Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: mufa23 on January 22, 2013, 05:32:31 PM



Title: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: mufa23 on January 22, 2013, 05:32:31 PM
Saw this article linked from the Drudge Report, and thought some of you guys might be interested. Perhaps this attributes to the recent rise in BTC prices. I checked the difficulty chart, and this seems to be some sort of panic buying.

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html#axzz2Ij3jqg21

EDIT: 2nd Link - http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: deadweasel on January 22, 2013, 05:34:04 PM
Saw this article linked from the Drudge Report, and thought some of you guys might be interested. Perhaps this attributes to the recent rise in BTC prices. I checked the difficulty chart, and this seems to be some sort of panic buying.

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html#axzz2Ij3jqg21

It won't let me read the article.  Post it here please!  :)


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: mb300sd on January 22, 2013, 06:17:52 PM
Saw this article linked from the Drudge Report, and thought some of you guys might be interested. Perhaps this attributes to the recent rise in BTC prices. I checked the difficulty chart, and this seems to be some sort of panic buying.

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html#axzz2Ij3jqg21

It won't let me read the article.  Post it here please!  :)

Google cache ;)

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:uD7crzhqFEoJ:www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html+&cd=3&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us#axzz2IjIf2j1z


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: jimbobway on January 22, 2013, 06:36:45 PM
There has been some talk of "currency wars" in the media but I don't think they do a good job explaining how the "war" is being implemented.

Countries are purposely trying to devalue their currency to stimulate growth.  If the Yen is cheaper then other countries can buy more Japanese goods with it.  This means workers get to have jobs to make those Sony products or Hondas.  This is good for workers, in general, but for those who honorably saved then their Yen are pretty much screwed because their Yen is now worth less than it was before.   Bitcoin does not allow this to happen!  

This could ripple to other countries so they will lower the value of their currencies.  This would cause competition and world wide growth.  It's like having a world war without the violence.  One problem with this is that competition of price causes everyone to lose since people will have to work harder to earn their money.  If we take it to the extreme we would be working 80 hour weeks...China is already doing it.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: cypherdoc on January 22, 2013, 06:42:54 PM
and the real bitch about devaluing your currency is who gets the money first?  why, banksters, of course!  at 0%!  do these interest free loans or outright monetizations of bad debt trickle down to the ppl?  why, of course not!

the banksters just pour that money into their stocks and commodities or other forms of hard assets which make it more expensive for the average person to live.

how long can it go on?


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: jimbobway on January 22, 2013, 06:52:53 PM
Yep, banksters reap the rewards of currency devaluation.  Look what happened here:

Chinese workers revolt over 2-minute toilet breaks
http://news.yahoo.com/chinese-workers-revolt-over-2-minute-toilet-breaks-081615186--finance.html


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: mufa23 on January 22, 2013, 07:07:31 PM
This link might work: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html

If not, the Google Cache one seems to work.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: jimbobway on January 22, 2013, 07:09:34 PM
http://www.cnn.com/2013/01/21/business/german-bundesbank-currency-war-risk/

