy coinbase is setting at a pretty solid 379.64 right now.  So lookss like we are trying to break 380 wall.... who would have guessed this.

I love being wrong on speculation when it turns into something good.  Fun surprise to hit this on coinbase.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 01:41:35 PM
coins are nuts  coinbase is pushing 377     we could crack 400 overnight

Crazy coinbase is setting at a pretty solid 379.64 right now.  So lookss like we are trying to break 380 wall.... who would have guessed this.

I love being wrong on speculation when it turns into something good.  Fun surprise to hit this on coinbase.
we are over 390!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 03, 2015, 01:55:35 PM
coins are nuts  coinbase is pushing 377     we could crack 400 overnight

Crazy coinbase is setting at a pretty solid 379.64 right now.  So lookss like we are trying to break 380 wall.... who would have guessed this.

I love being wrong on speculation when it turns into something good.  Fun surprise to hit this on coinbase.
we are over 390!

I should have a stock ticker on my wall to watch this.  It's a lot of fun watching it move up.  I realy want to cross 400.

It seems like we just might be able to do it toay.... I hope at least.  Good time to be a Bitcoin miner, or even a holder who held from 230.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 01:58:36 PM
coins are nuts  coinbase is pushing 377     we could crack 400 overnight

Crazy coinbase is setting at a pretty solid 379.64 right now.  So lookss like we are trying to break 380 wall.... who would have guessed this.

I love being wrong on speculation when it turns into something good.  Fun surprise to hit this on coinbase.
we are over 390!

I should have a stock ticker on my wall to watch this.  It's a lot of fun watching it move up.  I realy want to cross 400.

It seems like we just might be able to do it toay.... I hope at least.  Good time to be a Bitcoin miner, or even a holder who held from 230.

yeah I sold .5 coin today  and shifted more into coinbase in case we go over 400.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: wlefever on November 03, 2015, 02:56:26 PM
All my miners right now feel like Golden Geese. I probably wouldn't sell them at any price.

Maybe $1000 for my Antminer S3+
Making me question selling my last Antminer S3+ for $130 now! Lol :P

Keep on rising BTC!  We will break $400 soon.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 03, 2015, 03:07:51 PM
All my miners right now feel like Golden Geese. I probably wouldn't sell them at any price.

Maybe $1000 for my Antminer S3+
Making me question selling my last Antminer S3+ for $130 now! Lol :P

Keep on rising BTC!  We will break $400 soon.

I sold all four s-3's with psu's yesterday I will ship them on weds.

I still have my 3 s-7's

I am not going to order 1 more s-7

or so I say for now. ::)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: d57heinz on November 03, 2015, 03:24:06 PM
All my miners right now feel like Golden Geese. I probably wouldn't sell them at any price.

Maybe $1000 for my Antminer S3+
Making me question selling my last Antminer S3+ for $130 now! Lol :P

Keep on rising BTC!  We will break $400 soon.

i was reluctant to sell any of my hardware.. i have 60 ths sha sittin in corner.. 20 a1   14 lketc..  37 s3's and so on .. If it goes up much more it will have been a wise choice(today im firing up the s3's). Other wise ill just part them out.. They are worth a bit still even if btc were to tank with all the good salvalgeable parts.. psu ras pi etc.  Happy time to be a miner :D

https://i.imgur.com/XSwnTjY.jpg  anyone need some heat for this winter near midwest im sure i can help ya out  ;D

Best Regards d57heinz


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 03, 2015, 04:23:25 PM
All my miners right now feel like Golden Geese. I probably wouldn't sell them at any price.

Maybe $1000 for my Antminer S3+
Making me question selling my last Antminer S3+ for $130 now! Lol :P

Keep on rising BTC!  We will break $400 soon.

i was reluctant to sell any of my hardware.. i have 60 ths sha sittin in corner.. 20 a1   14 lketc..  37 s3's and so on .. If it goes up much more it will have been a wise choice(today im firing up the s3's). Other wise ill just part them out.. They are worth a bit still even if btc were to tank with all the good salvalgeable parts.. psu ras pi etc.  Happy time to be a miner :D

https://i.imgur.com/XSwnTjY.jpg  anyone need some heat for this winter near midwest im sure i can help ya out  ;D

Best Regards d57heinz

Very impressive on amount of miners you have. Thanks for sharing the pictures.

Do you have a picture of what your data center is like? That is a lot of watts of gear.   If you don't use I would for sure try to part out with price high.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: d57heinz on November 03, 2015, 04:43:09 PM
All my miners right now feel like Golden Geese. I probably wouldn't sell them at any price.

Maybe $1000 for my Antminer S3+
Making me question selling my last Antminer S3+ for $130 now! Lol :P

Keep on rising BTC!  We will break $400 soon.

i was reluctant to sell any of my hardware.. i have 60 ths sha sittin in corner.. 20 a1   14 lketc..  37 s3's and so on .. If it goes up much more it will have been a wise choice(today im firing up the s3's). Other wise ill just part them out.. They are worth a bit still even if btc were to tank with all the good salvalgeable parts.. psu ras pi etc.  Happy time to be a miner :D

http://  anyone need some heat for this winter near midwest im sure i can help ya out  ;D

Best Regards d57heinz

Very impressive on amount of miners you have. Thanks for sharing the pictures.

Do you have a picture of what your data center is like? That is a lot of watts of gear.   If you don't use I would for sure try to part out with price high.

Yea will do .  ill post them in the miner porn thread.  Will be a little be later this evening tho ive just loaded the truck up with the s3 and going to take a stab at getting them all online by days end. Hoping to catch slush luck streak.. been a ruff few days there.  but it always turns around:)  


edit  you can see a glimpse of it on my avatar  but thats not hardly all of it :)

Best Regards
d57heinz


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 03, 2015, 05:37:07 PM
According to Blockchain today is 11% day so far.

161 blocks


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Questor on November 03, 2015, 05:55:22 PM
BTC @ 414 USD

THIS is why I never turned off my S3's even when they were just making pennies a day, those pennies just behaved like bunnies.  ;)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 03, 2015, 10:13:29 PM
BTC @ 414 USD

THIS is why I never turned off my S3's even when they were just making pennies a day, those pennies just behaved like bunnies.  ;)

Looks like some sold were a ta under 400. But we hit a high of around 416.62 today.  So will be interesting where we end up in a few hours.

I just want over 400 and I'm happy :) for the moment. 230 to 400 is a huge jump is a pretty small period of time.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: VirosaGITS on November 03, 2015, 10:40:37 PM
BTC @ 414 USD

THIS is why I never turned off my S3's even when they were just making pennies a day, those pennies just behaved like bunnies.  ;)

Looks like some sold were a ta under 400. But we hit a high of around 416.62 today.  So will be interesting where we end up in a few hours.

I just want over 400 and I'm happy :) for the moment. 230 to 400 is a huge jump is a pretty small period of time.

