Title: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: notig on February 10, 2013, 05:10:28 AM 0-100% . Btw do you think any single one person has actually invested this much?
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: tbcoin on February 10, 2013, 05:13:51 AM 40%
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: zoinky on February 10, 2013, 05:17:13 AM As much as I have.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: notig on February 10, 2013, 05:17:27 AM damn ballsy. I think I would go with 20% .
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: pinger on February 10, 2013, 05:31:40 AM If I have 10 million, I am not loosing my time looking for more money, enjoy the life. If you still wants to invest, try help a good start-up.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on February 10, 2013, 05:34:45 AM 10% ($1 million) would be more than enough. If Bitcoin takes off you'd be richer than Bill Gates (which in itself might be risky - you'd want to take utmost privacy precautions, divide up the wallets in random amounts, tell no one about your holdings, and be very careful what you buy), and if not you'd still have $9 million.
Somehow a future where Voorhees and Ver (and Satoshi, etc.) are richer than Bill Gates doesn't seem half bad. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: SgtSpike on February 10, 2013, 05:40:24 AM 5% now, 5% a couple years from now. 50% into real estate (without leveraging) for solid income, and the other 40% into stocks and mutual funds.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Mike Christ on February 10, 2013, 05:49:15 AM If I have 10 million, I am not loosing my time looking for more money, enjoy the life. If you still wants to invest, try help a good start-up. Gonna have to agree with this. I'd invest in myself so I never had to worry about money again, then I would invest the rest in Bitcoin just to mess with the banks ;D I'd use the bitcoin to fund whatever projects I thought were good, tho. Mostly in education, since the great nation of murricuh doesn't want to do it. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: XxionxX on February 10, 2013, 06:42:13 AM 7 million in btc. 1 million invested in precious metals and security of said metals, 1 million in property assets, and keep the rest in cash for liquidity purposes.
I don't need more than 1 million to be set for life anyway. Hell, I would trip balls if I got 10k dumped in my lap. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: cedivad on February 10, 2013, 06:58:12 AM 200k$ (2%)
I would buy and forget, checking back the investment in a few years. There is no need to risk more, but if you have that kind of capital you already know that. One thing is earning a lot, another one is not losing... Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Lethn on February 10, 2013, 06:59:40 AM 10% but I'd make sure it was backed up offline so it couldn't get stolen easily.
Then I'd invest the rest in gold, silver oil and anything else that will retain its value. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: BitcoinRate.com on February 10, 2013, 02:22:54 PM I'd invest $500.000 in BTC. Would invest the rest in other things.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: ridgemont4 on February 10, 2013, 02:25:12 PM If I have 10 million, I am not loosing my time looking for more money, enjoy the life. If you still wants to invest, try help a good start-up. That's stupid. US dollars are extremely vulnerable to loss of value. If you had 10 million of them, you'd be a total fool not to diversify in at least 4 places with at least 60% of it. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: piramida on February 10, 2013, 02:30:53 PM use 1mil to drop price to single digits by speeding up some panic dip with several 10k sell orders, then invest the other 9mil before price recovers.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: ridgemont4 on February 10, 2013, 02:34:06 PM use 1mil to drop price to single digits by speeding up some panic dip with several 10k sell orders, then invest the other 9mil before price recovers. Except, that's probably been tried before and if someone with the means, recognizes someone is trying to do that, they will buy it up and screw up your plan. By looking at the chart, I feel it has been tried before. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: piramida on February 10, 2013, 04:30:27 PM Except, that's probably been tried before and if someone with the means, recognizes someone is trying to do that, they will buy it up and screw up your plan. By looking at the chart, I feel it has been tried before. Definitely, there are risks. But if you do it at the right moment of panic, after some negative event probably, this could just work Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Vandroiy on February 10, 2013, 04:42:11 PM I see Bitcoin as a trading market -- that's not really the same thing as investment. That said, how many coins I hold depends heavily on the circumstances and changes over time. When I first heard of Bitcoin, or at the end of the big bust, I'd have bought with a substantial fraction. But right now... well, if I had no Bitcoins whatsoever I'd get a few, just in case Bitcoin becomes huge.