Quote
(Financial Times) -- The erosion of central bank independence around the world threatens to unleash a round of competitive exchange rate devaluations, which leading economies have so far avoided during the financial crisis, the president of Germany's Bundesbank warned on Monday.
Jens Weidmann, whose institution's own fierce independence from political influence was the model for the European Central Bank when it was founded, said Stephen King, the chief economist at HSBC, was "perhaps right" in forecasting an end to the era of central bank independence.
"It is already possible to observe alarming infringements, for example in Hungary or in Japan, where the new government is massively involving itself in the affairs of the central bank, is emphatically demanding an even more aggressive monetary policy and is threatening an end to central bank autonomy," Mr Weidmann said in a speech in Frankfurt.
"Whether intended or not, one consequence could be the increased politicisation of the exchange rate," he said, according to a text of his speech provided by the Bundesbank. "Until now the international monetary system got through the crisis without competitive devaluations and I hope very much it stays that way."
Both the Bundesbank and later the ECB were founded on mandates that gave them wide powers and freedom from political interference in return for focusing solely on keeping inflation in check. Some observers argue that the ECB now faces a challenge if other central banks ditch their own inflation targets and act to lower exchange rates against the euro, making exports from the embattled eurozone economies less competitive.
Asked about the trend for central banks to look less at inflation-targeting and more at policy areas that affect exchange rates, Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, said earlier this month that the exchange rate was very important "as far as growth and stability" were concerned but was not a policy target for the ECB.
He also noted that the Group of 20 leading industrial nations had pledged not to undertake competitive currency devaluations as such action undermines economic and financial stability.
Mr Weidmann said the period in the 1980s and 1990s during which central banks around the world had been made independent had heralded a period of "great moderation" during which inflation fell. But the outbreak of the financial crisis and the growing energy and raw materials demand from fast-growing economies had put rising prices back on the agenda and complicated the job of a central bank.
This had led to demands on central banks to support the financial system, stimulate the economy and lower government refinancing costs "or even secure the solvency of a state", he said. "Overloading central banks with tasks and expectations is however certainly not the correct path towards sustainably overcoming the crisis."
The Bundesbank chief, whose concerns about straying from orthodox monetary policy prompted him to vote against and campaign openly against Mr Draghi's unlimited bond-buying plan last year, concluded by quoting approvingly from an interview Mr Draghi gave to the Financial Times in December. Central banks could best defend their independence by narrowly interpreting their mandate, he said.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: myself on January 22, 2013, 08:29:33 PM
if goods don't cross borders soldiers will -  some intelligent dude


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: xxjs on January 22, 2013, 08:34:33 PM
Yes, world currency war III is certainly possible.

Inflation briefly works, because the loosing part of the public does not understand what is going on. The cost is of course wealth redistribution and distortion of the labour and interest markets, making the population as such poorer than it would otherwise be. If it works on the national scale, it works even better internationally by distorting the import/export trade balances. It is a long way for the public in South Korea or Argentina to connect US or Japanese or Euro inflation (of the money supply) to their own misery.

The reason we have not had currency war continusly, is diverse agreements on the supernational level. A gentlemens agreement, or should I say an agreement between fellow scammers, in the form of unofficial central baker's dinners in Basel, has been effective lately, but seems to be in process of breaking up.

See Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, by James Rickards.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: deadweasel on January 22, 2013, 08:45:24 PM
Saw this article linked from the Drudge Report, and thought some of you guys might be interested. Perhaps this attributes to the recent rise in BTC prices. I checked the difficulty chart, and this seems to be some sort of panic buying.

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html#axzz2Ij3jqg21

It won't let me read the article.  Post it here please!  :)

Google cache ;)

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:uD7crzhqFEoJ:www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d1d81962-63e7-11e2-b92c-00144feab49a.html+&cd=3&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us#axzz2IjIf2j1z

Genius, thank you!


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: nobbynobbynoob on January 22, 2013, 08:53:53 PM
This will sound a little radical , but people who work in private sector should really orginanise and demand either Gold or Bitcoins as payment from their employer.

Radical? Sensible, you mean!

Sadly, I doubt we will be seeing too many employers paying out hard-money tax-free salaries any time soon. But you never know, they could secretly be doing it already.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: jwzguy on January 22, 2013, 09:06:26 PM
Excellent reading on this subject: Currency Wars by James Rickards (http://amzn.com/1591845564)


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: thoughtfan on January 22, 2013, 09:30:22 PM
This will sound a little radical , but people who work in private sector should really orginanise and demand either Gold or Bitcoins as payment from their employer.

Radical? Sensible, you mean!

Sadly, I doubt we will be seeing too many employers paying out hard-money tax-free salaries any time soon. But you never know, they could secretly be doing it already.
It doesn't necessarily need to be tax free.  As mentioned above the tax deduction can be paid in fiat with the remainder paid in Bitcoin.  Not the long-term solution but it protects the employees from half of the double-whammy income tax and inflation.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: notme on January 22, 2013, 09:37:21 PM
Yes, world currency war III is certainly possible.

Inflation briefly works, because the loosing part of the public does not understand what is going on. The cost is of course wealth redistribution and distortion of the labour and interest markets, making the population as such poorer than it would otherwise be. If it works on the national scale, it works even better internationally by distorting the import/export trade balances. It is a long way for the public in South Korea or Argentina to connect US or Japanese or Euro inflation (of the money supply) to their own misery.