With 370-420~ right now, even my S1 are good income and seeing how hard it is to get any more miner currently, i'm pretty happy i got them. I'm just worried at what will happen to the difficulty, if we're looking at a series of +5-7% for a few retarget, this double return from miner won't last very long.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: EternalWingsofGod on November 03, 2015, 11:31:35 PM


we stop at 1000 so we have about  180 to go then picks will close

Thanks so roughly one more day to get in that said I'll take +9.01 to 9.25% and just smile as I watch the price hit $400 USD on coindesk
Looking back at the rounds so far we are at set to see the highest increase already at 6% so +-3 still seems like a possible hit :).

Bitcoin Difficulty: 62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty: 65,847,466,427 (+5.77%) 
Adjust time: After 1115 Blocks, About 7.3 days 

Oct 29 2015 62,253,982,450 2.25% 445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015 60,883,825,480 0.12% 435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015 59,335,351,234 4.17% 424,738,988 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on November 04, 2015, 12:38:00 AM
THIS is why I never turned off my S3's even when they were just making pennies a day, those pennies just behaved like bunnies.  ;)

I'm going to be turning mine back on early at this point and hoping for a quick solo lottery ticket.  Ride this wave while we can, who knows what the price will do tomorrow...


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 01:10:11 AM
THIS is why I never turned off my S3's even when they were just making pennies a day, those pennies just behaved like bunnies.  ;)

I'm going to be turning mine back on early at this point and hoping for a quick solo lottery ticket.  Ride this wave while we can, who knows what the price will do tomorrow...

I sold 9 coins from 300 to 416.

I was starting to feel maybe I should have waited a bit and then boom I hit a block on a 3 way spilt.  A return of 8.4 coins

 I find it hard to believe I could get this lucky.  I was reading ck's pool on how a guy got fucked due to a 3 signature bitcoin address.  I told the guy I feel for your loss I will play 1oth in for you and me  for a day and split if it hits.
a third guy said Phil what you did was cool I will add 7th for 3 days if it hits we can split 3 ways.

My day runs out his 7th is still running  and boom block time.  he used my btc addy to combine and we are to  split 25 coins.  What a fucking day !  It is all in ck's pool thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12841584#msg12841584
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12844248#msg12844248
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12845331#msg12845331
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12850655#msg12850655
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12851233#msg12851233
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12852169#msg12852169
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12852524#msg12852524
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12853248#msg12853248
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12854768#msg12854768
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12854797#msg12854797
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12854823#msg12854823
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12872510#msg12872510



you can not make this up.  it is amazing and makes up for my Mets losing to KC. Also allow me to under clock the s-7s as roi is no longer an issue.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 04, 2015, 01:21:06 AM
415 @ coinbase so sitting very nice.   Hopefully we go even higher.

Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    66,570,092,486 (+6.93%)
Adjust time:    After 1096 Blocks, About 7.1 days
Hashrate(?):    486,390,713 GH/s

The difficulty change might hurt but the value going up takes care of it.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 04, 2015, 02:34:29 AM
I was starting to feel maybe I should have waited a bit and then boom I hit a block on a 3 way spilt.  A return of 8.4 coins

Wow. Ever thought of trying your luck in a casino? Well don't, you've used it all up  ;D

Congratulations!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 02:50:13 AM
I was starting to feel maybe I should have waited a bit and then boom I hit a block on a 3 way spilt.  A return of 8.4 coins

Wow. Ever thought of trying your luck in a casino? Well don't, you've used it all up  ;D

Congratulations!

Every once in a while good happens.


https://blockchain.info/blocks/1446518654401

yesterday/today

381930 (Main Chain)   2015-11-03 23:59:37
381776 (Main Chain)   2015-11-03 00:10:08

155 blocks vs 144 or +11

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,448,489,466 (+6.74%)
Adjust time:   After 1089 Blocks, About 7.1 days
Hashrate(?):   482,949,775 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 28.0 minutes
6 blocks: 56.0 minutes
Updated:   21:45 (1.7 minutes ago)

I have us over 7 close to 8%

price = 429 at coinbase

if we go to 462  the sept 4 to nov 4 will be 231 to 462   that is 100%

diff will be about 20% in the same time frame

these are heady numbers.

we are at block 927  so we have 73 blocks left to make a pick.




Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 03:30:14 AM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


So there are about 71 blocks to block 1000

and we are at 433 usd a coin.

diff is near 7-8%

and we have slot left that could hit.

So to those that have waited good luck with a late  pick under the wire.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: edonkey on November 04, 2015, 03:45:21 AM
Wow Phil!
 
I saw the notification email come through, but had no idea it was yours till now.

Congratulations! Well deserved!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 04, 2015, 03:58:59 AM
Wow Phil!
 
I saw the notification email come through, but had no idea it was yours till now.

Congratulations! Well deserved!

Congratz for sure.  And what a good time to get it. On coinbase we are hitting 441 ... this is crazy.

I keep wondering when it will stop going up but it just does not stop.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on November 04, 2015, 04:02:53 AM
THIS is why I never turned off my S3's even when they were just making pennies a day, those pennies just behaved like bunnies.  ;)

I'm going to be turning mine back on early at this point and hoping for a quick solo lottery ticket.  Ride this wave while we can, who knows what the price will do tomorrow...

My day runs out his 7th is still running  and boom block time.  he used my btc addy to combine and we are to  split 25 coins.  What a fucking day !  It is all in ck's pool thread.


you can not make this up.  it is amazing and makes up for my Mets losing to KC. Also allow me to under clock the s-7s as roi is no longer an issue.


That is sweet congrats on your victory Phil
One block in the 2016 that has a great tale behind it ^^.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Biodom on November 04, 2015, 04:47:56 AM
THIS is why I never turned off my S3's even when they were just making pennies a day, those pennies just behaved like bunnies.  ;)

I'm going to be turning mine back on early at this point and hoping for a quick solo lottery ticket.  Ride this wave while we can, who knows what the price will do tomorrow...

I sold 9 coins from 300 to 416.

I was starting to feel maybe I should have waited a bit and then boom I hit a block on a 3 way spilt.  A return of 8.4 coins

 I find it hard to believe I could get this lucky.  I was reading ck's pool on how a guy got fucked due to a 3 signature bitcoin address.  I told the guy I feel for your loss I will play 1oth in for you and me  for a day and split if it hits.
a third guy said Phil what you did was cool I will add 7th for 3 days if it hits we can split 3 ways.

