Bitcoin Forum

I added AIEVE's first prediction and she forecasts 14620 $ per BTC on the 12.08.2017 at 00:00 GMT!   8)


Personally im pretty happy about it :)

Dear OP, We will get chance to predict the price daily and may earn a reward if we can preditct it correctly ?? If it is, we will be more than happy. Will do our own research and will try to win a reward.
By the way For December 07, 2017, I think BTC price will be upto $15300. There will be a minor correction.

How do you announce the winner ?

AIEVE's first prediction: is ??

I think BTC price will colse at 14230 $ .

14620.31$ on the top of the graph :)

I'm less confident about going up. $ 13100 at 00:00

Sorry but I don't get the rule concerning the time we have to make prediction for the next day.
Do we have still time to make prediction against the first AIEVE one or is it already too late now?

I think now you have until 8 December 02:00 GMT to make a prediction for the closing price of 8 December 23:59 GMT.

Thanks but OP said:


So I'm a bit confused.

You had until at 02:30 GMT today, which is 8 hours and 15 minutes ago, to enter your prediction for the price of Bitcoin at the end of today, which is one minute after 7 December 23:59 GMT which is 8 December 00:00 GMT.

Now you can submit until 8 December 02:30 GMT the prediction for the price of Bitcoin at the end of 8 December 23:59 GMT, which is 9 December 00:00 GMT.

Ok that's clearer now, thanks @Rigorous!

There are daily predictions, but the winners will be choosen from the people with the 10 best predictions (least error averaged over the 10 best predictions)!
So joining earlier gives you more chances to have a good prediction ;)

I think BTC will go down for sure in the midterm - people will want to take profit.

We will announce the winner in this thread after the challenge is done :)

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@rigoruous

Thanks for explaining! ;)

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@jeremyB

Thanks for asking, i added an example to the rules and will try to rephrase so it is easier to understand :)

interesting contest, are we supposed to post daily predictions here, or is there a spreadsheet or via direct message ?..

Please post your predictions here and do not edit the prediction post - else it wont be counted!

ok fair enough. For end of day Dec 08, 2017, I predict 14,800 USD for BTC.

My BTC price prediction for Friday 08 Dec. 2017 end of day is 16128.32$

My price prediction 17300$ .

Could you elaborate on this?

If everybody would be using an advanced AI to very exactly predict the market, what would the point of trading be? IMHO, obiously you would need LOW adoption for your tool to make it valuable.

Everybody knowing exactly what the market looks like tomorrow makes for no market at all: the definition of a market is to exchange something of different value for the participants. Not something of equal value.

I mean, the ideea is very cool, but you should keep it secret if you actually plan to use the bot/ai for something.

My prediction for Friday end of day is $22,518.

Why? Because the daily increase is accelerating, at least until the opening of the Bitcoin futures markets. Today was about +22%, for tomorrow I estimate +30%.

Hello Labrader,

the volatality in the crypto markets is mainly because of the lack of liquidity and of the price discovery of a completely new asset class e.g. lack of information about the fundamentals.

In our todays digital world - especially crypto - the volume of data blasts away every human understanding and even the most recognized experts have difficulties to keep up with the newest developments.
This is where the power of Big Data Analysis and Automatic Machine Learning comes into play - it discovers the best possible projects based on all global available data and ever evolving algorithmic market models and could put most needed liquidity in exact such projects.

One example could be:

In the future there will be rumours of china banning the private mining of Bitcoins while nationalizing every ASIC producer and mining farms.
The whole world knows it is real (AP fake tweet sends DOW into free fall (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2013/04/23/syrian-hackers-claim-ap-hack-that-tipped-stock-market-by-136-billion-is-it-terrorism/?utm_term=.0f717c9d9483)) except that it is fake.
AIEVE's Big Data Analysis and Automatic Machine learning could forecast a mega dump and recovery of the price because AIEVE knows the news are fake and could step in to lessen the volatality while profiting.



This is already reality in classical stocks.
Wall Street companies are running super computers for market prediction algorithms and these are fighting over profits with each other - for years already.
The future is not set in stone, it is also ever evolving based on every market (or market relating) participants decision and exactly this is the main problem we humans face: hugely increasing data volumes which nowadays can only be analysed by computer software.

