Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: jamesc760 on July 03, 2013, 02:10:57 PM



Title: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: jamesc760 on July 03, 2013, 02:10:57 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: gmaki on July 03, 2013, 02:52:46 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

That's interesting. I came up with exactly the same value ($2.00) using some admittedly very rough (and relatively uninformed) back of the envelope math. DISCLOSURE: I am a total newb to BC.

However I estimated that as the current true value of BC given the state of ASIC mining, but don't think it will actually get to that level since the same forces that will be driving the value down will also be driving the difficulty up at the same time. Thus, I came up with the two factors converging at $20.00 and I am using that as my floor. Well a little below that because it should overshoot it's bottom just due to momentum.

I think I will start buying some below $20, definitely better than attempting to mine them.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: rayfloyd on July 03, 2013, 03:53:09 PM
According to your "predictions" backed by "real data", what will the price of litecoin be at the same time?


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Hyena on July 03, 2013, 03:55:40 PM
Litcoin will also crash down to 2$ per LTC. In fact, all the CCs crash down to 2$


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Fiyasko on July 03, 2013, 03:57:19 PM
Put a bet up or shutup, if you're correct you have nothing to fear and bitcoins to gain.
If you're wrong then you get to feel the pain of making a stupid guess and wasting our time.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BurtW on July 03, 2013, 03:58:21 PM
Thanks!  I will wait until then to buy.  Thanks again for all this valuable information.

Put a bet up or shutup, ...

JackRabiit:  850+ activity.  Wow.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: rayfloyd on July 03, 2013, 03:59:05 PM
Litcoin will also crash down to 2$ per LTC. In fact, all the CCs crash down to 2$

Irrefutable logic. I bow down to your greatness.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: N12 on July 03, 2013, 04:01:56 PM
Brought to you by 1/reptilia.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Jaroslaw on July 03, 2013, 04:02:05 PM
i agreee maybe nut 2$ but 5$ for sure


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Ivanhoe on July 03, 2013, 04:04:05 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.
Want to bet?


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: bitcoinator on July 03, 2013, 04:10:06 PM
Why do I see attempts to manipulate the price in many posts... Am I paranoiac, or is it a coordinated action?

Difficulty skyrockets, the only chance to get more bitcoins cheap for those who don't have enough dollars and hashing power is to spread FUD.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: seleme on July 03, 2013, 04:17:02 PM
Litcoin will also crash down to 2$ per LTC. In fact, all the CCs crash down to 2$

I'll take that  ;D

Any Caribbean island on sale?  ;D


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: gmaki on July 03, 2013, 04:20:09 PM
Litcoin will also crash down to 2$ per LTC. In fact, all the CCs crash down to 2$

If BTC and LTC are both at $2.00 wouldn't that make BTC a screaming buy? I know I'd be buying a lot of BTC and if I had any LTC I'd be selling it (or converting it to BTC) like crazy.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: N12 on July 03, 2013, 04:28:33 PM
Why do I see attempts to manipulate the price in many posts... Am I paranoiac, or is it a coordinated action?

Difficulty skyrockets, the only chance to get more bitcoins cheap for those who don't have enough dollars and hashing power is to spread FUD.
Noone wants cheap Bitcoins, people want cheap dollars.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Qoheleth on July 03, 2013, 04:30:59 PM
If you're so sure, go take out a short position and make 30x your investment.

Talk is cheap.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: MXRider on July 03, 2013, 04:55:18 PM
Houston, we have a problem! Great Master of Bitcoin, Sir Pietila told me that Bitcoin will reach $300 000 so OP is spreading BS:


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: HappyBitCoinUser on July 03, 2013, 05:42:01 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.

Its nice to finally see someone that isn't doing drugs, and think that we're going to hit $1k or $1M.

I haven't check in the last 24 hours, so I brought up MtGox expecting to see maybe $95 but it was $82 lol... dropping fast! Heheh.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Qoheleth on July 03, 2013, 06:02:03 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.
Overall, my outlook is bearish these days. The price will fall for a while - I've accepted it.

But every time I see people talking about the price falling below $2/coin, I wonder what's going on inside their brains.

