Bitcoin Forum

There will be no big BTC Halvening price rise. You heard it here first.

Where have you been? Not watching the $200->$650 rise we've seen so far obviously.

there wasn't last time either. no one should be surprised by this. if you bet the farm on it then it sucks to be you but i ain't got too much sympathy.

And that could be due to a number of factors,  brexit speculation being one.  I always felt the halving should already be priced in, but yeah, the rise we just had could be explained by the halving as well. 

But damn, I'm really curious about what's going to happen when the halving actually comes.

But the price of bitcoin for now just impact for manipulating of the whale, their means some people is always said till halving the bitcoin price will rising with faster. but until we don't see the markings of having in bitcoin. like many people in there said.

Well let's say you are right.Of course i hope you're not but i think it may be possible really.
I have seen that volume have been constantly fall for some time,and it may be a reason that btc will not get big at halving.
Maybe a lot of people is going to dump it too,so they are holding it to the next days.
Halving is close,dont get over-excited!

price rising in halving is only people's opinion , they think if we're near halving so many people will hold bitcoin and there will be many buys activity to hold the bitcoin which was bought but the reality is not like that,people keep selling and the trading activities running just like before,so don't expect too much from this halving

LOL, I've heard it plenty of times before. You definitely aren't the first. There are lots of BTC bears, just waiting for the next shorting opportunity. The price is exactly where it needs to be to ensure that big Chinese mining farms can make boatloads of fiat. It probably can even fall a little further, and they can still make boatloads of Yaun. Kind of easy when you get your electricity cheap from a Hydro plant built in the middle of nowhere.

...
Meh?
And what about the current btc high price?

:( because the price has raised before the block reward halves, and that's what you should get noticed.

it's occur before the halvening and so many people here saying it is because of brexit effect,and halving have nothing to do with it,and by that we can't count this price rising is halvening's price rising,so i'm expecting for another surprise whether it'll rise or will be falling down

It's just speculation the price will be rising on halving , if someone still holding their bitcoin the price still stuck.
On the other hand , it's good to buy some bitcoin and make the price is rising.

This week when the halving will occur, the price would maybe change something, but its a sure the halving price has been adopted, last year 300 dollars this year is already at 600 dollars, at the end of the year bitcoin should readjust its price.

last bubble started AFTER the halving, so what are you guys talking about?...

this first pump had a lot reasons but none of them were the halving. We will see a pump happening and wont be right now.

You think it's because of Brexit???
Well... It might be a good way to take money out of UK but it's still really strange xD

there will not be a price rise the minute of block 420,000

(real world logic, electricity bills are not paid daily so people dont cash out daily)
it takes time for things to happen. it will be weeks-months before miners cash out and realise that they cant pay as many bills as last month. and so will start holding out to push the price up to counteract the halving.


many people will wrongly think that the halving has already be accounted for by the rises of the last year. this is wrong because miners have gotten used to the income that have received and have accepted it as the norm. meaning that miners are going to be affected negatively due to the halving being less than the norm.

the easiest way to prove this is to ask any miner.
have they been preparing themselves for the last 12 months thinking ahead. or have they just been grabbing what they can when they can..
the majority will say they are not even breaking even at the moment let alone getting 200% profit.

so ofcourse if not profiting to a 200% amount now they are going to be negatively hit by the halving. so ofcourse it will cause a market price reaction.. but as my first statement said.. it wont by instant. it would be weeks-months before we see it.

usually i would say a couple months. but due to "speculation" and "prediction" markets. it will speculatively rise before miners do their thing (manipulate supply/demand ratio). but wont be the instant it hits block 420,000 because the "cause-effect" has no direct connection between block 420,000 and the bitcoin price .. after all you cant even move the mined coins until they mature(many confirms)

but be sure, it wil happen. and if you deny it, and in a few months post to say you wish you bought sooner.. well refer to your denial post

care to check the charts again.. and maybe put it into scenarios of real life situations, events and circumstance..
EG of miners not "spending" over the christmas period/ new year period. and instead only seen the last halving hit their profitability in the new year once they got back to business..

ill give you a hint. chinese miners.. chinese new year(check the date of the end of the chinese new year holiday when china went back to work)

november '12 under $15..
after chinese new year '13 over $30

by april $230

that spike was the halving spike......
then separately..

the october 2013 price shift was due to ASICS hitting the market

What about a slight price drop? Perhaps it's overvalued at the moment.