My day runs out his 7th is still running  and boom block time.  he used my btc addy to combine and we are to  split 25 coins.  What a fucking day !  It is all in ck's pool thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12841584#msg12841584
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12844248#msg12844248
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12845331#msg12845331
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12850655#msg12850655
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12851233#msg12851233
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12852169#msg12852169
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12852524#msg12852524
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12853248#msg12853248
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12854768#msg12854768
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12854797#msg12854797
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12854823#msg12854823
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763510.msg12872510#msg12872510



you can not make this up.  it is amazing and makes up for my Mets losing to KC. Also allow me to under clock the s-7s as roi is no longer an issue.


it is a very well deserved luck, congrats.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on November 04, 2015, 06:00:35 AM
Cogratz on hitting it!!!! ;)  :D ;D

on the other side: if we go up a bit more +15% incoming!!! :-[


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: alh on November 04, 2015, 06:26:40 AM
If I am not too late:

+7.76% to +8.00% alh


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 04, 2015, 07:04:37 AM
If I am not too late:

+7.76% to +8.00% alh


You are probably going to win.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on November 04, 2015, 07:10:23 AM
If I am not too late:

+7.76% to +8.00% alh


You are probably going to win.

To be honest were past $440 I have to keep mentioning the price because everytime I say it, the next day it's already historical
This round is already touching 7% now so I'm actually thinking there is really a chance a carry over may happen if it hits 10.01 % or one of the unclaimed under 10% areas :)
(62 Blocks left for picks)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,592,404,395 (+6.97%)
Adjust time:   After 1062 Blocks, About 6.9 days
Hashrate(?):   476,210,235 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.8 minutes



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 04, 2015, 11:08:10 AM
if we go to 462  the sept 4 to nov 4 will be 231 to 462   that is 100%

Coinbase currently at: 465.69!  This means we went up 100 percent.

Amazing jump up in price.   We might even see some more today.... so over 100 percent from 230 days.  Pretty crazy thinking about it all.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 11:21:16 AM


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% alh
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


So there are about 71 blocks to block 1000

and we are at 433 usd a coin.

diff is near 7-8%

and we have slot left that could hit.

So to those that have waited good luck with a late  pick under the wire.



we are closed alh has last pick

I sold 2.13 coins for 1000 this morning

Truely  a solid runup.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,689,576,194 (+7.12%)
Adjust time:   After 1037 Blocks, About 6.7 days
Hashrate(?):   479,236,560 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.6 minutes
Updated:   6:15 (4.0 minutes ago)


I can see 2 or 3  7% or more adjustments, coins have risen 100% since sept 4 and for the 5 or 6 days the diff has risen only 16%

this is money for miners.

Next step is 500 usd!!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: RichBC on November 04, 2015, 11:31:13 AM
Wow I was going to post Yesterday that we had just broken through £250... We have just broken through £300. Seems like it's rising much to fast there will have to be a big correction at some point.

All undervolting work is on hold & the S3's are back on stream and making good money. :)

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 11:50:36 AM
Wow I was going to post Yesterday that we had just broken through £250... We have just broken through £300. Seems like it's rising much to fast there will have to be a big correction at some point.

All undervolting work is on hold & the S3's are back on stream and making good money. :)

Rich

Sept- Oct - Nov 2013 :

 a low of 90 usd  after the silk road bust  to a high of 1150 usd


we were at 231usd on sept 4  2015


so 2951 usd  would not be impossible it would equal the 12x-13x that happened then.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on November 04, 2015, 11:57:36 AM
Wow I was going to post Yesterday that we had just broken through £250... We have just broken through £300. Seems like it's rising much to fast there will have to be a big correction at some point.

All undervolting work is on hold & the S3's are back on stream and making good money. :)

Rich

Sept- Oct - Nov 2013 :

 a low of 90 usd  after the silk road bust  to a high of 1150 usd


we were at 231usd on sept 4  2015


so 2951 usd  would not be impossible it would equal the 12x-13x that happened then.



If that happens I'll be pretty happy myself as I have a betmoose bet I can close and get 1 BTC worth of revenue from if it hits $1600 by Christmas
That said looking at this pattern wise it would seem to be accurate to calculate this round around 2951 USD with the collapse price being 1/5th of the peak, were rising up like 2011 and 2013 and we broke through Barrier range 3 just now that's the resistance wall to $700 USD so in my opinion we are not stopping anytime soon (admits to loading money into exchanges), miners just need to find blocks and people will buy em.
That said because I am keeping consistent $464.64 USD on Coindesk as of this post difficulty estimate still at 7% no adjustment to mining tonight.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 12:06:39 PM
my bad I did wrong math

we have 15 more blocks to go on the picks!!






-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% alh
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


we are at 1031 when we get to 1016 blocks we close

so grab one of the high numbers left!

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,588,804,256 (+6.96%)
Adjust time:   After 1031 Blocks, About 6.7 days
Hashrate(?):   478,572,810 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.7 minutes
Updated:   7:5 (4.8 minutes ago)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on November 04, 2015, 12:11:18 PM
my bad I did wrong math

we have 15 more blocks to go on the picks!!

Your right its on #Block 382009 there are only 15 blocks left to go although I don't blame you for the confusion Bitcoin difficulty has it off it says there are 31 blocks left to 1000


Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,588,804,256 (+6.96%)
Adjust time:   After 1031 Blocks, About 6.7 days


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 12:55:26 PM
11 blocks left before we close.

there are some good numbers left.


+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% alh
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee





2 in the 8 area

2 in the 9 area

and over 10% has complete choice


with coins over 475 usd  ---------------   make  it 491 for coins!!!!

an 8, 9, 10 even an 11 are possible


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Lboss on November 04, 2015, 01:17:11 PM
I like to guess at last minute  :D. Can you reserve  from +8.76% to +9.00% for me , please?


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: valkir on November 04, 2015, 01:36:57 PM
+8.51% to +8.75% Valkir

 :P


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Ankara on November 04, 2015, 02:14:16 PM
+9.26% to +9.50% Ankara

Please.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 02:30:16 PM
my bad I did wrong math

we have 15 more blocks to go on the picks!!






-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% alh
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1
+8.51% to +8.75% Valkir
+8.76% to +9.00% Lboss
+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod
+9.26% to +9.50% Ankara
+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee


we are at 1020 when we get to 1016 blocks we close

so grab one of the high numbers left!

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,550,851,481 (+6.90%)
Adjust time:   After 1019 Blocks, About 6.6 days
Hashrate(?):   475,033,487 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.8 minutes
   







Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 02:33:45 PM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66

we have made 997 blocks we should have 931 we are at +7.09%

we close in 3 blocks


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   is (+6.90%)


coinbase got to $499.85    but has dropped to $490.00

still really good.

 If we stay over 462 usd   it is 2x sept 4 price

sept 4 diff was 56.9 billion   2x that is 113.8 billion

considering we are at 62.5 billion  we may see many big diff moves before we reach the same

 sept 4 diff to sept 4 price  ratio


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 04, 2015, 02:44:29 PM
The difficult can't take huge jumps like that without hardware being actually built first.

For the hashrate to double will take at least 3 months to 6 months.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 04, 2015, 02:50:38 PM
The difficult can't take huge jumps like that without hardware being actually built first.

For the hashrate to double will take at least 3 months to 6 months.

It seems to be making a 7% jump with all the ancient hardware being plugged back in. I kind of expected there would be more of those but probably...