So i believe like everyone is talking about AI becoming medical or legal advisers, it is inevitable that we soon will have AI based financial advisers.

So will we be able to use this AI?

Yes of course - it would be pretty mean to post it here and not let you guys use it in the end or? ;)

We plan to release the AI for commercial use in 2018!

After a very volatile day this is AIEVE's prediction for the next day, let us see if she could learn from her mistakes :)

https://i.imgur.com/5SUHfQd.jpg



Ps:

My personal Prediction will be 19.000 $ / btc - we will reach 20.000$ but then a pull back because people will take profit!  ;)

Ok, I will go with AI cant get fear factor dialed in so I am going to say it will be $15853

My prediction is 18,900 for today 8/12

My BTC price prediction for Saturday 09 Dec. 2017 end of day is 17014.86$

My BTC price prediction for Friday 08.12.2017

$17.720

17400 $ for BTC my prediction for Friday 08.12.2017

Hello Gpes and yenimailb,

the time limit to make predictions for friday 08.12.2017 was over at 02:30 GMT.

You can make a prediction for the price on saturday 09.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT.
You have time until saturday 09.12. 02:30 GMT to post your predictions in this thread!

Good luck and have fun. :)

Saturday 12/9/2017 is $15,560.00

My prediction for next day... BTC 15650$

For Dec.09, 2017 end of day, I predict 14,700 USD for Bitcoin. It would be great if you can also publish who got the best prediction every day for the length of the contest...

09 December Saturday prediction:

$20,000

Your AI predicts a high and a low. The humans predict a close. So how will you compare the two? Will you average the high and the low from your AI?

Hi qwik2learn,

the green bar in the prediction graphs shows the Low and High, this is one of AIEVE's abilities which will be of utmost importance for trading!
For the challenge only AIEVE's prediction of the closing price matters (which is also part of AIEVES prediction model).

My prediction for Saturday 12/9 is 17899

What a day wow!  :o

Ps:

My personal prediction 16.500 $!

I need to get in on this.. So basically every day we make a prediction and see if we could be the AI.    

If nobody can beat the AI, then what? Does anyone win anything?


For Saturday:    1590



Edit:  I meant 15,900  not 1590.    You can see I'm not editing the price after the fact.    Just missed a zero.

Hello molecularman,

That is ok - i got this with a quote now ; but unfortunately you are already over the time limit (02:00 GMT every day) for todays prediction!
If you like i can add this for the next prediction! :)


There are three prizes - so we will always have atleast two human winners in this game!  ;)

Thanks:   That works.

So it's always 2:30 GMT as the cut off?      That'd make it like 8:30 PM my time.

Who won the day 1?

I definitely beat AIEVE on day 1, by a few thousand at least, would be nice to see who is winning every day, so if someone gets 2-3 days right he can just cruise through the week and get average margin of error and still end up the winner, this should be a valid tactic according to the rule set...

Hey guys,

I added a link to the OP.
There is a spreadsheet which includes all participants, their predictions and their respective error margin!

The first day has no participants because nobody gave a prediction within the time limit of 02:30 GMT+0 on thursday 08.12.2017.
(Prediction for the price on thursday 08.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

I will update the sheet as often as possible (data of closing prices depend on the update of coinmarketcap).

Btw we seriously have some good predictions ;)

I am better than AI at BTC  ;D ;D

On 1st day nobody was in time to do some predictions.
I won on 2nd day (2.66% of error) but I will be completely out for the 3rd one (except a miracle, who knows with Bitcoin)! ;D

My prediction for Sunday 10 Dec is 15348.69$

My prediction for Sunday 12/10 is 14457

Sunday prediction 15100 usd

Sunday prediction:    14,440

Sunday 12/10/2017 $14,563

You do not know that for sure. There could be more AI participants. ;)

My BTC prediction $15800

OK I'll do tomorrow predict from now . I need to sleep 😅

So BTC will close at 15980 at Sunday 10-11-2017.

Good luck everyone.

Are we going to test the 20% shock breaker on the futures market?

$18,000 end of Sunday.

Sunday prediction 14800 usd

Hi, Sunday end of day BTC prediction: 15200 USD.

Hey guys,

sorry for posting the new prediction a bit late!