The reason we have not had currency war continusly, is diverse agreements on the supernational level. A gentlemens agreement, or should I say an agreement between fellow scammers, in the form of unofficial central baker's dinners in Basel, has been effective lately, but seems to be in process of breaking up.

See Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, by James Rickards.


Central baker's... now that's an idea I could support.  Free cake for everybody!


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: xxjs on January 22, 2013, 11:48:52 PM
Yes, world currency war III is certainly possible.

Inflation briefly works, because the loosing part of the public does not understand what is going on. The cost is of course wealth redistribution and distortion of the labour and interest markets, making the population as such poorer than it would otherwise be. If it works on the national scale, it works even better internationally by distorting the import/export trade balances. It is a long way for the public in South Korea or Argentina to connect US or Japanese or Euro inflation (of the money supply) to their own misery.

The reason we have not had currency war continusly, is diverse agreements on the supernational level. A gentlemens agreement, or should I say an agreement between fellow scammers, in the form of unofficial central baker's dinners in Basel, has been effective lately, but seems to be in process of breaking up.

See Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, by James Rickards.


Central baker's... now that's an idea I could support.  Free cake for everybody!

Lol, that should be a cake party, not a dinner!


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: fancy_pants on January 23, 2013, 01:52:29 AM
I, fancy_pants, trolled the financial times currency wars article with the following: 

************
fancy_pants | January 22 2:52am
Bitcoin solves the inflation problem described in this article but with a market cap/float/whatever-you-call-it just under 200 million USD, most professionals probably can't use it for anything other than a personal safe haven currency.
************

I would very much like to sound more professional the next time.  Anyone care to rewrite this?  I think the only good part is "safe haven currency".


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: nebulus on January 23, 2013, 02:12:43 AM
and the real bitch about devaluing your currency is who gets the money first?  why, banksters, of course!  at 0%!  do these interest free loans or outright monetizations of bad debt trickle down to the ppl?  why, of course not!

the banksters just pour that money into their stocks and commodities or other forms of hard assets which make it more expensive for the average person to live.

how long can it go on?

Also there is the advantage of being first to devalue for countries.

I came over an article a month or so ago, where Japan accused USA of breaching an unofficial "don't devalue first treaty".

Good to hear, US is running the show still.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: johnyj on January 23, 2013, 02:31:59 PM
Independence means power, and with that huge power comes corruption, no one can do anything about the corruptions with bankers. The inflation target is a joke, CPI never count the things the bankers buy, they first feed themselves with printed money and then control the CPI through other means

By this way, a food chain with the central banks stay at the top established, as long as they do not abuse this power, they stay in control. They enslave people, and people trying hard to invent machines to counter this slavery. But the day will come eventually that people realize that bankers are the biggest parasite of the society


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: myself on January 23, 2013, 08:38:14 PM
anyone remember when Zimbabwe stock market was the best performing market on the planet  ;D  ;D


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: Vandroiy on January 24, 2013, 01:21:55 AM
Why is it that everyone correctly talks about the wrongs of money printing and central banks, but then accuses all bankers in general?

Some of them are hard-working people doing a productive job. I'd prefer it if we keep the angry comments aimed at the ones who cheat by printing money, spreading misleading information or engaging in corruption. It might not be good to take a stance like "we are the 99%, so now we demand money from whoever has more of it than we do". I agree many rich people got their money through questionable means like constructing monopolies or lobbying with politics. Yet there are those who did no such things. They have a right to do whatever they want with whatever absurd sums they control -- because they earned that money in fair trade and that's that. (Also, history shows that punishing people for performing extraordinarily is no good strategy.)

The money supply is handled through transparent auctions in most places, so it's fair to say that "normal" bankers can predict inflation no better than any other trader. I don't see a fundamental flaw apart from the central banks' insane bond buying and excessive tendency toward inflation. The other problems stem from corruption and bureaucracy, so that's part of the more general problem of defunct politics.

And I don't get the inter-country inflation competition. How does that solve anything? People can export more to get devalued money in return? Great plan. ???