Ultimately, there's no meaningful "horde forever" strategy. For any given circumstances, there's a price at which it might be better to sell a few. Since these depend on a lot of things, including the current personal situation, there's no easy answer. There's always the Kelly Criterion though -- I know I name it a lot -- which makes it pretty clear that even with extraordinary skills in prediction, it's a bad idea to bet a large fraction on a single thing. "Don't put all your eggs in one basket" is simply true on the long run. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Spaceman_Spiff on February 10, 2013, 04:58:01 PM Probably less than I hold now. I would say 5%.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Transisto on February 11, 2013, 05:02:03 AM really, nobody said how they would invest in bitcoin ?
Why not ask,: "If you had 10m$ to invest into bitcoin how would you do it. ?" Buying 10m of BTC in one go or or close is one of the most stupid thing to consider. How about: * Starting a BTC mining ASIC company and keeping however much hardware you want. * Investing into BTC related business, * Building a bitcoin related business * Donating to the foundation * Buying publicity ... Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: notig on February 11, 2013, 06:09:08 AM really, nobody said how they would invest in bitcoin ? ianbakewell did....... and I actually agreed. I'd probably invest 1.5 mil in bitcoins 1.5 mil in development of a bitcoin business and I would invest another 1mill for every significant price drop. If it drops to 20... 1 mil. if it drops to 15.. another 1 mill. or something like that Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: flaab on February 11, 2013, 11:17:43 AM The OP conflates investing with speculating. Bitcoins is not an investment, because it does not produce any good an service. Buying bitcoins is a speculation, because it aims to capitalize on a government-caused distortion in the marketplace known as fiat money. I allocate 10% of my portfolio for speculations, which I divide in another 10 parts as well. So, I would allocate 1% towards Bitcoin and nothing more.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Anon136 on February 11, 2013, 11:25:53 AM probably a million. Silver is my preferred asset but i would run out of places to put silver if i had 10million to spend and i prefer bitcoins to gold.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: payb.tc on February 11, 2013, 11:52:51 AM i'd probably go for 210,000 BTC, which would be a much less 'round' figure when expressed in $ :D
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Rampion on February 11, 2013, 12:00:12 PM If I have 10 million, I am not loosing my time looking for more money, enjoy the life. If you still wants to invest, try help a good start-up. This. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Zomdifros on February 11, 2013, 01:08:39 PM Use my 10 million to lend another 40 million, then buy 1 million BTC.
Just kidding, investing 100k - 1 million USD is more than enough. Obviously it would be smart to buy over a period of several months. And it makes perfect sense for wealthy individuals to invest some of your money is experimental stuff like Bitcoin, simply because it is an asset class with very little correlation to more conventional assets. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Vandroiy on February 11, 2013, 02:42:19 PM Probably less than I hold now. I would say 5%. Rich guy detected. :o The OP conflates investing with speculating. Bitcoins is not an investment, because it does not produce any good an service. Buying bitcoins is a speculation, because it aims to capitalize on a government-caused distortion in the marketplace known as fiat money. I allocate 10% of my portfolio for speculations, which I divide in another 10 parts as well. So, I would allocate 1% towards Bitcoin and nothing more. Pro detected. 8) Ya, in the end, good speculators don't like being in too deep. They say few people got rich by being in a hurry to get rich. (Though some get rich from others who are in a hurry to get rich. In both fair and fraudulent ways...) Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Spaceman_Spiff on February 11, 2013, 03:49:03 PM Probably less than I hold now. I would say 5%. Rich guy detected. :o Um, no, not at all. I was talking percentagewise. I have a very limited savings capital, I put in like roughly 10% and now due to appreciation its roughly 15%. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Vandroiy on February 11, 2013, 05:01:35 PM Rich guy detected. :o Um, no, not at all. I was talking percentagewise. I have a very limited savings capital, I put in like roughly 10% and now due to appreciation its roughly 15%. Ah, I see. I guess that's reasonable. I wonder what peoples' tolerance in terms of "BTC overweight" is. When BTC rise in value, as you said the percentage rises as well. The multimillionaire postulated in the OP would probably also not sell right away and therefore be at a different percentage eventually. