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Economy => Gambling discussion => Topic started by: Janinjo11 on October 18, 2017, 09:32:12 PM



Title: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 18, 2017, 09:32:12 PM
Hi everyone!

Welcome to Janinjo tips! I have decided to start my own sports prediction thread. I like to bet smart, meaning, I avoid tips with small odds like 1.25 and 1.3…etc. like many tipsters predict here at Bitcointalk. They are also offering a high win rate, but with small odds. With reasonable win rate and smart money management, I believe sports betting can be profitable in the long run. My tips will consist mostly out of football (soccer) tips. I’ll also play some NBA tips, rarely tennis tips and very rarely other sports. My focus will be on football. I will post a detailed statistics here so everyone can see how profitable my tips are. I’ll be using a default unit of 10€. So if I place the bet of 2 units it means stake is 20€. Of course, you can use any other unit for your bets. It can be 1 unit = 100€ or 1 unit = 0.01BTC or 1 unit = 0.1BTC, as you prefer…My odds will be from Bet365 since I have an account there. So wish me good luck! And this is my first tip, an NBA double:

Double:
Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans 1
Dallas Mavericks - Atlanta Hawks 1
Odds: 2.61 (Bet365)
Units: 2
Possible profit:+3.22 units

You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0



Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 19, 2017, 05:57:30 AM
Double:
Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans 1   WON
Dallas Mavericks - Atlanta Hawks 1 LOST
Odds: 2.61 (Bet365)
Units: 2
Possible profit:+3.22 units


Double for today

Double:
Al-Wahda vs Hatta over 2,5 goals
Dynamo Kiev - BSC Young Boys 1
Odds: 2.37 (Bet365)
Units: 2
Possible profit:+ 2,74 units

October profit/loss: -2 units

You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 19, 2017, 09:08:18 PM
Double:
Al-Wahda vs Hatta over 2,5 goals  WON
Dynamo Kiev - BSC Young Boys 1 LOST
Odds: 2.37 (Bet365)
Units: 2
Profit/loss: -2 units

NBA double for tonight:
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers over 210,5 points
NY Knicks @ OKC Thunder over 209,5 points
odds: 2,16 (Bet365)
Stake: 3 units
Possible winnings: +3,48 units


October profit/loss: -4 units
You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: badjacks99 on October 19, 2017, 10:14:20 PM
Good luck with your pics tonight I feel like the Clippers Lakers game going over is probably a pretty good bet. I do have a question though maybe im not reading it right. Are you putting these games into a parlay or are you betting them separately? Good luck tonight.


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 19, 2017, 10:27:36 PM
Good luck with your pics tonight I feel like the Clippers Lakers game going over is probably a pretty good bet. I do have a question though maybe im not reading it right. Are you putting these games into a parlay or are you betting them separately? Good luck tonight.

Yes, when I write double I put 2 games together. When I want to play one game I will put single. :) I play doubles because odds are higher combined.

Unlucky so far, today Dynamo Kiev played 2:2....yesterday Atlanta surprised Dallas....We'll see for tonight what happens. But I agree, there should be a lot of points achieved in these games. It's important to be in profit in the long run, with this average odds, with a strike rate of 42% everything should be profit.


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 21, 2017, 08:14:32 AM

NBA double for tonight:
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers over 210,5 points LOST
NY Knicks @ OKC Thunder over 209,5 points LOST
odds: 2,16 (Bet365)
Stake: 3 units
Possible winnings: +3,48 units

October profit/loss: -7 units
You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 21, 2017, 11:30:47 AM
DOUBLES FOR TODAY!

Saarbruecken vs VfB Stuttgart over2,5 goals
Tamworth vs Alfreton Town over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,40
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,8 units

SV Roedinghausen vs Wattenscheid over2,5 goals
Honka vs TPS  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 3,23
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +4,46 units

Brackley Town vs Blyth Spartans  over2,5 goals
Jammerbugt FC vs Odder IGF  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,66
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,32 units

Emirates Club vs Al-Ain  over2,5 goals
Lobos de la BUAP vs Cruz Azul  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,35
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,7 units

Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad over2,5 goals
Diosgyori VTK vs Budapest Honved over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,6
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,2 units









Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: marlboroza on October 21, 2017, 12:09:32 PM
DOUBLES FOR TODAY!

