Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: ElectricMucus on April 27, 2013, 07:35:33 PM



Title: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on April 27, 2013, 07:35:33 PM
Like Bitcoins rhodium exhibits three properties:

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
It is somewhat of a fringe investment
It is subject to hypes

And most importantly it is one of the few actual assets which exhibit wild price swings.
http://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd72-98.gifhttp://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd92-pres.gif

I find it very interesting how chaotic those are, so if you think to know what bitcoin will do next over any longer period of time: Think again ;)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Malawi on April 27, 2013, 07:59:37 PM
Need Rhodium now!

http://periodictable.com/Samples/045.7/s9s.JPG


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: GigaCoin on April 27, 2013, 08:02:48 PM
I used to observe rhodium prices last year as i noticed that the price pattern always had a unique behavior. Real good find that you managed to find a pattern between BTC and rhodium. What this needs now is some detailed analysis  :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: UltimateReaper on April 27, 2013, 08:37:08 PM
As a lover of precious metals this pleases me.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Gabi on April 27, 2013, 08:46:45 PM
I heard someone is making ASICs to mine Rhodium  :D


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: zemario on April 27, 2013, 08:59:25 PM
Well spotted OP.

I heard someone is making ASICs to mine Rhodium  :D
Remove the smilie and post this as new topic for endless laughs.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: glendall on April 27, 2013, 09:10:36 PM
I think the man who discovered Rhodium, William H. Wollaston, would agree.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/7d/Wollaston_William_Hyde_Jackson_color.jpg

Most people don't realize this, but he was an ardent Bitcoin fan, and early adopter. You can see him above looking over his paper wallets in this famous portrait.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Tornston on April 27, 2013, 09:21:22 PM
gibberish


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Elwar on April 27, 2013, 09:52:00 PM
I have a Rhodium tooth.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Melbustus on April 27, 2013, 11:55:05 PM
No, it's digital coffee.

Cuz look how volatile coffee is. Must be the same underlying dynamics:

https://i.imgur.com/dMBXcnM.png


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on April 28, 2013, 12:17:24 AM
No, it's digital coffee.

Cuz look how volatile coffee is. Must be the same underlying dynamics:

https://i.imgur.com/dMBXcnM.png

Not volatile enough.
But there is a point here, historically grain was used as a backing asset for the first occurrences of currency.

Other than that the similarity ends here since it isn't really limited, it is mainly dependent on fundamental production demand and it is consumed.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 08, 2013, 12:45:33 AM
bump


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Melbustus on November 08, 2013, 01:06:03 AM
No, it's digital coffee.

Cuz look how volatile coffee is. Must be the same underlying dynamics:

https://i.imgur.com/dMBXcnM.png


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 08, 2013, 01:07:22 AM
How about responding to my post?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Melbustus on November 08, 2013, 01:27:39 AM
How about responding to my post?

Ok. Eyeballing it, the volatility of Rhodium and Coffee looks similar enough.

Bitcoin, of course, has been more volatile. NewLibertyStandard quoted $0.0007639 per BTC in 2009. Now we're close to $300. OMG, the volatility!!!

Bitcoin is still a toy in terms of global relevance. It's in its infancy. To cry "volatility" is both to miss the point, and to fail to acknowledge where we are in the lifecycle. In short, such observations are meaningless.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: spike420211 on November 08, 2013, 01:37:41 AM
I have a Rhodium tooth.
erm. no... it's too poisonous to use as a tooth.
Rhodium makes for badass drill bits/cutting tools etc.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: antimattercrusader on November 08, 2013, 02:04:23 AM
I have a Rhodium tooth.

Rhodium makes for badass drill bits/cutting tools etc.

Shut up and take my money


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: btceic on November 08, 2013, 02:10:15 AM
How about responding to my post?

Ok. Eyeballing it, the volatility of Rhodium and Coffee looks similar enough.

