Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: chiropteran on April 15, 2013, 04:07:48 PM



Title: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: chiropteran on April 15, 2013, 04:07:48 PM
Each day that the bitcoin price remains fairly stable, and doesn't deviate by more than 15% from $100, bitcoin speculator boredom increase.  Furthermore, this increase is exponential, the actual boredom level is doubling with each consecutive day.  You don't need to be a rocket scientist to realize that this sort of bubble can't last forever.

https://i.imgur.com/PiBjC3x.png

In a matter of days, the boredom level will exceed all realistic limits for boredom.  I expect a spectacular crash in stability in the next few days.


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: bomboclat77 on April 15, 2013, 04:11:22 PM
Find a hobby  8)


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: ElectricMucus on April 15, 2013, 04:11:30 PM
Ahahaha nice :)


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: BitSlut69 on April 15, 2013, 04:13:01 PM
Whether bull or bear, we're all speculators at this point, even if we're speculating long term.

Where do I find this boredom measurement charted on the exchanges?  ::)


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: el_rlee on April 15, 2013, 04:23:21 PM
What prevents the game from starting over again?


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: warpio on April 15, 2013, 04:26:29 PM
bitcoin is more useful as a currency if it's not fluctuating, which means more people will feel comfortable holding their coins as opposed to selling them for speculation.


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: Wuji on April 15, 2013, 04:27:12 PM
Each day that the bitcoin price remains fairly stable, and doesn't deviate by more than 15% from $100, bitcoin speculator boredom increase.  Furthermore, this increase is exponential, the actual boredom level is doubling with each consecutive day.  You don't need to be a rocket scientist to realize that this sort of bubble can't last forever.

In a matter of days, the boredom level will exceed all realistic limits for boredom.  I expect a spectacular crash in stability in the next few days.

Pretty chart however, without knowing the source of "boredom levels" it seems rather meaningless.

I think it is important to point out that from $50 March 17th to the $266 high was a massive bubble which many of us called and made hefty profit on.  The current $100 level is not from all the news etc. in the past month.  It has been a steady linear rise since January.  As people are buying coins daily to use them for real purposes I don't think anyone has a clue what the real value is.  However, I think it is important to set the context as I have outlined that the $100 price may or not be a bubble and you failed to offer any tangible evidence one way or the other.  I'm 50/50 on it and not sure.  However, I feel safe buying back at $90 as in the next year or so I easily believe we will see over $100 again.  Even if I just sell at $120 6 months from now that is 20% which most investors dream of in 6 months.  I'd be surprised if we go below the last low at $56.


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: Newscastix on April 15, 2013, 04:28:32 PM
High boredom level here... i want some price action...

Up or down.. either way is fine with me  :D


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: mgio on April 15, 2013, 04:33:31 PM
nice one.

you do have a point though. some people like myself have a lot of cash in their mtgox account waiting for a dip to buy.

eventually i'll figure it's not going anywhere and i'll just start buying.


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: pretendo on April 15, 2013, 06:11:00 PM
is this satire


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: Bit_Happy on April 15, 2013, 06:16:38 PM
Good one  :)


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: cbeast on April 15, 2013, 06:29:17 PM
is this satire
Poes's Law.


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: 1m1nd on April 15, 2013, 08:37:15 PM
boredcoin


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: shad0wbitz on April 15, 2013, 08:57:14 PM
I'm actually with you. Pay no attention to the diluted bulls: they have to keep dreaming, or they will through themselves through a window.

Bitcoin will hit $35-47 by the end of the week, with a MASSIVE sell off this weekend. Price will go to $5.


Title: Re: We are in an Unsustainable Bubble
Post by: Spaceman_Spiff on April 15, 2013, 09:25:22 PM
I'm actually with you. Pay no attention to the diluted bulls: they have to keep dreaming, or they will through themselves through a window.

Bitcoin will hit $35-47 by the end of the week, with a MASSIVE sell off this weekend. Price will go to $5.


Bulls are diluted now?  I though only fiat was being diluted...  ;)