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Title: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 03, 2017, 11:33:27 AM Okay no one hit this. So prize is raise to 2.0 ltc and a sidehack 1 chip usb compac.
Locking for the time being will fill in the rules in about 12 hours Link to last threads https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1972166.0 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1932641.msg19189742#msg19189742 Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. when it reaches 1116 picks will start when it reaches 516-- picks will end---- Please note I erred and closed it early . Next round we will do 516 when it reaches 0 winner will be found or not ################################## @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ********************************************** Difficulty History Date.......................Difficulty............Change......Hash Rate Jul 02 2017 708,659,466,230 -0.43% 5,072,782,052 GH/s Jun 17 2017 711,697,198,174....... 4.85% .... 5,094,526,985 GH/s May 23 2017 595,921,917,085 6.42% 4,265,775,241 GH/s May 10 2017 559,970,892,891 7.28% 4,008,427,786 GH/s Apr 27 2017 521,974,519,554 0.22% 3,736,439,151 GH/s Apr 13 2017 520,808,749,422 4.24% 3,728,094,244 GH/s Mar 30 2017 499,635,929,817 5.03% 3,576,533,297 GH/s Mar 17 2017 475,705,205,062 3.24% 3,405,230,497 GH/s Mar 03 2017 460,769,358,091 4.54% 3,298,315,540 GH/s Feb 18 2017 440,779,902,287 4.41% 3,155,225,442 GH/s Feb 04 2017 422,170,566,884 7.43% 3,022,014,630 GH/s Jan 22 2017 392,963,262,344 16.64% 2,812,940,600 GH/s Jan 10 2017 336,899,932,796 6.05% 2,411,623,656 GH/s Bitcoin Difficulty: 595,921,917,085 Estimated Next Difficulty: 643,997,221,046 (+8.07%) Adjust time: After 1664 Blocks, About 10.9 days this is the spot to look for the start time next jump at 1116 not this jump Hashrate(?): 4,637,688,482 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.4 minutes 3 blocks: 28.4 minutes 6 blocks: 56.7 minutes Updated: So 1 compac usb stick from sidehack and 1 LTC coin from me. upped to 1.5 LTC 2 LTC If you are overseas I will spring for the shipping of the compac stick. Note the compact stick is the 1 chip version but as always it is fun to play with it. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: philipma1957 on July 03, 2017, 11:35:38 AM Rules
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1484047.msg14964950#msg14964950 I am checking this list of rules from older thread 1)you must have been on this site since April 1st 2017 you must have at least 30 posts. -- 2)I will check you out if you are new and decide if you can play. 3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed. 4)Do not pick someone else's number If you do I will assign a number and that will not be changed 5) picks start at: Bitcoin Difficulty: Estimated Next Difficulty: Adjust time: Block 1116 Hashrate(?): Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 3 blocks: 6 blocks: Updated: 6) picks end at Bitcoin Difficulty: Estimated Next Difficulty: Adjust time: 516 Hashrate(?): Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 3 blocks: 6 blocks: Updated: 7) since this is a free contest I make all decisions if there are any issues or problems. 8 ) note the change picks start later and end late in the hope of helping a person to pick a winner. 9) format is below and this is the contest picks from 2016 in code as low as you want -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 +0.1 +0.2 +0.3 +0.4 +0.5 +0.6 +0.7 +0.8 +0.9 +1.0 to as high as you want Code: -1.2 = philipma1957 >>>> I always pick this number Code: Difficulty History 10) Finally If I missed anything I will be the sole decider as to what is fair. Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. And we are looking at +5% Bitcoin Difficulty: 708,659,466,230 Estimated Next Difficulty: 744,264,819,589 (+5.02%) Adjust time: After 1751 Blocks, About 11.3 days > picks start at 1116 Hashrate(?): 6,227,194,523 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.3 minutes 3 blocks: 27.9 minutes 6 blocks: 55.9 minutes Updated: Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: edonkey on July 03, 2017, 07:41:12 PM This new spike is scary. It's almost vertical.
