Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: simplydt on April 11, 2013, 09:50:00 AM



Title: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: simplydt on April 11, 2013, 09:50:00 AM
Quote
MtGox.com ‏@MtGox 12m
Maintenance Over however we are now under a DDoS attack.
Source: https://twitter.com/mtgox

If they can't handle this DDOS well and the lag gets to 1 hour again things will get nasty. Opinions?

--
Another possibility is just that their twitter got hacked?


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: San1ty on April 11, 2013, 09:50:56 AM
Interesting. If things go below 100$ I might recover the losses I suffered.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: proudhon on April 11, 2013, 09:51:33 AM
That's no DDOS.  That's just success.

Quote
TOKYO - JAPAN - April 11, 2013

Hi everyone, just a quick update on the situation and what happened last night.

First of all we would like to reassure you but no we were not last night victim of a DDoS but instead victim of our own success!

Indeed the rather astonishing amount of new account opened in the last few days added to the existing one plus the number of trade made a huge impact on the overall system that started to lag. As expected in such situation people started to panic, started to sell Bitcoin in mass (Panic Sale) resulting in an increase of trade that ultimately froze the trade engine!

To give you an idea of how impressive things were here are some numbers that we would love to share with you guys:
- The number of trades executed tripled in the last 24hrs.
- The number of new account opened went from 60k for March alone to 75k new account created for the first few days of April! We now have roughly 20,000 new accounts created each day.

Due to these facts we have been busy working on improving things since last week and our team has been working around the clock to improve Mt.Gox to catch up with the demand. We will continue to release several updates today and in the coming few days to improve our system overall performance.

Also please note that we may have to close the exchange for two hours in the next 12 to 24hrs to add several new servers to our system.

Thank you for your understanding and continuous support!
     
   

Regards
Mt.Gox Co. Ltd Team.

Mt.Gox Contact press@mtgox.com


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: HappyBitCoinUser on April 11, 2013, 09:51:50 AM
YAY! Profit time! Buy buy buy!


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: essem on April 11, 2013, 09:53:02 AM
Next stop 105

odNLRCV^%^NR i STILL HAVE 0.3 BTC TO SELL

FML


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: simplydt on April 11, 2013, 09:53:24 AM
That's no DDOS.  That's just success.

Quote
TOKYO - JAPAN - April 11, 2013

Hi everyone, just a quick update on the situation and what happened last night.

First of all we would like to reassure you but no we were not last night victim of a DDoS but instead victim of our own success!

Indeed the rather astonishing amount of new account opened in the last few days added to the existing one plus the number of trade made a huge impact on the overall system that started to lag. As expected in such situation people started to panic, started to sell Bitcoin in mass (Panic Sale) resulting in an increase of trade that ultimately froze the trade engine!

To give you an idea of how impressive things were here are some numbers that we would love to share with you guys:
- The number of trades executed tripled in the last 24hrs.
- The number of new account opened went from 60k for March alone to 75k new account created for the first few days of April! We now have roughly 20,000 new accounts created each day.

Due to these facts we have been busy working on improving things since last week and our team has been working around the clock to improve Mt.Gox to catch up with the demand. We will continue to release several updates today and in the coming few days to improve our system overall performance.

Also please note that we may have to close the exchange for two hours in the next 12 to 24hrs to add several new servers to our system.

Thank you for your understanding and continuous support!
     
   

Regards
Mt.Gox Co. Ltd Team.

Mt.Gox Contact press@mtgox.com

Well MTGOX seems to think its a DDOS.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: proudhon on April 11, 2013, 09:55:35 AM
That's no DDOS.  That's just success.

Quote
TOKYO - JAPAN - April 11, 2013

Hi everyone, just a quick update on the situation and what happened last night.

First of all we would like to reassure you but no we were not last night victim of a DDoS but instead victim of our own success!

Indeed the rather astonishing amount of new account opened in the last few days added to the existing one plus the number of trade made a huge impact on the overall system that started to lag. As expected in such situation people started to panic, started to sell Bitcoin in mass (Panic Sale) resulting in an increase of trade that ultimately froze the trade engine!

