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Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 11:09:09 AM



Title: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 11:09:09 AM
Yep, that's what my TA tells  ;D This month will be slightly more aggressive than NOV/13. Have fun!


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Olegcho on June 01, 2016, 11:12:00 AM
I think that this will happen few months after the halving.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 11:13:58 AM
I think that this will happen few months after the halving.

Not this time.

https://i.imgur.com/OyJcdYC.png

+ Segwit/LN
(+COIN ETF)?


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: BTCLovingDude on June 01, 2016, 11:19:36 AM
no i don't think it can happen in one month!

we are already in June and in 30 days i seriously doubt bitcoin can go up $4500

people are going to start panic selling around $800-$1000 and although i am one of those people who thinks bitcoin real value is actually around 5k but i doubt it can happen in less than 2 years.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 11:44:01 AM
no i don't think it can happen in one month!

we are already in June and in 30 days i seriously doubt bitcoin can go up $4500

people are going to start panic selling around $800-$1000 and although i am one of those people who thinks bitcoin real value is actually around 5k but i doubt it can happen in less than 2 years.

2011
https://i.imgur.com/8tOJV2e.png

2013
https://i.imgur.com/8UDX57G.png

2016
https://i.imgur.com/N9wDOxZ.png


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: fallinglantern on June 01, 2016, 11:48:57 AM
Nice use of non-zero-scaled axes to make the 2016 chart look more impressive.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 11:52:48 AM
Nice use of non-zero-scaled axes to make the 2016 chart look more impressive.

That's not my aim. 2016 should look flat...we have long way to go... (I can't use bitcoincharts properly).


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: OmegaStarScream on June 01, 2016, 11:54:23 AM
I think that this will happen few months after the halving.

Not this time.

https://i.imgur.com/OyJcdYC.png

+ Segwit/LN
(+COIN ETF)?

What is COIN ETF and that screenshot and how this is related to bitcoin price .
As much as I'd like to see us reaching that price , I found it really hard to believe .


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 11:57:48 AM
I think that this will happen few months after the halving.

Not this time.

https://i.imgur.com/OyJcdYC.png

+ Segwit/LN
(+COIN ETF)?

What is COIN ETF and that screenshot and how this is related to bitcoin price .
As much as I'd like to see us reaching that price , I found it really hard to believe .

COIN ETF is Winklevoss bitcoin etf. I doubt it will be ready during this month...but you never know. I guess Brexit could hype the price up up UP!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTMxfAkxfQ0 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTMxfAkxfQ0)


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: pearl11 on June 01, 2016, 12:00:55 PM
Youre carried away about this rise and you think it can up to 5000 after 4 weeks ,
Where only at 540  and going up to 5000 in 4 weeks is so impossible .


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 12:05:10 PM
Youre carried away about this rise and you think it can up to 5000 after 4 weeks ,
Where only at 540  and going up to 5000 in 4 weeks is so impossible .

2011 had pretty fast rise. 2013 had faster... I don't necessarily believe we will hit 5k this month. USD 650-850 is more probable. However, do you think I would have said we will hit 1k  in the 1st NOV/13?


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: BitcoinHodler on June 01, 2016, 12:06:00 PM
i hope it gets there but also i hope it doesn't get there in one month. and i also think it wouldn't :D

because if bitcoin price rises up to 5K in one month that would mean a bubble, a bubble that will burst and price would fall down again.

i will continue hodling though ;)


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: prtty2gal2 on June 01, 2016, 12:34:46 PM
Yep, that's what my TA tells  ;D This month will be slightly more aggressive than NOV/13. Have fun!

What are the supporting news to trigger that much aggressive trading we can expect before the end of this month June.
In 2013 November, most of the traders are keep on buying on the panic of not missing the possible lower prices.
We need either one of them to make any new life time higher price for the bitcoins.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: kehtolo on June 01, 2016, 01:22:14 PM
Yep, that's what my TA tells  ;D This month will be slightly more aggressive than NOV/13. Have fun!


Ok, interesting. How about you post some of these TA indicators or are they too secret? If they really are sensitive, you could redact a little?

I'm curious as to what indicators tell you 5k in 30 days!