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: vokain on February 11, 2013, 05:46:58 PM $3,333,333.33 I believe in Bitcoin, but it's not wise to put all your eggs in one basket. I most certainly wouldn't keep the rest in fiat though! "Behold, the fool saith, "Put not all thine eggs in the one basket" - which is but a matter of saying, "Scatter your money and your attention"; but the wise man saith, "Put all your eggs in the one basket and - WATCH THAT BASKET." - Mark Twain Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: johnyj on February 11, 2013, 06:20:37 PM The OP conflates investing with speculating. Bitcoins is not an investment, because it does not produce any good an service. Buying bitcoins is a speculation, because it aims to capitalize on a government-caused distortion in the marketplace known as fiat money. I allocate 10% of my portfolio for speculations, which I divide in another 10 parts as well. So, I would allocate 1% towards Bitcoin and nothing more. What's the difference? If you invest money to produce some good and service and finally find out no one buy them, it is the same as a failed speculation, maybe worse, you have to trash those not needed goods and consider the environment impact And, when you put money in BTC, it support the price which in turn give people confidence, isn't providing confidence of this currency a service? BTC make people's life better, they now feel secure, it won't be inflated by FED, it can be trusted as a store of value, storing of your wealth is also a service. Banks usually provide this service but they charge you high fee, and even worse they stole your money and lend it to others and they go bankrupt and those who survived need FDIC to calm people from withdraw (In fact, there is never enough money for half of the people to withdraw) In a fiat money world, everyone have to speculate, not making any decision itself is also a speculation: You speculate that the risk is lower when holding cash and take a loss at inflation rate Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: vokain on February 11, 2013, 06:47:38 PM It's true, I do have trouble walking and chewing gum at the same time. I'm having trouble finding safer (to me) whilst more profitable investments at the moment. Bitcoin is also something I understand a bit better than most other instruments, while I'm waiting for a formation of a downtrend before investing in equities. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: wachtwoord on February 11, 2013, 06:57:15 PM If I'd have 10$M I'd be financially independent and no way I would risk that. So the maximum would be 5%, except if it gains in value (I don't like selling to lock in gains).
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: vokain on February 11, 2013, 06:58:36 PM It's true, I do have trouble walking and chewing gum at the same time. I'm having trouble finding safer (to me) whilst more profitable investments at the moment. Bitcoin is also something I understand a bit better than most other instruments, while I'm waiting for a formation of a downtrend before investing in equities. Indeed, I would have trouble finding safer (to me), more profitable investments as well. I can find plenty of safer (to me), less profitable investments though. Diversity itself is a safety net, regardless of what ol' Sam has to say. Of course, you are right. Though at the price point I got in I can afford to let my profits run and still have time to get out. Different forms of risk management I suppose. But I doubt I'd put 100% of $10M in Bitcoins, actually considering the question. More like 30%, with 60% in tangible assets. 5% liquid, 5% for a trip around the world Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: wachtwoord on February 11, 2013, 07:06:05 PM If I'd have 10$M I'd be financially independent and no way I would risk that. So the maximum would be 5%, except if it gains in value (I don't like selling to lock in gains). There is risk in holding the $10 million. You are putting your full faith in the hands of a few central bankers. That's far too much risk for me, especially in today's world. I would not hold much in fiat, I do know how inflation works ;) The vast majority would be in stocks and I'd probably have a small position in prime metals (2% or something). Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Raize on February 11, 2013, 07:23:41 PM If I had 10 million I'd invest it like this:
15% in Gold, Silver, & Bitcoin. (Not ETFs, I'd pay spot price and delivery fees) 25% Cash and Cash Equivalents, possibly some Brazilian Reals, New Zealand Dollars, Yen. I'd probably live off the cash portion as well. 20% in TIPS bonds 20% in S&P 500 Index or SPYs. 20% in Agricultural farmland South and/or East of Des Moines, IA, because I live here and have friends I could rent to that could farm it, and within 25 years I suspect it'll be worth something. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Zomdifros on February 11, 2013, 07:42:46 PM But what if we change the question. Suppose it is five years from now and the bitcoins you bought a few years ago are now worth 10 million USD and climbing. Would you then sell 90% of it?
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: piramida on February 11, 2013, 08:14:01 PM why, would you suddenly need 10 mil in fiat?
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: bpd on February 11, 2013, 09:52:47 PM Anyone who says they'd put a fraction over 5% of $10M in BTC doesn't have a clue what it means to be worth $10M.
