Bitcoin Forum

- Legacy vanilla chain if Segwit2x does not activate and BIP148 does
- Segwit2x chain without the hard fork in Nov
- Segwit2x chain hard forked in november
- BIP148 chain if Segwit2x does not activate

By Spring 2018 which three from the above will become Alts?

I think that it`s totally pointless to post such threads and ask such questions.Nobody can predict this.
One thing is sertain.99% of all bitcoin users will be confused.
I`m not one of the tech savvy bitcoin users and all this Segwit2x/BIP148 thing makes me crazy.
I don`t know how the newbies will react to  BIP148.

there are certain things that i am obviously against. things like the bitmain stunt and also bitcoin unlimited in its current state.

but the rest of the proposals, i don't have anything against any of them although i prefer the original SegWit with its well though plan of >95% support and a smooth soft fork.
in this case i will support anything that doesn't lead to a split. it doesn't matter what it is. and i am strongly against anything that can cause a split. because a split will harm bitcoin more than it can ever fix it or help it.
and it is not all about the price. price is the first and obvious thing that will be harmed the most important part is all the merchants that will stop using bitcoin and switch to the next best thing (possible LTC). and nobody with a half brain wants that unless they have other personal gains from such incidents.

no one, and i mean no one, wants chain splits. if it comes to the brink then enough people will see sense and make sure it doesn't happen.

BITMAIN "UAHF" - irrelevant.  It's not getting much media attention and I doubt it'll have much economic support.

BIP 148 UASF - also probably irrelevant.  We're probably looking at a chain split with negligible hash rate that won't get far in terms of third party wallets, exchanges and merchants.  However, you should still have your private keys safely under your control during that time.   The main factor is whether SegWit 2x happens - if it doesn't, UASF could become at least moderately relevant.

SegWit 2x - yeah, I think SegWit will happen on there.  The HF might end up with a lot of users and merchants following the miners and the agreement, so I can see a 2MB SegWit chain being dominant in the end.  I'm not sure about this though.
If there is actually economic support, chain splits can be fine.  But when the situation is more subjective and there hasn't been a fatal bug like the overspending problem in 2010, it does seem risky.