Good lucky everyone :)

My next prediction.. 14900

This is a bit harder.    Later today Asia will be up and it'll be Monday for them.    With BTC coming back down, there could be a little run up in the excitement to get in.. or folks could just sell off and take profits.

I'll say:

15,770

11-12-2017 $16,345

Monday - 16889

I just want to say thanks for putting this together along with the spreadsheet and all, it's nice of you to do.

That is an interesting project ...

is it possible to training the machine learning model with supervised human data ?

For instance, we could get data from something like UNU[1] and feed a Jupyter Notebook or something ... all open source  


[1]Artificial Swarm Intelligence vs Human Experts  (https://unu.ai/publications/ )    

Hello Andre,

Yes indeed this is possible.
At the start AIΞVE does supervised learning and in the mid term she will able to do unsupervised learning.
Users will be able to choose the mode.

Feel free to visit our website https://peculium.io and dont forget to read our white paper for more information :)

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I will update the spreadsheet in a bit but just from the first glace i think AIΞVE did really good in her prediction yesterday ;)

Interesting project.

Here's mine then:

17,490 USD

@criptix: I think you missed my last prediction, I didn't see it in the spreadsheet.

Next one Monday 11 Dec is 16282$

My bad, i didnt saw your prediction - but i added it now! :)

Nice initiative. My Monday prediction is $15800. I will take a look on this project later.

2 more hours

AIEVE prediction : 15169.49$
Current price : 15203.60$

 :o

correctly predicted the bottom ~~13 500$

My prediction for end of day Monday for BTC is 15,500 USD. Good Luck

wow what an amazing this AI is so smart, and my prediction is 12-12-2017 $17,078

Monday 11 Dec:

$18,500

https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-futures-launch-sees-price-spike-cboe-website-crashes/

Monday. December 11
I predict that BTC will be at 15800

btc: 19700usd Monday

Monday: December 11'17
I predict that BTC will be at $16800

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Hello Mypanara,

the time limit for mondays price prediction is 02:30 GMT+0 on the 11.12.2017- if you wish i can add this predictions to tuesday!

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AIΞVE's prediction was super good!!! The close price was 15450 $ while AIΞVE's predicted 15169,49 $!!!
This is in incredible error of 1.8 % :o

Welcome to the future of trading!  ;)

I missed it for today , the time zone is different  :(.

Good luck everyone  ;).

12-12-2017 $16,925

My Prediction for the price on Tuesday 12.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 16878$

12-12-2017 $16.700

Some of you all are crazy good at these predictions!



For 12/12:    17,025

I concur we got some really good predictions so far - but i know for sure that the TA nerds on this forum didnt show up yet.

I will try to get them on this thread because they usually also give really good reasons for their predictions! :)

Yesterday, I beat AIEVE again with 0.69%, ok I think I'm lucky ;D
So next one 12 Dec is 16684.16$

12-12-2017 $17.445

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lk9Cx5Bm92U
He talks about prediction and AIEVE

I would say the bitcoin price will be around $17300 for 12-12-2017

Sorry i missed last day.... was out of town... no internet....

My next prediction:

BTC : 16900$

This is getting interesting :)

 
BTC price is  $17105 for 12-12-2017

Hello OP! Very interesting project and no better way to put the money where your Machine is at. Would it be too much to give a summary breakdown of how the software arrived at its prediction? That might give some insight into what works and what doesn't, plus it would encourage those TA experts you're trying to convince to enter this thread to throw their hats into the ring.

My first entry and prediction for 12/12 is $16,875. We saw another ATH today, which should push for a bit before retreating in a 24 hr price range.

12 Dec:

Will Bitcoin cool down after the Futures markets hype?

$15,800

My BTC prediction for end of day tuesday is: 16,800 USD

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Im predicting a BTC price of 15.500 $!

13-12-2017 $17,750

My Prediction for the price on Wednesday 13.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 17229$

According to AIEVE we are hitting a ceiling now and will dump back down to 17.18  :)

13.12.2017 в 23:59:59 GMT + 0)

BTC: 17800

17 dollars??   Time to buy!!   :)


It seems like the price has found a bit of a stalling point from the mid 16's up to 17k.     My prediction for Wed,  12/13/17   will be right in the middle..   17,000.

