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DEGEN SIGNALS
Sportsbetting Picks


New Seasons New Picks
You can get all free picks in the telegram channel: https://t.me/degensignals (https://t.me/degensignals)


Tracking football (soccer) picks here: https://www.betadvisor.com/en/tipsters/football/getrekt/statistics.html (https://www.betadvisor.com/en/tipsters/football/getrekt/statistics.html)

Looking for the best place to third party track MMA picks if you have a suggestion let me know



I will also update here with this weeks picks, but the fastest way to catch the best odds is to subscribe to the telegram channel

I am interested. But will you still continue to post your picks at degenbet.com and your channel at youtube?

I want to also start betting on football and basketball but all the tips I find in the prediction threads are fake, meaning they only post or spam their predictions but did not bet on them. What sites do you go to to find information about sports?

Yea of course I will continue to post my picks on degenbet.com and on youtube.
I wont make a write up for every daily pick, sometimes I only make them 15min before the game.

Thanks for sharing dude, I would appreciate if you would make a write ups in every picks you'll share. I love sports betting and I love to see the opinion of other people especially those who are doing this kind of job for a long time, I feel the confident of pushing my bet when I see I am on the same side of such tipster I follow.

By the way, why not also  post your write up here?

If I make a decsion to pick 30min or 15min out then I dont have time to:
Place the bet
Enter the bet at third party tracking site
Give the pick in the telegram channel
share the pick on twitter
and then come post here, by that time the game started and there is no write up about it.

I do write ups for all MMA picks including videos which are in the MMA related posts here.
 I also just did a write up for the upcoming Oscars. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1799093.msg17929483#msg17929483

When are you gonna offer the paid service and how much are you planning on pricing them?  And are you planning on pricing them on a monthly or yearly basis?  I'm interested in buying the service and I do hope you get it up sooner than later.  ;)  There's no such thing as free in this world, especially if it's sports betting picks.  I'd rather have the info for the select few than the general public tbh.

I will have monthly and yearly.
I will just give out 1 free pick everyday starting at the NCAA Basketball March Madness tournament starts.

For MMA I will give out a free pick every event and the rest will be paid.

well that's not bad if happen to make a good timing the earnings can be used to purchase your payed pick, i'm gonna look forward to see how this thread and how would be the percentage of winnings and if this could be profitable for us as the followers and buyers of your pick, good luck to you and keep sharing.

Keep in mind to get the free picks you need to join the telegram channel below:

 https://t.me/joinchat/AAAAAEIU7KRcswkQl2jSIA (https://t.me/joinchat/AAAAAEIU7KRcswkQl2jSIA)

Telegram is a message app that works in your browser, on your phone or as a desktop program.
It is the quickest way to update picks.

this is exactly what I'm looking for , great record man and for sure I will follow
so degenbet is running by more than one guy ?? I thought that Theo is the only guy that runs degenbet I'm also in a telegram group that have a lot of members I thought that it was the official one

Just me

Yes the @sportsbet channel is offical for chat and general discussion
im just making one that lists my picks that are third party tracked.

I like your basketball picks. I hope we see some NBA picks today.

I am also interested on what you think about the main event and the co-main event of UFC 209. I have read some comments on sherdog.com that Tony Ferguson will have a better chance of winning versus Khabib than what the odds are showing us. Can you make a comment on that?

What do you also think of Tyron versus Wonderboy?

Hunt Woodly Tony
All underdogs

Here is a video I made about it

What I will do is make another video that is private and only linked to in the telegram channel
in that video I will go over any picks for the rest of the card and other betting tactics
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s8bYFYjmbq4 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s8bYFYjmbq4)

nice video mate and its a good opportunity to assess those fights i'm with you with the champ i think Woodley will try to defend his belt
even odd saying that thompson can steal this but for me the heart of the fighter and the pride of being champ will allow Woodley to
try to keep this fight wins.

@krach. Once again I will follow your picks. But on your pick in the Mark Hunt versus Alistaire Overeem fight I am skeptical. I speculate it might just be like the Overeem versus Roy Nelson fight with the it finishing all 3 rounds. I bet the over 1.5 rounds with ok odds at +110.

Tempting but im not sure if I will take a over under on that one.  Fight goes the distance might be worth it.

Hi krach.  I wanna learn more about sports betting and get better at it.  I know it will take more than following the tips that you and others make available.  I wanna learn more about the math behind it and the 'hows' of formulating a good strategy.  Can you recommend me any books that I can read?  There aren't much reliable sports betting info available online.  Some good website suggestions (besides yours) will be truly appreciated as well.  Thanks.

https://dspace.rmu.edu/xmlui/bitstream/handle/11347/18/Ludwiczak.pdf?sequence=1 (https://dspace.rmu.edu/xmlui/bitstream/handle/11347/18/Ludwiczak.pdf?sequence=1)

That is a good place to start. You dont need to be a quant to make good bets.
Use what you are good at, a trading background is good, there is a lot of overlap.

Thanks.  I'll start reading that as soon as I have the time and have a clear mind for it.

One thing I would like to ask you is what do you think of 'Weighing the Odds in Sports Betting' by King Yao?  The guys in the 2+2 forum swear by it.  I have read his poker book but I found it dated.  So there might be a chance that Weighing the Odds might be dated too, or does that even matter?  What do you think?  Thanks again.

