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Title: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 05, 2016, 12:17:35 AM new thread link
I will be locking this once I pay off https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1402986.msg14238081#msg14238081 I have 0.6 btc left so six more jumps and funds empty. I think I will go up to the ½ ing so I may add the needed funding to reach it. Just setting up-- back link to last diff thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1369886.0 we had a winner so we start at 0.10 btc I am allowing anyone that Joined the site before Jan 1 , 2016 and has 30 posts to play. I have decided to allow rollovers to just keep going. I have 0.6 btc left in prize money which means we go on for at least 12 weeks. That is around May 20- June 1. I may add more prize money so we reach the ½ ing Rules. 1) You joined at least last year 2015 and have 30 posts or more. 2) Since it is free and no cost to you I may disqualify you if I think you are trying to do multiple entries. 3) I will let these roll over so prizes could reach more then 0.2 as high as 0.6 if we have many misses 4) picks are in the format below so +1.0 = yourforumname is the way to write your pick and that gives you +1.00 to +1.09 percent as your range this is last contest -5.8 = edonkey -4.1 = blindminer -3.8 = Chris_Sabian -3.6 = Kexkey -3.4 = HerbPean -3.1 = tertius993------------------- the winner----- Waiting for his btc addy to pay him the 0.20 btc -3.0 = wlefever -2.9 = alh -2.8 = networkgeek24 -2.7 = radiumsoup -2.5 = Mikestang -2.2 = indiemax -1.7 = zebedee -1.4 = bomberb17 -1.2 = philipma1957 this has my -1.11% included within. if I win i roll it over. -1.0 = HagssFIN -0.9 = Witrebel (I understand that to mean "-0.9 to -0.81" ) < correct -0.8 = vortexz -0.7 = ailikun -0.5 = alfacro -0.3 = RichBC -0.2 = sloopy 0.0 = adaseb +0.1 = mavericklm +0.4 = CrazyGuy +0.7 = Notlist3d +1.0 = tlhILwI +1.1 = fr4nkthetank +1.2 = vapourminer +1.3 = VRobb +1.4 = leowonderful corrected from +1.43 +1.5 = Amph +1.9 = tss +2.0 = ezeminer +2.2 = Valkir +2.5 = pusttiu +3.2 = Biodom +3.5 = Last of the V8s +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.6 = kipper01 +7.1 = psi 5) remember it is a spec thread about difficulty. so spec . 6) and since it is free of charge my rules pretty much are subject changed by me and tiebreakers disqualification's yada yada yada are up to me. we use bitcoinwisdom to pick winner Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s Jan 26 2016 120,033,340,651 5.89% 859,232,121 GH/s Jan 13 2016 113,354,299,801 9.12% 811,421,684 GH/s Dec 31 2015 103,880,340,815 11.16% 743,604,444 GH/s Dec 18 2015 93,448,670,796 18.14% 668,931,642 GH/s Dec 06 2015 79,102,380,900 8.77% 566,236,898 GH/s Nov 24 2015 72,722,780,643 10.44% 520,569,941 GH/s Nov 11 2015 65,848,255,180 5.77% 471,360,171 GH/s Oct 29 2015 62,253,982,450 2.25% 445,631,364 GH/s Oct 15 2015 60,883,825,480 0.12% 435,823,399 GH/s Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s Sep 17 2015 59,335,351,234 4.17% 424,738,988 GH/s Sep 04 2015 56,957,648,455 4.98% 407,718,729 GH/s Aug 22 2015 54,256,630,328 2.95% 388,384,088 GH/s Aug 08 2015 52,699,842,409 0.81% 377,240,166 GH/s Jul 25 2015 52,278,304,846 2.35% 374,222,683 GH/s Jul 11 2015 51,076,366,303 3.39% 365,618,871 GH/s Jun 28 2015 49,402,014,931 -0.58% 353,633,397 GH/s Jun 14 2015 49,692,386,355 4.42% 355,711,957 GH/s May 31 2015 47,589,591,154 -2.50% 340,659,563 GH/s May 17 2015 48,807,487,245 2.44% 349,377,603 GH/s May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s Jun 18 2014 13,462,580,115 14.51% 96,368,902 GH/s Jun 05 2014 11,756,551,917 12.44% 84,156,677 GH/s https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 155,352,530,501 (-1.94%) Adjust time: After 2009 Blocks, About 13.6 days ________ When this is 1416 blocks picks open Hashrate(?): 1,205,074,736 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.8 minutes 3 blocks: 29.3 minutes 6 blocks: 58.6 minutes Updated: 19:25 (1.8 minutes ago) Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 155,352,530,501 (-1.94%) Adjust time: After 2009 Blocks, About 13.6 days---------- When this is 816 block picks close Hashrate(?): 1,205,074,736 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.8 minutes 3 blocks: 29.3 minutes 6 blocks: 58.6 minutes Updated: Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 05, 2016, 05:15:12 AM Looks like someone flipped a switch, network hash rate took a huge spike up after the negative adjustment. Gee, could that be on purpose?
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 05, 2016, 06:46:55 AM Looks like someone flipped a switch, network hash rate took a huge spike up after the negative adjustment. Gee, could that be on purpose? I have often wondered if changes at Big Farms would in any way be structured round difficulty changes? A thought that has struck me is that if you were making significant changes that might disrupt Mining then you would not do them in the last few Days of a Period when the rewards were higher but wait till the early Days of the new Period? Except in this case where the rewards will be higher in the New period, so perhaps you would hold off adding new Hash that would make the Difficulty change less advantageous? Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 05, 2016, 12:30:27 PM Looks like someone flipped a switch, network hash rate took a huge spike up after the negative adjustment. Gee, could that be on purpose? I have often wondered if changes at Big Farms would in any way be structured round difficulty changes? A thought that has struck me is that if you were making significant changes that might disrupt Mining then you would not do them in the last few Days of a Period when the rewards were higher but wait till the early Days of the new Period? Except in this case where the rewards will be higher in the New period, so perhaps you would hold off adding new Hash that would make the Difficulty change less advantageous? Rich Absolutely correct. 13 to 14 days of a -3.1 adjustment Which if you mined like mad a day ago would have been 13 to 14 days with a +1 adjustment. This is hash rate manipulation to the max. Not good for the industry. Also notice price drop to 388 hmmm same guy dumping the new coins to pay for the new gear. Strip mining at its best. >:( Spoke soon it has dialed back a bit. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 157,543,750,077 (-0.56%) Adjust time: After 1887 Blocks, About 12.7 days Hashrate(?): 1,214,525,128 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.1 minutes 6 blocks: 58.3 minutes Updated: https://blockchain.info/blocks 401313 (Main Chain) 2016-03-05 19:32:47 401189 (Main Chain) 2016-03-05 00:05:53 125 blocks in the time for 118 about +6% Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 05, 2016, 08:50:18 PM I am going to be very surprised if we don't get a positive here. I can't see a pattern in past 3... just does not make sense:
Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s Huge jumps... price is down. Will be another interesting week. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 05, 2016, 09:05:10 PM I am going to be very surprised if we don't get a positive here. I can't see a pattern in past 3... just does not make sense: Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s Huge jumps... price is down. Will be another interesting week. I have reached the point of I have no idea what will happen in terms of price or diff. The only saving grace for me is the solar array is not quite done yet. So I have not had to decide to stay with 6 avalon6s and wait for bitfury gear to fill the array. At least I can wait a week or two to decide that. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: leowonderful on March 05, 2016, 11:59:26 PM I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon.
+3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha :) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 06, 2016, 06:22:43 AM So we have had our first full Day of the new Period and we seem to be back in positive territory with +4.17% 150 Blocks. Far too early to really know what is going on but a punchy start to Today which has pulled the Run rate for the period so far to +7.5%. As we all know anything can happen from here....
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 06, 2016, 07:47:37 AM I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon. +3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha :) that pick does not count far too early for picking. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Psi on March 06, 2016, 12:25:29 PM Congrats to winner tertius993 ! Thanks for Philip for having contest, at +7.1 last time i wasn't even close but think my pick this time will be close to that . I have learned quite a bit about bitcoin in general just reading this thread regularly, so thanks everyone.