1) large farms that have cheap power were using the 1W+ hardware even at $230 so no change here
2) large farms that didn't have cheap power already scrapped the 1W+ and don't have anything to plug back in so no change here

Time to get rid of my remaining Neptune cubes I think.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: tlhIlwI on November 04, 2015, 03:57:03 PM
+10.01 to 10.25 please


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 04:14:37 PM
my bad I did wrong math

we have 15 more blocks to go on the picks!!






-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% alh
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1
+8.51% to +8.75% Valkir
+8.76% to +9.00% Lboss
+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod
+9.26% to +9.50% Ankara
+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

+10.01% to 10.25% tlhIlwI

we are at 1020 when we get to 1016 blocks we close

so grab one of the high numbers left!

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,550,851,481 (+6.90%)
Adjust time:   After 1019 Blocks, About 6.6 days
Hashrate(?):   475,033,487 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.8 minutes
   







closed


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on November 04, 2015, 09:27:24 PM
If I am not too late:

+7.76% to +8.00% alh


I made that pick 3 days ago, page 6 of this thread:
+7.76% to +8.00% Mikestang



Some reason it never made it to the list.  Not sure what you can do for alh at this point.  If I win I'll give him a tip I guess.
Phil, please fix, thanks!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on November 04, 2015, 09:52:27 PM
All picks taken from 0.76% to 10.25% with 3 others in the negatives
Time for a forum participation medal  ;D

The difficult can't take huge jumps like that without hardware being actually built first.

For the hashrate to double will take at least 3 months to 6 months.

It seems to be making a 7% jump with all the ancient hardware being plugged back in. I kind of expected there would be more of those but probably...

1) large farms that have cheap power were using the 1W+ hardware even at $230 so no change here
2) large farms that didn't have cheap power already scrapped the 1W+ and don't have anything to plug back in so no change here


I was expecting more old mining hardware to chip in myself but your right mining farms likely kept them offline put them in storage or just plain got rid of them for scrap.
That said I'm sure some hash will start entering into the ring sooner than later as people unpack and re-configure into pools.
(Like Phillips 1 sidehack compac stick which could be mining for all I know ^_^)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: VirosaGITS on November 04, 2015, 10:17:40 PM
All picks taken from 0.76% to 10.25% with 3 others in the negatives
Time for a forum participation medal  ;D

The difficult can't take huge jumps like that without hardware being actually built first.

For the hashrate to double will take at least 3 months to 6 months.

It seems to be making a 7% jump with all the ancient hardware being plugged back in. I kind of expected there would be more of those but probably...

1) large farms that have cheap power were using the 1W+ hardware even at $230 so no change here
2) large farms that didn't have cheap power already scrapped the 1W+ and don't have anything to plug back in so no change here


I was expecting more old mining hardware to chip in myself but your right mining farms likely kept them offline put them in storage or just plain got rid of them for scrap.
That said I'm sure some hash will start entering into the ring sooner than later as people unpack and re-configure into pools.
(Like Phillips 1 sidehack compac stick which could be mining for all I know ^_^)

Kind of sound like people are just selling all of their older hardware now, insane how even S3's are being grabbed at the prices i was getting S5 last month.

A thing we might see is less miners being sold by manufacturers, they might mine with it for now. I'm guessing they will be more inclined to just sell what they need, a small amount to pay then what they need to move.

Even Bitmain only sold "limited amount" (their words) for B4 and B5 S7.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 10:26:05 PM
If I am not too late:

+7.76% to +8.00% alh


I made that pick 3 days ago, page 6 of this thread:
+7.76% to +8.00% Mikestang



Some reason it never made it to the list.  Not sure what you can do for alh at this point.  If I win I'll give him a tip I guess.
Phil, please fix, thanks!

my error.  if you win I will pay you and suchmoon will pay alh


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Lituation on November 04, 2015, 10:30:26 PM
my error.  if you win I will pay you and suchmoon will pay alh

That's very classy move. :)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 04, 2015, 10:44:08 PM
Talk about dissapointing the surge has turned the other way.  Seems a lot are selling at the moment. 

Hopefully we build on it and are more stable next surge.  Current 391 on coinbase


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on November 04, 2015, 11:02:45 PM
my error.  if you win I will pay you and suchmoon will pay alh

Thanks, Phil, but now I will feel bad if I win.  :'(

Well maybe not too bad, seeing as you split that block solve 3-ways and have a bit of pocket change right now, lol.


Price certainly took a big dive this afternoon/evening as people cash in on the >$460 price.  I see $394 right now, hopefully ~$400 will be the new norm and we can build from there.  There's going to be a lot of disappointed people if we fall all the way back to the mid-200s.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 04, 2015, 11:25:24 PM
my error.  if you win I will pay you and suchmoon will pay alh

Thanks, Phil, but now I will feel bad if I win.  :'(

Well maybe not too bad, seeing as you split that block solve 3-ways and have a bit of pocket change right now, lol.


Price certainly took a big dive this afternoon/evening as people cash in on the >$460 price.  I see $394 right now, hopefully ~$400 will be the new norm and we can build from there.  There's going to be a lot of disappointed people if we fall all the way back to the mid-200s.

yeah and I figure it  is more good karma so why not?

And since I sold almost every coin the drop is not so bad for me.

my 3 s-7's are paid off
and I have 600 profit

plus I still have 4 coins. (1600)

A very nice 2 or 3 days for me.

I have been waiting for a run-up.  I got  this one very nice.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are open!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: alh on November 04, 2015, 11:58:02 PM
my error.  if you win I will pay you and suchmoon will pay alh

Thanks, Phil, but now I will feel bad if I win.  :'(

Well maybe not too bad, seeing as you split that block solve 3-ways and have a bit of pocket change right now, lol.


Price certainly took a big dive this afternoon/evening as people cash in on the >$460 price.  I see $394 right now, hopefully ~$400 will be the new norm and we can build from there.  There's going to be a lot of disappointed people if we fall all the way back to the mid-200s.

Don't feel bad yet, you/I/we haven't won yet. It's all moot until then.  :)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 05, 2015, 04:17:35 AM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79

we have made 1083 blocks we should have 1004  we are at +7.87%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,888,898,682 (+7.45%)
Adjust time:   After 933 Blocks, About 6.0 days
Hashrate(?):   474,147,645 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.7 minutes
6 blocks: 55.4 minutes


7.87% vs 7.45%

pretty close 

price at coinbase just past 500 today now it is 425

with 6 days to go it remains to be seen which way we move price wise.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ezeminer on November 05, 2015, 05:58:54 AM

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79

we have made 1083 blocks we should have 1004  we are at +7.87%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,888,898,682 (+7.45%)
Adjust time:   After 933 Blocks, About 6.0 days
Hashrate(?):   474,147,645 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.7 minutes
6 blocks: 55.4 minutes


7.87% vs 7.45%

pretty close  

price at coinbase just past 500 today now it is 425

with 6 days to go it remains to be seen which way we move price wise.


I think the slow return to the sub 300s will occur.

