Bitcoin Forum

Yes or no?

Yes; shouldn't you make this into a Poll?

How do you add a poll?

I think you have to start a "Poll" thread instead of a "Topic" thread. See: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=help;page=post#newpoll

We broke the bear trend long before this. The moment we broke it was the first breakout to 315, after which we dropped back to sub 200 shortly only to start rising again.

I believe that was the first tryout for making a turn the other way, and it sure looks like it has worked!

(All of the following in subjective, informal probability estimate terms)

Yes, we're out of the 2014/(2015) bear market, with rather high probability - though not quite with "near certainty" I believe.

However: significant price drop that'll make some bulls wonder whether we're really out of the bear market is still possible - although right now, it's not the most likely scenario anymore I believe..

Of course we are. The turn was months back.

Yes, even if you have almost no technical skills all you have to do is draw a rough approx trend line down on the weekly chart and you will see we broke out of the down trend ages ago.

Yes, bear market is over.  And the move up the last few weeks has been very bullish.

We are in a bull market for long time. It's not new, we are up-trending since August 2015.
Check this graph time interval 1w: https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitstamp/btcusd

We'd probably experience another bearish period after the holidays, months before the halving. Then another round for the bulls because of the halving. At least, we should expect that.

No,  the bears always hiding around the corner.

On kraken, more than 5000 btc are sell per day ... (in euro only)
You talk about whales , instead ?

I agree with you that we are most probably out of the 18 month bear already. That does not rule out testing of the recent breaks, but the possible correction should not be too deep. For now $350 looks pretty stable, all what is above is still to be proven and tested.