Saarbruecken vs VfB Stuttgart over2,5 goals
Tamworth vs Alfreton Town over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,40
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,8 units

SV Roedinghausen vs Wattenscheid over2,5 goals
Honka vs TPS  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 3,23
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +4,46 units

Brackley Town vs Blyth Spartans  over2,5 goals
Jammerbugt FC vs Odder IGF  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,66
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,32 units

Emirates Club vs Al-Ain  over2,5 goals
Lobos de la BUAP vs Cruz Azul  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,35
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,7 units

Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad over2,5 goals
Diosgyori VTK vs Budapest Honved over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,6
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,2 units

Not a good start IMHO - so far you lost 3 out of 3.
Lets see how things will turn out this time.
Just curious about something - how do you pick games? Do you pick them random or?


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 21, 2017, 03:04:02 PM
DOUBLES FOR TODAY!

Saarbruecken vs VfB Stuttgart over2,5 goals
Tamworth vs Alfreton Town over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,40
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,8 units

SV Roedinghausen vs Wattenscheid over2,5 goals
Honka vs TPS  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 3,23
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +4,46 units

Brackley Town vs Blyth Spartans  over2,5 goals
Jammerbugt FC vs Odder IGF  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,66
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,32 units

Emirates Club vs Al-Ain  over2,5 goals
Lobos de la BUAP vs Cruz Azul  over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,35
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,7 units

Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad over2,5 goals
Diosgyori VTK vs Budapest Honved over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,6
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,2 units

Not a good start IMHO - so far you lost 3 out of 3.
Lets see how things will turn out this time.
Just curious about something - how do you pick games? Do you pick them random or?

Well, certainly not a start I was hoping for. But I look forward to the long-run.

I pick picks carefully. For example match Dynamo Kiev - Young boys. Dynamo was first in the group with 2-0-0 score and they were playing home against Young Boys who had 2 draws from the first 2 games. It ended 2:2. Unlucky. Sometimes you also need to have some luck when it comes to betting. When I play over-under I check last 5 games of the teams. I check last home games for a home team and last 5 games of the away team. If they have many goals from their last 5 games I pick them. Also, first I check the offer and the odds. And NBA....well the season started 3 days ago so it's not easy to predict everything at the beginning. After few weeks NBA should be easier to predict.


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 21, 2017, 11:30:54 PM
DOUBLES FOR TODAY!

Saarbruecken vs VfB Stuttgart over2,5 goals WON
Tamworth vs Alfreton Town over 2,5 goals WON
Odds: 2,40
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,8 units

+2,8 units

SV Roedinghausen vs Wattenscheid over2,5 goals LOST
Honka vs TPS  over 2,5 goals LOST
Odds: 3,23
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +4,46 units

-2 units

Brackley Town vs Blyth Spartans  over2,5 goals WON
Jammerbugt FC vs Odder IGF  over 2,5 goals WON
Odds: 2,66
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,32 units

+3,32 units

Emirates Club vs Al-Ain  over2,5 goals LOST
Lobos de la BUAP vs Cruz Azul  over 2,5 goals LOST
Odds: 2,35
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,7 units

-2 units

Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad over2,5 goals WON
Diosgyori VTK vs Budapest Honved over 2,5 goals WON
Odds: 2,6
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,2 units

+3,2 units


October profit/loss: -1,68 units
You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: chris200x9 on October 22, 2017, 03:32:33 AM
So far your picks not doing that great and don't just assume that in the long run, you will make a profit from these bets because it is a gambling and anything can happen. You should fix some maximum amount to spend for these betting and if you reach that limit then you should stop gambling or betting on these sports.


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 22, 2017, 10:21:35 AM
DOUBLES FOR TODAY:


FC Helsingoer – Broendby over2,5 goals
Udinese – Juventus over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,73 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,46 units

Santa Clara - Vitoria de Guimaraes over2,5 goals
Port FC - Muang Thong United over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,81 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,62 units

Sivasspor – Bursaspor over2,5 goals
San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,36 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,72 units

St. Gallen - Lausanne over2,5 goals
Siam Navy FC - Sisaket FC over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,1 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,2 units

Guangzhou Evergrande - Guizhou Hengfeng Zhicheng over2,5 goals
Hobro - FC Nordsjaelland over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,01 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,02 units