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 06, 2016, 01:56:57 PM Congrats to winner tertius993 ! Thanks for Philip for having contest, at +7.1 last time i wasn't even close but think my pick this time will be close to that . I have learned quite a bit about bitcoin in general just reading this thread regularly, so thanks everyone. yeah we are looking up https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 158,173,731,567 (-0.16%) >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Not accurate Adjust time: After 1779 Blocks, About 12.1 days Hashrate(?): 1,188,448,145 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.8 minutes 3 blocks: 29.4 minutes 6 blocks: 58.7 minutes Updated: http://bitcoincharts.com/ Blocks 401422 Total BTC 15.286M Difficulty 158427203767 Estimated 159138112710 in 1778 blks this is a little better +0.44% Network total 1138183.931 Thash/s Blocks/hour 6.02 / 598 s http://blockr.io/charts 3-5-2016 152 blocks https://blockchain.info/blocks 401423 (Main Chain) 2016-03-06 13:55:08 401339 (Main Chain) 2016-03-06 00:06:39 85 blocks in the time for 84 so 237/228 = +3.94% is close missing a few blocks from 3-4-2016 so we are just over 4% real number that would be a diff of 164.7 Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 07, 2016, 07:53:33 AM So Day 2 ended up up at +2.78% 148 Blocks. Day 1 was +4.17% and the Run Rate at the moment for this period is currently +5.39%, so we are still finding our new level but looking like it might be in the +4% to +6% region?
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 07, 2016, 12:36:02 PM So Day 2 ended up up at +2.78% 148 Blocks. Day 1 was +4.17% and the Run Rate at the moment for this period is currently +5.39%, so we are still finding our new level but looking like it might be in the +4% to +6% region? Rich well a neg 3 followed by a plus 5 is okay. I rather see no more then plus 2. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 162,096,314,521 (+2.32%) <<<<<<<<< that still reflects some of last adjustment so it is not accurate as a real time number we are 3.7% Adjust time: After 1631 Blocks, About 10.8 days Hashrate(?): 1,207,095,958 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.7 minutes 6 blocks: 57.4 minutes Updated: Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 07, 2016, 04:18:19 PM Price is hanging around 409. I liked the 440+ area much better. But it seems like it's pretty slow moving. I really want to see some movement before having upwards (I hope it happens).
So far pretty happy with low numbers on bitwisdom. Still cant explain it.... but happy none the less. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 07, 2016, 04:57:51 PM Price is hanging around 409. I liked the 440+ area much better. But it seems like it's pretty slow moving. I really want to see some movement before having upwards (I hope it happens). So far pretty happy with low numbers on bitwisdom. Still cant explain it.... but happy none the less. The price had a lot of trouble holding 400 over the Weekend, but at least we did not slip too low, but as you say would be good to see it going strongly up and clearing 450. Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 07, 2016, 07:59:28 PM Yea, price was a bit up and down over the weekend, but it's holding its own. I can't see any direct relationship between price and diff, which is counter-intuitive to me, but it is what it is. I would be afraid of a rising price if it could be linked directly to rising diff, but that does not seem to be the case recently. Another small negative would be great, would like to see diff below 150G, but if it has to be positive hopefully it will stay under 5% (even though 5% of 160G is still a lot of new hash!).
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 07, 2016, 09:15:53 PM Yea, price was a bit up and down over the weekend, but it's holding its own. I can't see any direct relationship between price and diff, which is counter-intuitive to me, but it is what it is. I would be afraid of a rising price if it could be linked directly to rising diff, but that does not seem to be the case recently. Another small negative would be great, would like to see diff below 150G, but if it has to be positive hopefully it will stay under 5% (even though 5% of 160G is still a lot of new hash!). it is a bit down today https://blockchain.info/ 401612 (Main Chain) 2016-03-07 20:58:25 401487 (Main Chain) 2016-03-07 00:00:23 126 blocks in the time it takes for 127 blocks I would love for that to stay the course . 143 blocks a day for the rest of the diff period works for me. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ezeminer on March 08, 2016, 03:27:30 AM Darn it became 1.32%, but hopefully it'll come down now. Does anyone else feel like we have reached a difficulty peak, and should come back down as summer comes around?
Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 160,512,373,038 (+1.32%) Adjust time: After 1562 Blocks, About 10.6 days Hashrate(?): 1,153,377,140 GH/s Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 08, 2016, 03:37:51 AM Darn it became 1.32%, but hopefully it'll come down now. Does anyone else feel like we have reached a difficulty peak, and should come back down as summer comes around? Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 160,512,373,038 (+1.32%) Adjust time: After 1562 Blocks, About 10.6 days Hashrate(?): 1,153,377,140 GH/s yes more gear is above the equator so it is warming up and heat becomes a problem. this could hold hash rates down a bit. picks are going to start in about 20-26 hours. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 08, 2016, 03:51:27 AM Looking at the graphs that are available, whatever was turned on right at the adjustment is still on, that hash looks pretty constant and it might not go away. Hopefully that will be the only addition and diff will stay ~ level this period.
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 08, 2016, 07:34:27 AM Well dare I say it, things are looking quite nice at the moment. Yesterday was -7.46% with only 133 Blocks and the Period run rate has been close to Zero for Today so far, (7Hours) so here's hoping it continues that way....
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 08, 2016, 10:48:08 AM Well dare I say it, things are looking quite nice at the moment. Yesterday was -7.46% with only 133 Blocks and the Period run rate has been close to Zero for Today so far, (7Hours) so here's hoping it continues that way.... Rich yeah we are dropping https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 161,800,550,081 (+2.13%) Adjust time: After 1516 Blocks, About 10.2 days >>>>>>>> 100 blocks to the start Hashrate(?): 1,141,928,733 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.1 minutes 6 blocks: 58.1 minutes Updated: 5:45 (2.2 minutes ago) http://btc.blockr.io/charts 3-5-2016 = 152 +8 blocks 3-6-2106 = 147 +3 blocks +11 3-7-2016 = 139 -5 blocks + 6 https://blockchain.info/ 401684 (Main Chain) 2016-03-08 10:30:14 401620 (Main Chain) 2016-03-08 00:03:49 65 blocks in the time it takes for 65 blocks so we are about +7 blocks or 500/493 = +1.41% lots of time for bad things to happen Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: fr4nkthetank on March 08, 2016, 04:21:43 PM A flat diff for the next few months would make me a happy camper. This s7 ain't going to pay itself you know...paid 4.7 btc with shipping, it has returned a little more than half (i havent calculated it exactly), its on kano pool so thats good. To get the other 1/3 to 1/2 in btc....its going to be tough (or long). unless btc increases in price, a flat diff is the best thing to happen for s7 resell value. also would help if bitmain stopped selling freakin batches
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 08, 2016, 04:54:20 PM A flat diff for the next few months would make me a happy camper. This s7 ain't going to pay itself you know...paid 4.7 btc with shipping, it has returned a little more than half (i havent calculated it exactly), its on kano pool so thats good. To get the other 1/3 to 1/2 in btc....its going to be tough (or long). unless btc increases in price, a flat diff is the best thing to happen for s7 resell value. also would help if bitmain stopped selling freakin batches The problem on flat difficulty is there is no facts out there. I still have yet to hear a good reason that is confirmed as fact that could cause huge jumps up multiple periods in a row. Now it's going low... it's crazy Price I'm just hoping does not dive. I keep hoping to be in 440-450 area but I think we have a ways to go till then. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... Setting it up prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 09, 2016, 12:33:06 AM Well I found this story about a new bitcoin mine opeing up in Ghana, http://www.coindesk.com/africa-internet-pioneer-bitcoin-mining-ghana/, but at the end they only claim to have a capacity of "several hundred terahash" which wouldn't show up on a network difficulty adjustment. Of course they could be underselling their capacity... or there could be multiple "small" mines coming online.
