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Economy => Gambling discussion => Topic started by: junoreactor on October 08, 2017, 03:08:16 AM



Title: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 08, 2017, 03:08:16 AM
Hi,
Long time bettor here.
Started in 2011, with Euros! My first 10 bets were winners I remember! Which caused much excitation and the fall would follow soon .... result was that in 2011 I lost probably 1000 Euros or such.

In 2012 I started to get more serious, but still lost money. In 2013/2014 things got better.

Took a break for a while and betting wisely since the start of 2017.
My favorite sport is by far tennis. But I follow soccer and sometimes NHL.

I will post my bets here if no one minds. Of course I bet in bitcoin now.

-----------------------------

For easy reading, 1U = 0.01 Btc

Today, I think the best bet to place is Kyrgios to beat Nadal @ 2.42
I watched their match in Cincinnati, and the Aussie was never bothered too much and won pretty comfortably. I think he has a strong shot at winning the final. His serve was really impressive yesterday against Zverev, and I think Nadal will struggle on the return games.

Goffin should win the Tokyo Open but I dont like the odds.

Kyrgios @ 2.42
stake: 0.01 BTC
. All bets placed here (http://nitrogensports.eu/r/2497729)

Good luck all.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 08, 2017, 06:07:54 AM
Ok I'll try Goffin 2-0
I think Mannarino still lacks experience in those big matches, and is still titleless. Goffin should win in two sets.


Goffin 2-0 @ 2.06
0.01 BTC


WINNER
+0.0106 BTC


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 08, 2017, 08:38:05 AM
Good job Goffin  ;) great match.


Now maybe Kyrgios! Damn I am betting on a player I dislike very much. But lets be objective, I believe the value is on him, not Nadal.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 08, 2017, 12:31:32 PM
Well Kyrgios looks terrible, i think he is done. what an -ss :D


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 08, 2017, 12:51:18 PM
Soccer: Poland vs Montenegro

Poland playing at home and superior on paper should win by at least two goals.
That's why I will try the asian handicap Poland -1
Robert Lewandowski will be too much to handle for Montenegro (at least that is my prediction)

Poland -1 @ 1.50
stake: 0.01 BTC


Great confidence in this pick


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 09, 2017, 01:49:56 AM
4-2, Great job Poland!  8)


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 09, 2017, 07:37:05 AM
Ecuador vs Argentina / Soccer
Football - World Cup 2018 qualifications

Argentina the finalist from 2014 World Cup is facing  Ecuador. I believe they will start strong at Ecuador from first minute and we can expect them getting a comfortable win here over them. I think the most realistic option is Argentina to win @ 1.50 . Hopefully we will see a good game.

Good luck to you all.

Argentina @ 1.50
Stake: 0.01 BTC
. All bets placed here (http://nitrogensports.eu/r/2497729)


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 09, 2017, 07:45:55 AM
In tennis I am very interested in the match between Pouille and Fognini.

We know the crazy Italian can play great tennis, but he is having a bad year, while Pouille played a good US Open, and he played a VERY good match against Nadal last week, just got very unlucky on match point. He was the player who came the closest to beat Nadal.

Odds of 1.70 I believe this is a good price to bet on Pouille. He likes these conditions.

Pouille @ 1.70
Stake: 0.01 BTC
. All bets placed here (http://nitrogensports.eu/r/2497729)


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 11, 2017, 01:21:14 AM
Good job by Argentina
surprised by Pouille's form lately


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 11, 2017, 01:24:53 AM
Goffin 1.40 vs Simon
Tennis / Shanghai

This one is a no brainer for me. Simon's form is awful these days.

Goffin may be a bit tired, but still he is playing superb level since the start of the Asian season.

Goffin @ 1.40
Stake: 0.01 BTC


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 11, 2017, 09:15:51 AM
Alright ... same odds here, with Thiem vs Troicki.

I am going to trust Thiem @ 1.40. He is not at his best lately, but I do not like Troicki at all, typical example of a player who is solid at times on hard court but with a very limited talent.

Thiem needs some wins here.

Thiem @ 1.40
Stake: 0.01 BTC


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: lilRoy07 on October 11, 2017, 09:34:11 AM
Juno for .2BTC you can join my brownlow count, if you want to make serious money.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 11, 2017, 10:29:04 AM
Thanks, I will think about it  ;)


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 11, 2017, 10:29:50 AM
Goffin messed up badly, well his winning streak had to end eventually.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 12, 2017, 01:00:56 AM
Federer vs Dolgopolov
Shanghai

I am going to back Federer 2-0 here, as Dolgopolov's game never gave him trouble in the past.
I think the Ukrainian does not find his rhythm against someone who plays too fast for him.
Federer was pretty good yesterday against Schwartzman. Will trust him here.

