Bitcoin Forum

Many of you who have been part of Group Buys or planning on Vendors to receive chips for production (i.e. Terrahash and others)
have heard many "guesstimates" as to when you or your vendor will get their chips.

Speculation and hype are nice, but results and data always rule over speculation.

I started this thread to share some of that data.

So far we have two companies/individuals who have ordered chips in hand (or who have received official notice of shipping)
These are documented below.

What you will see that is common between the two is that the duration is between 94 and 95 days  (we will call it 94.5 days  ;D )

As you receive chip orders please feel free to add to this thread to help everyone get a better idea for when they will receive their orders.

Also here is a web based tool that you can use to help determine days between two dates to quickly help you determine when your chips will potentially arrive.

http://www.timeanddate.com/date/durationresult.html

Good Luck!


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=177827.0

April 15th Order Arrived July 18th  - 94 Days

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=258231.0

April 18th Order Shipped July 22nd  - 95 Days

Based on the 94 day turnaround estimate, here are some estimates of arrival for some of the more public orders:

Avalon Chip Arrival Estimates

Order      Order date       Estimated Ship/Arrival Date

Zefir Batch 2      4/19/13      7/22/13
Zefir Batch 3      4/20/13      7/23/13
Zefir Batch 4      4/24/13      7/27/13
Zefir Batch 5      4/28/13      7/31/13
Zefir Batch 6&7      4/30/13      8/2/13
Steamboat Batch 1   5/1/13      8/3/13
Terrahash Batch 1   5/10/13      8/12/13
Steamboat Batch 2   5/11/13      8/13/13
Terrahash Batch 2   5/18/13      8/20/13
Steamboat Batch 3   5/22/13      8/24/13
Steamboat Batch 4   5/28/13      8/30/13
Steamboat Batch 5   6/5/13      9/7/13
Terrahash Batch 3   6/20/13      9/22/13
Steamboat Batch 6   7/6/13      10/8/13

Thanks for this.  I was just thinking about building this list.

Based on pictures Avalon got all chips at once.  If they are staggered then Avalon is artificially delaying and holding onto chips for weeks if not months.

I don't see any evidence to that end.

Especially since the time for the first two are essentially the same.

Put away the tin foil hat.

Did you see how many chips they had?  Looked to be the full batch of every single order.  Or do you think that they were making a TSMC order for every 80k chip order that trickled in on it's own day-by-day basis.

I hope you are right that would mean they can pack them up and move them out!

they will hold them till 90 days I'm sure

Pure FUD

State your evidence or spare us the speculation

well there was proof of a million+ chips and they shipped 20k..   enough proof right there

More interesting discussion : get the # of chips that we have confirmed from the pictures, go back to the address that avalon collected coins at, and see how many orders, and what time period, is covered by the # of chips.

So... they're squeezing every last ounce out of their existing miners before that inevitable difficulty jump once these chips are online?

Well sadly no additional signs of anyones chip orders shipping so the wheels are turning slower than I predicted.

well zefer batch 2 ordered 4 days after batch 1, i bet it ships tomorrow, which most likely means that they are just holding a boatload of them and waiting to ship until certain # of days passed.

I hope you are right!