But bitcoin is being crazy and will continue being crazy. Like my friend told me, the bitcoin rollercoaster is a fun experience.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Questor on November 05, 2015, 09:37:55 AM
Just catching up on the thread, and looking at the total network hashrate dropping currently, certainly an interesting ride!

philipma1957 - congrats on the block, well deserved for all your contributions to the community!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: EternalWingsofGod on November 05, 2015, 11:46:16 AM
Price is consolidating and stabalizing for a bit or at the very least it stopped the exponential run for a few hours
It looks like mining difficulty did the same and tapered off for a while.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty: 66,406,112,498 (+6.67%) 
Adjust time: After 888 Blocks, About 5.8 days 


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 05, 2015, 12:17:01 PM
Price is consolidating and stabalizing for a bit or at the very least it stopped the exponential run for a few hours
It looks like mining difficulty did the same and tapered off for a while.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty: 66,406,112,498 (+6.67%) 
Adjust time: After 888 Blocks, About 5.8 days 


well it was under 400 around 387 so this may hold the diff under 7%.

works for me.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Mikestang on November 05, 2015, 07:50:57 PM
It's back over $400 again and rising.  I really think (hope) that 400 is the new floor.  We should see some significant network growth if that is the case, but not just attributed to price - cooler north hemisphere temps are certainly contributing to the increase in network hash.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 05, 2015, 09:24:56 PM
It's back over $400 again and rising.  I really think (hope) that 400 is the new floor.  We should see some significant network growth if that is the case, but not just attributed to price - cooler north hemisphere temps are certainly contributing to the increase in network hash.

We just need a steady slow rise now.  To go from 230 to 400 as floor is pretty nice.   I think the slow rise will help build some walls.

When we hit 500 so many auto-sales, and people  selling just was not enough buy walls to support it.  It's still a great increase overall though.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 05, 2015, 09:47:46 PM
It's back over $400 again and rising.  I really think (hope) that 400 is the new floor.  We should see some significant network growth if that is the case, but not just attributed to price - cooler north hemisphere temps are certainly contributing to the increase in network hash.

We just need a steady slow rise now.  To go from 230 to 400 as floor is pretty nice.   I think the slow rise will help build some walls.

When we hit 500 so many auto-sales, and people  selling just was not enough buy walls to support it.  It's still a great increase overall though.

400 as a new floor works for me big time.

sep 4 price to current price

231 to 400 = 1.73 ratio

sep 4 diff to current diff

56.9 bill to 62.2 bill = 1.09 ratio

sept 4 diff to next diff

56.9 bill to 66.5 bill = 1.16 ratio


Have to see if all asic builders try to sell tons of gear.  then price war.  last year sp20 vs s-5  in the price war dragged btc under 200


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 06, 2015, 04:13:59 AM


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81

we have made 1235 blocks we should have 1154  we are at +7.01%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   66,435,075,608 (+6.72%)
Adjust time:   After 781 Blocks, About 5.1 days
Hashrate(?):   472,636,011 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 28.1 minutes
6 blocks: 56.1 minutes


7.01% vs 6.72%

pretty close  

price at coinbase just past 500  now it is 357

with 5 days to go it remains to be seen which way we move price wise. will we just drop right back down to under 300.

Well I sold off enough coins to not have to worry about a price drop. I sold about 15 coins for about 6k or a 400 usd average .

paid off the s-7's . I will just take it in a day at a time for now.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 06, 2015, 05:35:52 PM
Bitwisdom seems to be going down:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,381,008,169 (+5.02%)
Adjust time:    After 710 Blocks, About 4.7 days
Hashrate(?):    457,239,254 GH/s

Price around 394 so still pretty good.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 06, 2015, 09:16:25 PM
Bitwisdom seems to be going down:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,381,008,169 (+5.02%)
Adjust time:    After 710 Blocks, About 4.7 days
Hashrate(?):    457,239,254 GH/s

Price around 394 so still pretty good.

if we close at +5%  say 65.3 billion and coins are at 394  it would be a  huge adjustment  score for a miner.

we came in on the 29th at 62.2 bill  

we came in on coinbase at 310 usd 

So it would  be:

+5%   for diff
+27% for price



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 07, 2015, 01:16:11 AM
Bitwisdom seems to be going down:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,381,008,169 (+5.02%)
Adjust time:    After 710 Blocks, About 4.7 days
Hashrate(?):    457,239,254 GH/s

Price around 394 so still pretty good.

if we close at +5%  say 65.3 billion and coins are at 394  it would be a  huge adjustment  score for a miner.

we came in on the 29th at 62.2 bill  

we came in on coinbase at 310 usd 

So it would  be:

+5%   for diff
+27% for price



I would agree miners had a great week if it ends up like this.   Seems like 380+ is the base right now, still can't make it over 400 long term but hopefully it will come later.

And near 5 is not bad considering I thought it was looking much worse at beginning of week.   So guess we  will see.  Avalon should be shipping anytime then we have 2 companies shipping which is a little more intersting, and could cause higher difficulty changes.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 07, 2015, 03:50:36 AM



http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        -79---------------yeah!!

we have made 1376 blocks we should have 1297  we are at +6.09%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,791,648,939 (+5.68%)
Adjust time:   After 640 Blocks, About 4.2 days
Hashrate(?):   460,423,064 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes

so I have us at 6.09%  bitcoinwisdom has 5.68%

coinbase is 376 usd    this is a 21.2% jump  since last adjustment

so the two are getting closer to each other.





Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 07, 2015, 04:47:55 AM



http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        -79---------------yeah!!

we have made 1376 blocks we should have 1297  we are at +6.09%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,791,648,939 (+5.68%)
Adjust time:   After 640 Blocks, About 4.2 days
Hashrate(?):   460,423,064 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes

so I have us at 6.09%  bitcoinwisdom has 5.68%

coinbase is 376 usd    this is a 21.2% jump  since last adjustment

so the two are getting closer to each other.





WOW. Can't believe it was -2. Hopefully isnt' variance and stays this low.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 07, 2015, 09:24:30 AM



http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        -79---------------yeah!!

we have made 1376 blocks we should have 1297  we are at +6.09%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,791,648,939 (+5.68%)
Adjust time:   After 640 Blocks, About 4.2 days
Hashrate(?):   460,423,064 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes

so I have us at 6.09%  bitcoinwisdom has 5.68%

coinbase is 376 usd    this is a 21.2% jump  since last adjustment

so the two are getting closer to each other.





WOW. Can't believe it was -2. Hopefully isnt' variance and stays this low.

Think they are shipping out Avalon 6's?  That is only thing I can think of on negative is if those are being shipped from a burn in data center to customers.

I was not expecting any day to see a negative to that is very surprising.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 08, 2015, 01:46:52 AM



http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        -79---------------yeah!!

we have made 1376 blocks we should have 1297  we are at +6.09%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,791,648,939 (+5.68%)
Adjust time:   After 640 Blocks, About 4.2 days
Hashrate(?):   460,423,064 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes

so I have us at 6.09%  bitcoinwisdom has 5.68%

coinbase is 376 usd    this is a 21.2% jump  since last adjustment

so the two are getting closer to each other.