Congrats to @thislifeisafarce, 0.28% of error!
My prediction for 13 Dec is 17234.48$

Predictions in this thread is really interesting Ill watch it and see how accurate predictions are then if necessary ill use your predictions converting btc to my currency on pump time and vice versa on dump time.

12-12-2017 My prediction is $17,053

I think the price is in consolidation mode till the next futures thing on the 18th (CME) makes speculators bounce around a bit.

My next prediction for December 13, 2017 is $17350, closer this time maybe?  :)

My next prediction for BTC is $17400

The time limit to submit a prediction for the 12.12 ended at 02:30 GMT+0!
Thus i added this prediction for the 13.12.2017 - if you want to make a different prediction just post a new one and i will replace it! :)

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@lifeisafarce

Jeez did you come from the future?  ;)

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My own prediction for wednesday: 17500 $

I do not think we will make a new ATH so soon - resistance is strong and people will want to take profit now after a x18 since January.
On top of that we are seeing money going into alts again which usually signals a BTC sideway move or dump.

My Prediction for the price on Thursday 14.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 17012$


My Prediction for the price on Friday 15.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 16490$


My Prediction for the price on Saturday 16.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 16012$

Hello, my prediction for BTC Wednesday end of day: 17550 USD
Good Luck

My btc prediction for 13.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$17899

 13.12.17
BTC price $16966 .

The price start to stabilize .

My Prediction for the price on Thursday 14.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 16829$

believe on some sideward movements with some weak hands

14-12-2017 $12,550

Guys, the lates prediction of AIΞVE for the 12.12.2017 had an error of just 1.35%!

I'm expecting a lot for the future  ;D

Also congratz to 3sli and Invoking for even more awesome predictions! 0.17% and 0.66%!!  ;)

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Im sorry but your prediction was after the time limit of 02:30 GMT+0! Should i take this prediction for the 14.12?

Alright,  for Thurdsay, 12/14

I kind of think we will see a bigger upturn.  We are still seeing a trend upward..     18,125

OK let it be for 14.12 just in case if i can't make it today .  :D

Thank you

Guess this wasn't the right place to ask my earlier questions but I posed them today in Telegram and I got to say, you've got quite an able expert in your CTO (Abed Ajrao). So from what I understand, AIEVE takes little, if at all, from TA, and is basing predictions purely on ML and AI from deep data and big data analysis. Interesting to test the capacities of billions per second, but based on what's already available, I suppose there isn't even an instance for that kind of crunching just yet.

Anyway, what's good is that human irrationality in the markets is seen not as part of the problem but the equation to solve, with NLP on board.

Now, on to my prediction for 14 December: Bitcoin price will be at 16,877. Just because I like undercutting my own ambitions!

Thanks, didn't expect to be close like this  :)
For December 14, 2017 I would say $16300 but I should say that the price is fluctuating a lot

My next prediction...  BTC = 16800$

My next prediction for 14 Dec is 16931.73$

My btc prediction for 14.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$16420

wow that is what i get for entering an amount before i have my first cup of coffee! But who knows maybe i will look like a genius...just poorer!

.

Yeah money is flowing into alts i think we will see a downward move.



I really hope you wont make us poor :D

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My prediction: 15400 $

My prediction for 14.12
14900

my prediction for end of day Thursday BTC: 15,800 USD

14 Dec:

$14500

Fed rate hike going to start a crypto correction?

This is a well known challenge. Always AI wins trading challenge cause of emotions.
Human emotions is the worst thing for trading. Most of people lose because of emotions.

100% - some friends of mine joined the crypto world this year and that was pretty much the first thing i tried to explain them:

Control your emotions while trading, watch everything objectively, dont be delusional, etc.

This is always what rekts people in the long run while trading.

My prediction for 14.12 16412$

My btc prediction for 14.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 is
$16749

Yeah!  looks like I had the closest prediction for Wednesday.   I finally beat AIEVE!          Though I think the closing for Thursday is going to kill me.   I really thought it would tick up just a bit and maybe make it to the high 17k low 18k mark.

Oh well, maybe I can make a better prediction for tomorrow.     Logically I'd think the price would drop a little more,  seems like it usually does going into the weekend.

