Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: bornloser on May 09, 2013, 11:58:49 PM



Title: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: bornloser on May 09, 2013, 11:58:49 PM
I see all the posts about people in China lining up to buy bitcoins and they are going to cause a huge rise in the price. Why does everyone think that China is NOW finally getting involved with bitcoins? With China's technology and cutting edge technologies, WE(everyone other than China) could have been the ones that drove the price up for THEM?  They dont live in the stone age anymore.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: randrace on May 10, 2013, 12:29:29 AM
http://www.words-chinese.com/images2/chinese_symbols_for_okay_9782_2_2581.png


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: Jrock on May 10, 2013, 12:37:35 AM
Just a bunch of people gripping to their last hopes of another huge really/bubble in the short term.

When that hope runs out we go down even more.

Can't wait!


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: julz on May 10, 2013, 01:08:38 AM
"Why does everyone think that China is NOW finally getting involved with bitcoins? "

Probably because anyone following the global node map here: http://blockchain.info/nodes-globe?series=48hrs
will have noticed a massive uptick in Chinese nodes in the past weeks - and a huge difference in nodes compared to a year ago.

Up until recently, China looked very weak in terms of the number of full bitcoin nodes compared to Europe and the US.

That said - I've also seen a big drop in Chinese nodes a week or so after the CCTV story aired - so much of it is possibly just casual interest/experimentation which won't translate into buying.


I wish someone had a time-series of that globe so you could see the changes - but it wasn't so long ago that China looked more like India does now on that map.
I know this map only shows a small fraction of the people who hold Bitcoin wallets - but it should give at least a reasonable representation of relative interest in different countries.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: bitcon on May 10, 2013, 01:50:34 AM
unfortunately the average chinese annual family income is $25/ year. so each of them were only able to invest about 10 cents.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: Zaih on May 10, 2013, 03:31:07 AM
Irregardless, it's good news for Bitcoin. it means its spreading. Another few million people now know about Bitcoin, and from that people will tell their friends & family.

It's just great to see the news spreading, and as a result people have seen further potential in Bitcoin, and the price has been driven up.

regardless of how many Bitcoin's the Chinese purchase, I don't see how this is anything but great news. People just want the prices to go down so they can re buy in...



Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: bornloser on May 10, 2013, 09:33:13 AM
Irregardless, it's good news for Bitcoin. it means its spreading. Another few million people now know about Bitcoin, and from that people will tell their friends & family.

It's just great to see the news spreading, and as a result people have seen further potential in Bitcoin, and the price has been driven up.

regardless of how many Bitcoin's the Chinese purchase, I don't see how this is anything but great news. People just want the prices to go down so they can re buy in...



have another drink of kool aid.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: Kupsi on May 10, 2013, 09:36:29 AM
Why does everyone think that China is NOW finally getting involved with bitcoins?

Compare this year with last year on China's largest exchange...

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/btcnCNY#igWeeklyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zvzcv


...and look at Google search for China.

https://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=%E6%AF%94%E7%89%B9%E5%B8%81&date=today%2012-m&cmpt=q


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: ronaldlee0917 on May 10, 2013, 09:45:27 AM
It is not a hype so it is not going to be stopped


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: naphto on May 10, 2013, 09:50:30 AM
China already owns 99 % of the bitcoins in the world. They made the first bubble :P


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: lysr on May 10, 2013, 10:14:06 AM
Buying in anticipation for something that might or might not happen in the next few years is total speculation, first Cyprus, then Spain, Argentina, Italy and then China. Well, we are in a speculation forum afterall, so I am not surprised people falling to these traps again and again while the people who made up these hypes run away with their money.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: ManBearPig on May 10, 2013, 10:17:35 AM
Did someone just say irregardless? My brain hurts now.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: Kupsi on May 10, 2013, 10:35:54 AM
Buying in anticipation for something that might or might not happen in the next few years is total speculation, first Cyprus, then Spain, Argentina, Italy and then China. Well, we are in a speculation forum afterall, so I am not surprised people falling to these traps again and again while the people who made up these hypes run away with their money.

Where have people on this forum speculated that Cyprus, Spain, Argentina and Italy will start to buy a lot of bitcoins? Media have speculated about it, but with China it's different.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: HappyBitCoinUser on May 10, 2013, 12:54:22 PM
Bitcoin是我們希望我們所有的錢投資到未來和N。


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: lysr on May 10, 2013, 03:01:39 PM
Buying in anticipation for something that might or might not happen in the next few years is total speculation, first Cyprus, then Spain, Argentina, Italy and then China. Well, we are in a speculation forum afterall, so I am not surprised people falling to these traps again and again while the people who made up these hypes run away with their money.

Where have people on this forum speculated that Cyprus, Spain, Argentina and Italy will start to buy a lot of bitcoins? Media have speculated about it, but with China it's different.
everywhere


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: Kupsi on May 10, 2013, 03:25:17 PM
Buying in anticipation for something that might or might not happen in the next few years is total speculation, first Cyprus, then Spain, Argentina, Italy and then China. Well, we are in a speculation forum afterall, so I am not surprised people falling to these traps again and again while the people who made up these hypes run away with their money.