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 09, 2016, 12:44:14 AM I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon. +3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha :) @ leowonderful https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 161,866,161,329 (+2.17%) Adjust time: After 1425 Blocks, About 9.6 days >>>>>>>>> 9 more blocks. Hashrate(?): 1,131,798,011 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.2 minutes 6 blocks: 58.4 minutes Updated: 19:40 (3.1 minutes ago) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 162,609,935,806 (+2.64%) Adjust time: After 1416 Blocks, About 9.5 days <<<<<<< we have opened for picks! Hashrate(?): 1,147,579,761 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.0 minutes 6 blocks: 58.0 minutes Updated: 20:20 (2.4 minutes ago) Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 09, 2016, 01:23:24 AM I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon. +3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha :) @ leowonderful picks will start soon so if you want this pick make sure to come back to ask for it when the picks open https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 161,866,161,329 (+2.17%) Adjust time: After 1425 Blocks, About 9.6 days >>>>>>>>> 9 more blocks. Hashrate(?): 1,131,798,011 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.2 minutes 6 blocks: 58.4 minutes Updated: 19:40 (3.1 minutes ago) I want to pick soon.... but i feel like I will be wrong. I did not see it going back to slow low difficulty changes. I thought it might even get worse once bitfury get's perfected and B11 I think it is. Difficulty is honestly guessing at this point. Price heading down a little at 409... so could be better. Hope price goes up. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VRobb on March 09, 2016, 01:46:23 AM I'm keeping my last pick:
+1.3 = VRobb Let's hope it stays nice and level, or even heads down again (unlikely I suspect!) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 09, 2016, 02:39:32 AM I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon. +3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha :) @ leowonderful https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 161,866,161,329 (+2.17%) Adjust time: After 1425 Blocks, About 9.6 days >>>>>>>>> 9 more blocks. Hashrate(?): 1,131,798,011 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.2 minutes 6 blocks: 58.4 minutes Updated: 19:40 (3.1 minutes ago) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 162,609,935,806 (+2.64%) Adjust time: After 1416 Blocks, About 9.5 days <<<<<<< we have opened for picks! Hashrate(?): 1,147,579,761 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.0 minutes 6 blocks: 58.0 minutes Updated: 20:20 (2.4 minutes ago) Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +1.3 = VRobb Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 09, 2016, 08:12:22 AM So Day 3 and the pace seems to have picked up a bit with +6.94% and 154 Blocks. Today has started very aggressively and at 8 Hours in is running at +45%. Some of that will be variance which will wash out during the Day, but I think some Hash has been added. It is of course now lifting the period to date Run Rate which is at +4.6%. Never a dull moment........
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: leowonderful on March 09, 2016, 11:48:52 AM +2.30
Nuff said, i'm gonna be head on now With the current trend beginning to -somewhat- slow down, my conservative 2.30 should be my best prediction yet. You just watch me win. There is NO WAY we will go negative unless some miracle happens. A terrible miracle that would be incredibly cruel. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 09, 2016, 01:20:34 PM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: edonkey on March 09, 2016, 09:20:31 PM Interesting that few are jumping in early this time around ;)
The cats are waiting for more data before deigning to guess. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 09, 2016, 09:45:58 PM Interesting that few are jumping in early this time around ;) The cats are waiting for more data before deigning to guess. smart to wait we are around 3 days away from dead line https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 164,551,712,463 (+3.87%) Adjust time: After 1278 Blocks, About 8.5 days>>>>>>>>>>>> 816 is deadline. Hashrate(?): 1,178,521,779 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.7 minutes 6 blocks: 57.4 minutes Updated: 16:40 (5.1 minutes ago) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 09, 2016, 10:06:31 PM Even at this early date, I think we are looking at an increase (i.e. a positive value). Unfortunately that puts Phil on the wrong side of zero. :)
Magic 8-Ball says "Try again later"..... Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: adaseb on March 09, 2016, 10:47:34 PM +0.0 = adaseb
Whether too early or too late, its next to impossible to predict these difficulty changes. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 09, 2016, 10:49:41 PM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 09, 2016, 11:11:08 PM Even at this early date, I think we are looking at an increase (i.e. a positive value). Unfortunately that puts Phil on the wrong side of zero. :) Magic 8-Ball says "Try again later"..... So far in this period the trend is up, but the good news is that the up trend isn't as vertical as it has been. I'm guessing that averaged with the last adjustment the net will be ~ 0. Phil could multiply his pick by -1 and he might end up in the running. I think if Phil ever wins then that means we all have to send him 0.1btc. ;D Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ingiltere on March 10, 2016, 12:49:13 AM +4.4 = ingiltere
I was about to write lower number but I see +5.17% now so I revised my pick. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ezeminer on March 10, 2016, 02:03:04 AM I'll go for lucky number 7
+7.0 = ezeminer Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 10, 2016, 04:53:57 AM Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,250,983,626 (+4.94%)
Adjust time: After 1230 Blocks, About 8.1 days Hashrate(?): 1,197,902,748 GH/s going up bit by bit ;D Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 10, 2016, 05:40:32 AM +2.7 = HerbPean
Thanks ! Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 10, 2016, 07:19:55 AM So the upward trend continues with Yesterday the biggest day yet at +16.6%, 168 Blocks. However I think things are beginning to stabilise with the runrate this period to date at +4.87% and the run rate Today, 7 Hours in, still finding it's level at +6.3%.
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Amph on March 10, 2016, 07:28:26 AM +6.7 = Amph
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 10, 2016, 11:58:43 AM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +4.4 = ingiltere +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,710,974,684 (+5.23%) >>>>>>>> could be better Adjust time: After 1180 Blocks, About 7.7 days Hashrate(?): 1,190,748,730 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.4 minutes 3 blocks: 28.2 minutes 6 blocks: 56.4 minutes Updated: 6:55 (4.4 minutes ago) that up spike makes me a little worried https://i.imgur.com/jX32eQV.png Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VirosaGITS on March 10, 2016, 06:05:31 PM I'll take
+4.2 = VirosaGITS again, because why not. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: indiemax on March 10, 2016, 07:29:23 PM + 6.6 = indiemax
thanks ;D Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 10, 2016, 08:40:47 PM I still cant make sense of it:
Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s We had 2 in a row of huge increase. Then a negative... which I still cannot understand. This period we will gain that negative amount plus some... will be interesting to see how much though. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: tertius993 on March 10, 2016, 09:34:08 PM I'm going to reverse my successful guess of last time so:
+3.1 = tertius993 However, if I win this one I'd like my winnings to go back in the pot to extend the competition. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 10, 2016, 10:27:38 PM I still cant make sense of it: Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s We had 2 in a row of huge increase. Then a negative... which I still cannot understand. This period we will gain that negative amount plus some... will be interesting to see how much though. I think the big increases are just that, a lot of hash, aided and abetted by the S7 / Avalon6 / approaching Halving / high price / impending Holiday, was added by the big farms. I think it was those very large increases that then caused the negative. When any system changes by a large amount in a short period of time the mechanism that is controlling it tends to overcompensate (aka adjusting the shower temperature to quickly) and I think that is what the last difficulty change did. We are now coming back from the overcorrection and probably a small increase on top of that? Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on March 10, 2016, 11:10:07 PM +5.8 = flikflak
guessing a perfect 1.2 EH/s Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 10, 2016, 11:26:32 PM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.8 = flikflak + 6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HagssFIN on March 10, 2016, 11:33:24 PM I'm guessing a high jump :S
+7.5 = HagssFIN Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 11, 2016, 05:18:40 AM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.8 = flikflak + 6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer +7.5 = HagssFIN Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 11, 2016, 07:30:49 AM Yesterday was 7.64% 155 Blocks. Run Rate for the period so far is currently sitting at 6.5%, so looks like we are headed onward & upwards.....