Compare today's world to the world of late 2011. The USD/BTC rate had only spiked once, followed by a long and depressing bear-market, and there was a good chance that over-$10/coin was a one-time thing, an accident never to come again. Other than Silk Road, there was very little you could do with BTC.

In that world, in a world where a good argument could be made that Bitcoin was on its way out, the exchange rate tested $2/coin in enormous volume, and $2/coin proved itself sound.

If $2/coin was an impenetrable wall of value-confidence back then, what on earth could break that value-confidence today, in a world where high BTC prices have come twice ("and why not again?"), in a world where there are institutional investors dipping their toes into the market, in a world where you can buy food (http://foodler.com) and shelter (http://9flats.com/) with your bitcoins?

I'm bearish, sure. It's my guess (granted, one that I refuse to trust, or else I'd be shorting like mad) that the bottom will be somewhere in the $11-30 range, which is way lower than what we have today. But barring something that shatters the Bitcoin network itself, I do not think that we will see $1.95/coin again.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: imbladednow on July 03, 2013, 06:06:29 PM
Houston, we have a problem! Great Master of Bitcoin, Sir Pietila told me that Bitcoin will reach $300 000 so OP is spreading BS:

So Im going to buy at 2USD this winter because of this reason. Thank you


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: dbanga85 on July 03, 2013, 06:10:14 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Bro you sound stupid as shit


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: MAbtc on July 03, 2013, 06:31:51 PM
People are getting even more bearish than our resident bear-troll, Jaroslaw. Interesting times!

Why do I see attempts to manipulate the price in many posts... Am I paranoiac, or is it a coordinated action?
Why manipulation? Why coordinated? Bulls is crazy -- always scratching their head and posting things like, "I can't figure it out, why is the price going down?"


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Spaceman_Spiff on July 03, 2013, 06:55:13 PM
i agreee maybe nut 2$ but 5$ for sure

Want to bet on that?


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Jaroslaw on July 03, 2013, 07:13:26 PM
technical analists


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: chufchuf on July 03, 2013, 07:38:31 PM
has the OP been testing some shrooms at Atlantis, oh man


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: jamesc760 on July 04, 2013, 12:25:11 AM
No, I don't do shrooms, just a bowl of cold water. Lots of people are starting to panic now that it does look like bitcoin is on a long term slide. I just based my prediction based on the fact that this recent downturn is the result of asic miners dumping their mined coins en masse. They won't stop until they have driven the value to the dirt floor. Even at $2, the asic miners will keep on running their machines. That is the future I have seen in my bowl of cold water.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: jamesc760 on July 04, 2013, 12:33:46 AM
every week for the past month, btc value has been falling by $10US, and extrapolating it to the next few weeks gives me the following;


July 10 -- $70

July 17 -- $60

July 24 -- $50

,
,
,
August 21 -- $10

Once the $10 firewall is breeched, the race to $2 will happen in a few days.

Thus, by the end of August 2013, it will be $2 or less.

PS: I am neither an expert nor a psychic. Think of me as a devils advocate.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: MAbtc on July 04, 2013, 12:49:06 AM
Even at $2, the asic miners will keep on running their machines.
^^^ This is your problem, right here.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: xavier on July 04, 2013, 12:52:33 AM
Its nice to finally see someone that isn't doing drugs, and think that we're going to hit $1k or $1M.


+1



Probably even lower than that.
Overall, my outlook is bearish these days. The price will fall for a while - I've accepted it.

But every time I see people talking about the price falling below $2/coin, I wonder what's going on inside their brains.

Compare today's world to the world of late 2011. The USD/BTC rate had only spiked once, followed by a long and depressing bear-market, and there was a good chance that over-$10/coin was a one-time thing, an accident never to come again. Other than Silk Road, there was very little you could do with BTC.

In that world, in a world where a good argument could be made that Bitcoin was on its way out, the exchange rate tested $2/coin in enormous volume, and $2/coin proved itself sound.