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: lebing on January 24, 2013, 04:19:54 AM
Why is it that everyone correctly talks about the wrongs of money printing and central banks, but then accuses all bankers in general?

Some of them are hard-working people doing a productive job. I'd prefer it if we keep the angry comments aimed at the ones who cheat by printing money, spreading misleading information or engaging in corruption. It might not be good to take a stance like "we are the 99%, so now we demand money from whoever has more of it than we do". I agree many rich people got their money through questionable means like constructing monopolies or lobbying with politics. Yet there are those who did no such things. They have a right to do whatever they want with whatever absurd sums they control -- because they earned that money in fair trade and that's that. (Also, history shows that punishing people for performing extraordinarily is no good strategy.)

The money supply is handled through transparent auctions in most places, so it's fair to say that "normal" bankers can predict inflation no better than any other trader. I don't see a fundamental flaw apart from the central banks' insane bond buying and excessive tendency toward inflation. The other problems stem from corruption and bureaucracy, so that's part of the more general problem of defunct politics.

And I don't get the inter-country inflation competition. How does that solve anything? People can export more to get devalued money in return? Great plan. ???

Given the amount of money they "earn" vs the amount of value they produce, it's ridiculous they havent been strung up in the streets decades ago. Ignorance of the masses is the only thing stopping this occurring today.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: Vandroiy on January 24, 2013, 11:04:07 PM
Given the amount of money they "earn" vs the amount of value they produce, it's ridiculous they havent been strung up in the streets decades ago. Ignorance of the masses is the only thing stopping this occurring today.

This is not responding to the point of my post.

There exist bankers who do produce enormous amounts of value. Take an investment banker who makes the correct decision as to where to allocate a billion dollars. Say the company he allocated it to has a production efficiency 30% above average, and any commonly available system would have selected a company with "just" normal efficiency.

The banker in effect created productivity equivalent to the value of 300.000.000 dollars! Even if he gets paid a hundred million for it, that's still a damn good deal for everyone.

We can go into detail as to why such things can happen and how often they should happen, but that's statistics and should not affect how we see the moral issue. It's also not something for anyone to judge on a whim; we'd need a rigorous model which nobody might have yet.

Again: please distinguish between bankers who just do their jobs and those who actually cheat their way to other peoples' money! Earning a lot of money does NOT equal being an evil person or being harmful to society, because trade and investment are NOT zero-sum games. People who don't make that distinction just aim for stealing from the wealthy and sharing the loot. That's immoral, and very damaging to society.

Just go hit on the central bankers who print too much money and even buy government debt with it. And on those who got ties to politics and take "bail-outs" tailored for their poor little special bank. THAT is immoral.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: lebing on January 25, 2013, 12:12:05 AM
Given the amount of money they "earn" vs the amount of value they produce, it's ridiculous they havent been strung up in the streets decades ago. Ignorance of the masses is the only thing stopping this occurring today.

This is not responding to the point of my post.

There exist bankers who do produce enormous amounts of value. Take an investment banker who makes the correct decision as to where to allocate a billion dollars. Say the company he allocated it to has a production efficiency 30% above average, and any commonly available system would have selected a company with "just" normal efficiency.

The banker in effect created productivity equivalent to the value of 300.000.000 dollars! Even if he gets paid a hundred million for it, that's still a damn good deal for everyone.

We can go into detail as to why such things can happen and how often they should happen, but that's statistics and should not affect how we see the moral issue. It's also not something for anyone to judge on a whim; we'd need a rigorous model which nobody might have yet.

Again: please distinguish between bankers who just do their jobs and those who actually cheat their way to other peoples' money! Earning a lot of money does NOT equal being an evil person or being harmful to society, because trade and investment are NOT zero-sum games. People who don't make that distinction just aim for stealing from the wealthy and sharing the loot. That's immoral, and very damaging to society.

Just go hit on the central bankers who print too much money and even buy government debt with it. And on those who got ties to politics and take "bail-outs" tailored for their poor little special bank. THAT is immoral.


While your example might have applied in the past (and this is in itself a morally charged debate), where is the value creation today in the age of crowdfunding & open everything?  What does he do that the crowd and an efficiently informed funding market cannot?