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: blindminer on March 11, 2016, 12:14:25 PM +5.2 = blindminer
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 11, 2016, 01:17:01 PM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.2 = blindminer +5.8 = flikflak + 6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer +7.5 = HagssFIN Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: edonkey on March 11, 2016, 01:18:31 PM +7.2 = edonkey
The cats are still giddy over the last reduction. They're playing like crazy (sometimes in the middle of the night, which is not much fun for my wife and I). But at least they're not hiding under the couch anymore due to the insane increases we suffered. Still it was a bit painful getting this guess out of them. Anything north of a few percent rankles their fur. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 11, 2016, 01:22:54 PM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.2 = blindminer +5.8 = flikflak + 6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alfacro on March 11, 2016, 03:43:32 PM + 9.0 = alfacro
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Psi on March 11, 2016, 03:50:13 PM +12.4 = psi I'll buy into the some big farm breaking out new equipment theory
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 11, 2016, 05:54:18 PM Picks are now open I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.2 = blindminer +5.8 = flikflak + 6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 11, 2016, 06:23:53 PM Really not moving a ton right now kinda in same spot in bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,349,397,372 (+5.00%) Adjust time: After 978 Blocks, About 6.4 days Hashrate(?): 1,265,158,995 GH/s Price has went up a little to over 420 in past 24 hours... so nothing big but still headed in right direction. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: fr4nkthetank on March 11, 2016, 07:53:19 PM +5.6 = fr4nkthetank
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 12, 2016, 07:04:22 AM +6.5 = mavericklm
wanted 6.66 ;D Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: radiumsoup on March 12, 2016, 07:13:08 AM +6.0 = radiumsoup
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 12, 2016, 07:37:45 AM So the rate seems to be stabilising, Yesterday was +11.11%, 160 Blocks and the Run rate for the Period so far is currently at +6.2%. Will be leaving my pick to the last moment which will be later Today around 19:00. :)
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: pusttiu on March 12, 2016, 08:37:34 AM +5.5 =pusttiu
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: zebedee on March 12, 2016, 09:49:24 AM +6.4 = zebedee
Thx Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: lanfeusst on March 12, 2016, 11:01:26 AM +8.8 = lanfeusst
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 12, 2016, 11:33:46 AM +5.4 = alh
I am afraid our recent decrease will prove to be a "blip", rather than the start of a trend. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 12, 2016, 12:26:38 PM Picks are now open
I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 167,085,621,895 (+5.47%) Adjust time: After 868 Blocks, About 5.7 days >>>>> picks end in 52 blocks at 816 Hashrate(?): 1,225,158,934 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.4 minutes 3 blocks: 28.2 minutes 6 blocks: 56.5 minutes Updated: 7:25 (54.0 seconds ago) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Kexkey on March 12, 2016, 03:10:18 PM +7.8 = Kexkey
Can't wait to see the chaos following the halving... Chaos with confirmation wait time, difficulty, user satisfaction, and between the two sides of the debate screaming "We told you we should have ..." :D Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 12, 2016, 03:12:24 PM Picks are now open
I pick -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over. +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,759,602,980 (+5.26%) Adjust time: After 852 Blocks, About 5.6 days >>>> 36 blocks left before picks are closed Hashrate(?): 1,221,184,530 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.4 minutes 3 blocks: 28.3 minutes 6 blocks: 56.6 minutes Updated: 10:10 (3.3 minutes ago) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: tlhIlwI on March 12, 2016, 03:18:33 PM +5.0 = tlhIlwI
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 12, 2016, 03:20:21 PM -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over
+0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,748,190,651 (+5.25%) Adjust time: After 848 Blocks, About 5.6 days >>>>>>>>>>>>>> 32 blocks left Hashrate(?): 1,220,910,635 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.4 minutes 3 blocks: 28.4 minutes 6 blocks: 56.7 minutes Updated: 10:30 (1.4 minutes ago) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: wpt1wpt1 on March 12, 2016, 05:18:36 PM +5.7 = wpt1wpt1
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 12, 2016, 07:11:42 PM Last few days had seen an upward trend emerging, however to make things difficult that has been pulling back Today. However I am going to assume that the rate pick up a bit..... So only about 10 Blocks to go so time for a pick.
+6.8 = RichBC Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: wlefever on March 12, 2016, 07:15:39 PM +5.1 = wlefever
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 12, 2016, 10:13:41 PM +5.1 = wlefever you are the last one for this time Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 12, 2016, 10:17:56 PM -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.7 = wpt1wpt1 +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +6.8 = RichBC +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi closed https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,296,711,234 (+4.97%) Adjust time: After 807 Blocks, About 5.3 days Hashrate(?): 1,235,700,859 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.5 minutes 3 blocks: 28.5 minutes 6 blocks: 57.0 minutes Updated: 17:15 (2.6 minutes ago) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: tss on March 13, 2016, 03:32:17 AM looks like i missed it. i would have said +4.8
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 13, 2016, 05:10:47 AM looks like i missed it. i would have said +4.8 I missed it to I have been sick this week. Finnaly able to type more then a few words. I tried to do a few posts earlier in week... by the time I got to end they were some of the ugliest posts I had ever done.. so did not put much this week. I think around 5 would be my guess. I still can't explain why we went crazy jumps and slowed down. Makes 0 sense to me, and what scares me is it could happen again. I think when next gen hits spec we will see some big jumps, but when... no clue. Also could still see some jumps from some making last gen ROI. I would imagine bitmain still could do S7's internally and make ROI a few times. But if they do ... that is the question. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 13, 2016, 05:43:53 AM looks like i missed it. i would have said +4.8 I missed it to I have been sick this week. Finnaly able to type more then a few words. Hope everything is ok ! Get well Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 13, 2016, 08:25:12 AM So Yesterday was fairly unique with exactly 144 Blocks. Also the downward trend that started Yesterday has continued with us off to a very slow start this Morning. As ever to early in the Day to tell but with luck some Hash has been removed from the network? Today's run rate, 8 Hours in, is -3.8% and run rate for this Period to date +4.95%.
If this trend were to continue we could end up zero or negative, but I suspect things will pick up... Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 13, 2016, 11:18:45 AM So Yesterday was fairly unique with exactly 144 Blocks. Also the downward trend that started Yesterday has continued with us off to a very slow start this Morning. As ever to early in the Day to tell but with luck some Hash has been removed from the network? Today's run rate, 8 Hours in, is -3.8% and run rate for this Period to date +4.95%. If this trend were to continue we could end up zero or negative, but I suspect things will pick up... Rich https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,756,426,406 (+4.63%) this is looking better Adjust time: After 741 Blocks, About 4.9 days Hashrate(?): 1,172,882,938 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.5 minutes 3 blocks: 28.6 minutes 6 blocks: 57.1 minutes Updated: 7:15 (3.0 minutes ago Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Chris_Sabian on March 13, 2016, 02:44:30 PM looks like i missed it. i would have said +4.8 I missed it too. I was busy with a project and forgot to check the forum for a bit. Oh well. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 13, 2016, 04:32:58 PM -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.7 = wpt1wpt1 +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +6.8 = RichBC +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi Picks are closed https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,722,774,987 (+4.60%) Adjust time: After 706 Blocks, About 4.7 days Hashrate(?): 1,178,586,583 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.6 minutes 6 blocks: 57.3 minutes Updated: 12:30 (1.7 minutes ago) https://blockchain.info/blocks 402493 (Main Chain) 2016-03-13 16:19:04 402401 (Main Chain) 2016-03-13 00:05:57 93 blocks made in 16 ½ hours means 93/99 = -6.06% rate for those 16 ½ hours would be nice for this to do just that for the next few days. A -6% rate for the next 706 blocks would drop us close to 1% something to hope for Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 13, 2016, 06:54:45 PM Bitwisdom continues to lower:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 164,885,616,625 (+4.08%) Adjust time: After 698 Blocks, About 4.7 days Hashrate(?): 1,162,572,972 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.9 minutes 6 blocks: 57.7 minutes Price is around 412, so not horrible but could be better. I am surprised if we get a lower number then 4 that is a pretty good difficulty change anymore. I could be happy with this change. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 13, 2016, 10:07:54 PM Yes the downward trend that started Yesterday has continued with the run rate Today currently at -10%. If this continues, here's hoping.... Then this Period could be a Zero or another negative? :)
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 13, 2016, 11:33:56 PM Yes the downward trend that started Yesterday has continued with the run rate Today currently at -10%. If this continues, here's hoping.... Then this Period could be a Zero or another negative? :) Rich sshhhh stick with +1% then when it comes -1.11% I will roll it over. ;D Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on March 13, 2016, 11:43:08 PM According to www.blockchain.info/stats there are only 168 nodes connected (slowly rising, normal is 300+). Maybe thats why we have seen the lower hashrate yesterday.