If $2/coin was an impenetrable wall of value-confidence back then, what on earth could break that value-confidence today, in a world where high BTC prices have come twice ("and why not again?"), in a world where there are institutional investors dipping their toes into the market, in a world where you can buy food (http://foodler.com) and shelter (http://9flats.com/) with your bitcoins?

I'm bearish, sure. It's my guess (granted, one that I refuse to trust, or else I'd be shorting like mad) that the bottom will be somewhere in the $11-30 range, which is way lower than what we have today. But barring something that shatters the Bitcoin network itself, I do not think that we will see $1.95/coin again.

+1




Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BitcoinAshley on July 04, 2013, 12:58:07 AM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.
Overall, my outlook is bearish these days. The price will fall for a while - I've accepted it.

But every time I see people talking about the price falling below $2/coin, I wonder what's going on inside their brains.

Compare today's world to the world of late 2011. The USD/BTC rate had only spiked once, followed by a long and depressing bear-market, and there was a good chance that over-$10/coin was a one-time thing, an accident never to come again. Other than Silk Road, there was very little you could do with BTC.

In that world, in a world where a good argument could be made that Bitcoin was on its way out, the exchange rate tested $2/coin in enormous volume, and $2/coin proved itself sound.

If $2/coin was an impenetrable wall of value-confidence back then, what on earth could break that value-confidence today, in a world where high BTC prices have come twice ("and why not again?"), in a world where there are institutional investors dipping their toes into the market, in a world where you can buy food (http://foodler.com) and shelter (http://9flats.com/) with your bitcoins?

I'm bearish, sure. It's my guess (granted, one that I refuse to trust, or else I'd be shorting like mad) that the bottom will be somewhere in the $11-30 range, which is way lower than what we have today. But barring something that shatters the Bitcoin network itself, I do not think that we will see $1.95/coin again.


Quoted 4 Trufe.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: phillipsjk on July 04, 2013, 12:59:37 AM
If the price drops below $5, I will consider taking out loans to buy up as much BTC as I can.

I would be surprised it the price dips below 60 for any extended period of time.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: gmaki on July 04, 2013, 01:34:27 AM
every week for the past month, btc value has been falling by $10US, and extrapolating it to the next few weeks gives me the following;


July 10 -- $70

July 17 -- $60

July 24 -- $50

,
,
,
August 21 -- $10

Once the $10 firewall is breeched, the race to $2 will happen in a few days.

Thus, by the end of August 2013, it will be $2 or less.

PS: I am neither an expert nor a psychic. Think of me as a devils advocate.

I agree with your analysis as I came up with $2 as well. However the one thing I think you are missing is increasing difficulty of mining which sets the bottom price higher. Yes ASIC is driving price to that floor, but it is also driving difficulty up at the same time.

Right now I have them converging at $20, but it doesn't matter it will be easy to calculate when it gets there... whatever price it is. That is when to buy.

Better yet I am thinking of purchasing whatever the most efficient miner is at that time (assuming it can be shipped immediately) and either buying or mining based on the KW/GH ratio advantage at any given time.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: exxe on July 04, 2013, 01:40:03 AM
every week for the past month, btc value has been falling by $10US, and extrapolating it to the next few weeks gives me the following;


July 10 -- $70

July 17 -- $60

July 24 -- $50

,
,
,
August 21 -- $10

Once the $10 firewall is breeched, the race to $2 will happen in a few days.

Thus, by the end of August 2013, it will be $2 or less.

PS: I am neither an expert nor a psychic. Think of me as a devils advocate.

 :D

http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extrapolating.png


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: inspiredinvestor on July 04, 2013, 03:04:48 AM
Does this mean LTC will be worth more than BTC in August???  :o


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: cbeast on July 04, 2013, 04:50:24 AM
Yep all those people that invested millions into Bitcoin development and holdings will just allow their investment to fail.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Coinseeker on July 04, 2013, 05:22:10 AM
Yep all those people that invested millions into Bitcoin development and holdings will just allow their investment to fail.