For Friday 12/15:      16,450

15-12-2017 $16,350

My prediction :
BTC 16700$

Next prediction for 15 Dec is 16745.61$

@criptix: it is possible to update the spreadsheet to see where we are against AIEVE every day, it would add some spice to the challenge ;)

My next prediction for December 15, 2017 is 16650$
Humans, let's try to win  ;D

I'm going to stick with my next prediction to stay the same as yesterday's and see if I can mentally force Bitcoin to stay above $16k haha. The way I've noticed, this week's going to be swinging 16s. But Bitcoin's pretty resilient this week, double pressure of futures and South Korea regulatory news doesn't seem to have done much to weaken it, though the outflow to alts is a theory worth visiting

My next prediction = $16,877

@cryptix: just noticed from spreadsheet a massive error from AIEVE, I guess even AI has its days of variance yeah? Though at these prices, 7% is already 11,000 dollars!

@JeremyB, the spreadsheet is updated and keeps track of everything already released. Link is on OP: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KbdvR0BVXT2d2K3uD5ZwQULU-QRCrYdask3LB7rNaoM/edit#gid=0

still waiting for the outcome of todays predictions. Still doing not too bad  ;D. For Friday, 23 GMT my vote is for $16380

Me and a friend is talking about this a while ago, because we don't believe in exactly predicting the market, I have some profession in mathematics and I know about statistics and probability and you need to have a a given value to solve a problem, and the market is a real time changes, unless all of the sellers and hodlers are United to sell and hold we won't be able to predict the market just like that. And I wonder if a supercomputer can even predict a real time change.



So the wall streets are using this? Man, this is a great disadvantage to casual traders, it's feels like cheating, but I still don't think that a supercomputer can predict a real time changes of prices. There maybe a probability and they are solving the best probable way but not predict a real time change of prices.

My btc prediction for 15.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$16900

15 Dec: $16500

Daily change only 0.56%.

Is Bitcoin stabilizing for a while? I predict it will not change much.

Hi, my prediction for end of day friday BTC: 15,500 USD

Good day everyone :)

15.12.17
BTC price will keep floating on 16K range so I think the price will be : 16230$ .

My prediction for Friday 12/15/17 @ 10:00am NYC $17,532.00

Ai vs Human? Why don't you put both together to make awesome predictions?There is a project called Cindicator which is backed to the Hybrid Intelligence and they have delivered a lot of good products so far. When I saw your post I remembered them. Btw is this supposed to be only a challenge?

My next prediction for 16 Dec is 17535.14$

16-12-2017 $17,800
17-12-2017 $17,850
18-12-2017 $18,500

What do I win  ;D

Okay,  well my predictions have been awful.   Well, not really awful,  just a day late it seems. 

For Saturday 12/16    18,000

$700 away from my previous prediction, too bad :-\
For Saturday December 16, 2017 i will say $17600

Good day everyone Smiley

16.12.17
BTC price will be  : 17996$ .

my prediction for saturday end of day BTC: 18,100 USD, price action showing a lot of strength for BTC through the week, it surprised me that there was not even one sharp correction at these levels...

Hi Lipe490,

the Peculium platform will offer the same option! We have different contracts that allow you to modify the AIΞVE management or just get AIΞVE's data so that you can manage your account on your own. :)

This is a small challenge for people to see how viable AIΞVE already is and to see AIΞVE's prediction accuracy in comparison to human prediction accuracy.
If you look at this sheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KbdvR0BVXT2d2K3uD5ZwQULU-QRCrYdask3LB7rNaoM/edit#gid=0) you will see that - even though AIΞVE is v0.1 alpha - she beats the averaged human participants error nearly every time!  8)

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Hi scott,

please read the rules. :P

My Prediction for the price on Sunday 17.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 17512$

Edit @10:07 pm - if possible, I'd like to change this to $18,686. Still within the timeframe, if not, then of course take the one below. I made an early prediction as normally am not up this late!

My next price guess: $17,486.

Looks like I should have been even more optimistic on my last guess, as Bitcoin just seems to chug away at new all time highs. I'm seeing more and more nervous people now, myself included to an extent, who feel that the impending crash is going to get worse with each week of delay and each new ATH to fall from. I'm really curious to know how far ahead AIEVE predicts, and if it will see the crash before it happens.

For that matter, curious to see if any of these AI platforms launched in the past few months will.