To give you an idea of how impressive things were here are some numbers that we would love to share with you guys:
- The number of trades executed tripled in the last 24hrs.
- The number of new account opened went from 60k for March alone to 75k new account created for the first few days of April! We now have roughly 20,000 new accounts created each day.

Due to these facts we have been busy working on improving things since last week and our team has been working around the clock to improve Mt.Gox to catch up with the demand. We will continue to release several updates today and in the coming few days to improve our system overall performance.

Also please note that we may have to close the exchange for two hours in the next 12 to 24hrs to add several new servers to our system.

Thank you for your understanding and continuous support!
     
   

Regards
Mt.Gox Co. Ltd Team.

Mt.Gox Contact press@mtgox.com

Well MTGOX seems to think its a DDOS.

Given their recent statement, I think they have a hard time distinguishing between success and DDoS.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: loanexpress on April 11, 2013, 09:55:59 AM
Yeah, if it's not clear, MtGox posted the message OP quoted on Google+ (and presumably facebook too) literally minutes ago. It's not in reference to yesterday. So this might be a second wave.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: giarc on April 11, 2013, 09:56:43 AM
That's no DDOS.  That's just success.

Quote
TOKYO - JAPAN - April 11, 2013

Hi everyone, just a quick update on the situation and what happened last night.

First of all we would like to reassure you but no we were not last night victim of a DDoS but instead victim of our own success!

Indeed the rather astonishing amount of new account opened in the last few days added to the existing one plus the number of trade made a huge impact on the overall system that started to lag. As expected in such situation people started to panic, started to sell Bitcoin in mass (Panic Sale) resulting in an increase of trade that ultimately froze the trade engine!

To give you an idea of how impressive things were here are some numbers that we would love to share with you guys:
- The number of trades executed tripled in the last 24hrs.
- The number of new account opened went from 60k for March alone to 75k new account created for the first few days of April! We now have roughly 20,000 new accounts created each day.

Due to these facts we have been busy working on improving things since last week and our team has been working around the clock to improve Mt.Gox to catch up with the demand. We will continue to release several updates today and in the coming few days to improve our system overall performance.

Also please note that we may have to close the exchange for two hours in the next 12 to 24hrs to add several new servers to our system.

Thank you for your understanding and continuous support!
     
   

Regards
Mt.Gox Co. Ltd Team.

Mt.Gox Contact press@mtgox.com

Well MTGOX seems to think its a DDOS.

Given their recent statement, I think they have a hard time distinguishing between success and DDoS.

To be honest, if I were mtgox i'd blame it on ddos. It sounds better than "we still have laggy servers".


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: proudhon on April 11, 2013, 09:56:48 AM
Yeah, if it's not clear, MtGox posted the message OP quoted on Google+ (and presumably facebook too) literally minutes ago. It's not in reference to yesterday. So this might be a second wave.

Or a first wave.  Cuz yesterday was nothing more than success.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Sage on April 11, 2013, 09:59:39 AM
Look at history... buy whenever there is a DDOS attack.

Listen, Bitcoin crashed because Mt. Gox couldn't handle the flood of new buyers.  And that caused the panic selling.

The problem is TOO much money wants into bitcoin for the pipes in to handle.

What do you think is going to happen once those pipes get bigger or replaced?

Sheesh... this one is a no brainer.

Buy!


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: essem on April 11, 2013, 10:01:19 AM
Look at history... buy whenever there is a DDOS attack.

Listen, Bitcoin crashed because Mt. Gox couldn't handle the flood of new buyers.  And that caused the panic selling.

The problem is TOO much money wants into bitcoin for the pipes in to handle.

What do you think is going to happen once those pipes get bigger or replaced?

Sheesh... this one is a no brainer.

Buy!


you need to work harder on your trollin


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: simplydt on April 11, 2013, 10:02:11 AM
That's no DDOS.  That's just success.

Quote
TOKYO - JAPAN - April 11, 2013

Hi everyone, just a quick update on the situation and what happened last night.

First of all we would like to reassure you but no we were not last night victim of a DDoS but instead victim of our own success!

Indeed the rather astonishing amount of new account opened in the last few days added to the existing one plus the number of trade made a huge impact on the overall system that started to lag. As expected in such situation people started to panic, started to sell Bitcoin in mass (Panic Sale) resulting in an increase of trade that ultimately froze the trade engine!