Federer 2-0 @ 1.58
0.01 BTC


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 12, 2017, 01:09:58 PM
Fed good job, reliable bloke.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 12, 2017, 02:14:32 PM
Federer vs Gasquet
Tennis / Shanghai

Now that is a HUGE confidence, as when Federer plays Gasquet he always trash him.
Federer plays too fast, Gasquet likes to defend and play way too behind of his base line. Result: he gets destroyed everytime.
Odds are low, 1.16 but this is super safe.

Federer @ 1.16
Big stake: 0.5 BTC


good luck all.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: lilRoy07 on October 12, 2017, 09:20:11 PM
Thanks, I will think about it  ;)

No worries, long time til it commences - 2018 season wont start until march.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 13, 2017, 08:01:48 AM
Thanks, I will think about it  ;)

No worries, long time til it commences - 2018 season wont start until march.
Yes bro.
Please remind me next year when it is starting.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: Muhtaixa on October 13, 2017, 08:20:52 AM
good luck,

soccer leagues starting again this week i will be looking your soccer predictions..


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 13, 2017, 02:31:24 PM
good luck,

soccer leagues starting again this week i will be looking your soccer predictions..
Thank you Muhtaixa! I am still not sure if I have a bet on this week end, maybe PSG -2 in Asian handicap, will see tomorrow.
Good luck to you too.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 13, 2017, 02:32:12 PM
Federer vs Gasquet
Tennis / Shanghai

Now that is a HUGE confidence, as when Federer plays Gasquet he always trash him.
Federer plays too fast, Gasquet likes to defend and play way too behind of his base line. Result: he gets destroyed everytime.
Odds are low, 1.16 but this is super safe.

Federer @ 1.16
Big stake: 0.5 BTC


good luck all.

Well this big stake is a winner, but Federer looked shaky and almost scared me in the first set at 4-4 break point against him.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 13, 2017, 03:28:16 PM
I looked at soccer matches tomorrow, and I really like PSG -2 (asian handicap, so refund in case of a win by 2 goals).

Dijon - PSG
Soccer / Ligue 1

PSG has been just brutal in the final third at the start of the season: 27 goals in 8 matches with superb attacking trio (Cavani, Neymar, Mbappe). The only question for me is how many goals will PSG bag this time? Considering the vulnerabilities Dijon defense showed lately, I reckon PSG - 2 is a rock solid bet (prediction: 0-3 or 0-4).

PSG - 2.0 @ 1.60
Stake: 0.01 BTC


@Muhtaixa agree with this pick?

Don't hesitate to share if you take some bets as well  ;)


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 15, 2017, 02:18:24 AM
Soccer / Serie A / Inter Milan vs Milan AC

Derby of Italy, this is one of those no team want to lose by any mean. I choose this match to bet on goals because this match is very hard to predict. Both of teams are playing offensive football and i think here we can watch more than one goal just in first half. Both teams can score a lot, so I am gonna pick Over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 @ 1.90
Stake: 0.01 BTC


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 16, 2017, 02:45:28 AM
Inter wins 3-2 easy winner :)


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: megynacuna on October 16, 2017, 04:50:23 AM
Soccer / Serie A / Inter Milan vs Milan AC

Derby of Italy, this is one of those no team want to lose by any mean. I choose this match to bet on goals because this match is very hard to predict. Both of teams are playing offensive football and i think here we can watch more than one goal just in first half. Both teams can score a lot, so I am gonna pick Over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 @ 1.90
Stake: 0.01 BTC


 Not bad to have doubled your bitcoins on the Derby della madonnina yesterday. I felt cheated though when AC Milan lost through that awful penalty call by the referee but i never thought of betting even though it would have been nice  for me to make a cool 0.1BTC.


Title: Re: Tracking all my bets (tennis/soccer) for 2017/2018 .....
Post by: junoreactor on October 16, 2017, 04:55:40 AM
Soccer / Serie A / Inter Milan vs Milan AC

Derby of Italy, this is one of those no team want to lose by any mean. I choose this match to bet on goals because this match is very hard to predict. Both of teams are playing offensive football and i think here we can watch more than one goal just in first half. Both teams can score a lot, so I am gonna pick Over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 @ 1.90
Stake: 0.01 BTC


 Not bad to have doubled your bitcoins on the Derby della madonnina yesterday. I felt cheated though when AC Milan lost through that awful penalty call by the referee but i never thought of betting even though it would have been nice  for me to make a cool 0.1BTC.
I understand mate, to be fair it is always hard to make a call on the winner of that particular derby. I was almost tempted to place a bet on the draw as well but did not, lucky me. It was a close match for sure and I don't think AC Milan deserved to lose that one, I agree with you.