Sounds good on the contract offers, though it may require a bit of a learning curve to modify the management of AIEVE, since there will be no tech analysis underlying it, you'd be adding yours to it and I guess defeating the whole purpose of it? Will there also be an option to have crowd wisdom feed into AIEVE, based on preselected ranges (perhaps, a few people you plug into and the platform auto updates comparisons vs AIEVE).

Quote this one; AIEVE's prediction by the end of the day is $16870,50
Honestly, seems like I've missed big opportunity to join in this challenge against AI as 5 days left, to the end.
I thought to have a small chance to win this due to the rule:
If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

is it mean, all the average error from 7.12.2017 to 21.12.2017 will be added to my error prediction? Such a big error for me ;D
Anyway, can I participate tomorrow? Or it's closed?

It is the day before the start of the CME futures market! Bitcoin is already moving to $19000, it would be a surprise if it fell by the end of the day.



Someone could really screw up that average, which means if you miss one day you already lost.

You were right on your first guess actually. You do have a small chance simply by participating even once. The rule means what it says, your missing prediction is the average error of ALL human predictions for that day only. In fact, for some people, they may have been better off leaving out their high error predictions and sticking to the average on some days. Yesterday, for example, only 6 people did better than the average error, although of course, one big error like yesterday's 12%+ brought that average down a lot!

And no, check the spreadsheet: there's still at least four more days to put in your submission, picks close at 2am GMT (about 9 hours from now). Looks like Bitcoin broke another ATH, so it looks like my error will be pretty high today.

My next price guess: $19100

My next prediction for 17 Dec is 18271.63$

@cryptix: how do you will determine the winner regarding the number of suggestions made?
I mean if you made less suggestions, it is easier, no?

exactly Cryptix, there should be a bonus for people who make the most number of predictions, otherwise someone can win it with even 1 or 2 lucky guesses...

Good thinkings - so let me explain with an example:

One way to have control about your savings plan would be supervised training of AIΞVE - that means you are training AIΞVE with data that yourself/your company are labeling.

In the longterm the other option would be investing in peculium funds supervised by an expert or company of your choice.

Crowd wisdowm is indirectly included through NLP and could be directly used with the above metioned options! ;)

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Hey guys,

We are taking the best 10 predictions and average the error of these predictions.

If someome misses a prediction then the missing prediction will be replaced with that days human average error.

For example if someone does only 1 prediction then we will take the error of that 1 prediction + 9 best average human error. This will be averaged again and make the result.

Therefore the impact of such people is very low.


You can check the interim results until the 15.12 and see it - i updated the sheet yesterday.

People who make more predictions have the advantage! ;)

Today and tomorrow the price will keep rising :)
17.12.2017
BTC price : 21650$

btc prediction for 17.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$19830

Hi,

my prediction for end of day Sunday BTC price: 18,500 USD, it would be a natural retracement and still a very bullish conclusion to the week for Bitcoin.

16741$ or 17421$
for 17th december

Darn.. hope I'm not too late for the next prediction.  I meant to do it earlier today,  but got caught up in some other crypto in the market.


For Sunday 12/17  I am going to say we get over the 20k mark  and  hit  20,500

predicton for 17.12.17 23:59:59 GMT+0

BTC $20.820

Sunday, CME futures, I think it could go either way. Maybe a last minute dump and pump? Or pump and dump? Everybody thinks up, so I am betting down.

$15,000

December 17, 2017, 02:16: 40 AM
Bitcoin price prediction: $20,050

Well, this is not even close... :D

My Prediction for the price on Monday 18.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 19490$

Unbelievable price movement and it is over our expectations tho
My next prediction is $19850  :)

Thanks for your answer @cryptix, it makes sense.

My prediction for 18th of December is 19224.63$

next prediction

BTC : 18800$

For Monday 12/18      19,598


I noticed my Sunday prediction isn't listed on the spreadsheet.   I can link back to it if needed.

18.12.2017
BTC price : 19040$

Sorry i didnt update everything yet. Will do in half a hour! ;)

Btw we really hit 20 k but sadly only for a short time :/

Hi, my prediction for end of monday Dec. 18 for BTC is 18,400 USD, expecting the slight correction that didn't happen to come through monday...

My prediction for Monday, 18th Dec 2017 for BTC is 18,900 USD

btc prediction for 18.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$18230

Another shot for the end of the day.
December 18, 2017, 02:16 AM
Bitcoin price : $19,800

I just joined this thread.