What choice do they have?  Are they going to buy up all the coins?  Spend them all by themselves?  The difference between investors and die hard bitcoiners is, investors know when to cut their losses and move on.  Diehard bitcoiners will go down with the ship, in pure denial.  That's either admirably courageous or dumb as hell.  Let each person decide for themselves.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: jamesc760 on July 04, 2013, 03:28:27 PM
lol on the cartoon above. which reminds to add


I am neither an expert, a psychic, nor a statistian.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Fiyasko on July 04, 2013, 05:27:56 PM
Thanks!  I will wait until then to buy.  Thanks again for all this valuable information.

Put a bet up or shutup, ...

JackRabiit:  850+ activity.  Wow.
Wait what? Thats a noteworthy amount?


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BurtW on July 07, 2013, 12:54:24 PM
Thanks!  I will wait until then to buy.  Thanks again for all this valuable information.

Put a bet up or shutup, ...

JackRabiit:  850+ activity.  Wow.
Wait what? Thats a noteworthy amount?
Take a look around.  It is the highest value I have seen.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Fiyasko on July 08, 2013, 08:42:56 PM
Thanks!  I will wait until then to buy.  Thanks again for all this valuable information.

Put a bet up or shutup, ...

JackRabiit:  850+ activity.  Wow.
Wait what? Thats a noteworthy amount?
Take a look around.  It is the highest value I have seen.
Oh holy shizzle!, I might even be here so often that i could become a moderator!, Woah!
Only people like Theymos have a activity count as high as mine. Gosh!


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: bitcoinator on July 08, 2013, 09:10:39 PM
Sorry, what is activity? I see I have activity always the same as post count, but what is it?


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BurtW on July 08, 2013, 09:44:59 PM
Sorry, what is activity? I see I have activity always the same as post count, but what is it?
When you first start out activity=post count but then as you grow and mature it becomes something else based on a combination of time spent and post count.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: mskryxz on December 27, 2013, 09:44:03 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.

Its nice to finally see someone that isn't doing drugs, and think that we're going to hit $1k or $1M.

I haven't check in the last 24 hours, so I brought up MtGox expecting to see maybe $95 but it was $82 lol... dropping fast! Heheh.

yeah looks like we're even lower than that :)


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: sir faps on December 27, 2013, 10:06:43 PM
How did this person know? They were right on the money


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: favelle75 on December 27, 2013, 10:15:06 PM
This is the closest most accurate prediction I have ever seen...I will most certainly follow this person's advice at every corner. 




/sarcasm


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BurtW on December 27, 2013, 10:17:33 PM
Name:  jamesc760
Posts:  329
Activity: 238
Position:  Sr. Member
Date Registered:  April 05, 2013, 11:13:23 PM
Last Active:  Today at 09:38:10 PM


Any comment jamessc760?  How did you get to be so darn accurate?


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: hope4me on December 27, 2013, 10:18:32 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.

Its nice to finally see someone that isn't doing drugs, and think that we're going to hit $1k or $1M.

I haven't check in the last 24 hours, so I brought up MtGox expecting to see maybe $95 but it was $82 lol... dropping fast! Heheh.

yeah looks like we're even lower than that :)

Funny to see predictions half year ago, but to be fair, still some time for drop under $2 by December 31, 2013  ;)


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: freethink2013 on December 27, 2013, 10:18:44 PM
lol. still a few days to go tbf


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: cryptozaurus on December 27, 2013, 10:21:17 PM
That was a lot of fun reading this old thread!
There is still couple of days before the 31 but I have a hard time figuring the price going down that much! :P
Especially China is back in the game..


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: MAbtc on December 27, 2013, 10:26:06 PM
You guys are missing the point. We only have three days before a flash crash to $2. See you on the order books.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: jamesc760 on December 28, 2013, 04:25:04 AM
I was surprised to see this old post get dug up! I have no idea how I came to write this regrettably ultra-bearish dribble. But, I DID mention a few times that I am no psychic or statistician, or whatever. It just goes to show you that you can't just extrapolate on anything. Mea culpa. So sorry. I am just bad at predicting. You should never follow my advice or prediction or whatever. This IS a speculation forum, isn't it???