WOW. Can't believe it was -2. Hopefully isnt' variance and stays this low.

Think they are shipping out Avalon 6's?  That is only thing I can think of on negative is if those are being shipped from a burn in data center to customers.

I was not expecting any day to see a negative to that is very surprising.

  yes I think the avalon's are moving into place lee said his hosting is getting 3ph.

we will likely bump back up today or tomorrow.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 08, 2015, 02:34:20 AM



http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        -79---------------yeah!!

we have made 1376 blocks we should have 1297  we are at +6.09%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,791,648,939 (+5.68%)
Adjust time:   After 640 Blocks, About 4.2 days
Hashrate(?):   460,423,064 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes

so I have us at 6.09%  bitcoinwisdom has 5.68%

coinbase is 376 usd    this is a 21.2% jump  since last adjustment

so the two are getting closer to each other.





WOW. Can't believe it was -2. Hopefully isnt' variance and stays this low.

Think they are shipping out Avalon 6's?  That is only thing I can think of on negative is if those are being shipped from a burn in data center to customers.

I was not expecting any day to see a negative to that is very surprising.

  yes I think the avalon's are moving into place lee said his hosting is getting 3ph.

we will likely bump back up today or tomorrow.

Lee was pretty accurate on S7 new design.  The Avalon 6's I suspect his info to be pretty accurate to.

Price been hanging pretty steady at 280's hopefully we can get into 290 soon.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on November 08, 2015, 03:24:39 AM
meh on avalon 6(price....)!

also kano's pool got 600th from canaan.....


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 08, 2015, 03:38:27 AM



http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        +79---------------yeah!!
11-07-2015     153 blocks  +9        +88---------------boo!!
               
we have made 1531 blocks we should have 1443  we are at +6.098%







Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 09, 2015, 01:45:47 AM
We had a slow Sunday

382667 (Main Chain)   2015-11-08 23:43:26

382529 (Main Chain)   2015-11-08 00:19:47


139 blocks  which is -5 

price dropped to 362 at coinbase


  so we are 310 to 362 =  16.77% price jump

while diff = +4%  according to  the site below

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


we made 1650 blocks so far and have 366 to go



well 4%  diff jump  vs 16.77% price jump

 is a pro miner set of numbers  but no where near as good as it was a few days ago.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on November 09, 2015, 06:56:55 AM
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,949,685,739 (+4.33%)
Adjust time:    After 333 Blocks, About 2.2 days
Hashrate(?):    450,468,237 GH/s

under 5% is perfect for me!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: RichBC on November 09, 2015, 08:42:31 AM
Exciting Week for people like me who are new to Bitcoin, unfortunately this time there was no way I could get any short term benefit from the meteoric rise. Will be interesting to see where we end up in this difficulty period?  Let's hope we remain net miner positive, a few more periods like this would be a nice Xmas present.

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 09, 2015, 08:59:08 AM
Exciting Week for people like me who are new to Bitcoin, unfortunately this time there was no way I could get any short term benefit from the meteoric rise. Will be interesting to see where we end up in this difficulty period?  Let's hope we remain net miner positive, a few more periods like this would be a nice Xmas present.

Rich

You should deposit your coins to Bitfinex and sell the coins short while you mine them. Protects further profits from mining. They offer 3x the leverage.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 09, 2015, 06:55:50 PM
Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,955,558,706 (+4.34%)
Adjust time:    After 257 Blocks, About 1.7 days
Hashrate(?):    458,396,432 GH/s

Coinbase: 378.99

I still think it will be interesting on how much it goes up as Avalons ship out.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 09, 2015, 07:22:12 PM


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        +79---------------yeah!!
11-07-2015     153 blocks  +9        +88---------------boo!!
11-08-2015     143 blocks   -1        +87 blocks

we have 1759 blocks made should be 1672 this as about +5.20 %  I have us quite a bit higher the bitcoinwisedom does

we are at 381 usd on coinbase which is decent.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+4.34%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   64,955,558,706 (+4.34%)
Adjust time:   After 257 Blocks, About 1.7 days
Hashrate(?):   458,396,432 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes
Updated:   14:10 (14.8 minutes ago)

we are also plus 5 for today with 4 ½ hours to go  which is about 5%


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 10, 2015, 04:06:48 AM

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        +79---------------yeah!!
11-07-2015     153 blocks  +9        +88---------------boo!!
11-08-2015     143 blocks   -1        +87 blocks
11-09-2015     148 blocks   +5        +92


1817 blocks made should be  1725  I get 5.33%   I am a lot higher then bitcoinwisdom


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+4.02%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   64,757,448,908 (+4.02%)
Adjust time:   After 199 Blocks, About 1.3 days
Hashrate(?):   459,305,735 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.4 minutes


with 199 blocks  to go  maybe late weds

say 4 to 6% diff jump

coinbase is 375 usd   that is 15%



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on November 10, 2015, 06:42:18 AM
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,577,993,098 (+3.73%)
Adjust time:    After 184 Blocks, About 1.2 days
Hashrate(?):    458,363,689 GH/s

under 4% again!

me happy

so wazap with the new bitfury asic? knc? bw?  ::)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ingiltere on November 10, 2015, 02:51:24 PM
It's over %4 again but BTC price is in downtrend. Last 2 days will be exciting, my choice is +3.76 - 4.00. It's hard to say something 2 days before but I hope it'll go sideways and finish in my range.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 10, 2015, 04:21:10 PM
I am still getting over 5% on my numbers but

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty           is at (+4.32%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   64,943,817,693 (+4.32%)
Adjust time:   After 124 Blocks, About 20.2 hours
Hashrate(?):   451,547,473 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.5 minutes


The winner  looks to be in the blue slots



-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB


+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor



+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% alh
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1
+8.51% to +8.75% Valkir
+8.76% to +9.00% Lboss
+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod
+9.26% to +9.50% Ankara
+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

+10.01% to 10.25% tlhIlwI


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 10, 2015, 04:38:55 PM
Going up a little bit:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,938,500,384 (+4.31%)
Adjust time:    After 122 Blocks, About 19.8 hours
Hashrate(?):    450,174,795 GH/s

Today is the 10th so I keep expecting to see a lot of Avalon hash added, but so far not near what I was expecting. I mean Mr. Lee was getting like 3 PH he announced, but I have not heard about sales yet in thread so I'm wondering if they are a little behind on shipping or making.j

Price is still better then the 230 but taking a little bit of a dive to 359.75 on coinbase so around 20 dollars down.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Questor on November 10, 2015, 05:53:14 PM
Going up a little bit:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,938,500,384 (+4.31%)
Adjust time:    After 122 Blocks, About 19.8 hours
Hashrate(?):    450,174,795 GH/s

Today is the 10th so I keep expecting to see a lot of Avalon hash added, but so far not near what I was expecting. I mean Mr. Lee was getting like 3 PH he announced, but I have not heard about sales yet in thread so I'm wondering if they are a little behind on shipping or making.j

Price is still better then the 230 but taking a little bit of a dive to 359.75 on coinbase so around 20 dollars down.