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: leowonderful on July 03, 2017, 09:16:20 PM This new spike is scary. It's almost vertical. Bitmain & friends turned a few miners off so difficulty increase was marginal last difficulty period and turned on the miners previously off and then some. If you disregard that then the growth seems pretty normal, i have a feeling it's going to be in the teens in terms of growth this time.Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: philipma1957 on July 03, 2017, 11:02:13 PM This new spike is scary. It's almost vertical. Bitmain & friends turned a few miners off so difficulty increase was marginal last difficulty period and turned on the miners previously off and then some. If you disregard that then the growth seems pretty normal, i have a feeling it's going to be in the teens in terms of growth this time.chart clearly shows 1000ph popped on in a day or two that is 77 s-9's for each ph or 77,000 s-9's https://i.imgur.com/q4GWRjZ.png Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: leowonderful on July 03, 2017, 11:43:53 PM This new spike is scary. It's almost vertical. Bitmain & friends turned a few miners off so difficulty increase was marginal last difficulty period and turned on the miners previously off and then some. If you disregard that then the growth seems pretty normal, i have a feeling it's going to be in the teens in terms of growth this time.chart clearly shows 1000ph popped on in a day or two that is 77 s-9's for each ph or 77,000 s-9's https://i.imgur.com/q4GWRjZ.png Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: QuintLeo on July 04, 2017, 02:35:33 AM Could also be Bitfury finally starting to ship some serious chips/miners, or a combination of several of the smaller fry shipping some gear.
I don't see any reason for a farm to swap out S7 units unless they're at the limit of power availability (the things are more profitable NOW than they were when the S9 was introduced, I think - close if not). Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: fr4nkthetank on July 05, 2017, 02:35:34 PM The spike has gone down a bit. Maybe we'll see a price increase soon. higher diff, means higher price, or is it the opposite :)
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: vapourminer on July 05, 2017, 05:05:43 PM the numbers on this new "guess the difficulty" thread are soooo different from the old contest. lotsa double digit increases at the old thread vs the low single digit ones here.
times be changing? the asic makers just dribbling miners out this time and that limits the difficulty growth? Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: philipma1957 on July 05, 2017, 09:52:06 PM the numbers on this new "guess the difficulty" thread are soooo different from the old contest. lotsa double digit increases at the old thread vs the low single digit ones here. times be changing? the asic makers just dribbling miners out this time and that limits the difficulty growth? it is hard to jump diff a lot there is a shit ton of gear mining and as far as anyone know there is no .05 watt a gh miner around. when the s-9 came out it could do .10 watts it has been tweaked and the new one do .12 watts and do not break that easy. the only way to rip 2 or 3 20% jumps would be a new miner with .05 watts that works. or price jumps to 4500 . Don't we wish that. Bitcoin Difficulty: 708,659,466,230 Estimated Next Difficulty: 782,936,712,108 (+10.48%) Adjust time: After 1378 Blocks, About 8.5 days >>>> 1116 is starting point Hashrate(?): 5,627,512,620 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 8.9 minutes 3 blocks: 26.7 minutes 6 blocks: 53.4 minutes Updated: 17:50 (1.6 minutes ago) Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: QuintLeo on July 06, 2017, 08:07:00 PM The spike has gone down a bit. Maybe we'll see a price increase soon. higher diff, means higher price, or is it the opposite :) Price has nothing to do with diff. PROFITABILITY however is largely a function of price and diff (and electric cost). I could picture a 20% jump happen, if a combination of (1) Bitmain ships a new batch of S9/T9/R4 units (2) Bitfury ships a couple of their big mining containers, or a large batch of chips that quickly get turned into miners by major farms (3) some of the smaller folks ship new batches of miners all happened at the same time. Upon reflection though, wasn't Bitmain supposed to ship out a batch of S9s on or before the 10'th? Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: philipma1957 on July 06, 2017, 08:26:22 PM The spike has gone down a bit. Maybe we'll see a price increase soon. higher diff, means higher price, or is it the opposite :) Price has nothing to do with diff. PROFITABILITY however is largely a function of price and diff (and electric cost). I could picture a 20% jump happen, if a combination of (1) Bitmain ships a new batch of S9/T9/R4 units (2) Bitfury ships a couple of their big mining containers, or a large batch of chips that quickly get turned into miners by major farms (3) some of the smaller folks ship new batches of miners all happened at the same time. Upon reflection though, wasn't Bitmain supposed to ship out a batch of S9s on or before the 10'th? if prices go up diff chases the jumps. It is a language barrier I need to write a few hundred words and most readers just scan. So I sound bite it. But if price 2x to 4500-5200 diff will rise faster then if price stays flat = fairly true in simple words. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: alh on July 06, 2017, 11:49:35 PM What's interesting to consider is the amount of hash that needs to be added to make a 10% from the last adjustment. Using the figure from bitcoinwisdom of 5,072,782 TH at the last change, the network would need to add 507,278 TH for a 10% increase. That's a lot of S9 hardware, or BitFury containers to deploy. You would think the logistics alone would be pretty daunting. My guess is that this is actually stuff that's been purchased as the price was rising and has taken a while to actually made active. Maybe Bitmain has been "sand bagging" for a while.......