Sv Horn - Admira Wacker Modling II over2,5 goals
Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2,16 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,32 units


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 23, 2017, 05:57:21 PM
DOUBLES FOR TODAY:


FC Helsingoer – Broendby over2,5 goals LOST
Udinese – Juventus over 2,5 goals WON
Odds: 2,73 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,46 units

-2 units


Santa Clara - Vitoria de Guimaraes over2,5 goals LOST
Port FC - Muang Thong United over 2,5 goals LOST
Odds: 2,81 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +3,62 units

-2 units

Sivasspor – Bursaspor over2,5 goals LOST
San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United over 2,5 goals WON
Odds: 2,36 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,72 units

- 2 units

St. Gallen - Lausanne over2,5 goals WON
Siam Navy FC - Sisaket FC over 2,5 goals LOST
Odds: 2,1 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,2 units

-2 units

Guangzhou Evergrande - Guizhou Hengfeng Zhicheng over2,5 goals  WON
Hobro - FC Nordsjaelland over 2,5 goals WON
Odds: 2,01 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,02 units

+2,02 units

Sv Horn - Admira Wacker Modling II over2,5 goals WON
Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol over 2,5 goals LOST
Odds: 2,16 (Bet365)
Units:2
Potential profit/loss: +2,32 units

-2 units


October profit/loss: -8,66 units


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: badjacks99 on October 23, 2017, 07:30:33 PM
Honestly it's a big-time rough start for you this month. All of the people who  are predicting the outcome of sports always have a losing stretch. Like any other gambling game,  there is always the downswing. Just because you had such a rough month does not mean you cannot turn around. Good luck in november.


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 23, 2017, 07:42:09 PM
Honestly it's a big-time rough start for you this month. All of the people who  are predicting the outcome of sports always have a losing stretch. Like any other gambling game,  there is always the downswing. Just because you had such a rough month does not mean you cannot turn around. Good luck in november.

C'mon October is not over yet. :)

It doesn't matter if you are a few units down after few days. I saw professional tipsters who had like 7-8 losing days in a row and still ended in profit at the end of the month.

My goal is to be profitable in the long run.


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 23, 2017, 07:50:27 PM
NBA doubles for tonight:

Denver Nuggets - Washington Wizards under 225.5
Detroit Pistons - Philadelphia 76ers under 213.5
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Houston Rockets - Memphis Grizzlies, Houston -7.5
Detroit Pistons - Philadelphia 76ers, Detroit -3.5
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Houston Rockets - Memphis Grizzlies, Houston 1
Detroit Pistons - Philadelphia 76ers 1
Odds: 2.1
Units: 3
Potential profit/loss: +3.3 units

Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat, Atlanta +12.0
Sacramento Kings - Phoenix Suns, Sacramento -2.0
Odds: 3.54
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.08 units


October profit/loss: -8,66 units
You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0



Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 24, 2017, 07:48:57 PM
NBA doubles for tonight:

Denver Nuggets - Washington Wizards under 225.5 WON
Detroit Pistons - Philadelphia 76ers under 213.5 WON
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

+5,22 UNITS

Houston Rockets - Memphis Grizzlies, Houston -7.5  LOST
Detroit Pistons - Philadelphia 76ers, Detroit -3.5 LOST
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

-2 UNITS

Houston Rockets - Memphis Grizzlies, Houston 1 LOST
Detroit Pistons - Philadelphia 76ers 1 LOST
Odds: 2.1
Units: 3
Potential profit/loss: +3.3 units

- 3 UNITS
 
Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat, Atlanta +12.0 WON
Sacramento Kings - Phoenix Suns, Sacramento -2.0 LOST
Odds: 3.54
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.08 units

- 2 UNITS


October profit/loss: -10,44 units
You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 24, 2017, 09:24:33 PM
DOUBLES FOR TONIGHT!

Boston Celtics  - New York Knicks over 206
La Clippers - Utah Jazz, Utah +4.5
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Orlando Magic - Brooklyn Nets, Brooklyn +5.0
Indiana Pacers - Minnesota Timberwolves, under 219
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Indiana Pacers - Minnesota Timberwolves, Indiana +12
La Clippers - Utah Jazz over 205.5
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Boston Celtics  - New York Knicks, Boston -7.5
Portland Trail Blazers - New Orleans Pelicans under 217
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Cleveland Cavaliers - Chicago Bulls, Cleveland -14.5
La Clippers - Utah Jazz under 198
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Orlando Magic - Brooklyn Nets under 229
Portland Trail Blazers - New Orleans Pelicans, Portland -5
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units



Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 25, 2017, 07:38:08 PM
DOUBLES FOR TONIGHT!