This could also happen and i think it might just after halving and once the hype dies down, then there should be another spike when people rush to pick up the cheap coins.

That is the actual happening there is no halvening skyrocketing price rise. Many are expecting that there is an ultimate increase but the opposite happened, the price becomes stable. But at least it did not have a major price decrease since if that happens many will lost a huge amount of money due to a sudden decrease in btc value. I am still thankful that even there no skyrocket increase but at least it did not go down.

i know all that, and, like i said.. after the halving.
i never said the halving was the only reason. just like right now we have another reasons to this first rally.

The author is partially right and partially wrong. Partially right because what he meant is the increase during the scheduled halving itself and not including other dates. Partially wrong since the price increase have happened previous to the actual halvening, and such price increase is indirectly caused by halvening itself. So to study the trend in market price of bitcoin we must consider not only the scheduled date but the date before and after.

All this is a bit like the situation when meteorologists to issue weather bureau forecast "possible percentage of precipitation is 50%"; which indicates that "the rain can go and can not be rain." Bitcoin price may rise after Halving or may not grow. I think the most likely scenario is a slight increase in front and then halves the reduction. When everything settles, and everyone will understand that Halving actually not as big an event as all originally thought, then re-start a gradual climb with little volatility.

Yeah, it's seems you are right. The price is not increase since 2 days ago and keep decrease, i hope the price of bitcoin will increase soon, before the halving.

Personally I now think that there will be a (big) decrease in bitcoin price soon after halving.
All those investments that were made the last few month expected some miracle thing to happen with the halving.
Now it's 36 hours away and nothing happened so far. The first decrease of price has already set in the last two days.
Maybe there will be a slight increse in price of some altcoins.
All that money that will be pulled off has to go somewhere, and surly not all of it will be converted back in fiat.

price has raised more from $300 to $650 but as the users expected there is no price rise during the last moments before halving.

Well, halving is 1 day and 11 hours away, so we'll see what happens then. Personally I think it is a bit naive to expect the doubling of the price exactly in the day of the halving, but nevertheless I think the price will rise in the future.

I like the comment on the CoinDesk to this article http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-halving-2016-will-price-rise-fall/

lol you can't say because 2 days before halvening occur the price is stable doesn't mean there's not going happen a price rising,you know, when price is going to rising the market will get to stable point first because the trading activities getting slower and people keep holding,just see the bitcoin price statistic

Now the price is 50% more than few months ago, i think that increase its about halving. There are a few more than 200 blocks till halving, we will see in few hours if there is any movement on prices.

The price was at up to $800 a few weeks ago! But now its dropped to $640, because of this its hard to tell what will happen anymore with the halving. Bitcoins volatile and unstable state makes it very open to unexpectedness as we have personally experienced.

There is no prediction exact for sure, but most likely the Bitcoin's price will rise highly after the halving, it may take some time after this event, so we have just to wait and see.

It's just a speculation the price will be rising on halving day.
No one know will be happen on halving , depends on buy/sell bitcoin market , member still hold their bitcoin.
So the price still stuck and not having any significant movement.

First of all I've to say you've chosen the wrong section for this thread.That topic belongs to speculation.
Furthermore could you elaborate a bit more on your statement?Where is the data, analysis?
And last but not least you were not the first one posting such nonsense without substantiating.What a pitty!
However keep on pumping your altcoin! ;)

Well said, none can make a exact prediction with bitcoin price movement, but the days of halving is expected to give increase in price. As quoted by above mate sometimes the price increase might increase by the falling days of halving.

but still have a few days for bitcoin to showed the effect of halving, but in the market, the bitcoin price is always decreased. maybe this is a just effect from the whale. maybe a lot of people are thinking the bitcoins price will rising at a halving time is coming is feeling confused about this.

Expect some small drops before big party, believe me. Halving will come into effect months later. Some miners are holding coins for that moment and will sell them at 2x expensive price, others are selling at current price.