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 13, 2016, 11:44:01 PM Yes the downward trend that started Yesterday has continued with the run rate Today currently at -10%. If this continues, here's hoping.... Then this Period could be a Zero or another negative? :) Rich If we get another negative... I will even more confused. It was like we had a race going on lots of hash hitting all around.... then negative. If we get another negative I for sure will not know what to think. I wish I knew if someone was planning on upgrade soon and clearing spots, that would make sense. Or A1's finnaly coming out of commission in china data centers. I have thought about a ton of theories every day but non can be backed up by facts. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mu77aL on March 13, 2016, 11:44:29 PM +5.2 or stable :o
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 14, 2016, 03:19:47 AM +5.2 or stable :o Well blindminer would hope you are correct since 5.2 is his pick😀 Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 14, 2016, 03:27:36 AM looks like i missed it. i would have said +4.8 I missed it too. I was busy with a project and forgot to check the forum for a bit. Oh well. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 14, 2016, 03:37:57 AM yeah blockchain was way down today.
https://blockchain.info/blocks/1457840530297 402533 (Main Chain) 2016-03-13 23:58:01 402401 (Main Chain) 2016-03-13 00:05:57 133 blocks -11 Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 14, 2016, 04:59:51 AM atm +3.29%
nice! Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 14, 2016, 07:01:27 AM So the Downward trend for the Period continues, as to what is going on? It could just be that there is very little going on, with all that we have seen so far being nothing more than Variance and we are going to end up around Zero for the Period with no net loss or gain in Hash on the Network?
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 14, 2016, 12:40:49 PM So the Downward trend for the Period continues, as to what is going on? It could just be that there is very little going on, with all that we have seen so far being nothing more than Variance and we are going to end up around Zero for the Period with no net loss or gain in Hash on the Network? Rich https://blockchain.info/blocks Height Time 402616 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 12:37:02 402534 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 00:00:56 83 blocks in 12 ½ hours should be 75 so pace has picked back up Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 14, 2016, 05:20:21 PM So the Downward trend for the Period continues, as to what is going on? It could just be that there is very little going on, with all that we have seen so far being nothing more than Variance and we are going to end up around Zero for the Period with no net loss or gain in Hash on the Network? Rich https://blockchain.info/blocks Height Time 402616 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 12:37:02 402534 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 00:00:56 83 blocks in 12 ½ hours should be 75 so pace has picked back up Price is up just a little around 413 atm. It's been hanging around that number up and down a little for past 24 hours. Decent article on price: http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-stabilizes-at-420-but-still-moving-sideways/ What do you guys think is the debates on size holding price down? Or think it's a number of other factors. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 14, 2016, 05:53:35 PM So the Downward trend for the Period continues, as to what is going on? It could just be that there is very little going on, with all that we have seen so far being nothing more than Variance and we are going to end up around Zero for the Period with no net loss or gain in Hash on the Network? Rich https://blockchain.info/blocks Height Time 402616 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 12:37:02 402534 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 00:00:56 83 blocks in 12 ½ hours should be 75 so pace has picked back up Price is up just a little around 413 atm. It's been hanging around that number up and down a little for past 24 hours. Decent article on price: http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-stabilizes-at-420-but-still-moving-sideways/ What do you guys think is the debates on size holding price down? Or think it's a number of other factors. The size or classic vs core node issue is sending money into alt coins.. ETH NMC UNO PPC all had good rallies. As much as I prefer BTC right now I am hedging with PPC and I have more then 1200 PPC coins. I also sold some btc for fiat as this block size war has me a bit nervous. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 14, 2016, 10:32:47 PM So the Downward trend for the Period continues, as to what is going on? It could just be that there is very little going on, with all that we have seen so far being nothing more than Variance and we are going to end up around Zero for the Period with no net loss or gain in Hash on the Network? Rich https://blockchain.info/blocks Height Time 402616 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 12:37:02 402534 (Main Chain) 2016-03-14 00:00:56 83 blocks in 12 ½ hours should be 75 so pace has picked back up Price is up just a little around 413 atm. It's been hanging around that number up and down a little for past 24 hours. Decent article on price: http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-stabilizes-at-420-but-still-moving-sideways/ What do you guys think is the debates on size holding price down? Or think it's a number of other factors. The size or classic vs core node issue is sending money into alt coins.. ETH NMC UNO PPC all had good rallies. As much as I prefer BTC right now I am hedging with PPC and I have more then 1200 PPC coins. I also sold some btc for fiat as this block size war has me a bit nervous. It seems to be a debate that does not go away. Some of the more radical ideas on fixing it are what scare me. I think it's going to be a tough battle on it. Guess it's another one of those wait and see. And I really don't like wait and see things that I don't have a solid anwser what future will be. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 14, 2016, 10:39:31 PM I know this much, the answer isn't as simple as "make blocks bigger". If it were we'd of solved it a while ago.
I do not like the XT or classic fork attempts, to me that is two guys trying to hijack the entire bitcoin network and bring it under their control via a fork. The answer to the block size problem has not been found yet, but it will be in time, and it will be solved more eloquently than simply proving bigger blocks. At least price is holding above $400 and not tanking like the last time the block size debate was raging full strength and XT came out. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 15, 2016, 12:04:32 AM I know this much, the answer isn't as simple as "make blocks bigger". If it were we'd of solved it a while ago. I do not like the XT or classic fork attempts, to me that is two guys trying to hijack the entire bitcoin network and bring it under their control via a fork. The answer to the block size problem has not been found yet, but it will be in time, and it will be solved more eloquently than simply proving bigger blocks. At least price is holding above $400 and not tanking like the last time the block size debate was raging full strength and XT came out. No I agree long term solve is not to endlessly expand it. (block size) But I feel a move to 2mb and revisit this in December or January would be a good short term solution. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Kexkey on March 15, 2016, 01:50:55 AM I do not like the XT or classic fork attempts, to me that is two guys trying to hijack the entire bitcoin network and bring it under their control via a fork. It's actually not a "fork attempt", but an attempt to solve a problem. You see, the goal is not the fork, it's the improvement. The way we see it can have an impact on our reactions and opinions. The perceptions of the taken actions are often more important than the actions themselves. I don't think hijacking the entire Bitcoin network by controlling it is something possible. Do you? Ethereum just forked. Nice and easy. You know why everything went smoothly? Because people agreed even if they didn't think exactly the same. Quote The answer to the block size problem has not been found yet, but it will be in time, and it will be solved more eloquently than simply proving bigger blocks. It will be a combination of every good ideas, including block size limit increase. The question is: when? Will it be too late? My fear is halving will be catastrophic. That being said, I'm confident there will be peace and great things will happen with Bitcoin after the halving and scaling issues are solved. :) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 15, 2016, 04:01:39 AM I know this much, the answer isn't as simple as "make blocks bigger". If it were we'd of solved it a while ago. I do not like the XT or classic fork attempts, to me that is two guys trying to hijack the entire bitcoin network and bring it under their control via a fork. The answer to the block size problem has not been found yet, but it will be in time, and it will be solved more eloquently than simply proving bigger blocks. At least price is holding above $400 and not tanking like the last time the block size debate was raging full strength and XT came out. I think you are right about certain people trying to control what happens next. I'm not sure on the amount but a few I have seen.... put themself or company obviously as benefiting from decisions. I think we will battle it for a while sadly as so many have hidden agenda's. And even if something is decided.... after the ones who "lost" will keep putting out info. So hard for anyone to win. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 15, 2016, 04:09:32 AM I know this much, the answer isn't as simple as "make blocks bigger". If it were we'd of solved it a while ago. I do not like the XT or classic fork attempts, to me that is two guys trying to hijack the entire bitcoin network and bring it under their control via a fork. The answer to the block size problem has not been found yet, but it will be in time, and it will be solved more eloquently than simply proving bigger blocks. At least price is holding above $400 and not tanking like the last time the block size debate was raging full strength and XT came out. I think you are right about certain people trying to control what happens next. I'm not sure on the amount but a few I have seen.... put themself or company obviously as benefiting from decisions. I think we will battle it for a while sadly as so many have hidden agenda's. And even if something is decided.... after the ones who "lost" will keep putting out info. So hard for anyone to win. It is why I like baby steps. The move to 2mb is stop gap but here in NJ and in any cold weather place with asphalt based roads in the spring road crews come out on a good weather day and patch winter caused potholes. Everyone knows it is temporary fix but they do the temporary fix when they can in order to give some time to users of the road with a better fix down the road. This temporary pot hole patch would be helpful in that it would show people can agree on some thing short term. They maybe we can assess how it works in the short term. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 15, 2016, 05:00:41 AM It's actually not a "fork attempt", but an attempt to solve a problem. You see, the goal is not the fork, it's the improvement. The first five words at https://bitcoinclassic.com/ is "We are hard forking bitcoin", that looks pretty clearly like a fork attempt to me.I do not agree their goal is improvement, I think that is a byproduct, a way to entice people over to their fork and seize development control. I don't think hijacking the entire Bitcoin network by controlling it is something possible. There was a statement in the faq on the xt site (that probably exists somewhere on the classic site, too) that gave all dispute resolution powers to 2 developers - hardly what I would call decentralized. I don't trust people with agenda like that.Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 15, 2016, 06:53:25 AM So we pushed up a little bit during the first half of Yesterday and finished with +5.56% add 152 blocks. Since then we have been running flat with the Period Run Rate now at +4%
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: valkir on March 15, 2016, 10:33:50 AM Oups missed this one! :P
The new diff is way better. 3-4 % is acceptable. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Kexkey on March 15, 2016, 12:30:27 PM It's actually not a "fork attempt", but an attempt to solve a problem. You see, the goal is not the fork, it's the improvement. The first five words at https://bitcoinclassic.com/ is "We are hard forking bitcoin", that looks pretty clearly like a fork attempt to me.I do not agree their goal is improvement, I think that is a byproduct, a way to entice people over to their fork and seize development control. Well that's why I was talking about perceptions, if your perception is their goal is to take over Bitcoin, you'll interpret everything they say that way. But if you take a step back and think, their solution is to increase the max block size and the only way to achieve it is by a hard fork, so technically that's what they develop. The way they express it on the site is direct, probably to be as clear as possible and not trying to hide the hard fork path. BTW, I'm trying to be as objective as possible when I say that. There's no obvious choice in this story. I actually think the best thing would have been Core increasing the max block size earlier. Everybody would be working on all the other ways to scale and productivity would not be slowed down by media/community management. All the drama would have been inexistent and developers would all be drinking beer together. :) Quote I don't think hijacking the entire Bitcoin network by controlling it is something possible. There was a statement in the faq on the xt site (that probably exists somewhere on the classic site, too) that gave all dispute resolution powers to 2 developers - hardly what I would call decentralized. I don't trust people with agenda like that.I don't trust people with hidden agenda neither. Once again, are you sure their intentions were to control the system, or maybe it was to propose a way to break deadlocks with some kind of benevolent dictatorship or whatever like the way it works in a lot of other open source projects? I don't have the answer, I actually don't know a lot about anything, but I'm good in asking questions to make sure everything has been well thought. ;) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 15, 2016, 01:14:20 PM It's actually not a "fork attempt", but an attempt to solve a problem. You see, the goal is not the fork, it's the improvement. The first five words at https://bitcoinclassic.com/ is "We are hard forking bitcoin", that looks pretty clearly like a fork attempt to me.I do not agree their goal is improvement, I think that is a byproduct, a way to entice people over to their fork and seize development control. Well that's why I was talking about perceptions, if your perception is their goal is to take over Bitcoin, you'll interpret everything they say that way. But if you take a step back and think, their solution is to increase the max block size and the only way to achieve it is by a hard fork, so technically that's what they develop. The way they express it on the site is direct, probably to be as clear as possible and not trying to hide the hard fork path. BTW, I'm trying to be as objective as possible when I say that. There's no obvious choice in this story. I actually think the best thing would have been Core increasing the max block size earlier. Everybody would be working on all the other ways to scale and productivity would not be slowed down by media/community management. All the drama would have been inexistent and developers would all be drinking beer together. :) Quote I don't think hijacking the entire Bitcoin network by controlling it is something possible. There was a statement in the faq on the xt site (that probably exists somewhere on the classic site, too) that gave all dispute resolution powers to 2 developers - hardly what I would call decentralized. I don't trust people with agenda like that.I don't trust people with hidden agenda neither. Once again, are you sure their intentions were to control the system, or maybe it was to propose a way to break deadlocks with some kind of benevolent dictatorship or whatever like the way it works in a lot of other open source projects? I don't have the answer, I actually don't know a lot about anything, but I'm good in asking questions to make sure everything has been well thought. ;) yeah so simple but noooooo! well maybe it works out better with the fighting then with a simple idea being done. ::) meanwhile the diff is about 5% https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,334,041,833 (+4.99%) Adjust time: After 430 Blocks, About 2.8 days >>>>>>>> some time friday we find the exact number. Hashrate(?): 1,145,463,919 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.5 minutes 3 blocks: 28.4 minutes 6 blocks: 56.8 minutes Updated: 9:10 (3.5 minutes ago) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 15, 2016, 05:09:52 PM It would appear that heavy math and cryptography don't actually eliminate the "human element" from Bitcoin. As long as folks "trust it", it can work. Remove that, and no amount of math will save it (IMHO).
In some ways it's kind of amusing to watch. As always: Don't spend/invest/waste more on Bitcoin than you can afford to lose (please don't take offense at the word "waste"). Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 15, 2016, 05:20:25 PM It would appear that heavy math and cryptography don't actually eliminate the "human element" from Bitcoin. As long as folks "trust it", it can work. Remove that, and no amount of math will save it (IMHO). In some ways it's kind of amusing to watch. As always: Don't spend/invest/waste more on Bitcoin than you can afford to lose (please don't take offense at the word "waste"). Set a max loss cap and do not go over it is simply the best way to think about the game. Or as you say do not spend/invest/waste more on Bitcoin than you can afford to lose. Note: I cut waste but not because I find it offensive. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 16, 2016, 03:57:35 AM If we end up under 5... i will be decently happy. I can handle jumps in this area with a little over 2 day's left it's looking possible.
I for the life of me cannot explain the negative last change. And that still scares me, I just have not seen a good verified reason. I am still hoping for a while of current gen mining before next gen. Eventually we are going to hit next gen, and I see some big jumps coming there. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 16, 2016, 07:09:02 AM So Yesterday was +11.81% with 161 Blocks, however we seem to have stabilised the period run Rate for the last couple of days in the band +3% to +5% There is if anything a very slight upward trend so hopefully we will end up between +4% & +6%.
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: usenet on March 16, 2016, 08:40:05 AM The problem with block size will be explained in my opinion.
This will become an impulse for the strong growth on BTC/USD pair. Uncertainty about the future of BTC makes a lot of people coming out of the BTC. BTC is accumulated by the strong hands. It's part of my hypothesis. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Kexkey on March 16, 2016, 12:02:52 PM It would appear that heavy math and cryptography don't actually eliminate the "human element" from Bitcoin. As long as folks "trust it", it can work. Remove that, and no amount of math will save it (IMHO). Makes sense. Until robots, IoT, autonomous systems, become massive users of Bitcoin. :) I guess then trust in the system won't be a factor for it to survive. Nodes are run by humans... For now. Well it could actually be a realty in the future that nodes will be run by the autonomous systems using it. lol Who knows! :) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 16, 2016, 04:33:42 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,039,852,686 (+4.81%) Adjust time: After 250 Blocks, About 1.7 days Hashrate(?): 1,183,867,619 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.6 minutes 6 blocks: 57.3 minutes Updated: 12:30 (3.3 minutes ago) -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.7 = wpt1wpt1 +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +6.8 = RichBC +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi the group in bold is the closest. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 16, 2016, 04:47:11 PM It's also interesting that BTC price has been pretty much stuck in a narrow trading range (as I recall). No major swings, up or down. Unfortunately it's been stuck around $415, and not $450.
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 16, 2016, 05:18:50 PM It can stay stuck at $415 for as long as it wants as far as I'm concerned, it was stuck at $215 for too long!
