Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: TERA2 on January 24, 2018, 12:08:04 AM



Title: Lets look at TERAs charts from early 2014 and what they might mean for us today
Post by: TERA2 on January 24, 2018, 12:08:04 AM
I know everything is off by 1 year, but bear with me here...

Jump to exhibit D for the punchline

Exhibit A

Guys I have some bad news for short term speculators. I just got back from the future in my time machine and I managed to take a screenshot of 'wisdom.

https://i.imgur.com/eOqrxhu.png

Exhibit B

Here is a bullish and a bearish possibility moving forward, though I am no longer placing bets on the downside as it is too risky at this point, even if that case were to materialize.

https://i.imgur.com/ez5AEVT.png

Exhibit C

https://i.imgur.com/IkoEj34.png

There have only been two bubbles in bitcoin.  Bubbles are actually a series of multiple bull-runs (about 4). Inbetween bull-runs are short consolidations and inbetween bubbles are deep prolonged crashes. It's somewhat like EW theory. Every rise in itself is not a "bubble" - this is a misnomer.

Exhibit D


https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FKAIWinv.png&t=585&c=D3JGKWMH_mRTbQ

Here is how an EW analyst might see the future.  (abc would be longer time but I couldn't fit on chart).  I could try to rationalize the peak with something like  ' all governemnts ban btc once it is big enough to pose an actual threat to fiat currency' or 'catastrophic protocol failure or unresolvable scalability issue', 'world financial meltdown / wars' or simply 'competition from something better'.


In summary, first I predicted that we would go further down in a EW wave into a multi year sideways trend in the 200-300 area before going back up to a new ATH, which nobody expected and thought I was super bearish for. Then I predicted we were in an even larger EW wave and the next bubble, bubble 3, would be wave 5 and go to 20,000 before starting ABC. Wave 5 is shown as weaker than Wave 1 or 3, as it is supposed to be, and matches with what we just saw where we had a really slow controlled rally instead of the spikes we are used to.
 I also gave multiple reasons for a drop which we weren't really having back then but are having now.


sry for the bear thread

https://i.imgur.com/UXGskqG.jpg

hodl


Title: Re: Lets look at TERAs charts from early 2014 and what they might mean for us today
Post by: megadeth on January 24, 2018, 08:32:21 PM
TERABear


Title: Re: Lets look at TERAs charts from early 2014 and what they might mean for us today
Post by: Toxic2040 on January 24, 2018, 08:49:31 PM
TERABear


-snip-
-snip-
-snip-
hodl
::)
Some decent insight via your previous charts actually. Going bearish in these current conditions is sub optimal imo.