To give you an idea of how impressive things were here are some numbers that we would love to share with you guys:
- The number of trades executed tripled in the last 24hrs.
- The number of new account opened went from 60k for March alone to 75k new account created for the first few days of April! We now have roughly 20,000 new accounts created each day.

Due to these facts we have been busy working on improving things since last week and our team has been working around the clock to improve Mt.Gox to catch up with the demand. We will continue to release several updates today and in the coming few days to improve our system overall performance.

Also please note that we may have to close the exchange for two hours in the next 12 to 24hrs to add several new servers to our system.

Thank you for your understanding and continuous support!
     
   

Regards
Mt.Gox Co. Ltd Team.

Mt.Gox Contact press@mtgox.com

Well MTGOX seems to think its a DDOS.

Given their recent statement, I think they have a hard time distinguishing between success and DDoS.

To be honest, if I were mtgox i'd blame it on ddos. It sounds better than "we still have laggy servers".

lol good point. I havent' seen such levels of incompetence in a while and I've been on the net a big percentage of my life :P


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: giarc on April 11, 2013, 10:02:21 AM
Look at history... buy whenever there is a DDOS attack.

Listen, Bitcoin crashed because Mt. Gox couldn't handle the flood of new buyers.  And that caused the panic selling.

The problem is TOO much money wants into bitcoin for the pipes in to handle.

What do you think is going to happen once those pipes get bigger or replaced?

Sheesh... this one is a no brainer.

Buy!


The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: desired_username on April 11, 2013, 10:05:49 AM

The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.

What do you expect from the userbase when it shits itself in panic when significant lag occours?

The market needs to evolve/improve. both on the user's and service provider's side.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: GeoRW on April 11, 2013, 10:06:18 AM
looks like some angry hackers who lost a lot of money in bitcoin bubble taking a revenge  8)


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: San1ty on April 11, 2013, 10:07:26 AM
looks like some angry hackers who lost a lot of money in bitcoin bubble taking a revenge  8)

Bitstamp at 140. There is some profit to be made here when we get close to 100.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: giarc on April 11, 2013, 10:07:32 AM

The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.

What do you expect from the userbase when it shits itself in panic when significant lag occours?

The market needs to evolve/improve. both on the user's and service provider's side.

I call bull, seems to me lag is being caused by selling not the other way around. If anything lag is slowing the crashes.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: keatonatron on April 11, 2013, 10:07:48 AM
Quote
MtGox.com ‏@MtGox 12m
Maintenance Over however we are now under a DDoS attack.
Source: https://twitter.com/mtgox

If they can't handle this DDOS well and the lag gets to 1 hour again things will get nasty. Opinions?

--
Another possibility is just that their twitter got hacked?

Is it an attack or just 10's of thousands of people constantly hitting the refresh button in their browser trying to be the first to resume trading?


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: HappyBitCoinUser on April 11, 2013, 10:18:55 AM
Quote
MtGox.com ‏@MtGox 12m
Maintenance Over however we are now under a DDoS attack.
Source: https://twitter.com/mtgox

If they can't handle this DDOS well and the lag gets to 1 hour again things will get nasty. Opinions?

--
Another possibility is just that their twitter got hacked?

Is it an attack or just 10's of thousands of people constantly hitting the refresh button in their browser trying to be the first to resume trading?

I'm hitting refresh now.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Manticore on April 11, 2013, 12:45:25 PM
Look at history... buy whenever there is a DDOS attack.

Listen, Bitcoin crashed because Mt. Gox couldn't handle the flood of new buyers.  And that caused the panic selling.

The problem is TOO much money wants into bitcoin for the pipes in to handle.

What do you think is going to happen once those pipes get bigger or replaced?

Sheesh... this one is a no brainer.

Buy!


The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.

Right. All of these new customers are probably a moot point. I don't see them clamoring for Bitcoin. And the media is bored now as well.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Sage on April 11, 2013, 12:51:42 PM
Look at history... buy whenever there is a DDOS attack.

Listen, Bitcoin crashed because Mt. Gox couldn't handle the flood of new buyers.  And that caused the panic selling.

The problem is TOO much money wants into bitcoin for the pipes in to handle.

What do you think is going to happen once those pipes get bigger or replaced?