I am kind of excited for the halving to get here, I think it's going to kill off a lot of the big farms, we might just see home mining become viable again. If not this halving then almost certainly the one following, unless btc price goes to the moon. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 16, 2016, 05:54:19 PM It can stay stuck at $415 for as long as it wants as far as I'm concerned, it was stuck at $215 for too long! I am kind of excited for the halving to get here, I think it's going to kill off a lot of the big farms, we might just see home mining become viable again. If not this halving then almost certainly the one following, unless btc price goes to the moon. The problem is if they kill off the big farms, this means most hobby/home miners are gone. And if that happens I see BTC going down in price, but I could be wrong. The big farms I think will still be here for the most part though. I think there are two paths most will follow. 1) They have so low of electricity they keep running and it makes no difference to them 2) With info structure already built they switch to next gen gear and are good for quite a while running it. I would agree though I'm ready for having just to see what it does. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 16, 2016, 08:37:51 PM It can stay stuck at $415 for as long as it wants as far as I'm concerned, it was stuck at $215 for too long! I am kind of excited for the halving to get here, I think it's going to kill off a lot of the big farms, we might just see home mining become viable again. If not this halving then almost certainly the one following, unless btc price goes to the moon. The problem is if they kill off the big farms, this means most hobby/home miners are gone. And if that happens I see BTC going down in price, but I could be wrong. The big farms I think will still be here for the most part though. I think there are two paths most will follow. 1) They have so low of electricity they keep running and it makes no difference to them 2) With info structure already built they switch to next gen gear and are good for quite a while running it. I would agree though I'm ready for having just to see what it does. Need to remember that we have just been through an unofficial, difficulty driven, halving. What we saw was some older miners being removed by Bitmain & BW plus I expect most other Farms. So a small pullback in difficulty but then back to business as usual. I think so long as the 14 / 16nm products are available in time we will see the same again. Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 16, 2016, 09:11:35 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 167,402,752,877 (+5.67%) Adjust time: After 215 Blocks, About 1.4 days Hashrate(?): 1,213,604,553 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.5 minutes 3 blocks: 28.4 minutes 6 blocks: 56.8 minutes Updated: 17:5 (4.2 minutes ago) -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.7 = wpt1wpt1 +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +6.8 = RichBC +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi the group in bold is the closest. with 215 blocks left https://blockchain.info/ 402985 (Main Chain) 2016-03-16 21:02:19 402847 (Main Chain) 2016-03-16 00:10:46 139 blocks in the time for 127 so we will be near 158 for the day Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ingiltere on March 16, 2016, 10:00:54 PM Why is it going up again? It was going down for days, I thought my pick was very close but now it's back to +5.50 again. Miners played with my feelings. :(
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 16, 2016, 10:48:38 PM Why is it going up again? Well, here's a new Chinese pool I just stumbled upon and its already sporting 30+PH: http://www.1hash.com/Pools like this is why diff is going up again. I'm not sure who is behind 1hash, but I bet there are a couple other pools out there of decent size that not many of us in the west have heard of yet. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 17, 2016, 04:00:39 AM Why is it going up again? It was going down for days, I thought my pick was very close but now it's back to +5.50 again. Miners played with my feelings. :( It's so hard to follow right now speculation is pretty crappy. We just don't have enough facts to know reasons. Just like hitting negative... lots of people guessed there were rumors. But nothing official. Price is not horrible at 417. Could be better but I wont be to sad with current price. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 17, 2016, 04:03:55 AM +5.08% at this moment and very slowly up
where is bitfurry?! bw?! Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 17, 2016, 01:02:41 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,607,907,362 (+4.53%) Adjust time: After 131 Blocks, About 21.0 hours Hashrate(?): 1,211,944,772 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.9 minutes 6 blocks: 57.7 minutes Updated: 9:0 (1.7 minutes ago) -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.7 = wpt1wpt1 +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +6.8 = RichBC +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi the group in bold is the closest. with 131 blocks left Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HagssFIN on March 17, 2016, 02:09:03 PM Exciting..
Quote Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,685,950,107 (+4.58%) Adjust time: After 122 Blocks, About 19.6 hours Hashrate(?): 1,218,052,943 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 28.9 minutes 6 blocks: 57.9 minutes Updated: 16:0 (8.4 minutes ago If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1218000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.4% If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1220000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.58% How I came up with this estimate: Based on history, difficulty divided by the hash rate (GH/s) equals approx. 139,69838.. and it has been about this way through the difficulty history. 139,69838 * 1218000000 equals difficulty of 170152626840 139,69838 * 1220000000 equals difficulty of 170432023600 Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 17, 2016, 04:16:09 PM Exciting.. Quote Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,685,950,107 (+4.58%) Adjust time: After 122 Blocks, About 19.6 hours Hashrate(?): 1,218,052,943 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 28.9 minutes 6 blocks: 57.9 minutes Updated: 16:0 (8.4 minutes ago If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1218000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.4% If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1220000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.58% How I came up with this estimate: Based on history, difficulty divided by the hash rate (GH/s) equals approx. 139,69838.. and it has been about this way through the difficulty history. 139,69838 * 1218000000 equals difficulty of 170152626840 139,69838 * 1220000000 equals difficulty of 170432023600 yeah but that 1218ph is not for the last 1850 blocks. by the way it would be good for you if it where as your guess was 7.5 iirc ;D here is the best "real time" lazy number https://bitcoincharts.com/ Blocks 403094 Total BTC 15.327M Difficulty 158427203767 Estimated 165490408235 in 106 blks Network total 1103595.192 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.84 / 617 s divide 16549 by 15842 = 1.044628 or 4.4628% jump with 106 blocks the best 'real time' number is 2016/336 = 6 that is zero % so I think block 401194 was the first block this diff jump 403095 (Main Chain) 2016-03-17 16:17:52 so 1901 blocks in 304 hours 20 minutes should be 1826 = 4.11% I am not sure and need to check this I checked and got this 401184 (Main Chain) 2016-03-04 23:25:56 403096 (Main Chain) 2016-03-17 16:30:08 1912 blocks in 305 hours should be 1830 so 1912/1830 = 4.48% with 104 to go Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 17, 2016, 04:26:59 PM Is it just me, or does BTCQuote appear to be stuck at $413.36?
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 17, 2016, 04:34:14 PM Is it just me, or does BTCQuote appear to be stuck at $413.36? It would not be the first time it happened. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HagssFIN on March 17, 2016, 04:43:53 PM Exciting.. Quote Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,685,950,107 (+4.58%) Adjust time: After 122 Blocks, About 19.6 hours Hashrate(?): 1,218,052,943 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 28.9 minutes 6 blocks: 57.9 minutes Updated: 16:0 (8.4 minutes ago If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1218000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.4% If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1220000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.58% How I came up with this estimate: Based on history, difficulty divided by the hash rate (GH/s) equals approx. 139,69838.. and it has been about this way through the difficulty history. 139,69838 * 1218000000 equals difficulty of 170152626840 139,69838 * 1220000000 equals difficulty of 170432023600 yeah but that 1218ph is not for the last 1850 blocks. by the way it would be good for you if it where as your guess was 7.5 iirc ;D here is the best "real time" lazy number https://bitcoincharts.com/ Blocks 403094 Total BTC 15.327M Difficulty 158427203767 Estimated 165490408235 in 106 blks Network total 1103595.192 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.84 / 617 s divide 16549 by 15842 = 1.044628 or 4.4628% jump with 106 blocks the best 'real time' number is 2016/336 = 6 that is zero % so I think block 401194 was the first block this diff jump 403095 (Main Chain) 2016-03-17 16:17:52 so 1901 blocks in 304 hours 20 minutes should be 1826 = 4.11% I am not sure and need to check this I checked and got this 401184 (Main Chain) 2016-03-04 23:25:56 403096 (Main Chain) 2016-03-17 16:30:08 1912 blocks in 305 hours should be 1830 so 1912/1830 = 4.48% with 104 to go Oh, yeah. I didn't notice that it was an average of last 504 blocks. So the hash rates shown in the history are always an average of 2016 blocks? So the theory stands the same, but I got the hash rate numbers wrong. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 17, 2016, 04:44:45 PM i say 4-20 !!!