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: vh on July 07, 2017, 12:28:24 AM Another interesting bit of trivia was that the total network hash at the beginning of 2016 was under 1 exohash. I find it incredible someone just flipped a switch to control more than that from one spot.
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: philipma1957 on July 07, 2017, 05:11:06 AM What's interesting to consider is the amount of hash that needs to be added to make a 10% from the last adjustment. Using the figure from bitcoinwisdom of 5,072,782 TH at the last change, the network would need to add 507,278 TH for a 10% increase. That's a lot of S9 hardware, or BitFury containers to deploy. You would think the logistics alone would be pretty daunting. My guess is that this is actually stuff that's been purchased as the price was rising and has taken a while to actually made active. Maybe Bitmain has been "sand bagging" for a while....... Bitmain is always sandbagging as their cost for s-9's is maybe 500 or 400 usd. they could just build and mine until they kill btc. So they don't do that they control the flow of sales and self mining. Still the spike was 20% which is 77,000 s-9's even if it is ½ that at 10 % it is around 40,000 s-9's Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 07, 2017, 06:36:14 PM Picks are open!
Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 -1.1 = philipma1957 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: vapourminer on July 07, 2017, 07:14:05 PM 1.1 = vapourminer
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: vh on July 07, 2017, 08:07:29 PM 6.2 = vh
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 07, 2017, 09:52:58 PM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 6.2 = vh Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: fr4nkthetank on July 07, 2017, 10:17:52 PM 4.8 = fr4nkthetank
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: Flying Hellfish on July 07, 2017, 10:53:56 PM +5.1 = Flying Hellfish
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 08, 2017, 12:01:25 AM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 6.2 = vh Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: QuintLeo on July 08, 2017, 12:02:23 AM + 10.9 = QuintLeo
What's interesting to consider is the amount of hash that needs to be added to make a 10% from the last adjustment. Using the figure from bitcoinwisdom of 5,072,782 TH at the last change, the network would need to add 507,278 TH for a 10% increase. That's a lot of S9 hardware, or BitFury containers to deploy. You would think the logistics alone would be pretty daunting. My guess is that this is actually stuff that's been purchased as the price was rising and has taken a while to actually made active. Maybe Bitmain has been "sand bagging" for a while....... Bitmain is always sandbagging as their cost for s-9's is maybe 500 or 400 usd. they could just build and mine until they kill btc. So they don't do that they control the flow of sales and self mining. Still the spike was 20% which is 77,000 s-9's even if it is ½ that at 10 % it is around 40,000 s-9's It's not that they're sandbagging. It's that they can't get as many chips made as they want to, because *ALL* of the foundries that make current-gen chips are flat-out running at capacity - all 4 of them in the entire world - and a HUGE chunk of that capacity is locked into long-term contracts (TSMC by Nvidia and large cell-phone makers other than Samsung, Samsung by it's internal use + NVidia, Global Foundries by AMD and IBM, Intel by it's internal use and it doesn't SELL OUT capacity) which leaves the "small" chip making folks like Bitmain fighting over the scraps. I'm 100% sure that Bitmain would love to have been able to sell TWICE as many S9/T9/R4 units over their lifetime so far vs what they've been able to do so - and make twice as many for their internal use while they were at it. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 08, 2017, 12:17:29 AM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 6.2 = vh 10.9 = QuintLeo Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: abeandund on July 08, 2017, 02:08:53 AM 4.6 = abeandund
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 08, 2017, 02:44:10 AM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 4.6 = abeandund 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 6.2 = vh 10.9 = QuintLeo Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: Psi on July 08, 2017, 08:29:19 PM Looks like most are picking positive numbers this time, so here's my pick:
+3.2= Psi thanks Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 08, 2017, 08:31:36 PM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 3.2= Psi 4.6 = abeandund 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 6.2 = vh 10.9 = QuintLeo Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: leowonderful on July 09, 2017, 12:26:05 PM + 4.2
Never hurts to participate in one of these. Let's hope we actually get close to the actual difficulty rise this time! Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: HagssFIN on July 09, 2017, 01:45:23 PM Up we go.
