Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: wobber on April 17, 2013, 04:32:48 PM



Title: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: wobber on April 17, 2013, 04:32:48 PM
Simple. Forum based.

I will give 48 hours for the contest. I see there are many technical analysts that are pretty good, other people just spread FUD.

If you're in, just post how to you thing the market will go. For each 48hrs correct prediction you get 1 point. 1 bonus point for giving TA with graphs.

However I understand some do not want to disclose their positions so half a point wil be awarded for giving a correct vague prediction and then provide a TA after the 48 hrs time frame.

I just want to see who's the best. If the winner wants, I'll make a website for subscription services. And of course, subscribe.


Round 1 ends on April 19th 4:35 pm UTC



Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: yuvadm on April 17, 2013, 04:59:49 PM
and the crowd goes w... *crickets*


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: wobber on April 17, 2013, 05:12:35 PM
yea...


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: phorensic on April 17, 2013, 05:12:38 PM
Well I can tell you who is definitely the worst.  Proudhon.  He screams crash every day for like a year through every rally.  He was finally "right", but I hesitate to say "right" because if he screamed it long enough he was bound to be right eventually.


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: deadweasel on April 17, 2013, 05:14:29 PM
Well I can tell you who is definitely the worst.  Proudhon.  He screams crash every day for like a year through every rally.  He was finally "right", but I hesitate to say "right" because if he screamed it long enough he was bound to be right eventually.

nobody has consistently predicted the market more than flipping a coin. proudhon is at least consistently wrong.


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: michaelGedi on April 17, 2013, 05:23:08 PM
I predict it will go up or down for certain


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: superside on April 17, 2013, 05:23:48 PM
Well I can tell you who is definitely the worst.  Proudhon.  He screams crash every day for like a year through every rally.  He was finally "right", but I hesitate to say "right" because if he screamed it long enough he was bound to be right eventually.

nobody has consistently predicted the market more than flipping a coin. proudhon is at least consistently wrong.

Or consistently deceiving...


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: wobber on April 17, 2013, 05:24:04 PM
I predict it will go up or down for certain

Up AND down is better...


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: deadweasel on April 17, 2013, 05:25:54 PM
Well I can tell you who is definitely the worst.  Proudhon.  He screams crash every day for like a year through every rally.  He was finally "right", but I hesitate to say "right" because if he screamed it long enough he was bound to be right eventually.

nobody has consistently predicted the market more than flipping a coin. proudhon is at least consistently wrong.

Or consistently deceiving...

in BTC i assume everyone is deceiving me.


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: Dr3AM$cAp3 on April 17, 2013, 05:32:51 PM
Well I can tell you who is definitely the worst.  Proudhon.  He screams crash every day for like a year through every rally.  He was finally "right", but I hesitate to say "right" because if he screamed it long enough he was bound to be right eventually.

nobody has consistently predicted the market more than flipping a coin. proudhon is at least consistently wrong.

*chuckle*

I predict this bear pattern will continue till we level at 30.  Hopefully I am wrong and it will go back up and remain stable, but either way, I win. 8) 


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: Wuji on April 17, 2013, 05:40:14 PM
I wasn't able to predict the huge surge since January but, the top of the bubble was easy to see.  I know I'm not the best with predictions because, the news and speculation on Bitcoin is unpredictable and I can't figure this crystal ball out.  At any rate I'll take a wild guess at $70-$80.  Of course if there is more news about adoption in the next 48 hours that is a useless guess and we may break $100 again.

I initially thought $70 and with MtGox problems figured below $50.  I think speculators have held it up for the past week and will continue to as it slowly slides down long term.  I hope so anyway so I can go all in again and patiently await another bubble or real adoption and a valid price increase (even better long term).


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: bassclef on April 17, 2013, 05:50:51 PM
Think we might test 65-70, then trend upwards again. It will be a bumpy ride. Fasten your seat belts and gird your loins.


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: Meman on April 17, 2013, 06:43:55 PM
I'm no TA, but my wild guess: trending sideways between 50$ and 100$ with more and more people losing their interest in bitcoins


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: awakening on April 17, 2013, 07:00:07 PM
Well I can tell you who is definitely the worst.  Proudhon.  He screams crash every day for like a year through every rally.  He was finally "right", but I hesitate to say "right" because if he screamed it long enough he was bound to be right eventually.

nobody has consistently predicted the market more than flipping a coin. proudhon is at least consistently wrong.

Well.. Now Proudhon swinged back from bear. He predicts one hundred bucks now  ;D


Title: Re: Speculation contest - Who's the best with predictions?
Post by: UKMark on April 17, 2013, 07:05:28 PM
As long as we don't dip passed $73 for too long I'm pretty confident long term. We have seen some big sells over the past few days starting around now 20.00UTC, so I'm buckling in just in case :D