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Title: Is China’s Credit Bubble on the Brink of Bursting? Post by: tyz on February 19, 2017, 08:20:46 PM A lot of people are concerned about China’s economy right now.
With foreign reserves falling to dangerous levels, no one knows for sure how bad the situation truly is. Massive borrowing outside China is bringing net reserves down even further. It seems unlikely the Peoples Bank of China can sustain the Yuan exchange rate much longer. The Chinese credit bubble is on the brink of busting, which can have catastrophic consequences. Title: Re: Is China’s Credit Bubble on the Brink of Bursting? Post by: davis196 on February 20, 2017, 12:15:17 PM A lot of people are concerned about China’s economy right now. With foreign reserves falling to dangerous levels, no one knows for sure how bad the situation truly is. Massive borrowing outside China is bringing net reserves down even further. It seems unlikely the Peoples Bank of China can sustain the Yuan exchange rate much longer. The Chinese credit bubble is on the brink of busting, which can have catastrophic consequences. The PBOC should stop manipulating the Yuan price and everything will be fine. I believe that the China`s economy is strong enough to survive a credit bubble. There will be a decrease of the GDP growth for sure. Title: Re: Is China’s Credit Bubble on the Brink of Bursting? Post by: Hydrogen on February 20, 2017, 01:31:17 PM It has been documented that china constructs "ghost cities" no one lives in or visits to artificially boost their GDP.
If that mentality extends to their economic and financial policy, circumstances are likely worse than they appear. For years there have been concerns over china imploding from rampant state corruption by politicians and beaureaucrats. It happened to the soviet union under Gorbachev. It may not be very surprising if history repeats itself. Title: Re: Is China’s Credit Bubble on the Brink of Bursting? Post by: Mometaskers on February 23, 2017, 08:55:43 PM It has been documented that china constructs "ghost cities" no one lives in or visits to artificially boost their GDP. If that mentality extends to their economic and financial policy, circumstances are likely worse than they appear. For years there have been concerns over china imploding from rampant state corruption by politicians and beaureaucrats. It happened to the soviet union under Gorbachev. It may not be very surprising if history repeats itself. I've seen documentaries of that. It was both sad and infuriating. It's all a massive waste of resources while people in the country's interior still remain poorer than those in the coast. What's disturbing is it seem to be the attitude of officials there. They for example did their best to hide the development of SARS, only admitting when people were already infected. >:( Both with pandemics and economics, they'd drag us down with them if they keep doing this. Since you mention Soviets, I can't help but remember a scene I saw in a documentary. The Russians visited and the Chinese showed them their fields, crops so thick that you need to place planks to walk through the farms. It was all a lie.. they just stuffed the plot show to the visitors. Ironically the documentary was about Mao's artificial famine. :'( |