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Alik Bakhshi

Why Putin will not leave
 
Power is a drug.
Who tried it once - poisoned it forever.
                                     Winston Churchill
   
   Today, ahead of the upcoming presidential elections, many are wondering whether Putin will leave, or will participate in the elections? The naive question of whether he will win elections is naturally not worth it. The active participation in the election process of state structures under Putin's control, down to power, as was demonstrated in the case of Navalny, excludes a different outcome. It's another matter if Putin decides not to run for president, but this will not happen due to the following circumstances.
   The main problem for Putin in the event of his resignation as president is his personal safety. Castling, which he carried out in tandem with Medvedev in the past, this time is impossible because of the extremely low popularity of the latter. There is no other reliable candidate for Putin. By the way, if Putin voluntarily leaves, then Medvedev automatically finds himself in an identical situation with him. The change of power against the backdrop of inexorably slipping into the abyss of the economy will inevitably lead to the search for the perpetrators, which is similar for Putin. Even if an associate who is loyal to Putin today comes to power, he will have to break down the vertical of power built by Putin, because it is completely corrupt, but because it was the conductor of the vicious economic policy of the center.
 
    Undoubtedly, Putin is responsible for the state of the economy, because it negated the economic and political reforms that began under Yeltsin. But could Putin have acted differently? The fact is that democracy in Russia was transformed into an ugly form, where the power was in the hands of the oligarchs - scammers who, taking advantage of the lack of initiative of the Russian people, both in business and in politics, seized all the command posts of the administration. Then the partial disintegration of the Soviet empire prevented the inevitable general riot and chaos. The scattered peoples, no matter how they could, took up survival. A fairly reduced empire, it would seem, escaped the catastrophe and the democratic reforms that were initiated promised a promising future, but ...
  However, the new nouveaux riches, devoid of patriotism, did not see the Motherland in Russia and plundered the country, leaving no chance for the future as an empire. Putin, gaining power from the oligarchs who rashly brought him to power, hoping to make a puppet out of him, got rid of them first, and then restored the authoritarian regime traditional for Russia, as the only one capable of stopping the further collapse of the empire. Having defined the social system as a sovereign democracy, that is, democracy for a sovereign, Putin essentially abandoned democracy to the great joy of the people who do not understand and accept its values. The absence of a free economic market, the state's participation in production activities, as a consequence of the growth of the bureaucratic administration and the inevitable corruption in such conditions, returned the country in the 1990s, when the USSR ceased to exist.
    The main reason for the failed democracy in Russia lies in the inability of the Russian people to organize themselves, both in labor and political activities, as well as servility to an official of any rank. Democracy and the Russian people, this is nonsense (1). In this case, it does not matter whether Putin understood this or not, the reality shows that his authoritarian regime of management brought the empire back to the historical point of inevitable disintegration. The secret desire of Putin's revanchist to restore the empire within the borders of the USSR resulted in the emergence of sanctions, which further exacerbated the economic situation. Putin, who has built a vertical of power for himself, when any action, it's ridiculous to see, up to the repair of someone's apartment, can not do without his participation, naturally automatically puts him the main culprit of the coming economic catastrophe. The vicious circle, in which the patchwork empire turned out (the definition of K. Marx), presupposes a single outcome - disintegration. The Russian empire is at a stage when it can not function normally either under authoritarianism or under conditions of democracy.
   Putin is trying to stop the course of history, but history is not a children's tale, and it is unlikely that a pike caught by him can help him in this regard. Anyone who tries to stop the course of history becomes its victim and Putin is no exception. Putin's Russia is like the miracle of a surviving prehistoric monster from the era of the Lizards, which has no place in the modern world.

    Another landmark fact pointing to the fact that Putin was not going to leave the Kremlin is the national guard created by him, in analogy with the oprichniks of Ivan the Terrible (2), who is in direct subordination to him, with the sole task of safeguarding power. Putin has not enough police and army. The police are a well-known case - corrupt, and the army is too large an organization to be close and always at hand. Of course, at the head of the oprichniki Khinshtein, who, of course, without hesitation, will give the order to shoot at the people. On the example of the well-known executioners Lazar Kaganovich and Mendel Khataevich, the Kremlin authorities always knew who to choose as punishers of the people (3). The other, similar to him, namely, a well-known liar and a whore, completely devoid of conscience, Putin-caressed Kremlin nightingale Vladimir Rudolfovich (4) had already shown his attitude to the people, calling those who dared to be dissatisfied with the Putin regime, 2% of shit. How can I not remember that the oprichniks were the first to leave the Tsar as Khan Girey approached Moscow. I am sure that this support of Putin, as soon as he smells fried, breaks into Israel, fleeing from the popular anger.
   