My next prediction for 19-12-17:

$19400

I missed this threads UTC date window for Dec 18
So I will do a forward prediction for Dec 19th
20,587.54 $

19th 12
my prediction
$19800

My Prediction for the price on Tuesday 19.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 19755$

19-12-2017 19750

My price prediction 19,200$  ;D

My prediction today, 18900

19.12.2017 BTC Price: 19385$

My prediction is 19.6k

My prediction for 19th of December is 19004.23$

My next prediction for 19th of December 2017 is $19300, kinda hugely missing lately  :-\

My btc price : 18750$

I really thought it'd have a bit more movement up or down.      I should probably just stop my guesses as I think I'm going to lose hardcore, but hey,  this is actually really fun.   I'm still amazed at some of you.     Maybe I should start following some of you guys and just invest in whatever you tell me, lol.

For  Tuesday 12/19:    18, 755

Was sure I put up a prediction yesterday, perhaps am better off with the averaged errors after all, since I was half tempted to put a new ATH price above 20k! Maybe the CME futures are having a slightly stronger effect in combination with CBOE's? Read that thousands were bought at above 20k on opening day. What's interesting for me is that even in June, prior settling at $19,+++, was expecting them to be even more bearish, actually!

Anyway, still four hours left for this entry and BTC's been on a downward trend, but I expect a slight rally to calm down nerves after a frenetic start at Chicago. So my prediction stands at $19,565.

the listing effect was like nothing , bitcoin always surprise me

19.12.2017
BTC price : 18862$

my prediction for end of Tuesday, BTC: 19,500 USD

btc prediction for 19.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$18900

btc prediction for 19.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0
$19370

I am really sad that I didn't saw this topic before. Great idea and product. It seems to really understand how the market is going. I Like to follow the BET topic too, but it seems that the math formula needs to revaluate there.

Anyway, here is my bet:

December 19, 2017
Bitcoin price : $18,120

Does the winning bet needs to be in exact figure when the price closes out later this evening? I would want to try so here's my bet:

19.12.17 23:59:59 GMT+0
$18,550.00

Pretty sad, missed the time for today.
But, just guessing

December 19, 2017
Bitcoin price: $19,600

Here is my bet
December 19

Bitcoin price:$18750

My Prediction for the price on Wednesday 20.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 19455$

My prediction
December 19 2017
Btc price $19100

Interesting:   It looks like potentially folks have taken some profit out of BTC and are putting the new money into Alts.


For Wednesday 12/20  I'll say BTC stays around the 18k mark.     18,050

For Wednesday December 20, 2017  I will say $18600, people guessing accurately the price these days are either lucky or so smart ;)

BTC prediction 18000$

20-12-2017 $18200

16300

My next prediction for 20th of December is 18229.12$

My prediction for BTC 20.12.17 at 23:59:59 GMT+0 is 18010.00 $

OK I'm losing to bitcoin now, let's see whats come tomorrow .

20.12.2017
BTC price : 18173$

btc prediction for 20.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$16800

my bet for Dec. 20 end of day BTC price: 17,500 USD

I think I missed the cut but I still think we will close today at 17455

December 20, 2017, 02:10 AM
For today, bitcoin price; $16,900

My prediction is: $16350

My next prediction is $17.400

December 20th, my prediction
Btc price $16700

December 20th, my prediction
Btc price $16600

My Prediction for the price on Thursday 21.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 17900

Cryptix I was on time for yesterday right ? I submitted before 2 am GMT, also are you going to get the average of the best 10 guesses for each individual to get the winners ?.. If so the final rankings (and the formula on the excel sheet) would change.

I'm going to challenge.  ;D

Prediction for Thu, 21 Dec.
BTC: 18,026

I think we don't need to post anymore ...

Correct me if I'm wrong

wow very amazing if the btc price is so expensive, hopefully your prediction is correct

I don't know whether we come to the end of this challenge or not but here is my next prediction just in case is $17200

BTC 16800

Thursday 21.12.2017 23:59:59

Bitcoin 18100

I think you're right.
According to the first post it is on 14 days and the last spreadsheet column is for tonight.
And congrats for your really good predictions!