Bitcoin, of course, has been more volatile. NewLibertyStandard quoted $0.0007639 per BTC in 2009. Now we're close to $300. OMG, the volatility!!!

Bitcoin is still a toy in terms of global relevance. It's in its infancy. To cry "volatility" is both to miss the point, and to fail to acknowledge where we are in the lifecycle. In short, such observations are meaningless.

Where wiuld you say we are in the lifecycle?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: antimattercrusader on November 08, 2013, 02:24:40 AM
How about responding to my post?

Ok. Eyeballing it, the volatility of Rhodium and Coffee looks similar enough.

Bitcoin, of course, has been more volatile. NewLibertyStandard quoted $0.0007639 per BTC in 2009. Now we're close to $300. OMG, the volatility!!!

Bitcoin is still a toy in terms of global relevance. It's in its infancy. To cry "volatility" is both to miss the point, and to fail to acknowledge where we are in the lifecycle. In short, such observations are meaningless.

Where wiuld you say we are in the lifecycle?

Eaaaaaaaaarrrrly adopter stage.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Siegfried on November 08, 2013, 11:26:47 AM
I think the man who discovered Rhodium, William H. Wollaston, would agree.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/7d/Wollaston_William_Hyde_Jackson_color.jpg

Most people don't realize this, but he was an ardent Bitcoin fan, and early adopter. You can see him above looking over his paper wallets in this famous portrait.

Hilarious.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Wekkel on November 08, 2013, 01:56:39 PM
It does not seem an unreasonable thought that Bitcoin rises in value steadily, with short term spikes along the way. Indeed, a commodity. Better pick it up again when demand is lower again.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: crazy_rabbit on November 08, 2013, 02:01:03 PM
Like Bitcoins rhodium exhibits three properties:

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
It is somewhat of a fringe investment
It is subject to hypes

And most importantly it is one of the few actual assets which exhibit wild price swings.
http://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd72-98.gifhttp://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd92-pres.gif

I find it very interesting how chaotic those are, so if you think to know what bitcoin will do next over any longer period of time: Think again ;)

Good find, although bitcoin feels just a touch more useful then Rhodium.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Miz4r on November 08, 2013, 03:03:47 PM
There is no long term trend up in Rhodium, so very different from Bitcoin imo. The volatility is all they share in common.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: rampantparanoia on November 08, 2013, 07:31:30 PM
There is no long term trend up in Rhodium, so very different from Bitcoin imo. The volatility is all they share in common.

I disagree.

The thing with precious metals is that they have a fixed supply. We just don't know what that fixed supply is, whereas with BTC we do.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: darkmule on November 09, 2013, 07:38:26 AM
There is no long term trend up in Rhodium, so very different from Bitcoin imo. The volatility is all they share in common.

I disagree.

The thing with precious metals is that they have a fixed supply. We just don't know what that fixed supply is, whereas with BTC we do.

More importantly, we don't know what the ultimate demand is for rhodium.  Maybe we come up with some great application and suddenly the really limited supply of rhodium is incredibly valuable.  Weird ideas about what this might be are why rhodium values fluctuate so rapidly.  (Or at least I speculate this wildly out of my ass with no clue about rhodium other than what I've read on Wikipedia.  Actually, I do know a fair amount about rhodium because it's very interesting, seriously, look into it, but nearly nothing about it as a commodity.)

Bitcoin is fundamentally different from rhodium, because its value or lack of value depends solely on inherent attributes of the commodity.  Those attributes are deliberately built into it.  Unlike, say, rhodium, Bitcoin has no values other than as money.  You can't make wire out of it.  You can't make jewelry out of it.  It won't get put into a catalytic converter (like platinum or palladium or whatever). 

So its price isn't going to go into weird spirals based on external ideas.  Okay, its price can and has gone into weird spirals because of weird ideas about its actual attributes.  But that's a different thing.

Bitcoin isn't an electronic anything.

It's Bitcoin.  Sui generis, bitch.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 09, 2013, 08:01:56 AM
Bitcoin isn't an electronic anything.

