Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: ManBearPig on April 19, 2013, 09:32:07 AM



Title: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: ManBearPig on April 19, 2013, 09:32:07 AM
http://tonycoleby.com/shared/2013-04-19_bitcoin_growth.png

Over the 1.8% daily growth one that held for 10 weeks - which is still a mighty fine trend!


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: Jaroslaw on April 19, 2013, 09:41:14 AM
good analist sir


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: ManBearPig on April 19, 2013, 09:44:28 AM
good analist sir

Haha whoever called me an analist was lying ;)


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: jubalix on April 19, 2013, 10:21:41 AM
http://tonycoleby.com/shared/2013-04-19_bitcoin_growth.png

Over the 1.8% daily growth one that held for 10 weeks - which is still a mighty fine trend!

your theory looks sound, but your graphing software....has issues, the low was 50, your chart does not seem to read that...


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: JimiQ84 on April 19, 2013, 10:26:25 AM

your theory looks sound, but you graphing software....has issues, the low was 50, you log chart does not seem to read that...

because those are closing prices


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: solex on April 19, 2013, 10:36:32 AM
Nice chart work MBP,
Can you post a copy of your multi-year version as well?

Have you noticed the technical precision in Bitcoin's oscillations? The April 13th retrace was up to $130 before a new downtrend to $50. Midpoint is $90 which is where it came to rest for over a day before this morning's massive burst of buying. The peak today of $136 and decline to $110 again sees temporary stabilization near $123, a 50% move back. Is this because it is one of the few unmanipulated markets in the world?


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: ManBearPig on April 19, 2013, 05:40:25 PM
Nice chart work MBP,
Can you post a copy of your multi-year version as well?

Have you noticed the technical precision in Bitcoin's oscillations? The April 13th retrace was up to $130 before a new downtrend to $50. Midpoint is $90 which is where it came to rest for over a day before this morning's massive burst of buying. The peak today of $136 and decline to $110 again sees temporary stabilization near $123, a 50% move back. Is this because it is one of the few unmanipulated markets in the world?


Thanks, here's the last one from April 12th 2013:

http://tonycoleby.com/shared/2013-04-12_bitcoin_growth.png

And yes indeed I have!


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: RenegadeMind on April 20, 2013, 02:50:17 AM
Those are nice charts! Thanks for making them publicly available!


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: randrace on April 20, 2013, 04:43:57 AM
Hey, I like these charts; keep up the good work!


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: rograz on April 20, 2013, 04:59:35 AM
Someone needs to make a chart that shows the daily number of charts posted, I'd follow that chart since it would be a better indicator than anything else!


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: bassclef on April 20, 2013, 05:01:47 AM
Very nicely done.


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: solex on April 20, 2013, 06:08:04 AM
Someone needs to make a chart that shows the daily number of charts posted, I'd follow that chart since it would be a better indicator than anything else!

Please include this chart, which shows where the Bitcoin ship and her motley crew of investors are headed...

http://images.wikia.com/pirates/images/0/08/Will_and_Tai_Huang_Charts_AWE.jpg


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: ManBearPig on April 20, 2013, 10:13:20 AM
Thanks for those who find them useful.

Bears and chart-haters be polite now! :)

I do try to keep the speculation to a minimum, the rest is just the facts presented nicely I guess.


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: arepo on April 23, 2013, 12:44:50 AM
the problem is, bitcoin traders aren't rational. during high - volatility times like these, there will be huge, unpredictable deviations from the trendline. being above the trendline sometimes means that we have a lot of irrational buying pressure, the kind of which does not peak until it reaches euphoric highs (echo bubble effect). whether or not we have reached such a peak is work for another.


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: Kazu on April 23, 2013, 12:49:02 AM
the problem is, bitcoin traders aren't rational. during high - volatility times like these, there will be huge, unpredictable deviations from the trendline. being above the trendline sometimes means that we have a lot of irrational buying pressure, the kind of which does not peak until it reaches euphoric highs (echo bubble effect). whether or not we have reached such a peak is work for another.
In the long run, however, this will not matter. While there will be random irrational peaks and canyons (which caused me to lose 0.8 BTC in a bet -_- ) the overall trend is as portrayed in this thing.


Title: Re: My almost daily chart for 19th April 2013: we are back over THAT trendline
Post by: ManBearPig on April 23, 2013, 06:17:42 PM
Enough chaotic individuals become predictable when present en-masse. Whether random-number generators or people.

Though of course true randomness is a myth.

I'm a firm believer in the wisdom of crowds too. Well, wisdom as in information if not at least common sense...