I think today  was the last day . nor predict for tomorrow.

 allahabadi and JeremyB Good job and congrats for you.

btc prediction for 21.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$17200

Yes your prediction was in time and also yes about the changing of the google sheet formula!
I just wanted to let all participants know their average error so far :)

/edit

The event is over guys, today was the last prediction day.
Im finishing the results and will post them tommorow!

Stay tuned for the winners and for a 2nd round of the challenge when AIΞVE gets an update  ;D

I believe my last prediction for December 20th was $16,900 but in spreadsheet listed $19,600.
Well, that was my prediction for December 19th

I've been very happy to take part in this competition... It was a delightful affair...
Thank you for your appreciation. Now I'm waiting for the final results. May the best one win. 😀

Hi, you can see sheet titled FINAL. I think I hv done all correct calculations.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IQDZoha4HctZWAYQPvtUf5FomUVCxcwXDympVUAuixI/edit?usp=sharing

My Prediction for the price on Friday 22.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 16.750$

I'm almost glad I wasn't able to come online last night to put my prediction in (wanted to come in just before 2 am and actually stayed up following all the updates but just forgot. As it turned out, I couldn't foresee this huge dip at the moment, so would have been far in error.

Anyway, thanks criptix for the opportunity to participate. I think it was quite fun - but for next time, hope the second round requires a little bit of interaction, perhaps some very basic concept of how we arrived at the price. Might go a long way to proving that AIEVE doesn't need our TA or sentiments to make a good call. Maybe AI, big data and NLP are, after all, the way to the future.

See you all next round, and well done to the winners.

@cryptix: when the results will be published?

In 2 hours max ;)

Waiting diligently.

17422$ for 23dec

Congratulations to the winners . They made really good predictions  :D

Thank You Criptix, it was exciting and my wishes to AIEVE and PECULIUM.


P.S. Chk BTT messages for email id.

Thanks and congrats to all participants.
Special one for allahabadi!

PM sent to you cryptix. Thanks in advance.

Congrats to the top winner... My predictions didn't come close enough...

Congrats to AIEVE, it's impressive !

Thanks 😁

Congratulations to all winners, it was a nice experience and very challenging due to close predictions.
I made many errors the last days.

unbelievable, I came in 4th with 4.79 % margin of error, is there a consolation prize for 4th place :))) since it was so close, I think I should get some credit for my consistent devotion and motivation to this beautiful contest

??

I talked with our CTO 2 hours ago.
Everything will be done this week. They just had too much work to prepare for the upcoming Bitcoin and crypto Meetups in the Netherlands and UK ;)

Thanks for the update!

:) Yes

I received an email from the Peculium team to collect my price, thanks ;)

All BTC sent out.

Again congrats to the winners. ;)

All well received, thanks for that!
Do you have any idea when the next challenge will occur? ;)

Congratulation to the winners. It is a matter of great joy that we have wonderful people with tremendous prediction skills. These men are valuable. Seems valuable asset of this forum. AIEVE is going to be awesome cause skilled workers are working behind it. I feel excited and waiting patiently to see AIEVE in real action, soon

I'm very excited about this upcoming technology and how it can disrupt the investment industry.

AIEVE nailed it with every prediction and its errors are very low in %.

I'm supporting your work guys until you reach the heights you are aiming for.

Keep up the good work!

When will be a new challenge beeing set-up? It was real fun joining, even I did not win anything. But it was amazing to see, how often AIEVE won against the Human qestimates, incl. mine.  :D

We will try to set up a new challenge as fast as possible.

The whole team is working hard to get the AIEVE beta online in this quarter ;)

I'll keep an eye out for this; but do send me a message when we begin next. ;)

We will probaly have next month a second prediction round HUMAN vs AIEVE 😁

Btw. Peculium just joined the Blockchain Think Tank of the European Commission!

http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-18-521_en.htm

Peculium's AI team just released the first public backtesting!!!!!!!!

Less then 1% error rate  :o :o :o

Portfolio development under AIEVE with 1000 $ starting capital:

https://product.aieve.io:8443/aieve


LIVE backtest:

https://www.facebook.com/PeculiumICO/videos/263812134159888/


I though im good at price prediction but holy shit this AIEVE beats everything  ;D

I see we can register to https://aieve.io/
I won 30 days of free AIEVE advisement, when I will be able to use it?