Sheesh... this one is a no brainer.

Buy!


The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.

Right. All of these new customers are probably a moot point. I don't see them clamoring for Bitcoin. And the media is bored now as well.

Hello my friend, did you bother reading mtgox statement?  They couldn't handle all the clamoring for Bitcoin.  Bored media?  What rock do you live under?


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Manticore on April 11, 2013, 12:53:38 PM

The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.

What do you expect from the userbase when it shits itself in panic when significant lag occours?

The market needs to evolve/improve. both on the user's and service provider's side.

I call bull, seems to me lag is being caused by selling not the other way around. If anything lag is slowing the crashes.

Exactly. The lag quells panic, if anything. Trading curbs on NYSE/Nasdaq are used to quell panic. The lag is used as an excuse for every sell-off even though the sell-off is well under way when it occurs. I'm sorry, but do you think the Japanese Yen would implode because major forex platforms had a delay? People couldn't login to their forex accounts so the currency would simply halve. If so, all the more reason not to own the Yen.

I get 502s on Bitcoincharts every day. These websites are having difficulty with the traffic.



Title: Opinions
Post by: mobile4ever on April 11, 2013, 12:57:19 PM
Quote
MtGox.com ‏@MtGox 12m
Maintenance Over however we are now under a DDoS attack.
Source: https://twitter.com/mtgox

If they can't handle this DDOS well and the lag gets to 1 hour again things will get nasty. Opinions?


Lets get past centralized markets so this can never happen. Bitcoin markets should match bitcoin: decentralized.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Sage on April 11, 2013, 12:58:07 PM

The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.

What do you expect from the userbase when it shits itself in panic when significant lag occours?

The market needs to evolve/improve. both on the user's and service provider's side.

I call bull, seems to me lag is being caused by selling not the other way around. If anything lag is slowing the crashes.

Exactly. The lag quells panic, if anything. Trading curbs on NYSE/Nasdaq are used to quell panic. The lag is used as an excuse for every sell-off even though the sell-off is well under way when it occurs. I'm sorry, but do you think the Japanese Yen would implode because major forex platforms had a delay? People couldn't login to their forex accounts so the currency would simply halve. If so, all the more reason not to own the Yen.

I get 502s on Bitcoincharts every day. These websites are having difficulty with the traffic.



Mtgox sure as hell isn't a Forex exchange.  Its the constraint right now to money flowing in.

That my friend is a temporary problem.

If you doubt it, sell me your coins.  I'm buying.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: NamelessOne on April 11, 2013, 12:59:49 PM
An hour of lag is only going to make panicing people panic more. They see the price dropping and slam the sell, but it doesn't go through and the price keeps dropping, so the place the sell even lower, and lower, and panic grows.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Cluster2k on April 11, 2013, 01:04:05 PM
There's only so many times the popular media is going to report 'Bitcoin hits new highs!' and 'Bitcoin crashes!'.  About once is enough unless we go way below $100.

I'm not sure if I buy this whole deliberate DDoS theory.  We only have MtGox's word to go on, with no independent auditing and no detailed logs.  What would happen if one large seller decided 'this is as good as it gets' and dumped, which caused all the algos watching the price to also try and dump at the same time.  Same thing.  A wild spamming of HFT orders and more lag as the price goes down. 

The price was $180+ earlier today, and now back to $145.  Are people still blaming a conspiracy?  Why wouldn't the conspirators wait for it to inch back over $200+ before trying again?


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: essem on April 11, 2013, 01:06:23 PM
Can I get some government intervention please???


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: essem on April 11, 2013, 01:07:32 PM
interestingly enough, at this very moment in time there is a very popular prostitute website that is also under sustained DDOS attacks

coincidence?

Probably, yes


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Manticore on April 11, 2013, 01:32:45 PM
Hello my friend, did you bother reading mtgox statement?  They couldn't handle all the clamoring for Bitcoin.  Bored media?  What rock do you live under?

A rock called 'reality'. Do you really think that these new customers will throw money into this chart? Please........and the media hype cycle is over. This isn't new anymore and the media gets bored easily. They were already getting bored. And pure hype/speculation was the only thing keeping this up.