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: cypherdoc on January 25, 2013, 12:48:39 AM
Given the amount of money they "earn" vs the amount of value they produce, it's ridiculous they havent been strung up in the streets decades ago. Ignorance of the masses is the only thing stopping this occurring today.

This is not responding to the point of my post.

There exist bankers who do produce enormous amounts of value. Take an investment banker who makes the correct decision as to where to allocate a billion dollars. Say the company he allocated it to has a production efficiency 30% above average, and any commonly available system would have selected a company with "just" normal efficiency.

The banker in effect created productivity equivalent to the value of 300.000.000 dollars! Even if he gets paid a hundred million for it, that's still a damn good deal for everyone.

We can go into detail as to why such things can happen and how often they should happen, but that's statistics and should not affect how we see the moral issue. It's also not something for anyone to judge on a whim; we'd need a rigorous model which nobody might have yet.

Again: please distinguish between bankers who just do their jobs and those who actually cheat their way to other peoples' money! Earning a lot of money does NOT equal being an evil person or being harmful to society, because trade and investment are NOT zero-sum games. People who don't make that distinction just aim for stealing from the wealthy and sharing the loot. That's immoral, and very damaging to society.

Just go hit on the central bankers who print too much money and even buy government debt with it. And on those who got ties to politics and take "bail-outs" tailored for their poor little special bank. THAT is immoral.

the problem with your answer is that it has made you and every honest banker out there believe that billion dollar deals are "normal" and that 100 million dollar paydays are "normal" for an investment banker deal.  that's ridiculous.  b/c of the systemic corruption from the fact that the banking industry in general has gotten hold of the printing presses in every country doesn't make huge payoffs for even the honest bankers sustainable or fair compared to the menial salaries for say what a doctor or lawyer make in comparison.  it used to be the other way around and i would argue those 2 professions create just as much or more value for their patients or clients as an investment banker.

this control of the money supply is precisely why a millionaire is no big deal anymore; a billionaire is the new "normal"; at least for a bankster.  even the honest ones.  those types of payoffs are unreachable for anyone else in society.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: notme on January 25, 2013, 12:53:50 AM
Given the amount of money they "earn" vs the amount of value they produce, it's ridiculous they havent been strung up in the streets decades ago. Ignorance of the masses is the only thing stopping this occurring today.

This is not responding to the point of my post.

There exist bankers who do produce enormous amounts of value. Take an investment banker who makes the correct decision as to where to allocate a billion dollars. Say the company he allocated it to has a production efficiency 30% above average, and any commonly available system would have selected a company with "just" normal efficiency.

The banker in effect created productivity equivalent to the value of 300.000.000 dollars! Even if he gets paid a hundred million for it, that's still a damn good deal for everyone.

We can go into detail as to why such things can happen and how often they should happen, but that's statistics and should not affect how we see the moral issue. It's also not something for anyone to judge on a whim; we'd need a rigorous model which nobody might have yet.

Again: please distinguish between bankers who just do their jobs and those who actually cheat their way to other peoples' money! Earning a lot of money does NOT equal being an evil person or being harmful to society, because trade and investment are NOT zero-sum games. People who don't make that distinction just aim for stealing from the wealthy and sharing the loot. That's immoral, and very damaging to society.

Just go hit on the central bankers who print too much money and even buy government debt with it. And on those who got ties to politics and take "bail-outs" tailored for their poor little special bank. THAT is immoral.

the problem with your answer is that it has made you and every honest banker out there believe that billion dollar deals are "normal" and that 100 million dollar paydays are "normal" for an investment banker deal.  that's ridiculous.  b/c of the systemic corruption from the fact that the banking industry in general has gotten hold of the printing presses in every country doesn't make huge payoffs for even the honest bankers sustainable or fair compared to the menial salaries for say what a doctor or lawyer make in comparison.  it used to be the other way around and i would argue those 2 professions create just as much or more value for their patients or clients as an investment banker.

this control of the money supply is precisely why a millionaire is no big deal anymore; a billionaire is the new "normal"; at least for a bankster.  even the honest ones.  those types of payoffs are unreachable for anyone else in society.