+7.5 = HagssFIN Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: Last of the V8s on July 09, 2017, 06:33:35 PM 5.0 = Last of the V8s
many thanks Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: Landy1264 on July 09, 2017, 07:17:31 PM +5.4 = Landy1264
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: Tomintx on July 09, 2017, 10:11:04 PM +8.7 = Tomintx
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 09, 2017, 10:14:51 PM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 3.2 = Psi 4.2 = leowonderful 4.6 = abeandund 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.0 = Last of the V8s ---- you are welcome 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 5.4 = Landy1264 6.2 = vh 7.5 = HagssFIN 8.7 = Tomintx 10.9 = QuintLeo Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: edonkey on July 10, 2017, 04:14:29 PM Our 4 year old cat (her birthday was yesterday) says:
9.7 = eDonkey Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: VRobb on July 10, 2017, 06:26:29 PM I hope I'm wrong, but yet I hope I'm right! :-\
+11.7 = VRobb Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 10, 2017, 10:04:55 PM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 3.2 = Psi 4.2 = leowonderful 4.6 = abeandund 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.0 = Last of the V8s ---- you are welcome 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 5.4 = Landy1264 6.2 = vh 7.5 = HagssFIN 8.7 = Tomintx 9.7 = eDonkey 10.9 = QuintLeo 11.7 = VRobb you would think that with about a 100 dollar giveaway we would have more entries by now.. there are about 70 blocks to go and I then will close the picks. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: vapourminer on July 10, 2017, 11:18:52 PM you would think that with about a 100 dollar giveaway we would have more entries by now.. there are about 70 blocks to go and I then will close the picks. yeah i remember your old contest, it was hard to pick a number towards the end as most everything was taken. guess we are all so rich we dont need contests anymore :D Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: pusttiu on July 11, 2017, 03:26:37 AM +13.0 = pusttiu
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 11, 2017, 03:50:36 AM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 3.2 = Psi 4.2 = leowonderful 4.6 = abeandund 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.0 = Last of the V8s ---- you are welcome 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 5.4 = Landy1264 6.2 = vh 7.5 = HagssFIN 8.7 = Tomintx 9.7 = eDonkey 10.9 = QuintLeo 11.7 = VRobb 13.0 = pusttiu you would think that with about a 100 dollar giveaway we would have more entries by now.. there are about 27 blocks to go and I then will close the picks. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are open!! Post by: alh on July 11, 2017, 06:25:53 AM +9.9 = alh
Bitcoin Difficulty: 708,659,466,230 Estimated Next Difficulty: 780,565,274,191 (+10.15%) Adjust time: After 524 Blocks, About 3.3 days Hashrate(?): 5,924,279,716 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.1 minutes 3 blocks: 27.2 minutes 6 blocks: 54.5 minutes Updated: 1:20 (7.4 minutes ago) Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 11, 2017, 08:25:19 AM Picks are open! Experimental Image Contribution: http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 3.2 = Psi 4.2 = leowonderful 4.6 = abeandund 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.0 = Last of the V8s ---- you are welcome 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 5.4 = Landy1264 6.2 = vh 7.5 = HagssFIN 8.7 = Tomintx 9.7 = eDonkey 9.9 = alh 10.9 = QuintLeo 11.7 = VRobb 13.0 = pusttiu you would think that with about a 100 dollar giveaway we would have more entries Picks are closed good luck. ] Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: buwaytress on July 11, 2017, 10:39:05 AM Ouch, looks like I completely missed this edition (I participated in the previous one). Actually bookmarked the old thread but somehow forgot all about this. Been reading news on hobby miners re-entering the scene ever since recent ATHs, probably one more reason why people are thinking of double digit guesses.
If this one is positive, I'm going on a low negative if I chance on the next edition. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: VRobb on July 12, 2017, 04:05:24 PM Someone has kicked on the afterburners and it's looking like a 13+% increase coming! :o I first picked 13, then thought that's too much and went down a notch. ::)
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: QuintLeo on July 12, 2017, 04:56:07 PM I went double-digit because I got reminded by a post somewhere about "S9 batch shipping in July".