I keep expecting that too, but I'm wondering if like a lot of us, even the big players are maxed or close to maxed on power consumption and have to take some amount of equipment offline to put newer stuff on, so instead of seeing massive spikes, we're seeing a slow crawl with higher efficiency backing it.

It's an interesting ride right now!  I saw an S7 sell on eBay for >$2900 USD!  Crazy pricing ATM.  :o


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 10, 2015, 06:11:28 PM
Going up a little bit:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,938,500,384 (+4.31%)
Adjust time:    After 122 Blocks, About 19.8 hours
Hashrate(?):    450,174,795 GH/s

Today is the 10th so I keep expecting to see a lot of Avalon hash added, but so far not near what I was expecting. I mean Mr. Lee was getting like 3 PH he announced, but I have not heard about sales yet in thread so I'm wondering if they are a little behind on shipping or making.j

Price is still better then the 230 but taking a little bit of a dive to 359.75 on coinbase so around 20 dollars down.

I keep expecting that too, but I'm wondering if like a lot of us, even the big players are maxed or close to maxed on power consumption and have to take some amount of equipment offline to put newer stuff on, so instead of seeing massive spikes, we're seeing a slow crawl with higher efficiency backing it.

It's an interesting ride right now!  I saw an S7 sell on eBay for >$2900 USD!  Crazy pricing ATM.  :o
I would love to get 2900 for one of my s-7's but ebay has so many returns.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 10, 2015, 07:52:54 PM
Going up a little bit:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,938,500,384 (+4.31%)
Adjust time:    After 122 Blocks, About 19.8 hours
Hashrate(?):    450,174,795 GH/s

Today is the 10th so I keep expecting to see a lot of Avalon hash added, but so far not near what I was expecting. I mean Mr. Lee was getting like 3 PH he announced, but I have not heard about sales yet in thread so I'm wondering if they are a little behind on shipping or making.j

Price is still better then the 230 but taking a little bit of a dive to 359.75 on coinbase so around 20 dollars down.

I keep expecting that too, but I'm wondering if like a lot of us, even the big players are maxed or close to maxed on power consumption and have to take some amount of equipment offline to put newer stuff on, so instead of seeing massive spikes, we're seeing a slow crawl with higher efficiency backing it.

It's an interesting ride right now!  I saw an S7 sell on eBay for >$2900 USD!  Crazy pricing ATM.  :o
I would love to get 2900 for one of my s-7's but ebay has so many returns.

Ive actually had really good luck with it.  Very good luck with miners on it compared to forums I normally get more off it.  But I do only sale my old miners on there a new miner I agree is a lot of liability compared to one been used for 6 months.

People tend to pay more when paypal is involved even though it can be a pain.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: VirosaGITS on November 10, 2015, 08:32:45 PM
Going up a little bit:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,938,500,384 (+4.31%)
Adjust time:    After 122 Blocks, About 19.8 hours
Hashrate(?):    450,174,795 GH/s

Today is the 10th so I keep expecting to see a lot of Avalon hash added, but so far not near what I was expecting. I mean Mr. Lee was getting like 3 PH he announced, but I have not heard about sales yet in thread so I'm wondering if they are a little behind on shipping or making.j

Price is still better then the 230 but taking a little bit of a dive to 359.75 on coinbase so around 20 dollars down.

I keep expecting that too, but I'm wondering if like a lot of us, even the big players are maxed or close to maxed on power consumption and have to take some amount of equipment offline to put newer stuff on, so instead of seeing massive spikes, we're seeing a slow crawl with higher efficiency backing it.

It's an interesting ride right now!  I saw an S7 sell on eBay for >$2900 USD!  Crazy pricing ATM.  :o
I would love to get 2900 for one of my s-7's but ebay has so many returns.

Ive actually had really good luck with it.  Very good luck with miners on it compared to forums I normally get more off it.  But I do only sale my old miners on there a new miner I agree is a lot of liability compared to one been used for 6 months.

People tend to pay more when paypal is involved even though it can be a pain.


I really understand the concerns about selling the S7 on ebay. The buyer's protection is easily abusable, even if the item is marked as no returns, if a buyer with ill intents buy the miner, they can buy it, mine with it for a while and then file a item not as described and return the miner to get a refund.

Even though they may simply be a very small vocal minority, its probably a good thing to keep in mind. Not sure if there is a way around that but some users reported this.

Basically without having some sort of "as is" agreement, the seller would take all the risks since the buyer can decide to abuse the system to return the miner if the miner drop in value.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 10, 2015, 08:38:21 PM
I sold thousands of dollars worth of miners on ebay.

but always deeper into the life like 200 usd for an s-3 months after they came out.

selling an s-7 for 2900 sounds good but the buyer may mine for 30 days and they say it broke return it working and basically you the seller are

SOL


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 10, 2015, 09:01:39 PM
I really understand the concerns about selling the S7 on ebay. The buyer's protection is easily abusable, even if the item is marked as no returns, if a buyer with ill intents buy the miner, they can buy it, mine with it for a while and then file a item not as described and return the miner to get a refund.

Even though they may simply be a very small vocal minority, its probably a good thing to keep in mind. Not sure if there is a way around that but some users reported this.

Basically without having some sort of "as is" agreement, the seller would take all the risks since the buyer can decide to abuse the system to return the miner if the miner drop in value.

Actually selling with a reasonable return policy (14 days is minimum, soon to be increased to 30 days) is better than "no returns". Yes, you have the 14 or 30 day risk, but outside of that you have a chance that eBay seller protection will work. With a "no return" policy you are almost guaranteed to lose the dispute if buyer claims "not as described" and I think that goes up to 45 days.

I've had mixed success with eBay, got a few of miners returned but overall I think it's not that bad. Never sold anything above $1000 though.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: notlist3d on November 10, 2015, 09:12:52 PM
I really understand the concerns about selling the S7 on ebay. The buyer's protection is easily abusable, even if the item is marked as no returns, if a buyer with ill intents buy the miner, they can buy it, mine with it for a while and then file a item not as described and return the miner to get a refund.

Even though they may simply be a very small vocal minority, its probably a good thing to keep in mind. Not sure if there is a way around that but some users reported this.

Basically without having some sort of "as is" agreement, the seller would take all the risks since the buyer can decide to abuse the system to return the miner if the miner drop in value.

Actually selling with a reasonable return policy (14 days is minimum, soon to be increased to 30 days) is better than "no returns". Yes, you have the 14 or 30 day risk, but outside of that you have a chance that eBay seller protection will work. With a "no return" policy you are almost guaranteed to lose the dispute if buyer claims "not as described" and I think that goes up to 45 days.