+21,000,000


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: cypherdoc on January 25, 2013, 02:36:42 AM
Given the amount of money they "earn" vs the amount of value they produce, it's ridiculous they havent been strung up in the streets decades ago. Ignorance of the masses is the only thing stopping this occurring today.

This is not responding to the point of my post.

There exist bankers who do produce enormous amounts of value. Take an investment banker who makes the correct decision as to where to allocate a billion dollars. Say the company he allocated it to has a production efficiency 30% above average, and any commonly available system would have selected a company with "just" normal efficiency.

The banker in effect created productivity equivalent to the value of 300.000.000 dollars! Even if he gets paid a hundred million for it, that's still a damn good deal for everyone.

We can go into detail as to why such things can happen and how often they should happen, but that's statistics and should not affect how we see the moral issue. It's also not something for anyone to judge on a whim; we'd need a rigorous model which nobody might have yet.

Again: please distinguish between bankers who just do their jobs and those who actually cheat their way to other peoples' money! Earning a lot of money does NOT equal being an evil person or being harmful to society, because trade and investment are NOT zero-sum games. People who don't make that distinction just aim for stealing from the wealthy and sharing the loot. That's immoral, and very damaging to society.

Just go hit on the central bankers who print too much money and even buy government debt with it. And on those who got ties to politics and take "bail-outs" tailored for their poor little special bank. THAT is immoral.

the problem with your answer is that it has made you and every honest banker out there believe that billion dollar deals are "normal" and that 100 million dollar paydays are "normal" for an investment banker deal.  that's ridiculous.  b/c of the systemic corruption from the fact that the banking industry in general has gotten hold of the printing presses in every country doesn't make huge payoffs for even the honest bankers sustainable or fair compared to the menial salaries for say what a doctor or lawyer make in comparison.  it used to be the other way around and i would argue those 2 professions create just as much or more value for their patients or clients as an investment banker.

this control of the money supply is precisely why a millionaire is no big deal anymore; a billionaire is the new "normal"; at least for a bankster.  even the honest ones.  those types of payoffs are unreachable for anyone else in society.

+21,000,000

is that all there is gonna be?


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: cypherdoc on January 26, 2013, 07:16:55 PM

Some of them are hard-working people doing a productive job. I'd prefer it if we keep the angry comments aimed at the ones who cheat by printing money, spreading misleading information or engaging in corruption. It might not be good to take a stance like "we are the 99%, so now we demand money from whoever has more of it than we do".

I agree many rich people got their money through questionable means like constructing monopolies or lobbying with politics. Yet there are those who did no such things. They have a right to do whatever they want with whatever absurd sums they control -- because they earned that money in fair trade and that's that. (Also, history shows that punishing people for performing extraordinarily is no good strategy.)

The money supply is handled through transparent auctions in most places, so it's fair to say that "normal" bankers can predict inflation no better than any other trader. I don't see a fundamental flaw apart from the central banks' insane bond buying and excessive tendency toward inflation. The other problems stem from corruption and bureaucracy, so that's part of the more general problem of defunct politics.

And I don't get the inter-country inflation competition. How does that solve anything? People can export more to get devalued money in return? Great plan. ???

I agree, what those "99%" attempt to do is no less theft than what the "too big to fail" bailouts were. But while its "morally wrong", our system allows both kinds of fraud to take place. So long as its done within the "legal framework", which is bribery of politicians (either financial lobbying, or with broad democratic support).

Financial industry should have better information about inflation and other economic events or they're not doing their job. They pay very high fees for supercomputers located within miliseconds latency from datacentres (such as the exchanges), thus their trading desk should have already processed/analysed and traded the "economic event" information before "Joe trading at home" even gets the news. But the fact that people claim this is an uneven game is ridiculous, trading was always an uneven game, the guys in the pit used to be the only ones playing "an even game", now those daytraders lost their jobs and the banking industry took over their "work". And there is nothing wrong making billions or even trillions, if an industry really pays that well then all the complainers would change profession.

Inter-country inflation competition, like ALL state projects isn't there to solve anything at all. It's there for states to have a GDP pissing show between each other every few years.