It's Bitcoin.  Sui generis, bitch.

Best response yet. You are of course right.


What I am pointing out are the similarities, which end here.
What remains is more like how Bitcoin works as an investment which is very similar, to how rhodium is threated, the amount of investment taking over the largest portion of the price.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Le Happy Merchant on November 09, 2013, 08:11:28 AM
I have a Rhodium tooth.
erm. no... it's too poisonous to use as a tooth.

False.

As an aside, I have a Bitcoin tooth.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 09, 2013, 08:12:33 AM
How about responding to my post?

Ok. Eyeballing it, the volatility of Rhodium and Coffee looks similar enough.

Bitcoin, of course, has been more volatile. NewLibertyStandard quoted $0.0007639 per BTC in 2009. Now we're close to $300. OMG, the volatility!!!

Bitcoin is still a toy in terms of global relevance. It's in its infancy. To cry "volatility" is both to miss the point, and to fail to acknowledge where we are in the lifecycle. In short, such observations are meaningless.

So you do you think one Bitcoin will be traded for US$ 117,816,468  in 4 years?
Good riddance.

I propose you the following exercise: Look at any 4 year period of rhodium prices and tell me it can't be mistaken for something bitcoin is doing.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Kazimir on November 09, 2013, 08:53:42 AM
Like Bitcoins rhodium exhibits three properties:

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
How is Bitcoin more or less rare than gold?

There's more kilograms of one, but more satoshis of the other. How does that compare on the rareness-scale? :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 09, 2013, 08:57:39 AM
Like Bitcoins rhodium exhibits three properties:

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
How is Bitcoin more or less rare than gold?

There's more kilograms of one, but more satoshis of the other. How does that compare on the rareness-scale? :)

Notice the 's' in Bitcoins? I was talking about single Bitcoins, not any named subunits some guy came up with.
There are more Gold atoms than Satoshis btw.

You may see that as "common unit" bitcoins, troy ounces, oil barrels, etc..


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Kazimir on November 09, 2013, 09:48:40 AM
How is Bitcoin more or less rare than gold?

There's more kilograms of one, but more satoshis of the other. How does that compare on the rareness-scale? :)

Notice the 's' in Bitcoins? I was talking about single Bitcoins, not any named subunits some guy came up with.
There are more Gold atoms than Satoshis btw.

You may see that as "common unit" bitcoins, troy ounces, oil barrels, etc..
Why compare entire bitcoins (which are digital, thus infinitely divisible) with *atoms* of gold no less?
Why not femtocoins of BTC with megatonnes of gold?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Hyena on November 09, 2013, 09:52:08 AM

Is it just me or do you guys also have a desire to try this piece of metal between your teeth? I wonder if it's somewhat soft like tin.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 09, 2013, 09:52:33 AM
Why compare entire bitcoinssatoshis (which are the smallest denomination given which can't be changed without a hard-fork) with *atoms* of gold no less?
FTFY
Keep in mind that changing the smallest denomination would make old clients unusable and doing it would also affect the market, so it's not as easy to do as you might think.

Why not femtocoins of BTC with megatonnes of gold?

Because nobody else does it. Again I compare ounces with bitcoins because most people use these denominations.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 09, 2013, 09:53:55 AM

Is it just me or do you guys also have a desire to try this piece of metal between your teeth? I wonder if it's somewhat soft like tin.

IIRC it's the second hardest metal.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Impaler on February 13, 2014, 10:03:26 PM
Good find EM, again I salute your Gadflyness.

In response to the earlier comparison with Coffee, their is a kernel of truth here, Coffee is volatile because of a consistent tendency of Coffee growers to over-plant new Coffee trees which take ~5 years to mature, so the market swings from gluts to shortages as lots of trees are planted during shortages and almost none planted during the gluts.