It's too soon to predict like that. Normally it takes around 2 weeks for the network to fully adjust with new situation and that's how long we should wait before we could see it's price go up so for now, can't see it changes in anyway.

The bitcoin price has already risen 50% over the last 3 months due to the halving. It will rise slowly after halving.

if you were awake during the past month you would have seen that bitcoin price has gone up because of the halving and now it is $200 higher than price before the halving hype. what more do you want?

Though it should be quite stable for some time now though.

It's not the "halvening" goddamit! That's not even proper grammar!!!  >:( >:( >:(

It's good if the price doesn't spike. If it does, im getting the hell out.

people don't seem to care about how much the price has already gone up lately. they most likely missed the boat and are now waiting to see the price go up from the current price level.

if you are looking for a big rise because of halving then you have to be patient too, because changes never happen overnight. the flow of new bitcoin created and dumped on the market will take a while to decrease so wait for the effects to show and then the rise will come after it.

Bitcoin will bring a price raise on the next months, as i said the pump has happened already but the price should readjust over the next days. Not a big surprise to dont see any other big value, for me halving has already been made from 300 to700 soo what are you guys really expecting now to reach 1000 dollars ?

Oh it will... It will greatly go up. Then you can be sure that it will drop the hella low.
There is a moment, a very tiny instant where the shit gonna hit the fan, where everyone will want to sell at the same time all of what they bought in last weeks :/

Hold your coins people, gonna drop hard.

And the streets shalt flow crimson with the blood of unwary!

What do you want? $1000 price? $2000 price? Halving will not bring that price up put that in your mind.

If most of the big whales will target that price then that was only the time it will become possible.

Anyone who claims to know the exact price of bitcoin in the future, is simply lying. You're guessing

the prices has already high since several months ago i think this is good move and calm situations before halving it doesn't matter for me because big storm will be came soon and just hold your breath

While we all know that in many cases history repeats itself, this may be an exception. After the halving, when the price remain as is, a lot might be opted to sell, and then we could see a crash.

Of course this is only one of the many scenarios, and probably the worst.

Are you serious? Where was you a few months ago when we was at around 390s, the rise has been going since then and will continue after the halving and even if it didn't it wasn't said by you first pal.

Right. We are only achieving of passing the $500 range back then that almost took a years and now the price is even higher than our desire. I don't see any reason to be dissapointed with the current price. If we go back to below $500 and closely to $400 after halving then that will I considered as a fail one.

yeah i think so due to the reputation of bitcoin. it is very popular now so i think the halving day wont make any significant rise in price of bitcoin.

however, in my opinion, bitcoin price may increase cause of these reason:
- The brexit effect: EURO may drop down steadily and the role of bitcoin in europe will be more important
- the Chinese: i dont link Chinese but i can't deny the big impact that they have caused to bitcoin recently
- Donald Trump: hm, why not ? :3
- And the Nobel price this year may mention bitcoin.

A temporary spike is good because it gives us a chance to sell before it drops again. However, if it goes up and doesn't drop back down, then we won't have a chance to buy back cheaper.

Often times in stocks (Which is currently what Bitcoin is being traded as, unfortunately) the price will rise months before due to speculation. Obviously there are not very great traders in Bitcoin so it's obviously making faster and more volatile moves, but we see a big increase leading up to the halving. As for the day of the halving itself, well I guess we just will have to see.

The first halving had a bit of a price increase preceding it. The big fireworks though didn't follow until months after. Just look at a price chart from 2012 to 2014. We have a long way to go before the bubble for this cycle bursts

indeed when getting close to halving, there is no big change in the price. but long before halving prices have risen high, when it was priced around $400 and the highest this year, touching over $750 and I think it was because of halving, not so bad. but it was beyond expectations when getting close to halving the price went down.

Optimists argue that the community is ready to change fees, and no problems. Pessimists believe that the decline in profitability of mining impact on the popularity of Bitcoin and its attractiveness for investors, therefore, cryptocurrency rate will fall.

Good call, OP.

It will need some time to see that the price or will increase or decrease, this because miners are mostly affected by the halving. Now it's the beginning of the month and probably most of miners have already paid the bills so starting from the next month i expect the bitcoin price to be changed.