The point is, the state is the whore that is for sale to perform systemic-fraud (benefit the society, it's financial contributors and democratic majority). The price for these wonderful benefits ? You get it for free, the state just wants your childrens income.


the 99% are not asking for free handouts.  they're just asking for a level playing field aka sound money.  that's all i'm asking for and i'm part of the 1%; just not in the corrupt banking industry and thus i've earned my status thru plain old hard work.

as to the part about what Vandroiy claims are transparent auctions?  talk to me about Libor manipulation.  it's a base rate that affects ALL other bond auctions and interest rates.  this corruption is what allows ALL bankers, honest or not, to make outrageous amounts of money on IB deals and whatnot.  

as i said before, no one else in society can attain those levels of income b/c they aren't inside this fraudulent system that allows them to borrow at 0% or get their bad highly speculative bond deals bailed out thru monetization.


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: Vandroiy on January 27, 2013, 08:50:14 PM
While your example might have applied in the past (and this is in itself a morally charged debate), where is the value creation today in the age of crowdfunding & open everything?  What does he do that the crowd and an efficiently informed funding market cannot?

A well-informed individual can be much more effective than a crowd. An informed funding market -- well, what is that? In the end, the person who makes the decision is a vital part of just that market, and his power to make the decision lies in money. How rare a good decision-maker is, as well as how often he gets to the position to use this knowledge, determines his value in such a market. That's not so different from what an investment banker does.



the problem with your answer is that it has made you and every honest banker out there believe that billion dollar deals are "normal" and that 100 million dollar paydays are "normal" for an investment banker deal.  that's ridiculous.  b/c of the systemic corruption from the fact that the banking industry in general has gotten hold of the printing presses in every country doesn't make huge payoffs for even the honest bankers sustainable or fair compared to the menial salaries for say what a doctor or lawyer make in comparison.  it used to be the other way around and i would argue those 2 professions create just as much or more value for their patients or clients as an investment banker.

this control of the money supply is precisely why a millionaire is no big deal anymore; a billionaire is the new "normal"; at least for a bankster.  even the honest ones.  those types of payoffs are unreachable for anyone else in society.

Again, I find it important to distinguish those who mess with money supply or use other underhanded tricks! Someone who does investment in a large, liquid market should have very little control over money supply. The problems come up when "too big to fail" aka monopolies, governments and corruption comes into play.

We live on a planet with over 7.000.000.000 people on it. Someone has to make big, and sometimes experimental, decisions. I would very much prefer if that's not only governments and their stupid games.



as to the part about what Vandroiy claims are transparent auctions?  talk to me about Libor manipulation.  it's a base rate that affects ALL other bond auctions and interest rates.  this corruption is what allows ALL bankers, honest or not, to make outrageous amounts of money on IB deals and whatnot.  

as i said before, no one else in society can attain those levels of income b/c they aren't inside this fraudulent system that allows them to borrow at 0% or get their bad highly speculative bond deals bailed out thru monetization.

Those are clear examples of playing dirty. We should jail the people who do such things; the last thing we need is continued dishonesty by those who set the benchmarks. Though, in the case of bailed-out bond speculations, the politicians should be locked up first. They're the cause, tempting and pushing the banks to play along. Banks who don't play get a disadvantage against those who do; a horrible incentive system that breeds lies and corruption.

I'm just as angry at Libor, the bail-outs, the money printing, the central banks' bond buying and all those other ways of defrauding the general public. But I believe that the root of the problem stems from politics, rather than from the structure of the banking system. (Except for the central banks -- but I guess that's a given since we're on Bitcointalk. 8) )


Title: Re: Weidmann warns of currency war risk
Post by: World on February 04, 2013, 09:57:24 PM
http://www.businessinsider.com/bill-gates-the-global-currency-war-is-whats-causing-companies-to-sit-on-their-massive-piles-of-cash-2013-2#ixzz2JxHYAMfA (http://www.businessinsider.com/bill-gates-the-global-currency-war-is-whats-causing-companies-to-sit-on-their-massive-piles-of-cash-2013-2#ixzz2JxHYAMfA)
Quote
BILL GATES: The Global Currency War Is What's Causing Companies To Sit On Their Massive Piles Of Cash