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BitChick on December 28, 2013, 05:03:54 AM
I was surprised to see this old post get dug up! I have no idea how I came to write this regrettably ultra-bearish dribble. But, I DID mention a few times that I am no psychic or statistician, or whatever. It just goes to show you that you can't just extrapolate on anything. Mea culpa. So sorry. I am just bad at predicting. You should never follow my advice or prediction or whatever. This IS a speculation forum, isn't it???

Hopefully you held a few coins!?

Glad you were wrong BTW!   ;D


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: zakalwe on December 28, 2013, 09:14:55 AM
I was surprised to see this old post get dug up! I have no idea how I came to write this regrettably ultra-bearish dribble. But, I DID mention a few times that I am no psychic or statistician, or whatever. It just goes to show you that you can't just extrapolate on anything. Mea culpa. So sorry. I am just bad at predicting. You should never follow my advice or prediction or whatever. This IS a speculation forum, isn't it???

LOL man, it's funny to see after all these months what really happened. But by your side you have the fact that it's merely impossible to really predict where the hell bitcoin, and in general crypto currencies, will be after several months.

But, to me, for sure it tends to go up up up.

I finished.

Oh yeah I almost forgot

HOOOOOOOOOODDDLLLL!!!!!!!!

 :D


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: tdenisenko on December 28, 2013, 11:57:59 AM
You guys are missing the point. We only have three days before a flash crash to $2. See you on the order books.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OyabiLNfjQw&feature=youtu.be&t=14s


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Miz4r on December 28, 2013, 12:39:18 PM
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.

Its nice to finally see someone that isn't doing drugs, and think that we're going to hit $1k or $1M.

Moral of the story here: use more drugs. :P


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: TERA on December 28, 2013, 12:43:57 PM
Dude I just checked bitcoinity and this guy is right.

https://i.imgur.com/ycTUl1d.png


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Boxman90 on December 28, 2013, 01:39:16 PM
Lol I just still can't believe Bitcoinity with their new paradigm shit.

That mBTC denomination is making my brain hurt every time I get there on a new browser. Seriously what a delusional joke.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BurtW on December 28, 2013, 01:43:35 PM
Lol I just still can't believe Bitcoinity with their new paradigm shit.

That mBTC denomination is making my brain hurt every time I get there on a new browser. Seriously what a delusional joke.
I like it.  I can buy mBTC for less than one dollar!!!  I feel rich.  Although I think it would be better if every single web site was forced by the Bitcoin central authority to use nBTC because then I would be a nBTC trillionaire  :o :o :o

[/sarcasm]

Honestly, having the option to view in whatever units you want does not hurt anything.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: jamesc760 on December 28, 2013, 02:57:48 PM
I have been bashing perma-bears like accord01 and edward50 on their bearich threads lately. Karma's a bitch. I had no idea I was such a bear a few months back. I have been reformed. I have found the light. Bitcoin has saved me. Halleluyah! It's such a freeing feeling now. All bears should try it.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BurtW on December 28, 2013, 03:00:59 PM
The bears should create their own coin called BearCoin and then ... Oh, wait, I don't think that will work ;)


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: jamesc760 on December 28, 2013, 03:10:22 PM
Lol, well, I have made another, brand new, prediction for 2014:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=389081.0

I hope everyone will get a chuckle out of that one as well! Happy new year!!! Go bitcoin!!!


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: BitChick on December 28, 2013, 05:47:30 PM
Lol, well, I have made another, brand new, prediction for 2014:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=389081.0

I hope everyone will get a chuckle out of that one as well! Happy new year!!! Go bitcoin!!!

I like this one much better.   ;D

I hope you are right this time!


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Gleason on December 28, 2013, 06:54:53 PM
I was surprised to see this old post get dug up! I have no idea how I came to write this regrettably ultra-bearish dribble. But, I DID mention a few times that I am no psychic or statistician, or whatever. It just goes to show you that you can't just extrapolate on anything. Mea culpa. So sorry. I am just bad at predicting. You should never follow my advice or prediction or whatever. This IS a speculation forum, isn't it???

yea. $2 was never going to happen, even if no good news ever came into BTC.  After the first run-up, there was too much buying pressure wayyyyyy before $2.

