Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Global BTC on March 04, 2013, 09:13:40 AM



Title: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Global BTC on March 04, 2013, 09:13:40 AM
There's lots of talk ot "the bubble bursting" and "exchange rate going down" and "crash" and whatever.

I'd like to point out that we are seeing a new all time high right now, as the price of 1 BTC is breaking through 35 USD.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: oakpacific on March 04, 2013, 09:22:26 AM
GBP, EUR, CNY market price all above $35, and even $35.5 now, wait to see what will happen after America wakes up.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Global BTC on March 04, 2013, 09:25:50 AM
The SEK market has gone as high as 245 SEK (38 USD) for one BTC, but that was last week (!), and it's a really small market. Anyway, we are both right - we are breaking $35.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: piramida on March 04, 2013, 11:32:28 AM
still many offers at 32.8 on https://btc-e.com/ :)
if you manage to get usd there...


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Bowjob on March 04, 2013, 11:36:48 AM
We just broke $35.00 :)


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Grouver (BtcBalance) on March 04, 2013, 11:47:22 AM
Funny how nobody wants to sell and hoard because they think it will climb even higher.
Because nobody wants to sell.. the sell volume decreases and the price rise and the new media hype the bidding volume increases.
And cause of this effect the price of bitcoin rises all the time.... Funny, if you think about it.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: phatsphere on March 04, 2013, 11:48:03 AM
We just broke $35.00 :)
uhm no, it's still "touching". broke means, there was a trade at 30+\epsilon with \epsilon > 0


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: piramida on March 04, 2013, 12:18:18 PM
Funny how nobody wants to sell and hoard because they think it will climb even higher.
Because nobody wants to sell.. the sell volume decreases and the price rise and the new media hype the bidding volume increases.
And cause of this effect the price of bitcoin rises all the time.... Funny, if you think about it.

Congratulations, you just uncovered how price grows for *everything* that was ever traded! When demand growth over current supply, and growing price shortens supply even further. Funny if you think about it!


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: b!z on March 04, 2013, 12:33:49 PM
Yay. inb4 btc $40


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: oakpacific on March 04, 2013, 12:46:33 PM
Funny how nobody wants to sell and hoard because they think it will climb even higher.
Because nobody wants to sell.. the sell volume decreases and the price rise and the new media hype the bidding volume increases.
And cause of this effect the price of bitcoin rises all the time.... Funny, if you think about it.

Congratulations, you just uncovered how price grows for *everything* that was ever traded! When demand growth over current supply, and growing price shortens supply even further. Funny if you think about it!

And what is even funnier: had the bears unloaded all the bitcoins they dispensed with in the series of dumps we have seen in one go, they probably would have already created the crash they want to see, now probably they are just out of ammunition.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Grouver (BtcBalance) on March 04, 2013, 12:52:12 PM
Funny how nobody wants to sell and hoard because they think it will climb even higher.
Because nobody wants to sell.. the sell volume decreases and the price rise and the new media hype the bidding volume increases.
And cause of this effect the price of bitcoin rises all the time.... Funny, if you think about it.

Congratulations, you just uncovered how price grows for *everything* that was ever traded! When demand growth over current supply, and growing price shortens supply even further. Funny if you think about it!

And what is even funnier: had the bears unloaded all the bitcoins they dispensed with in the series of dumps we have seen in one go, they probably would have already created the crash they want to see, now probably they are just out of ammunition.
Yes, after each sell off you saw the market wanted to climb upwards again and didn't want a crash.
The current upward momentum is pretty sick.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: piramida on March 04, 2013, 01:39:42 PM
ok, just broken. pat on the back to all the bears, now that's definitely a top :D


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Puppet on March 04, 2013, 01:54:54 PM
Funny how nobody wants to sell and hoard because they think it will climb even higher.
Because nobody wants to sell..

Yeah I do. I just did. That doesnt make me a bear, i wouldnt be surprised if kept climbing to over $50, but a 6x increase is good enough for me to lock in some profits.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: whitenight639 on March 04, 2013, 02:13:34 PM
just seen a last trade price of $36 !! whats going on on mt gox today its going crazy


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: speeder on March 04, 2013, 02:15:49 PM
just seen a last trade price of $36 !! whats going on on mt gox today its going crazy

I will explain again in place of MagicalTux before he go to your house with a shotgun tired of explaining this all the time:

the last price reflects the last price in ANY currency in mtgox (converted to USD), so if someone crazy buy 1 BTC for 1000 EUR you will see a last price of 1300 USD