:P Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 17, 2016, 05:41:29 PM Exciting.. Quote Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,685,950,107 (+4.58%) Adjust time: After 122 Blocks, About 19.6 hours Hashrate(?): 1,218,052,943 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 28.9 minutes 6 blocks: 57.9 minutes Updated: 16:0 (8.4 minutes ago If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1218000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.4% If the hash rate at the moment of difficulty change is ~1220000000 GH/s, difficulty rises approx. +7.58% How I came up with this estimate: Based on history, difficulty divided by the hash rate (GH/s) equals approx. 139,69838.. and it has been about this way through the difficulty history. 139,69838 * 1218000000 equals difficulty of 170152626840 139,69838 * 1220000000 equals difficulty of 170432023600 yeah but that 1218ph is not for the last 1850 blocks. by the way it would be good for you if it where as your guess was 7.5 iirc ;D here is the best "real time" lazy number https://bitcoincharts.com/ Blocks 403094 Total BTC 15.327M Difficulty 158427203767 Estimated 165490408235 in 106 blks Network total 1103595.192 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.84 / 617 s divide 16549 by 15842 = 1.044628 or 4.4628% jump with 106 blocks the best 'real time' number is 2016/336 = 6 that is zero % so I think block 401194 was the first block this diff jump 403095 (Main Chain) 2016-03-17 16:17:52 so 1901 blocks in 304 hours 20 minutes should be 1826 = 4.11% I am not sure and need to check this I checked and got this 401184 (Main Chain) 2016-03-04 23:25:56 403096 (Main Chain) 2016-03-17 16:30:08 1912 blocks in 305 hours should be 1830 so 1912/1830 = 4.48% with 104 to go Oh, yeah. I didn't notice that it was an average of last 504 blocks. So the hash rates shown in the history are always an average of 2016 blocks? So the theory stands the same, but I got the hash rate numbers wrong. yeah this set of numbers below are the full 2016 block for each adjustment. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty go to bottom of the page Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s Jan 26 2016 120,033,340,651 5.89% 859,232,121 GH/s Jan 13 2016 113,354,299,801 9.12% 811,421,684 GH/s Dec 31 2015 103,880,340,815 11.16% 743,604,444 GH/s Dec 18 2015 93,448,670,796 18.14% 668,931,642 GH/s Dec 06 2015 79,102,380,900 8.77% 566,236,898 GH/s Nov 24 2015 72,722,780,643 10.44% 520,569,941 GH/s Nov 11 2015 65,848,255,180 5.77% 471,360,171 GH/s Oct 29 2015 62,253,982,450 2.25% 445,631,364 GH/s Oct 15 2015 60,883,825,480 0.12% 435,823,399 GH/s Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s Sep 17 2015 59,335,351,234 4.17% 424,738,988 GH/s Sep 04 2015 56,957,648,455 4.98% 407,718,729 GH/s Aug 22 2015 54,256,630,328 2.95% 388,384,088 GH/s Aug 08 2015 52,699,842,409 0.81% 377,240,166 GH/s Jul 25 2015 52,278,304,846 2.35% 374,222,683 GH/s Jul 11 2015 51,076,366,303 3.39% 365,618,871 GH/s Jun 28 2015 49,402,014,931 -0.58% 353,633,397 GH/s Jun 14 2015 49,692,386,355 4.42% 355,711,957 GH/s May 31 2015 47,589,591,154 -2.50% 340,659,563 GH/s May 17 2015 48,807,487,245 2.44% 349,377,603 GH/s May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s Jun 18 2014 13,462,580,115 14.51% 96,368,902 GH/s Jun 05 2014 11,756,551,917 12.44% 84,156,677 GH/s © 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 17, 2016, 08:33:54 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,198,333,679 (+4.27%) Adjust time: After 83 Blocks, About 13.4 hours Hashrate(?): 1,187,425,646 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.1 minutes 6 blocks: 58.2 minutes Updated: 16:30 (2.7 minutes ago) -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.7 = wpt1wpt1 +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +6.8 = RichBC +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi the group in bold is the closest. with 83 blocks left If we drop just a little bit to 3.9 we end up have 40 days of 1% growth. On feb 19 we were diff of 163.5 on mar 4 we were diff of 158.4 on march 17 we would be a diff of 164.6 that would last to march 30 or so so from feb 19 to march 30 we would be 163.5 + 158.4 + 164.6 = 162.1 average for a 40 day time period. If I had said on feb 19 we would average 162.1 diff from until march 30 most everyone would say you are fucking nuts. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 17, 2016, 08:46:28 PM Well if we end up with less then 5 I cant complaign to much. I'm pretty happy with that compared to some other changes. Also price is up just a tad at 418. So guess not to bad.
Part of me is ready to see next gen gear hit.... and other half if wanting to ride current gen as long as I can. I think next gen we will see another huge jump after production. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 18, 2016, 07:07:32 AM So about 20 Blocks to go and and it looks like it will be between +4.3% & +4.4%...
Rich Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 18, 2016, 07:41:12 AM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 158,427,203,767 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,680,143,864 (+4.58%) Adjust time: After 12 Blocks, About 1.9 hours Hashrate(?): 1,194,414,857 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.1 minutes 6 blocks: 58.2 minutes Updated: 3:35 (4.4 minutes ago) -1.2 = philipma1957 If I hit I will roll it over +0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +2.3 = leowonderful +2.7 = HerbPean +3.1 = tertius993 ---- will donate back if he wins thanks! +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh +5.5 = pusttiu +5.6 = fr4nkthetank +5.7 = wpt1wpt1 +5.8 = flikflak +6.0 = radiumsoup +6.4 = zebedee +6.5 = mavericklm +6.6 = indiemax +6.7 = Amph +6.8 = RichBC +7.0 = ezeminer +7.2 = edonkey +7.5 = HagssFIN +7.8 = Kexkey +8.8 = lanfeusst +9.0 = alfacro +12.4 = psi the group in bold is the closest. with 12 blocks left we may roll over Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 18, 2016, 09:43:25 AM 4.46% congrats to the winner ! (hate wake up my pc crashed mylan router, second it happens)
Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ingiltere on March 18, 2016, 11:23:50 AM Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s
I was super close one of previous predictions but now finally I hit the target. :) Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VirosaGITS on March 18, 2016, 11:31:23 AM Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s I was super close one of previous predictions but now finally I hit the target. :) That was close. :) GG Under 5% raise is not too bad. It makes ROI this silly S7 a tiny bit more likely. Title: Re: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 18, 2016, 12:54:48 PM locking this as payment to winner was paid.
https://blockchain.info/tx/4007dea4ba712b7de1c596dae07bf0507c0a968e3e50336b0548e0453272631d Here is the New thread link https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1402986.msg14238081#msg14238081 Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s I was super close one of previous predictions but now finally I hit the target. :) nice what i need is your btc addy. I do like to see that from Feb 19 to march 30 or 31 our diff will be 163.49 to 165.49 it the coming jump om March 31 is small say to 167 we could go with 163.49 to 167 from feb19 to April 12 Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s Jan 26 2016 120,033,340,651 5.89% 859,232,121 GH/s Jan 13 2016 113,354,299,801 9.12% 811,421,684 GH/s Dec 31 2015 103,880,340,815 11.16% 743,604,444 GH/s Dec 18 2015 93,448,670,796 18.14% 668,931,642 GH/s Dec 06 2015 79,102,380,900 8.77% 566,236,898 GH/s Nov 24 2015 72,722,780,643 10.44% 520,569,941 GH/s Nov 11 2015 65,848,255,180 5.77% 471,360,171 GH/s Oct 29 2015 62,253,982,450 2.25% 445,631,364 GH/s Oct 15 2015 60,883,825,480 0.12% 435,823,399 GH/s Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s Sep 17 2015 59,335,351,234 4.17% 424,738,988 GH/s Sep 04 2015 56,957,648,455 4.98% 407,718,729 GH/s Aug 22 2015 54,256,630,328 2.95% 388,384,088 GH/s Aug 08 2015 52,699,842,409 0.81% 377,240,166 GH/s Jul 25 2015 52,278,304,846 2.35% 374,222,683 GH/s Jul 11 2015 51,076,366,303 3.39% 365,618,871 GH/s Jun 28 2015 49,402,014,931 -0.58% 353,633,397 GH/s Jun 14 2015 49,692,386,355 4.42% 355,711,957 GH/s May 31 2015 47,589,591,154 -2.50% 340,659,563 GH/s May 17 2015 48,807,487,245 2.44% 349,377,603 GH/s May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s Jun 18 2014 13,462,580,115 14.51% 96,368,902 GH/s © 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com |