Where have people on this forum speculated that Cyprus, Spain, Argentina and Italy will start to buy a lot of bitcoins? Media have speculated about it, but with China it's different.
everywhere

I must be blind then...


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: Tirapon on May 10, 2013, 09:59:28 PM
Did someone just say irregardless? My brain hurts now.

Yes, and they also used the word 'regardless' in the same post...


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: ElectricMucus on May 10, 2013, 10:39:13 PM
Did anybody say China yet?


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: fitty on May 10, 2013, 10:51:15 PM
Did someone just say irregardless? My brain hurts now.

+1.

I was just going post "I stopped reading when you started making up words". :)


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: dree12 on May 10, 2013, 10:57:20 PM
unfortunately the average chinese annual family income is $25/ year. so each of them were only able to invest about 10 cents.

???

China GDP per capita = $10000

Family = 4 people

Therefore, average family income = $40000/year.

Where do you get $25/year from?


Title: China Hype Type Snipe
Post by: randrace on May 10, 2013, 11:10:40 PM
Give it up, Please stop with the China hype (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=200563.0)! You will never be For those who still doubt China is a hype (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=196572.0;all).

You are like the The China Hype Fades Away (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=200181.msg2095690#msg2095690) of China Hype Threads!


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: SgtSpike on May 10, 2013, 11:13:59 PM
unfortunately the average chinese annual family income is $25/ year. so each of them were only able to invest about 10 cents.

???

China GDP per capita = $10000

Family = 4 people

Therefore, average family income = $40000/year.

Where do you get $25/year from?
I was going to say, last I heard, Chinese factory workers were getting something like $3/hr, and companies were moving AWAY from China because their labor had become so expensive in recent years.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: DavidBAL on May 10, 2013, 11:19:17 PM
http://index.baidu.com/main/word.php?word=%B1%C8%CC%D8%B1%D2

Baidu search results exploding up again?


Title: China Hype Gripe #2: I am now out of China Hype puns. :(
Post by: randrace on May 10, 2013, 11:27:51 PM
http://index.baidu.com/main/word.php?word=%B1%C8%CC%D8%B1%D2

Baidu search results exploding up again?

Haha! Put that in your China Hype Pipes and smoke it, you Anti-China Hype Types!


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: MAbtc on May 10, 2013, 11:43:44 PM
???

China GDP per capita = $10000

Family = 4 people

Therefore, average family income = $40000/year.

Where do you get $25/year from?

GDP per capita doesn't = personal income. It is more useful to indicate standard of living.

Average gross salary = USD $457 monthly (2010), or ~ $5500/year. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_China

$40k? LOL.....


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: dree12 on May 10, 2013, 11:58:00 PM
???

China GDP per capita = $10000

Family = 4 people

Therefore, average family income = $40000/year.

Where do you get $25/year from?

GDP per capita doesn't = personal income. It is more useful to indicate standard of living.

Average gross salary = USD $457 monthly (2010), or ~ $5500/year. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_China

$40k? LOL.....

Average gross salary ≠ household income. At 4 people per household, that would still be around $22k.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: MAbtc on May 10, 2013, 11:58:42 PM
???

China GDP per capita = $10000

Family = 4 people

Therefore, average family income = $40000/year.

Where do you get $25/year from?

GDP per capita doesn't = personal income. It is more useful to indicate standard of living.

Average gross salary = USD $457 monthly (2010), or ~ $5500/year. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_China

$40k? LOL.....

Average gross salary ≠ household income. At 4 people per household, that would still be around $22k.

I simply said that you can't calculate income based on GDP.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: dree12 on May 10, 2013, 11:59:49 PM
???

China GDP per capita = $10000

Family = 4 people

Therefore, average family income = $40000/year.

Where do you get $25/year from?

GDP per capita doesn't = personal income. It is more useful to indicate standard of living.

Average gross salary = USD $457 monthly (2010), or ~ $5500/year. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_China

$40k? LOL.....

Average gross salary ≠ household income. At 4 people per household, that would still be around $22k.

I simply said that you can't calculate income based on GDP.

If you didn't take my quote out of context, you would have know that I was referring to household income, of which the corrected number is still far larger than $25/year.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: MAbtc on May 11, 2013, 12:10:04 AM
If you didn't take my quote out of context, you would have know that I was referring to household income, of which the corrected number is still far larger than $25/year.

 ???

Nobody took you out of context. You used an irrelevant statistic to calculate income. That's all I said. You talk as if I claim that $25/year is correct...

In fact, you used GDP per capita to calculate personal income, which you then used to estimate household income. So, you're being kind of ridiculous here.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: dree12 on May 11, 2013, 12:27:48 AM
If you didn't take my quote out of context, you would have know that I was referring to household income, of which the corrected number is still far larger than $25/year.

 ???

Nobody took you out of context. You used an irrelevant statistic to calculate income. That's all I said. You talk as if I claim that $25/year is correct...

In fact, you used GDP per capita to calculate personal income, which you then used to estimate household income. So, you're being kind of ridiculous here.