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: whitenight639 on March 04, 2013, 02:18:15 PM
just seen a last trade price of $36 !! whats going on on mt gox today its going crazy

I will explain again in place of MagicalTux before he go to your house with a shotgun tired of explaining this all the time:

the last price reflects the last price in ANY currency in mtgox (converted to USD), so if someone crazy buy 1 BTC for 1000 EUR you will see a last price of 1300 USD


I know this, The old saying: something is worth what people are willing to pay for it.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Herodes on March 04, 2013, 02:20:34 PM
just seen a last trade price of $36 !! whats going on on mt gox today its going crazy

I will explain again in place of MagicalTux before he go to your house with a shotgun tired of explaining this all the time:

the last price reflects the last price in ANY currency in mtgox (converted to USD), so if someone crazy buy 1 BTC for 1000 EUR you will see a last price of 1300 USD

Haha - so much easier if he could just always put the last price only for USD, since this is the authorative price. Then visitors could have the option of selecting 'any currency' over this if they wanted to. Too bad he doesn't look at this as the most logical thing to do. Nobody would complain about that, as it is now, everybody complains.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: oakpacific on March 04, 2013, 02:28:45 PM
just seen a last trade price of $36 !! whats going on on mt gox today its going crazy

I will explain again in place of MagicalTux before he go to your house with a shotgun tired of explaining this all the time:

the last price reflects the last price in ANY currency in mtgox (converted to USD), so if someone crazy buy 1 BTC for 1000 EUR you will see a last price of 1300 USD

Haha - so much easier if he could just always put the last price only for USD, since this is the authorative price. Then visitors could have the option of selecting 'any currency' over this if they wanted to. Too bad he doesn't look at this as the most logical thing to do. Nobody would complain about that, as it is now, everybody complains.

Isn't it a bit over the top to call USD the authoritative price? The exchange is in Japan, and it is entirely plausible that someday the market of another currency becomes even larger than that of USD, it's better to trade USD as yet another currency.  Besides, it may be even more useful to display the last price in all currencies-a user may trade in many different currencies.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on March 04, 2013, 02:34:43 PM
Either way, it should be the same for the last, high, low, and weighted average. It looks ridiculous and illogical to see the Last being higher than the High.

I'd go as far as to say that it damages the image of Mt. Gox for new users. Any investor looks at that and goes, "They can't even get their ticker right??"


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: molecular on March 04, 2013, 02:37:52 PM
Funny how nobody wants to sell and hoard because they think it will climb even higher.
Because nobody wants to sell..

Yeah I do. I just did. That doesnt make me a bear, i wouldnt be surprised if kept climbing to over $50, but a 6x increase is good enough for me to lock in some profits.

I'm sick of reading that shit. You're not locking in any profits... bitcoin is money and in the long run the USD is toilet paper. What are you going to buy when the FIAT currencies of the world hit the fan? Gold? Real estate? Shares in companies? I have a slight suspicion you might buy back at some point.

After cooling down (sorry had to vent this at some point) I can admit that I also sold some of my bitcoins (about 5%) on the way from 12 to 35 and I can understand your fear. I have it, too, but I'm resisting pretty well so far.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: waspoza on March 04, 2013, 02:42:53 PM
Funny how nobody wants to sell and hoard because they think it will climb even higher.
Because nobody wants to sell..

Yeah I do. I just did. That doesnt make me a bear, i wouldnt be surprised if kept climbing to over $50, but a 6x increase is good enough for me to lock in some profits.

I'm sick of reading that shit. You're not locking in any profits... bitcoin is money and in the long run the USD is toilet paper. What are you going to buy when the FIAT currencies of the world hit the fan? Gold? Real estate? Shares in companies? I have a slight suspicion you might buy back at some point.

After cooling down (sorry had to vent this at some point) I can admit that I also sold some of my bitcoins (about 5%) on the way from 12 to 35 and I can understand your fear. I have it, too, but I'm resisting pretty well so far.


I haven't sold a bitcent yet. Got enough of toilet paper.  :P


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: oakpacific on March 04, 2013, 02:51:11 PM
Either way, it should be the same for the last, high, low, and weighted average. It looks ridiculous and illogical to see the Last being higher than the High.

I'd go as far as to say that it damages the image of Mt. Gox for new users. Any investor looks at that and goes, "They can't even get their ticker right??"