1. People's destiny, or each cricket has its own pole. Http://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/?skip=100#post-alikbahshi-4732
2. Demonstrative departure of Putin's oprichniki. Http://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/#post-alikbahshi-28709
3. Katyn, before and after. Http://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/?skip=100#post-alikbahshi-6809
4. Ofiget it is possible. Http://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/#post-alikbahshi-31535
   
  11.08.17.

Putin will not leave, and his envious people will simply die of envy. In Russia, there is no one better for the presidency, and only Putin is empowered to rule the empire, and others better not to climb.

maybe you're right, maybe not

I have one more question  "Why Lukashenko will not leave?". I wait it  ;D ;D ;D

All empires fall. Disintegrate and Russia. Putin is a stupid President. He brought Russia to the fact that the economy is falling, and in the world to include Russia as an aggressive backward country. Russians deserve to live like this and to have such a leader.

You can't really blame Putin for his stance on global affairs, this is a country which is hated by most of the West and countries that are aligned to them,Russia is in economic ruin due to the sanctions that various western governments have placed upon them and also the falling value of Oil which is Russia's major economic revenue.

Russias economic decline started before oil crash and western sanctions.
Look it up.
Kleptocracy and nepotism leads to a good oligarchy.

Putin has big balls compared to other presidents and i think he tries to follow Russia interests

Russia is the future. It doesn't need to respect sodomite west any more or take orders from declining countries. Let them destroy them selves. 

One person (or a group of people) can not stop the course of history for a long time. This is now even more impossible than before.
The only drawback is that history does not value human life :-(

.

What kind of people, such and his president.

Putin will leave once he could find a good successor, who is capable of continuing his policies. But right now there is no one in Russia who is capable of replacing him. Two of the choices (Ramzan Kadyrov and Sergei Shoygu) can't be considered because they are not ethnic Russian. And the ethnic Russian options such as Medvedev have proven themselves incapable of ruling Russia.

Anyone who comes instead of Putin will be forced to judge him and his friends. Therefore, Putin will remain president for as long as he can.

Reasons of man that is afraid to lose power are never clear to me. Just the same situation and with Putin. Nothing good for Russians this man did not do lately. I repose in that he will yet long govern Russians.

He is a good president. Let's be honest he cares about his citizens and wants to be their leader.

Are you sure about that? There is a reason why his approval rating swings between 80% and 90% (any other leader in the world can only dream about those numbers, including Donald Trump, Kim Jong Un, Narendra Modi, and Xi Jinping). I would even say that Putin was the guy who prevented the complete disintegration of the Russian Federation. You need to check this:

http://www.dailyfailcenter.com/sites/default/files/fail/apB13YW_700b.jpg

The main reason for Putin's popularity is due to the imperial worldview of the Russian people, which can not exist outside the empire. Without the empire, the Russian people will be lost. I wrote about this in the article "Great Russian Chauvinism and Putin's Fuhrer" https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1591490.msg20680317#msg20680317

On the contrary, since the beginning of Putin's rule, the economic situation has improved. Of course, in Russia, as in other countries, there are problems, but they are not solved in one day or even in one year.

But today the Russian economy is falling and the main reason for aggressive policy is Putin.

Unfortunately, russians don't have capabilities handle with repressive leader. Strategy of Putin not to provide interests of citizens

how can he get away if he's doing so well?) he achieves his goals and is happy with it...many may not like his policy, but he doesn't care...everyone cares only about their own interests

He will not. He's poisoned by power. Money he stole from russian people with corruption in government doesbn't matter for him anymore. He just cannot imagine himself not to rule, cuz too many rich people in Russia want him to die. Moreover, many of them are in his team. His politics are already the system that is totally corrupted. If something's gonna go wrong, there will be the war in government.

who said that he will not leave? sooner or later he will leave, he will not lead the whole life)) he is also a man, he is not an iron)) will go away, only when ??

I think its because of the power that he is currently having against the other countries of the world. He was anle to rise and challenge the united states and still have the influence and the diplomacy to have other countries back him and to that he thinks he can achieve more