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: spazzdla on June 01, 2016, 01:26:02 PM
You're crazy mang, I like you but you're crazy.   (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sFW-yxe13lo)


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: ~Bitcoin~ on June 01, 2016, 05:18:11 PM
5k USD is too much to speculate i personally don't think bitcoin can cross all time high level of 1000$ within this year as we may see many dumper in that price range.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: r0ach on June 01, 2016, 05:20:56 PM
Fuck those charts.  This is the chart to look at:

https://i.imgur.com/gGRbAN3.gif

https://i.imgur.com/QQT33J3.png


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: gentlemand on June 01, 2016, 05:27:38 PM
5k USD is too much to speculate i personally don't think bitcoin can cross all time high level of 1000$ within this year as we may see many dumper in that price range.

Totally depends on the nature of the rise. If it's truly volcanic then sellers have just as much FOMO as buyers.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: hawkins on June 01, 2016, 05:52:22 PM
expectations are good, but unfortunately my friend, it is very difficult to bitcoin, but if you say the price will be above $ 600 I might believe it, because the current rise in bitcoin We can not predict


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: PacePay on June 01, 2016, 06:04:54 PM
Bitcoin in this month will boost up but not that much, I think it will reach to about $1000 and at halving I think it will start to increase to $1500 and till the end of year it will be around there.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Hunyadi on June 01, 2016, 06:07:39 PM
The move will be tricked by TA. After that, somehow, good news keep piling in. I already listed examples.



Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: btcxyzzz on June 01, 2016, 07:05:26 PM
There is HUGE RED FLASHING PROBLEM and it goes: SCALABILITY!!!!   BITCOIN, if it stays in form like this is DEAD after halving, don't you see it?


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: techgeek on June 01, 2016, 08:01:48 PM
Bitcoin in this month will boost up but not that much, I think it will reach to about $1000 and at halving I think it will start to increase to $1500 and till the end of year it will be around there.

Thats still a huge enlightenment for people involved with bitcoin.

This alone I think promotes back where people who never heard of bitcoin get involved before that horrible mt.gox scenario.

But $5k, if we even reach this end of june - its def going to be looked at mainstream fiat daytraders who arent part of it.

My guess we wont hit $5k in june though lol. 


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: fravia on June 01, 2016, 08:12:40 PM
Yep, that's what my TA tells  ;D This month will be slightly more aggressive than NOV/13. Have fun!


i think it is way to brave to tell that price will rise 10 times in just 2 months, yes there will be bitcoin price halving in july, but halving is not a miracle and price can't rise 10 times randomly

i actually think that price will rise up to 1200$ and only if we will be very lucky with price, it can stay at 800$ only for example, but no way  that it will rise to 5000$


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: r0ach on June 01, 2016, 08:20:09 PM
There is HUGE RED FLASHING PROBLEM and it goes: SCALABILITY!!!!   BITCOIN, if it stays in form like this is DEAD after halving, don't you see it?

Wrong, and it's obvious why you typed that.  You're trying to hype the scamcoin "IOTA" in your sig except IOTA is nothing but a scam:

IOTA - Permissioned ledger Russian extortion scheme

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1414866.0


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Raimonn on June 01, 2016, 08:43:09 PM
I would like to see that i'm wrong, but i don't expect more than 700 $ on the end of June. I like your price prediction, but with this x10 increasing on few weeks lots of users will sell its bitcoins.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: zimmah on June 01, 2016, 09:04:26 PM
Yep, that's what my TA tells  ;D This month will be slightly more aggressive than NOV/13. Have fun!


possibly, but i'd say it could just as easily be in july or august.