I've had mixed success with eBay, got a few of miners returned but overall I think it's not that bad. Never sold anything above $1000 though.

I think the key is it being older gear the latest and greatest I think a lot of the scammers will want as it's the greatest return for them.  I had really good luck with my A1's and S4's when updating gear and getting rid older generations.   

Granted I took more risk with ebay vs forum sale.  But it ended up successful for me.   The one Dragon 1.5 weighed almost 50 pounds.... that was safest one I ever felt knowing they were not going to ship that beast back.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 10, 2015, 11:10:43 PM
I did have pretty good luck selling most gear but at times 3 or 5 returns out of 10 items.

This is when sticks were a hot seller on ebay.

I must have sold 500 to 800 on ebay. Most people kept them.

I was lucky in that I was selling them into the bull run of fall of 2013.  so people kept them.

I did a 4800 dollar sale on ebay but it was silver  bars purchase at 14 bucks an oz sold at 30 an oz  and that was into the silver bull run up to 49 an oz so that buyer kept them.

Sent them registered mails as it was the only way to insure them.

I think the buyer would have tried to return them if the market crashed.

market is tanking 339 usd a coinbase.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty has diff at (+4.19%)

I have us very close to 5%

we have 82 blocks left figure 5am to 9am on weds the 11th


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 11, 2015, 03:58:04 AM


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015    153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015    167 blocks + 23     so +32 blocks
10-31-2015     149 blocks +5         +37
11-01-2015     150 blocks +6         +43
11-02-2015     158 blocks +14       +57
11-03-2015     153 blocks  +9        +66
11-04-2015     157 blocks  +13      +79
11-05-2015     146 blocks  + 2       +81
11-06-2015     142 blocks  - 2        +79---------------yeah!!
11-07-2015     153 blocks  +9        +88---------------boo!!
11-08-2015     143 blocks   -1        +87 blocks
11-09-2015     148 blocks   +5        +92
11-10-2015     145 blocks   +1        +93

1965 blocks made should be  1872  I get 4.96%   

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (4.75%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,212,115,154 (+4.75%)
Adjust time:   After 51 Blocks, About 8.3 hours
Hashrate(?):   449,505,076 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.5 minutes
Updated:   22:50 (4.8 minutes ago)


price is now at 308  and I purchased a few coins back.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 11, 2015, 05:54:03 AM
Yes its never a good idea to sell any miners on eBay. I remember back in Feb-March 2014, many people were returning GPUs because within a month's period mining became highly unprofitable. Instead of taking a loss, they just said that the item is broken and got a refund.

Now its even worse because to compete with Amazon. eBay returns are shipping free. So if you sell a miner, pay $50 to ship, and they want to return the item, you have to pay the shipping fee back, $50. So you are out shipping both ways.



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 11, 2015, 08:52:37 AM
Damn! Looks like somebody powered up their own farm today. Difficulty is spiking up to new highs.

Less than an hour remaining!



Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: mavericklm on November 11, 2015, 10:26:52 AM
Nov 11 2015    65,848,255,180    5.77%    471,360,171 GH/s

couldn't keep its pants on ;D

better luck next time!!!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: adaseb on November 11, 2015, 10:31:06 AM
Ouch!

F2Pool went from
0.00775529 BTC / Thash/s

to

0.00733197 BTC / Thash/s


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 11, 2015, 12:19:04 PM



The winner  looks to be in the blue slots



-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB


+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss ---------------------------------------------------------- The winner is tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor



+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey
+7.76% to +8.00% alh
+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1
+8.51% to +8.75% Valkir
+8.76% to +9.00% Lboss
+9.01% to +9.25% EternalWingsofGod
+9.26% to +9.50% Ankara
+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

+10.01% to 10.25% tlhIlwI



Difficulty History

Date                    Difficulty           Change   Hash Rate


Nov 11 2015   65,848,255,180   5.77%   471,360,171 GH/s ------------   Congrats to tss




Oct 29 2015   62,253,982,450   2.25%   445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015   60,883,825,480   0.12%   435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com




@tss pm me I need an address to mail a compac stick to you.

also give suchmoon   a btc addy

A roller coaster period    in  which   diff moved hard at 5.77%   coins went from 310 to 318     that is under 3%

new thread to come.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: freedomno1 on November 11, 2015, 12:52:25 PM
Congrats Tss this was an interesting round as there was a lot of variance
Good old Bitcoin prices can be fun  ;)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: LGD2Business on November 11, 2015, 01:02:16 PM
I was so close, I wish I had a consolation prize. :P
Congrats tss.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: dukeneptun on November 11, 2015, 01:18:49 PM
Congratulations to the winner. My pick is way out of range, I didn't expect much increase this time. I guess I'm wrong.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: DanielRo on November 11, 2015, 01:50:57 PM
Congrats Tss.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: HerbPean on November 11, 2015, 03:41:24 PM
Congrats ! :-)


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Biodom on November 11, 2015, 03:47:43 PM
I was so close, I wish I had a consolation prize. :P
Congrats tss.

not as close as me, just 0.02. went to bed at +4.31, woke up, looked at zeroblock that showed 9min block times and thought that I had a chance, but it run just past me, LOL

congrats to tss


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 12, 2015, 12:03:34 AM
reminder to tss 

we need a btc addy  for suchmoon to pay you


I need a mailing address to send the compac stick


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: ingiltere on November 12, 2015, 01:03:33 AM
Congratulations to the winner tss. If you don't live in the US I wouldn't mind having usb stick for you. :D


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Questor on November 12, 2015, 09:46:21 AM
I cannot be happy about larger jumps, but can be happy for tss for the pick on this round!

Cheers!


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: Biodom on November 12, 2015, 04:19:46 PM
reminder to tss 

we need a btc addy  for suchmoon to pay you


I need a mailing address to send the compac stick

did he ever showed up, at least in PM?
maybe because it was so far away the day before?


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: suchmoon on November 12, 2015, 04:58:24 PM
reminder to tss 

we need a btc addy  for suchmoon to pay you


I need a mailing address to send the compac stick

did he ever showed up, at least in PM?
maybe because it was so far away the day before?

tss has not contacted me yet. I hope he/she is ok and just busy IRL.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 12, 2015, 11:00:16 PM
reminder to tss  

we need a btc addy  for suchmoon to pay you


I need a mailing address to send the compac stick

did he ever showed up, at least in PM?
maybe because it was so far away the day before?

tss has not contacted me yet. I hope he/she is ok and just busy IRL.

I think he could be in Turkey.  So I also hope he is okay.

 no that was Lboss    the ss ending played a mindtrick on my memory.


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: tss on November 13, 2015, 08:49:03 PM
hey guys. sorry for late response.  been busy and did not realize i won till just now.  you both have pm's


Title: Re: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward.
Post by: philipma1957 on November 13, 2015, 11:47:11 PM
hey guys. sorry for late response.  been busy and did not realize i won till just now.  you both have pm's

will mail the stick on monday.

 I will close the thread