That's exactly what happened. People were hoping even for more to happen but it remained fairly calm today. Right now the focus is on a slow but stable growth. Perhaps that we will have another rally this year, but it will most likely not be enough to lift the price over $900 this year.

Indeed he was very successful in its forecast, the price remained virtually unchanged.

The price rise from the halving happened over the last few weeks.
Things are going to be steady, but will probably increase slowly over the next couple months.

Dude with an ethereum doubler contract says bitcoin wont go up in price - this forum is toxic.

I expected price to rise, it didnot happen. I also expect price to be volatile, it did not happen either.
I do hope you are right, price will slowly increase next few months.

There is big silence even after block get halved but price on same floor, I am quite sure it will rise just in few days and it go to new highest mark of the year before end of the current month, so hold them and wait for the fun.

I think the big price rise will be after some weeks from the halving event, so we have to wait a little bit. The halving is just done so no expect that the price will increase highly now, we need some time and patience.

As price doesn't shows any dump even on the halving which shows current floor at 600$ is quite strong and can hold so basically expecting some rise in comming months and holding whatever you have will be wide decision.

I think the big price rise need some time, may be some weeks or months after the halving it will happen as many expected before.

Everyone seems to forget that we got a pump from 300-600 which we are now sitting at. At the moment we are sitting very comfortably in the $600 range which i think is pretty good going. If we maintain this or even slightly under as the new floor then it means a slow growth in price is more than possible. but even fluctuating around this level think is more3 than acceptable for the halving. Should we have gone up any higher too quick then it would only be a dump fest anyway and we would be back down at levels probably lower than what we are at right now.

From the halving the price is going to rise, but on a calm and steady way!
We're not going to see a huge impact of panicked selling or buying.

Honestly it will not reflect instantly it takes more times before we will see the nice result. better to wait more days or weeks  before you act.. my speculation is in this two way the price these coming month will reduce after that the price will increase fast until 1k value..
Or these coming months we will see increase gradually until the price hit 800-1k value..

That is what we hope. The price should rise slowly. If it rises too fast like it did in 2013, the price will drop a lot.

thats true, we will need to wait for a while most probably until we will see a huge price growth, if we will be patient enough i think we will see the prices of new all time high

No big rise ? In a few monthes we went from 200$ to 650$. That was our big rise this year. And there will be more in the years to come

Exactly how is that not big. Some people here have not feeling for trading. Expecting an asset worth billions just doubling every month.
That's crazy and not enough.

bitlancr; Glucose:

You just post to scratch out some change from your shitty signature ads, right? Don't bother reading first?

Look at the date of OP's post. Was it made 3 months ago?
No.

No it was not. It was made a few days ago. So WTF does a rise over the past 3 months hav to do with anything?
That's right, nothing.

Was there a price rise since OP's post?
No.
No there was not.
Was it therefore a good call, taking into account that people were promising new ATH and panic buying at the halvening?
That's right, it was a good call.
Which is what I said.

Please keep your signature spam confined to gambling/ponzi/off-topic in the futre.
ty

It`ll go higher due to the worst more financial events happen.

People fail to see that this is the only current resolve for most people - so when they see the russian ruble, the british pound, the dollar it makes financial markets want to dump into bitcoin then being at a negative.

noting happened. yet ;)

The price is slowly decaying since the halving. So we'd probably see some positive movements later this month?

Yes, the price will slowly up when miners realise that price now cant fill mining cost
So it will not like when we use TNT and boom everything destroyed

I am agree with you, actually price has been rise but not in this way where we can say that it is a block halving.
May be we have a lot of hopes with the halving. I have a lot of hope from halving but now i am satisfied with it.
Actually halving mean how we can make profit from bitcoins, and the last four months bitcoin's price was continuously rising and it give us good profit. So i can say it is good halving.   

The miners are businessmen, with millions invested. Trust me, they don't need to realize anything -- they know.

I told you two months ago

Nobody believed us, why? Because they're greedy f*ckers! They all think they can become millionaires! They will learn the hard way, bitcoin will only lead them to ruins. Ruins, I tell ya!!!

The bitcoin price has risen more than 100% in the last 12 months. I think the rise is partly due to halving.