either way, it doesn't matter much, soon the price will be 4 digits, and $5000 is a likely price.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: zimmah on June 01, 2016, 09:09:57 PM
Fuck those charts.  This is the chart to look at:

https://i.imgur.com/gGRbAN3.gif

https://i.imgur.com/QQT33J3.png

don't try to use logic with fools, you'll only tire yourself out.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: CryptoBjorn on June 01, 2016, 10:04:06 PM
No the price is not going to be 5K at the end of June that is not possible, we have just passed $500. A price like 5K is not going to happen this year maybe over 2 or 3 years it will be possible.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: pissedoff on June 01, 2016, 10:06:35 PM
No the price is not going to be 5K at the end of June that is not possible, we have just passed $500. A price like 5K is not going to happen this year maybe over 2 or 3 years it will be possible.
There were speculations that the bitcoin market price will hit $10k by the end of 2015 but none of them happened.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: rjclarke2000 on June 01, 2016, 10:08:34 PM
Fuck those charts.  This is the chart to look at:

https://i.imgur.com/gGRbAN3.gif

https://i.imgur.com/QQT33J3.png

don't try to use logic with fools, you'll only tire yourself out.


I have to say I like this post and I hope it happens this year. Anything is possible.

It's going to be a hell of a ride whatever happens.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: pissedoff on June 01, 2016, 10:12:33 PM
-snip-

I have to say I like this post and I hope it happens this year. Anything is possible.

It's going to be a hell of a ride whatever happens.

$5k might be possible only after a few years. We all hope that the bitcoin market price reaches $5k this year but its a unrealistic dream.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: rjclarke2000 on June 01, 2016, 10:15:31 PM
-snip-

I have to say I like this post and I hope it happens this year. Anything is possible.

It's going to be a hell of a ride whatever happens.

$5k might be possible only after a few years. We all hope that the bitcoin market price reaches $5k this year but its a unrealistic dream.


I reluctantly agree. $500-$1000 is what I have guestimated for the rest of the year.

Time will tell.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Biodom on June 01, 2016, 10:43:33 PM
$5k that soon might not be even be desirable. It would indicate tremendous overheating of the whole ecosystem.
For once, if you would want to sell out some, you won't be able to do it fast.
Coinbase, for example, has 50K max (it would be just 10 coins).
If you start doing multiple 50K all of a sudden, I am pretty sure that your account could be frozen before they figure out what is going on.
Too massive (in $$) withdrawals might be problematic.
There is not much to buy with bitcoin directly (without conversion) for that kind of $$ equivalent (maybe Tesla?).
Network would be completely stuffed as well, fees might go up to $1-10 (good for miners) as people would withdraw probably $ billions equivalent.
At 5k total current market cap would be $80 bil, so if even 10% of holders would want to sell, they would need significant buying pressure to be able to do it.
It would still be cool, though  :)


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: r0ach on June 01, 2016, 10:57:23 PM
$5k that soon might not be even be desirable.

Oh yea man, pass me those bath salts.  When the price went from $100 to $1000, everyone was like, "Oh my god!  This is so undesirable!"


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Biodom on June 01, 2016, 11:22:26 PM
$5k that soon might not be even be desirable.

Oh yea man, pass me those bath salts.  When the price went from $100 to $1000, everyone was like, "Oh my god!  This is so undesirable!"

I actually explained why with respect to the timeframe (this mo according to OP).
Yeah, if you are a genius, then you sold at $1000 and re-bought six times more at $160.
Who could do that? I can't.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: pooya87 on June 02, 2016, 03:01:18 AM
$5k that soon might not be even be desirable.

Oh yea man, pass me those bath salts.  When the price went from $100 to $1000, everyone was like, "Oh my god!  This is so undesirable!"

I actually explained why with respect to the timeframe (this mo according to OP).
Yeah, if you are a genius, then you sold at $1000 and re-bought six times more at $160.
Who could do that? I can't.


i agree that it is not desirable but for another reason.
because a sudden rise does not look good for bitcoin and is not good for the adoption either.
reaching 5K in one month means a lot of attention, media and ... for a short time but i am afraid the same thing as before ($1100) will happen after that meaning only fall from 5K down (equivalant to $1100 to $200)
plus bitcoin would look like a pump and dump rather than a currency.

~~ fees might go up to $1-10 (good for miners) ~~

fees will be adjusted again as it was adjusted before with the price.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: OmegaStarScream on June 02, 2016, 06:57:27 AM
If we assume that this scenario is going to happen like OP stated then what do you think will after that ? we are going to have a huge price decrease because of panic selling . I personally prefer something stable then something getting high fast to get low faster .


