Bitcoin Forum

What do you thing will happen with the price,
after the halving of the Bitcoin Block Reward in 185 days from 3,600 BTC per day to 1,800 BTC per day?

The price must increase massively or not?

Increasing is the logical thing to happen , now ... massively or not ? no one really knows exactly . Everything can happen actually , miners can even stop mining if the price doesn't fit them or don't make much earnings for them .

Most probably the price will go up, just like it did on previous block halving event. Although I don't expect a such a huge jump
as the last time, hope to be wrong  ;D

IMO, the price will either drastically go up or drastically go down after the halving. But personally, I think that the Bitcoin price will slightly go up after the halving.

That i mean, the miners will not sell the bitcoins directly when the price is so low.
So when nobody sell it low nobody can buy bitcoins and the pirce must rise fast.

But i dont think that the miner will stop mining.

Too volatile to tell honestly. It's hard to just say that it's massively going up, demand still has to be equally high for the price to go up after the supply goes down, but that might not be the case. I expect a small nudge upwards but probably nothing huge.

It's hard to say whether it will go either up or down after halving.

Nobody can say for sure until it's actually happening.

No1 can tell for sure.
Back then the price was like stable from 1 btc 200+ to 250+ usd range
And then shot up to recently 400+.
At the rate.. I think the price may 'struggle' up and down here and there at 400+ to probably 500+ in 2016.
Just my 2 cents view though.

Saying the truth I'm a bit afraid that the price will go down like the litecoin at theirs last halving period  but it should grow after few weeks or months.

Can't really compare with other alternate coin.. as bitcoin is the best and more commonly used... just by look at their value and price.. is a different already.

2012 halving : 10 USD --------> 120 USD
2016 halving : 600 USD -------> .... USD (yes, 4 dots ;D ).


https://www.tradingview.com/x/tBeJtTdg/

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1207909.msg13510718#msg13510718

I too fear the same but I hope it's not that drastic as if the price shoots up beyond our expectations, we may not get buyers and if it goes down as well, we many not get sellers. The price should be such that people believe that if they buy/sell, they are still making a wise decision. $700-$800 would be a good rise or $350-$400 would be a good fall.

You will see how many people will be interested to buy bitcoin a week or a month before the halving, at that time i expect an increase of bitcoin value then a crash at halving and probably an increase again after it.

No one knows what will happen to be honest.
For sure we all would like to see a nice new ATH or at least a price around the $1000.
The only thing we can do is wait and see how things will develop the next months.
In worst case I believe we would stay were we are, what whould mean that halving is already priced in, what I can't believe.

I do expect a movement, up or down however I am not sure of, probably a mix of both leading up to it.

All the facts point to it having positive effect over it's price as that's how it should normally be as just imagine each blocks find reward gets divided by two therefor each effort taken to do so has been increased so it should result in better and higher outcome than it is before the halving.

What happens to price after any big ramp based upon over enthiusastic expectations over some fundamental event?

The effect will be minimal at the time of the halving. Any effect will be prices in already and most likely price will even drop once people realize the price isnt moving and they start selling their stack again.

Halving is not some magical moment, supply remains exactly the same, only the inflation slows down a bit.

It shouldn't be some magical moment......but this is trading you are talking about.
 
Traders are generally chomping at the bit for some good story to justify piling into, or out of, a particular asset. I think an impending 'halving' of supply rate is a pretty good excuse for traders to jump into Bitcoin, setting the thing on a powerful upward trend, which then justfify yet more traders trying to catch momentum, thus sending the fucker parabolic.

Be a nightmare when it comes around....won't be able to enjoy, be too busy focussing on when to cash out....and will invariably end up kicking myself at some point....I think $1000 would be a pretty good 'Blind Sell' target come June/July 2016.

I really don't expect any dramatic increase in price after this date of halving.Price are already reached the level where it should be after halving if we calculate earning/cost of mining.I don't say there will be no increase at all but will not be as many of us are expecting.

After the halving of block there must be some huge rises in price.I will say at least 700 $ will be seen because everyone knows production will remain half of Bitcoin so automatic increase is sure.

It is going to go up a few weeks before the halving based on speculation and then it will go down when it doesn't skyrocket and it will end up not being that big of an overall impact.

But I'm often wrong about these things.

To be honest I don't think it will have much of an effect on the price of bitcoin. It may gradually cause prices to rise leading up to that date, but I don't think it will cause a sudden spike or anything. It's something that every can see is going to happen. It's not taking anybody by surprise or anything.

The price will be hyped by incoming halving well before the halving will actually happen. In March-May I think.
After the halving happens the price will not increase and very likely drop.
Of course it will grow again in end of 2016.

Since mining decide the lowest possible cost to acquire bitcoin, if the mining cost goes up due to reduced coin generation, then the cost of bitcoin will go up. In that case, those capitals who are using mining to acquire bitcoin today will switch to using exchanges, thus push the exchange rate up until it get close to mining cost, then fall back to mining again. The reason that the mining difficulty continuously shoot up means capitals are still entering mining industry every month, demand is still rising

The effect of reward halving is similar to a sudden 100% jump in difficulty, thus the mining income of all miners are cut by half in one day. Hobby miners and miners with electricity included in rent will not be affected since they don't have any operational cost, but industry miner will be more heavily impacted. Bitfury once stopped their mining operation when the value went below $300. But typically, when they push out a new generation of chips, the mining efficiency can increase 4-8x, so a 2x increase in difficulty is well under their future profit ability

Market wise we will see reduced coin sell pressure every day, but since majority of the coins are hold by the miners, e.g. they sell only hundreds of coins per day, so a reward halving will reduce the sell pressure by a couple of hundred coins, not a lot

The halving effect has probably been incorporated already.  ;)
Why would anybody wait till March, if they think the price is going to go up around that time.

Because that's how it works :D

You can look at Litecoin last halving if you want to know what will happen.

This is a pretty good indicator on if the prices after the halving or not if someone wants to trade bitcoin.

If you see the main suppliers of mining increase their price, it should mean the value will be very bullish.

I'm thinking the opposite if I'm honest I think the price will rise after the halving but its not to predict these days.
Because maybe it will even go up before the halving, I think it will drop before the halving and than rise to a higher amount.

You know despite everyone being a nutt on halving and always talking about it what it would do to price.

What would suck is if one of the major exchanges were to shut down that day because of too many buy orders or sell orders to process lol.

We can't know for sure what will happen, but if the price does not change then i think that there will be a panic selling time when people didn't see the big jump and will quit, another scenario is a price increase at least $100+

With the halving the price gonna increase but the essential question is what is the top? I think near 600$ but i will not be surprised if it broke 1k$  :)

The price will go up and down as people buy and sell. The market will correct itself after big swings either way. But generally I think the trend will be up weeks to months after the actual halving event.

Most likely it will go to a higher amount although this is not sure of course because the bitcoin is not to predict.
In the most predictions its gonna rise so that is a good sign and I also hope it will so we all can make some profit by the halving.

the prices should be rise up after halving as expect many people but we are pretty close day by day to the halving but till today bitcoin prices seems stuck on $415 or below and i wish after halving bitcoin prices will increases $500 above

the potential for a big rise is there, but the initiative for the rise is not yet created.

this initiative can be a good news like regulation in a big country or block size or it can be another willy bot