Sure weighing odds is good.
In the end you are going to have to use some discretion. Sure you could have it all mapped out in your model but where did the model come from?

I think the odds look good for Woodly this weekend, I will bet more units on that. It is pertty subjective (Discretionary). Generaly I am more willing to add units to an underdog (value) than an even money or favorite pick. Even if they are only on paper a "slight underdog" as Woodly is.

I look at people that use models and weigh every bet very technicaly like algo traders and ones that dont do that as pure discretionary traders.
I use both but lean more to the discretion side. I like to use volume of money and bets on each side together with team stats and subjective feeling of if teams are tired or modivated ect.

https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/education/trading_tips/daily_trading_lesson/2014/02/20/The_Discretionary_Trader_vs_The_System_Trader.html (https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/education/trading_tips/daily_trading_lesson/2014/02/20/The_Discretionary_Trader_vs_The_System_Trader.html)

The people only using technical models are going to miss the fine points of teams being modivated or give some stats more value. For example a NFL team defense like Texas was rated high but also had one of the shortest ammounts of time on the field. Will the technical guys over rate their defense? Something to at least keep in mind.

Use what works for you and suits your strong points, if you are into math and stats anyway then explore that route. If you are more into the sport itself and like to study fine points about what is going on in teams and players minds and style match ups then go that route.

imo

Good solid advice there.  Thanks so much krach.  Btw, I just finished reading the pdf you posted above.  It's good and I like how it says that we should be aware on what the sports books are doing.  I will look into that and how they do it in other sports especially in football (the real one, not NFL, ;D) asian handicap lines.

And I was wondering if you have more stuff I can read.  I would really appreciate that.  Thanks.

Out now ONLY in the degensignals telegram channel an EXTRA UFC 209 video with THREE extra picks and some prop bets. Check it out!

@krach. Thank you. After the UFC cancelled the Tony Ferguson versus Khabib Nurmagedov fight I needed more ideas where to put the extra bitcoins in my sportsbook account. I might split it to 2 bets depending on what looks good.

Hi i visited your telegram channel but i am not able to type anything. Is this a channel just to show your picks or is there anything that i am doing wrong .Looks like your MMA predictions are rather good and i might follow your lead .

Wow, you really are interested in learning be pro mate. I checked the link and by just looking at it, I'm sleepy now. That was a long story to read but I'm sure if I have more time I can do it. Good luck to your betting, hope it works.
For the mean time, I'll just stick with some short advices and follow my guts all the time.

Yes that is just a place for picks

For general sportsbteting chat go to http://telegram.me/sportsbet (http://telegram.me/sportsbet)

Had a bad streak recently.
MMA still has a good record, stay tuned in the channel for an update

Liking it, not buying now though but will follow with March Madness free-pick, with dozens of matches in the first days if you go a good streak I'll give it a try.
Like the degens chat too! Better than Nitrogen's!

That is a very tempting offer there krach. Can you post your record in UFC betting and will you be giving us your other betting tips like basketball bundled with that or will it be separate? It will be the playoffs soon and I would like to make some bets there also.

http://www.betrush.com/tipster,1907.html (http://www.betrush.com/tipster,1907.html)
Here is my MMA record, yes I will include othr sports

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NokIJGnKmBs (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NokIJGnKmBs)

This weekends picks

Soccer (Football)
Germany Bundesliga

Dusseldorf vs. Wolfsburg
Over 2.75  1.83  (1.89)

Augsburg vs. Frankfurt
Over 3     2.00  (2.05)

Union Berlin vs. Bremen
Over 2.75  1.85 (1.90)


England EPL

Liverpool vs. Newcastle
Newcastle +2.25  1.90 (1.93)

Bournemouth vs. Everton
Over 2.75  2.01 (2.02)


MMA UFC


Gaethje vs. Cerrone under 1.5 rounds 2.30




The odds in the () are the odds that I took earlier this week, you could have gotten them for free if you were in the telegram channel where I posted them.

This weekends picks

Soccer (Football)
Germany Bundesliga

Dusseldorf vs. Wolfsburg
Over 2.75  1.83  (1.89)  LOSS

Augsburg vs. Frankfurt
Over 3     2.00  (2.05)   PUSH

Union Berlin vs. Bremen
Over 2.75  1.85 (1.90)   HALF WIN HALF PUSH


England EPL

Liverpool vs. Newcastle
Newcastle +2.25  1.90 (1.93)  HALF WIN HALF PUSH

Bournemouth vs. Everton  WIN
Over 2.75  2.01 (2.02)


MMA UFC


Gaethje vs. Cerrone under 1.5 rounds 2.30  WIN

CRYSTAL PALACE vs MANCHESTER CITY   
CRYSTAL PALACE   +1.75  1.93

RB LEIPZIG vs VFL WOLFSBURG
Under 3.00   1.83   

WERDER BREMEN vs HERTHA BSC
Over 3   1.85      

FORTUNA DUSSELDORF vs 1. FSV MAINZ 05
Over 2.75   1.83   

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT vs BAYER 04 LEVERKUSEN
Over   3 1.75   


These were the odds when shared on telegram and on betadvisor, many have already dropped.