An hour of lag is only going to make panicing people panic more. They see the price dropping and slam the sell, but it doesn't go through and the price keeps dropping, so the place the sell even lower, and lower, and panic grows.

I completely understand what you're saying. It would've fallen further and faster in real time. There are other mechanisms at work during the lag......tiny bot trades that attempt to put green on the screen and stem the psychology of the sell-off (only occurring during the lag, and usually working). I can post various links of data sets and screenshots (mine and others who've mentioned this). What normally happens during a sell-off is...the price rolls over, the lag starts and grows the lower it goes, hundreds of tiny bot buys (e.g., 0.02 BTC) keep the bid/ask up (much much higher than steam of sells) in spite of 100s or 1000s of dumped coins as a means to stem the psychology of panic simply by simulating interest.

Because everything has slowed down, these bot buys make it look like we're bouncing because people are seeing the bid/ask stick higher in a more pronounced way than if we were trading real-time. The bid/ask keeps bouncing up to these tiny trades (5%-10% higher than stream of sells) and that's why we always bounce back up so quickly after minor sell-offs. Yesterday's selling was too intense, but they tried the same maneuver.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=172540.msg1795308#msg1795308
https://i.imgur.com/umRmL7b.png

 


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: sukiho on April 11, 2013, 01:42:20 PM
An hour of lag is only going to make panicing people panic more. They see the price dropping and slam the sell, but it doesn't go through and the price keeps dropping, so the place the sell even lower, and lower, and panic grows.
or, they try to cancel their order nut cant and end up selling much lower then they would have had they had a choice, keeping the crash going longer then it would have had they had control of their orders, I doubt many people were expecting a lag of over an hour yesterday


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on April 11, 2013, 01:52:16 PM
That lag makes people panic sell is too obvious to warrant discussion. The analogies to NYSE or whatever are totally irrelevant because Bitcoin doesn't have any kind of track record of stability like major stock exchanges do, and Gox don't communicate during their surprise extreme lag events.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Wuji on April 11, 2013, 01:56:00 PM
Mt Gox can't handle traffic and it doesn't matter if it is a DDOS or just too much traffic.  They are the major exchange and people look to them for price.  The fluctuations are making BTC the most useless currency out there now (Maybe Zimbabwe is worse hadn't checked).  All kidding aside though BTC is right now purely a speculation commodity and will not be currency until the value is more stable.  I'm out and staying out, wake me up when there is an exchange that can handle the load.  I seriously doubt that Mt. Gox didn't have the capital to invest in infrastructure.  I'm calling BS and will not be using them any more now that my BTC in Fiat and not in MT Gox any longer.  

If BTC is worth $10,000 as everyone preaches then great.  I think I averaged about 1200% return on my transactions.  If I buy back in at $1000 once it is a usable currency and hold till $10,000 well that is another 1000% profit even if it takes 10 years to get there. 100% per year is an amazing return for the smartest investors in the world.  I'll never regret being a wise investor making smart conservative decisions and not taking huge risks.  Hindsight is 20/20 and right now we are all Helen Keller.  Do you regret everytime a sports team wins you didn't risk your hard earned cash to gamble on the game?  Why is BTC any different now that it has proven itself a high risk unstable currency and Mt Gox equally useless?  I think this board is either filled with people who do not understand investing, currency and commodities or just plain stark raving lunatics worshipping the moon at this point.  Good luck!


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: simplydt on April 11, 2013, 06:40:58 PM
So the answer to this earlier question was, 12 hour maintenance will happen.


Title: Re: New DDOS now in progress, what will happen?
Post by: Sage on April 12, 2013, 03:20:32 AM
Look at history... buy whenever there is a DDOS attack.

Listen, Bitcoin crashed because Mt. Gox couldn't handle the flood of new buyers.  And that caused the panic selling.

The problem is TOO much money wants into bitcoin for the pipes in to handle.

What do you think is going to happen once those pipes get bigger or replaced?

Sheesh... this one is a no brainer.

Buy!


The money pipeline analogy might make sense if the market hadn't already nosedived. That doesn't look like too much money moving into the market to me.

The money can't get into the market!  The pipe is clogged.  The clogged pipe is what caused the nosedive. 

This is an epic buy opportunity with anyone with any kind of foresight.   Sigh... that's obviously the minority though.