I revised my calculation with your numbers. I got $22k, which is closer to $40k than it is to $25. Regardless of the precise number, it is far greater than $25.

Also, please act more civilly.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: DavidBAL on May 11, 2013, 12:42:06 AM
If I remember correctly its like 4,000 usd per person if you only look at middle 50% of earners


If you didn't take my quote out of context, you would have know that I was referring to household income, of which the corrected number is still far larger than $25/year.

 ???

Nobody took you out of context. You used an irrelevant statistic to calculate income. That's all I said. You talk as if I claim that $25/year is correct...

In fact, you used GDP per capita to calculate personal income, which you then used to estimate household income. So, you're being kind of ridiculous here.

I revised my calculation with your numbers. I got $22k, which is closer to $40k than it is to $25. Regardless of the precise number, it is far greater than $25.

Also, please act more civilly.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: dree12 on May 11, 2013, 12:46:53 AM
If I remember correctly its like 4,000 usd per person if you only look at middle 50% of earners


If you didn't take my quote out of context, you would have know that I was referring to household income, of which the corrected number is still far larger than $25/year.

 ???

Nobody took you out of context. You used an irrelevant statistic to calculate income. That's all I said. You talk as if I claim that $25/year is correct...

In fact, you used GDP per capita to calculate personal income, which you then used to estimate household income. So, you're being kind of ridiculous here.

I revised my calculation with your numbers. I got $22k, which is closer to $40k than it is to $25. Regardless of the precise number, it is far greater than $25.

Also, please act more civilly.

$16k is still awfully larger than $25, no?


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: MAbtc on May 11, 2013, 12:52:56 AM
I revised my calculation with your numbers. I got $22k, which is closer to $40k than it is to $25. Regardless of the precise number, it is far greater than $25.

Also, please act more civilly.

Geez. Last time.

If you're using irrelevant statistics, none of this matters. I never claimed $25 was right (nor would I -- talk to the person who said it). Not sure why you keep mentioning that.

Also, average household size is 3.10, not 4. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_China#CIA_World_Factbook This would put the number around $17k, not $22k. (So, $25 is actually closer)

Again, all I said was that your numbers were wrong, and I explained why. That's it. Why you're so defensive, I can't imagine, considering your numbers are so off... Lesson learned -- next time you pull numbers out of your ass, I'll simply ignore you.

Likewise, don't lash out with strawmans and accuse people of "taking you out of context" just because you're being called out for making up numbers. Considering that, I have been civil.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: mrkent on May 11, 2013, 01:00:28 AM
China GDP per capita = $10000

Family = 4 people

Therefore, average family income = $40000/year.

I don't think the 2 kids work. And what about the 1 child policy?


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: DavidBAL on May 11, 2013, 01:02:57 AM
I revised my calculation with your numbers. I got $22k, which is closer to $40k than it is to $25. Regardless of the precise number, it is far greater than $25.

Also, please act more civilly.

Geez. Last time.

If you're using irrelevant statistics, none of this matters. I never claimed $25 was right (nor would I -- talk to the person who said it). Not sure why you keep mentioning that.

Also, average household size is 3.10, not 4. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_China#CIA_World_Factbook This would put the number around $17k, not $22k. (So, $25 is actually closer)

Again, all I said was that your numbers were wrong, and I explained why. That's it. Why you're so defensive, I can't imagine, considering your numbers are so off... Lesson learned -- next time you pull numbers out of your ass, I'll simply ignore you.

Likewise, don't lash out with strawmans and accuse people of "taking you out of context" just because you're being called out for making up numbers. Considering that, I have been civil.

4k was not per capita but per wage earner... so about +8,000 usd per house hold.. that why lots of families live with parents/grandparents... really bitcoin success in China will not be defined by the masses imo (in the short/medium-term), but rather the more affluent top 5% who have the savings to speculate... so like 100 million people? Thats maybe like twice or three times the number I expect in USA..

Perhaps of most interest tho is what role if any bitcoin will take in China's shadowing banking industry... which now rivals their actual banking system in size


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: michaelGedi on May 11, 2013, 01:22:19 AM

I went all in because of this thread


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: BitChick on May 12, 2013, 04:12:37 AM
I don't know if we should stop the China hype?  I had some Chinese food and this was in my cookie!!!!  ;D


http://i1301.photobucket.com/albums/ag118/MarlaR99/FortuneCookie_zps0060db66.jpg

Maybe they know something? 



Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: jubalix on May 12, 2013, 08:24:48 AM
unfortunately the average chinese annual family income is $25/ year. so each of them were only able to invest about 10 cents.


nope.jpg

that's the official income

here a hint. They still buy big stuff in gold, eg houses.


Title: Re: Please stop with the China hype
Post by: michaelGedi on May 12, 2013, 11:07:45 AM
I don't know if we should stop the China hype?  I had some Chinese food and this was in my cookie!!!!  ;D


http://i1301.photobucket.com/albums/ag118/MarlaR99/FortuneCookie_zps0060db66.jpg

Maybe they know something? 




HYPE!!