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: kwukduck on June 02, 2016, 07:18:14 AM
Nope. We will just slide back to around $420 and hang around there for a year more or so.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: 1Referee on June 02, 2016, 07:21:03 AM
Nope. We will just slide back to around $420 and hang around there for a year more or so.

It actually is surprising me that you don't say the price will fall back to sub $300 prices sooner or later. :D If the price happens to fall back to $420 and stay there for quite a long time, it's totally fine with me. :)


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: zimmah on June 02, 2016, 02:40:22 PM
$5k that soon might not be even be desirable. It would indicate tremendous overheating of the whole ecosystem.
For once, if you would want to sell out some, you won't be able to do it fast.
Coinbase, for example, has 50K max (it would be just 10 coins).
If you start doing multiple 50K all of a sudden, I am pretty sure that your account could be frozen before they figure out what is going on.
Too massive (in $$) withdrawals might be problematic.
There is not much to buy with bitcoin directly (without conversion) for that kind of $$ equivalent (maybe Tesla?).
Network would be completely stuffed as well, fees might go up to $1-10 (good for miners) as people would withdraw probably $ billions equivalent.
At 5k total current market cap would be $80 bil, so if even 10% of holders would want to sell, they would need significant buying pressure to be able to do it.
It would still be cool, though  :)


you're talking as if 10 coins is a small amount, it's not.

there's about 100,000 people in the world who even have 10 bitcoin, and after the next halving (in about 5 weeks) only 12.5 new coins will be generated every 10 minutes, IN THE ENTIRE WORLD.

So basically if you divide the newly generated coins that's 0.0002815 satoshi per second per person. That is 739.8 satoshi per month per person.

10 bitcoin is a very large amount.

once people start to realize how big 1 bitcoin is, then they will truly understand how undervalued bitcoin is right now.

Btw fees are based on the amount of bytes you need, not the amount of bitcoin you send.


Title: Re: BTC will be around 5kUSD in the end of June
Post by: Biodom on June 02, 2016, 02:55:25 PM
$5k that soon might not be even be desirable. It would indicate tremendous overheating of the whole ecosystem.
For once, if you would want to sell out some, you won't be able to do it fast.
Coinbase, for example, has 50K max (it would be just 10 coins).
If you start doing multiple 50K all of a sudden, I am pretty sure that your account could be frozen before they figure out what is going on.
Too massive (in $$) withdrawals might be problematic.
There is not much to buy with bitcoin directly (without conversion) for that kind of $$ equivalent (maybe Tesla?).
Network would be completely stuffed as well, fees might go up to $1-10 (good for miners) as people would withdraw probably $ billions equivalent.
At 5k total current market cap would be $80 bil, so if even 10% of holders would want to sell, they would need significant buying pressure to be able to do it.
It would still be cool, though  :)


you're talking as if 10 coins is a small amount, it's not.

there's about 100,000 people in the world who even have 10 bitcoin, and after the next halving (in about 5 weeks) only 12.5 new coins will be generated every 10 minutes, IN THE ENTIRE WORLD.

So basically if you divide the newly generated coins that's 0.0002815 satoshi per second per person. That is 739.8 satoshi per month per person.

10 bitcoin is a very large amount.

once people start to realize how big 1 bitcoin is, then they will truly understand how undervalued bitcoin is right now.

Btw fees are based on the amount of bytes you need, not the amount of bitcoin you send.

Of course, 10 btc is a large amount, but people who got onboard early probably have tens of thou of btcs and they held at $1000, but maybe will sell at $5000.
I was talking about the congestion that this sell would cause.
With respect to fees, i also was talking about how large price moves will cause large number of transactions, which would in turn cause high fees because people would be competing for the fast transaction completion. If you sell $10-50K worth of btc, would you really care about transaction being done in 10min as a priority for you vs cost of $1 instead of typical $5-15c.
Additionally, I am not sure how many people actually have 10btc-statistics that I have seen is old and I doubt that it is just 100K.

BTW, here is mostly unrelated, but interesting snippet: You can get bitcoin with your morning newspaper down under.
http://mashable.com/2016/06/02/bitcoin-newsagency-australia/#mY2Vas7m_ZqU