Since this run up, we will never see sub $150 again. far too much pressure and people with money who will buy a shit ton of coins far before that point.



Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: cryptocoinmkt.com on December 28, 2013, 07:13:42 PM
Put a bet up or shutup, if you're correct you have nothing to fear and bitcoins to gain.
If you're wrong then you get to feel the pain of making a stupid guess and wasting our time.

+1 Agreed.

People make price predictions like they have some magic crystal ball, when they have no fudging ideal what they are talking about, and the factors they use, and here say guesses mean jack.

I've been watching markets over the last decade and this reminds me a lot, like all these pundits predicting stock price, and stock market directions. They are mostly just spreading FUD (Fear uncertainty and doubt) and don't have a true basis for their predictions.  Maybe, he/she needs the price to go down so he/she can buy some.

Well, it's December 28.   Three days left to go and BTC price is $708, let us see if the guy who started this " (I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013 )" thread is correct, or he/she is just another dumb "as%" who likes to make clueless predictions with hard dates.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: Jomppe on December 28, 2013, 07:21:30 PM
BTC value should be around 2-10 dollars.
My argument is the following: WorldCoin costs less than a dollar despite the fact that they will be minted roughly only 10 times as many as BTC so the long term BTC/WDC should be 0.10 BTC/WDC. This gives the BTC estimated value being less than 10 dollars...


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: TradeAnalyst on December 28, 2013, 07:26:04 PM
Well if you have BTC in your wallet and if you think that each BTC will be 2 or 5 USD  I an doing you a big favor by buying them immediatly a  10 USD

What a good deal for you you are sure to get 5 times your valuation !  :)



Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: cr1776 on December 28, 2013, 09:01:23 PM
I was surprised to see this old post get dug up! I have no idea how I came to write this regrettably ultra-bearish dribble. But, I DID mention a few times that I am no psychic or statistician, or whatever. It just goes to show you that you can't just extrapolate on anything. Mea culpa. So sorry. I am just bad at predicting. You should never follow my advice or prediction or whatever. This IS a speculation forum, isn't it???

I think that just about the only thing one can predict is that the dollar, Euro, Yen, Yuan etc will lose value/purchasing power over time.  If you predict that in 10 years they'll have lost value, I think you'd be pretty much guaranteed to have been accurate.  :-)


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: cr1776 on December 28, 2013, 09:02:35 PM
BTC value should be around 2-10 dollars.
My argument is the following: WorldCoin costs less than a dollar despite the fact that they will be minted roughly only 10 times as many as BTC so the long term BTC/WDC should be 0.10 BTC/WDC. This gives the BTC estimated value being less than 10 dollars...

Fortunately quantity of coins mined is not the only or even the major determining factor in price.

Think about TCP/IP vs TLK/MD.  They do essentially the same thing, why is everyone using TCP/IP?


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: notme on December 28, 2013, 09:10:27 PM
BTC value should be around 2-10 dollars.
My argument is the following: WorldCoin costs less than a dollar despite the fact that they will be minted roughly only 10 times as many as BTC so the long term BTC/WDC should be 0.10 BTC/WDC. This gives the BTC estimated value being less than 10 dollars...

What can you get for worldcoin?  I can spend bitcoin on fiat money, food, clothes, shelter, electronics, as well as many services.  In 6 months, I will be able to shop with it on overstock.com.  A limited supply is only one part of the value equation.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: piramida on December 29, 2013, 10:31:22 AM
A limited supply is only one part of the value equation.

Yep, I would say it is a negligible part of the equation. There is only one specific painting of picasso in existence, and there's only one specific fingerpainting of some round red thing with green things around it by my 2yr old as well, but they differ in value significantly.


Title: Re: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013
Post by: nerFohanzo on December 29, 2013, 10:38:19 AM
BTC value should be around 2-10 dollars.
My argument is the following: WorldCoin costs less than a dollar despite the fact that they will be minted roughly only 10 times as many as BTC so the long term BTC/WDC should be 0.10 BTC/WDC. This gives the BTC estimated value being less than 10 dollars...

Only in world where WorldCoin is as much used/popular as Bitcoin.