BTC has huge potential upside. But it also is extremely risky. There are uncertainties that are essentially unknowable: - Is there a serious unsurmountable bug lurking? - How will governments react, and what will be the effect on the price or the risk of holding BTC? There is risk of total loss, and when you have $10M cash to invest, no holding that can result in a total loss should ever represent more than 5% of your net worth (in terms of initial investment anyway -- it's easier to let paper gains ride). Someone who has $10M often has made that money from a single event, such as cashing out stock options or selling a business, and their annual income may be far lower, so that replacing lost capital would take a long time, or might not be possible at all. So protecting capital is far more important than chasing huge gains. A purchase of BTC must be not only scaled to your own net worth, but to the current size of Bitcoin itself. Buying even $1M worth of BTC near the current market price is not trivial, and if you do it naively, you will move the market significantly (slippage). And to exit such a large position will also move the market a significant amount in the other direction. So any such large bet on BTC must by necessity be a long-term holding. $1M of BTC today represents about half a percent of the entire money supply. In the future, I expect the DOLLAR liquidity of BTC to improve significantly, so that $1M could move in and out of BTC without affecting the market much. But today's half a percent of the money supply will still be a quarter percent of the money supply, once 20M coins exist. Selling that amount will likely still affect the market significantly, no matter how long you wait. My recommendation to friends with $10-20m net worths has been to put approximately 1% into BTC. Of course, I recommended that at $8, so if they listened, that would now represent 3% of their net worth. If I was making the same recommendation today, I would again recommend buying 0.5-1%, but on a large drop in price with no real change in fundamentals, accumulate more to get back to at least 1%. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Chalkbot on February 11, 2013, 10:14:01 PM Hmm, well at $10m I would have a hard time caring about accumulating anymore wealth. I don't need that much to do the things I want to do, so continuing to invest time and thought into future money would be a waste for me. Probably not the answer you were hoping for... sorry.
Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: bpd on February 11, 2013, 11:05:38 PM Again, you cannot recommend anything to anyone on a general level. You MUST account for their age. Any financial planner would tell you that. putting 5% on BTC when you're 50-60 might be ok, but if you're 20-30 then it might not be such a good idea and you might want to invest more on it. You can afford to be more aggressive when you're younger. If your client would have listened to me, putting %20 when he/she is 20 he/she would have doubled his/her money by now... again, it could have gone the other way but most people in the BTC community knows that the more BTC gets implemented, the higher it'll go, so the risk was not as high as the reward. Again, the point of this is that you cannot recommend the same to two different people. Age is a determining factor and personal economy is too, in this case, we know the net worth of the individual is 10,000,000 so we know that variable already. With a $10M nest egg, it's not as much age that's relevant as income level relative to assets. Someone with $10M net worth and $2M stable income can probably stand to place more than 5% in BTC. Someone with $10M net worth and $150k stable income should not. And you are neglecting the fact that BTC is a highly asymmetric bet. It is likely to be either ridiculously successful or go to zero. A little goes a long way. Title: Re: If you had 10 million to invest... how much would you invest in btc? Post by: Chalkbot on February 11, 2013, 11:09:29 PM Again, you cannot recommend anything to anyone on a general level. You MUST account for their age. Any financial planner would tell you that. putting 5% on BTC when you're 50-60 might be ok, but if you're 20-30 then it might not be such a good idea and you might want to invest more on it. You can afford to be more aggressive when you're younger. If your client would have listened to me, putting %20 when he/she is 20 he/she would have doubled his/her money by now... again, it could have gone the other way but most people in the BTC community knows that the more BTC gets implemented, the higher it'll go, so the risk was not as high as the reward. Again, the point of this is that you cannot recommend the same to two different people. Age is a determining factor and personal economy is too, in this case, we know the net worth of the individual is 10,000,000 so we know that variable already. With a $10M nest egg, it's not as much age that's relevant as income level relative to assets. Someone with $10M net worth and $2M stable income can probably stand to place more than 5% in BTC. Someone with $10M net worth and $150k stable income should not. And you are neglecting the fact that BTC is a highly asymmetric bet. It is likely to be either ridiculously successful or go to zero. A little goes a long way. This, and the fact that it's not age as much as life expectancy. I mean, we could all be 400 year old cyborgs someday. I doubt our augmented robot brains would be foolish enough to factor age into their investing decisions. |