Seems like Bitmain got this batch out the door a bit early though, I'm pretty sure their "ship by" date on the batch in question was July 10. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: alh on July 12, 2017, 06:22:20 PM I went double-digit because I got reminded by a post somewhere about "S9 batch shipping in July". Seems like Bitmain got this batch out the door a bit early though, I'm pretty sure their "ship by" date on the batch in question was July 10. Nothing says that Bitmain didn't deploy 1,000 S9's within their data center before they worried about shipping units to customers. I clearly picked too low, just like almost everyone else..... Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: Flying Hellfish on July 13, 2017, 02:06:17 AM Damn I shouldn't have bet the farm on my number >:(
Oh wait this was free!!!!!! Thanks for the shot at some free loot philipma1957. Hope to play again next diff, and hope I don't suck at guessing again! Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 13, 2017, 02:41:39 AM Bitcoin Difficulty: 708,659,466,230 Estimated Next Difficulty: 810,060,933,977 (+14.31%) Adjust time: After 205 Blocks, About 1.2 days Hashrate(?): 6,292,287,248 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 8.6 minutes 3 blocks: 25.9 minutes 6 blocks: 51.8 minutes Updated: 22:40 (52.0 seconds ago) looks like a rollover. prize will stay at 2 ltc a 1 chip compac stick from side hack Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: Last of the V8s on July 13, 2017, 05:02:37 PM looks like a rollover. prize will stay at 2 ltc a 1 chip compac stick from side hack want :D this next diff period will provide extra excitement and thrills, as all may or indeed may not become clear re forkz/segwitz here's hoping miners act rationally Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: fr4nkthetank on July 13, 2017, 06:40:04 PM wow i cant wait for the next contest, will we see double digits again stay tuned...
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 13, 2017, 08:19:04 PM http://mining.tipsternet.com/images/BitcoinWisdom_AdjustTime.png Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. [/quote] PICKS END AT 516 I want to mention that 2.0 ltc is max I will bring prize to . So if we roll over again prize is capped at 2 ltc [/quote] -1.1 = philipma1957 1.1 = vapourminer 3.2 = Psi 4.2 = leowonderful 4.6 = abeandund 4.8 = fr4nkthetank 5.0 = Last of the V8s ---- you are welcome 5.1 = Flying Hellfish 5.4 = Landy1264 6.2 = vh 7.5 = HagssFIN 8.7 = Tomintx 9.7 = eDonkey 9.9 = alh 10.9 = QuintLeo 11.7 = VRobb 13.0 = pusttiu you would think that with about a 100 dollar giveaway we would have more entries Picks are closed good luck. [/quote] Bitcoin Difficulty: 708,659,466,230 Estimated Next Difficulty: 808,658,514,488 (+14.11%) Adjust time: After 88 Blocks, About 12.6 hours Hashrate(?): 6,029,104,965 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 8.6 minutes 3 blocks: 25.8 minutes 6 blocks: 51.5 minutes Updated: 14.11 is way higher then the 13% guess Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: VRobb on July 14, 2017, 03:14:15 AM 13.0 is still possible... crazy!
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 14, 2017, 04:37:45 AM 13.0 is still possible... crazy! 31 blocks and 13.71 since 13 is 13.0 to 13.099999xxx it could hit. Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: leowonderful on July 14, 2017, 10:56:20 AM Bitcoinwisdom shows a +13.53% increase. Insane, but also completely out of the range of our guesses. Better luck next time for all of us! I assume this will be rolled over to the next diff period.
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: pusttiu on July 14, 2017, 11:00:37 AM :((
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: VRobb on July 14, 2017, 12:25:25 PM +13.53, ouch! :o
Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are yet to open. Post by: vapourminer on July 14, 2017, 12:31:14 PM the numbers on this new "guess the difficulty" thread are soooo different from the old contest. lotsa double digit increases at the old thread vs the low single digit ones here. times be changing? the asic makers just dribbling miners out this time and that limits the difficulty growth? over 13% yikes. spoke too soon ,guess i shouldnt of opened my big mouth :D Title: Re: Difficulty contest. prize 2 ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are closed!! Post by: philipma1957 on July 14, 2017, 06:40:27 PM yeah I am capping prize at 2 ltc and 1 compac usb stick.
new contest is here : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2021024.msg20137895#msg20137895 and this is locked |