Gox falls short in many ways, you can't even make a stop loss order with their platform. Why it is so dominant can only be attributed to the fact that it is probably the only exchange today which you can entrust with millions of dollars of money.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Global BTC on March 04, 2013, 03:46:43 PM
Isn't it a bit over the top to call USD the authoritative price? The exchange is in Japan, and it is entirely plausible that someday the market of another currency becomes even larger than that of USD, it's better to trade USD as yet another currency.  Besides, it may be even more useful to display the last price in all currencies-a user may trade in many different currencies.

The US American user base of bitcoin is very large, I'd guess if you go by trade volume a majority of bitcoin users are US Americans. Something like 90% of my customers are US Americans. I'm not from the states myself, but using the USD exchange rate as the key value indicator of bitcoin seems logical to me.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: chrisLG on March 04, 2013, 03:57:23 PM
Just looked it up: There's only about 27.000 BTC for sale for under 50 USD on Mt.Gox. Thats not much market depth on the ask side (1.074.909 USD) and explains the upwards pressure. Buying 2.7 million USD worth of BTC would move the price to 100 USD.

For comparison: Dumping a million USD worth of BTC on the market would just move the price down to 31.15.
Dumping 2.7 million USD would move it to 19.50.

Source: http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/mtgoxUSD_depth.html


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: oakpacific on March 04, 2013, 03:58:38 PM
Isn't it a bit over the top to call USD the authoritative price? The exchange is in Japan, and it is entirely plausible that someday the market of another currency becomes even larger than that of USD, it's better to trade USD as yet another currency.  Besides, it may be even more useful to display the last price in all currencies-a user may trade in many different currencies.

The US American user base of bitcoin is very large, I'd guess if you go by trade volume a majority of bitcoin users are US Americans. Something like 90% of my customers are US Americans. I'm not from the states myself, but using the USD exchange rate as the key value indicator of bitcoin seems logical to me.

Showing the latest price in all currencies could definitely be helpful in a number of use cases, especially since you don't need to be reside in a certain nation to trade in its market--one advantage of bitcoin, it's also a bit more politically correct.

Actually I am yet to figure out the connection between different markets, before $35 was broken I saw ask orders of exactly the same sizes popping up in USD/EUR/GBP markets, what was happening? ???


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: johnyj on March 04, 2013, 04:03:15 PM
Isn't it a bit over the top to call USD the authoritative price? The exchange is in Japan, and it is entirely plausible that someday the market of another currency becomes even larger than that of USD, it's better to trade USD as yet another currency.  Besides, it may be even more useful to display the last price in all currencies-a user may trade in many different currencies.

The US American user base of bitcoin is very large, I'd guess if you go by trade volume a majority of bitcoin users are US Americans. Something like 90% of my customers are US Americans. I'm not from the states myself, but using the USD exchange rate as the key value indicator of bitcoin seems logical to me.

I guess this is partly related to the gold rush at 1849, strong culture and history support. Around 300,000 people went to california and they averagely mined 40 ounce gold per person in the first 5 years  8)

At that time, a small team could mine millions worth of today's USD in a several months' period  ::)



Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Piper67 on March 04, 2013, 04:31:47 PM
Just looked it up: There's only about 27.000 BTC for sale for under 50 USD on Mt.Gox. Thats not much market depth on the ask side (1.074.909 USD) and explains the upwards pressure. Buying 2.7 million USD worth of BTC would move the price to 100 USD.

For comparison: Dumping a million USD worth of BTC on the market would just move the price down to 31.15.
Dumping 2.7 million USD would move it to 19.50.

Source: http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/mtgoxUSD_depth.html

Yes, but that's only what's showing on the books. There are a lot more BTC (and probably also USD and fiat) sitting on MTGox and not showing on the order book. If someone started to buy relentlessly, you'd see BTC popping up out of nowhere.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Odalv on March 04, 2013, 05:10:29 PM
$36


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Puppet on March 04, 2013, 05:16:16 PM

Yeah I do. I just did. That doesnt make me a bear, i wouldnt be surprised if kept climbing to over $50, but a 6x increase is good enough for me to lock in some profits.

I'm sick of reading that shit. You're not locking in any profits... bitcoin is money and in the long run the USD is toilet paper. What are you going to buy when the FIAT currencies of the world hit the fan? Gold? Real estate? Shares in companies?

Does it matter?
Fact is all my bills are still denominated in euro's, my mortgage is in euro's and I can use euro to buy all of the above easily. Thats as locked in as it gets for me. Also the chance of my euro holdings devaluing by 50% or more are not quite zero, but infinitely smaller than your bitcoins losing half their value.

As for buying back in; I certainly might when I smell another a good buying opportunity. Whether thats at $10 or $100 or anywhere inbetween remains to be seen.



Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: donjoe on March 04, 2013, 05:21:17 PM
+1
Therefore I'm also waiting to catch the peak so I can sell again to get more fiat EUR in my wallet, because fiat EUR is still a more functional currency than Bitcoin at this point. (And BTW, one has to wonder what molecular is even doing in the Speculation subforum if they don't believe making more fiat money means becoming richer.)


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Rygon on March 04, 2013, 05:28:01 PM
$36

Really? This slow upward climb is getting pretty boring. We haven't had a drop in prices worth talking about in months. I joined this bitcoin thing for thrill of speculation, not the predictible steady increase in value. Can something interesting happen already?


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on March 04, 2013, 05:36:47 PM
$36

Really? This slow upward climb is getting pretty boring. We haven't had a drop in prices worth talking about in months. I joined this bitcoin thing for thrill of speculation, not the predictible steady increase in value. Can something interesting happen already?

*yaaawwwn* This boringly steady exponential growth is lulling me to sleep.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: humanitee on March 04, 2013, 05:38:37 PM
The absurd amount of money I'm making from doing jack shit is making my penis flaccid.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: bonker on March 04, 2013, 05:43:11 PM
It just going up and up and up. It's goofy....

 I don't have a huge BTC stockpile, but BTC have been my biggest revenue stream for the past four days now.

 


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Peter Lambert on March 04, 2013, 06:00:25 PM
Just looked it up: There's only about 27.000 BTC for sale for under 50 USD on Mt.Gox. Thats not much market depth on the ask side (1.074.909 USD) and explains the upwards pressure. Buying 2.7 million USD worth of BTC would move the price to 100 USD.

For comparison: Dumping a million USD worth of BTC on the market would just move the price down to 31.15.
Dumping 2.7 million USD would move it to 19.50.

Source: http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/mtgoxUSD_depth.html

I am a bit confused by your use of separators here. You seem to be using a period for both the thousands separator "27.000 BTC for sale" and the decimal separator "the price down to 31.15"? Or are you saying there are only 27 btc for sale on MtGox under 50 USD, which sounds absurd to me?


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: blackreplica on March 04, 2013, 06:15:57 PM
Chris is probably european. A lot of them dot the thousands like he did (he meant 27000 BTC).


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: pretendo on March 04, 2013, 06:22:50 PM
huge spike to 36. Sell now or regret it later.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: blackreplica on March 04, 2013, 06:37:27 PM
Wow you're really bearish. I'm a little more optimistic. All I noticed was that the earlier 5.5K BTC ask wall at $38USD just got cut in half


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: piramida on March 04, 2013, 07:18:54 PM
huge spike to 36. Sell now or regret it later.

Oh didn't I hear the same words at $22. I guess all bears are just people who are scared of new things, new price levels being one of them scary things.

I just invented a bear comforting tactic. You should draw your charts upside down, this way you can see how low USD has fallen against bitcoin, and be happy that something is going down hard. Sell all your USD until it's too late!


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: molecular on March 04, 2013, 07:36:39 PM
I just invented a bear comforting tactic. You should draw your charts upside down, this way you can see how low USD has fallen against bitcoin, and be happy that something is going down hard. Sell all your USD until it's too late!

Now this my friend is an awesome idea to make good use of a psychological bug you might have ("turn your fear into something positive!")



Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: mr chong on March 04, 2013, 08:02:08 PM
Did proudhon make another prediction? He must have the way it smashed through 35 and blew right past 36.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: DoomDumas on March 05, 2013, 04:17:30 AM
100$ / BTC before 2014 !


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Global BTC on March 05, 2013, 08:55:06 AM
$39.5!


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Grouver (BtcBalance) on March 05, 2013, 08:58:50 AM
100$ / BTC before 2014 !
Remember people saying: "100$ before 2012" in June 2011.
So yeah.. a rally doesnt mean the rally is gonna uphold for months.


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: bonker on March 05, 2013, 09:02:11 AM
Just got up and boggled at the price jump!... Then I went for breakfast the saw the price up another 50p
WTF?



Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: whitenight639 on March 05, 2013, 09:04:05 AM
high $40.02!!!!

wish i had more bitcoin :-(


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: donjoe on March 05, 2013, 08:31:03 PM
Just glad that thought occurred to me back at $34. Looks like it still wasn't too late to make a buck. :)


Title: Re: We're breaking $35 - new all time high
Post by: Global BTC on March 06, 2013, 03:22:37 PM
Looks like we're heading for $50 now...