Boston Celtics  - New York Knicks over 206 lost
La Clippers - Utah Jazz, Utah +4.5 lost
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

-2 units

Orlando Magic - Brooklyn Nets, Brooklyn +5.0 WON
Indiana Pacers - Minnesota Timberwolves, under 219 lost
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

-2 units

Indiana Pacers - Minnesota Timberwolves, Indiana +12 WON
La Clippers - Utah Jazz over 205.5 lost
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

-2 units

Boston Celtics  - New York Knicks, Boston -7.5 WON
Portland Trail Blazers - New Orleans Pelicans under 217 WON
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

+5,22 units

Cleveland Cavaliers - Chicago Bulls, Cleveland -14.5 lost
La Clippers - Utah Jazz under 198 VOID
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

-1,8 units

Orlando Magic - Brooklyn Nets under 229 lost
Portland Trail Blazers - New Orleans Pelicans, Portland -5 WON
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

-2 units


October profit/loss: -15,02 units
You can track detailed stats of my tips here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZTZJjFTp9f76lSOfhJX6AuP9IXigsUt7o8FGaarRXEw/edit#gid=0


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: badjacks99 on October 25, 2017, 07:49:34 PM
I wasn't trying to talk down to you or make you feel bad, in fact I was saying the downswings happened to every sports predictor. I understand that building a bankroll doesn't happen overnight and at the end goal is to be profitable in the long run.


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 25, 2017, 08:25:43 PM
I wasn't trying to talk down to you or make you feel bad, in fact I was saying the downswings happened to every sports predictor. I understand that building a bankroll doesn't happen overnight and at the end goal is to be profitable in the long run.

Yeah, I know. Thanks for the support. Well, every tipster has good and bad months and you can't really judge anyone before at least 2 months are over. There will be ups and downs. Important thing is that I keep track of my tips. Many tipsters here are not keeping any stats at all. And they play small odds and have poor money management. Sometimes luck is also needed. But good system is important and there will be winnings for sure. :)


Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 25, 2017, 09:54:13 PM
NBA tips for tonight!

Phoenix Suns - Utah Jazz over 204
Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks, Memphis -3,5
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors, Golden State -12
San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat, San Antonio -4
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Houston Rockets - Philadelphia 76ers, Houston -3
Detroit Pistons - Minnesota Timberwolves, Detroit -2.5
Odds: 3.61   
Units: 2   
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units   

Brooklyn Nets - Cleveland Cavaliers under 225
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers over 217
Odds: 3.61   
Units: 2   
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units   

Denver Nuggets - Charlotte Hornets, Denver -2
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers, Indiana +13.5
Odds: 3.61   
Units: 2   
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units   

LA Lakers - Washington Wizards under 229
Phoenix Suns - Utah Jazz, Utah -7
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units







Title: Re: Janinjo tips
Post by: Janinjo11 on October 26, 2017, 06:20:02 AM
NBA tips for tonight!

Phoenix Suns - Utah Jazz over 204
Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks, Memphis -3,5
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors, Golden State -12
San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat, San Antonio -4
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units

Houston Rockets - Philadelphia 76ers, Houston -3
Detroit Pistons - Minnesota Timberwolves, Detroit -2.5
Odds: 3.61   
Units: 2   
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units   

Brooklyn Nets - Cleveland Cavaliers under 225
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers over 217
Odds: 3.61   
Units: 2   
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units   

Denver Nuggets - Charlotte Hornets, Denver -2
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers, Indiana +13.5
Odds: 3.61   
Units: 2   
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units   

LA Lakers - Washington Wizards under 229
Phoenix Suns - Utah Jazz, Utah -7
Odds: 3.61
Units: 2
Potential profit/loss: +5.22 units


all lost yesterday. This system is bad. I hoped for more success. I will stop with these tips. After I develop a more profitable system I will return with new predictions. But for now, you can all unfollow this thread.