This long-lead time is more like ASIC based mining, where as GPU mining would be more like growing sugar-cane or any other annual crop.  ASIC miners are almost certainly going to overshoot their equipment purchaces and be producing coins at a loss very soon and this may create a Coffee like volatility.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: spike420211 on May 19, 2015, 04:00:24 AM
Quote
bitcoin feels just a touch more useful then Rhodium
Rhodium is way more useful for hardening/toughening cutting tools.
Ask any high-end machine shop.

[altho-theoretically-the same electrons used to store bits can be used in an arc or laser cutter...]


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: futureofbitcoin on May 19, 2015, 04:04:35 AM

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold


No it isn't. There will be nearly 2100000000000000 Satoshis but only 171,300 tonnes of gold in the world.

/silliness

I'm always amused by how people compare the rarity of bitcoin versus gold. You can't compare it since the units they're measured in are so different...


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: rjclarke2000 on May 19, 2015, 06:58:13 AM
Like Bitcoins rhodium exhibits three properties:

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
It is somewhat of a fringe investment
It is subject to hypes

And most importantly it is one of the few actual assets which exhibit wild price swings.
http://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd72-98.gifhttp://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd92-pres.gif

I find it very interesting how chaotic those are, so if you think to know what bitcoin will do next over any longer period of time: Think again ;)


The big spikes seem to be just before or during the recessions. Early 90's and 2007/8 ish. I guess this is the reason for the spike as people rushed for a save haven.

Will people rush to Bitcoin during the next one in 1,5,10 years or whenever? Who knows.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: Natalia_AnatolioPAMM on May 19, 2015, 04:41:37 PM
Like Bitcoins rhodium exhibits three properties:

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
It is somewhat of a fringe investment
It is subject to hypes

And most importantly it is one of the few actual assets which exhibit wild price swings.
http://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd72-98.gifhttp://www.kitco.com/LFgif/rd92-pres.gif

I find it very interesting how chaotic those are, so if you think to know what bitcoin will do next over any longer period of time: Think again ;)

the market is pretty the same, but they're contrary different things!


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: mrhelpful on May 19, 2015, 10:21:14 PM
And the finance people seem to love it.

cant believe wallstreet actually taking the move to add a index finally. but, that means a huge potential of influx of buyers.. grandma is about to talk to her FA whats better then 1-2% and they prob mention bitcoin if she can afford the risk.

http://mashable.com/2015/05/19/new-york-stock-exchange-bitcoin/


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: readysalted89 on May 19, 2015, 10:51:58 PM
Like Bitcoins rhodium exhibits three properties:

It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
It is somewhat of a fringe investment
It is subject to hypes

And most importantly it is one of the few actual assets which exhibit wild price swings.


I find it very interesting how chaotic those are, so if you think to know what bitcoin will do next over any longer period of time: Think again ;)

Good find, although bitcoin feels just a touch more useful then Rhodium.

I disagree.

Rhodium's major use is as one of the catalysts in the three-way catalytic converters in automobiles. White gold is often plated with a thin rhodium layer to improve its appearance while sterling silver is often rhodium-plated for tarnish resistance.

Catalytic converters in automobiles are probably used considerably more than Bitcoin.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is not digital Gold, it is digital Rhodium
Post by: yefi on May 20, 2015, 01:26:05 AM
And most importantly it is one of the few actual assets which exhibit wild price swings.

All of the Platinum metals seem to exhibit wide price swings. These charts from a report by the U.S. Geological Survey (http://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2012/5188/sir2012-5188.pdf#Platinum-Group) show long term price trends. Red line is inflation adjusted.

http://i60.tinypic.com/2uh1o3b.png (http://i60.tinypic.com/2uh1o3b.png)

Ruthenium went from $13/oz average in 1993 to $574/oz average in 2007. In 13 years, Iridium fell from $666/oz to $47/oz.

To be honest though, we're really too narrow-sighted when we look at a mere forty years in these metals. Trends can emerge over very long time periods indeed, and what can appear as randomness on one scale can be a pattern on another.