Bitcoin Forum

I've been just studying Bitcoin graph from 2013 till today and it seems like a good rule that once the btc price skyrockets, it always falls 50% back before it grows another 100% and more. I expect this trend to repeat in following months when the recovery should start reaching $25k for 1 btc by the end of the year.

Your thoughts on that?

The possibilities for that price to came is on month of November-December since this season is can we called the peak season of crypto's But I don't have any guarantee for my speculation but if you try to read those past december graphs you can find the positive effect of Ber months for the bitcoins aswell the chain effect of it with the other alts.

Thanks, I would appreciate your input :)

That is if btc continues to repeat that pattern in the following months but what if not? If you are studying btc graph from 2013 till today you will know that the price is unpredictable by merely using a chart. That being said, I expect btc to go down more and do a bearish trend for a period of time before going back up again. It needs to pull back in order to have a healthier market.

I don't know where you get that.  In 2013, bitcoin reached nearly $1200.  In 2015, it has been falling down to $200.

In the summer of 2011, bitcoin was $30.  A year later, it was at $3.

With all these negative news around Bitcoin and crypto (tether, bitnifex, facebook ban, XEM hack, general downtrend, etc.) I would not be surprised if the price of BTC could only grow after a couple of months around June/July.  If we will get more bad news about the market, for example Tether crash, I can easily imagine that we barely touch the range of 20.000 USD at the end of the year.

I reckon some good news are coming too, it seams we're getting closer to proper regulation everyday which allows more institutional players enter the market

I've been looking at more long term curves than this

Without any TA & just on my personal predictions I think that a target of $25,000 for 1 bitcoin is definitely possible. Will be interesting to see how it all plays out but I expect the bulls to pull this back in the 2nd quarter of 2018.

I think we are in a very different landscape in 2018 then we were in 2013, bitcoin could reach $25k by the end of the year if not before but it could also drop down to $3k just as easily, the next couple of quarters will determine which way it goes.

Before 2010 ?  ;D

These speculation can be possible I really think that analysis have studied the movement of bitcoin by means of the pictograph in the past, Because of the upcoming holidays I think they are stocking bitcoin and buying a lot in the month of November up to December, But January was the month that dips are all occurring I really think this are the month that many people are converting their bitcoin to fiat money.

1) Bitfinex and Tether have been a potential problem far before the bull run last year even started.
2) Facebook ban? Try harder. Facebook got rid of crypto ads because of how scams were given the freedom to grow larger and larger. Great move!
3) XEM hack didn't had any impact on the market aside from the XEM market itself. The stolen coins are pretty much worthless in current tainted form.

It seems that people start to believe everything that pops up in the media is negative news, which quite embarassing to be honest. Seriously, how old are you guys? This market isn't a playing ground for noobs and other immature gamblers who are here solely to get rich quick. You guys are absolutely not ready to handle a market like this.

I agree with your post in general. However, this part seems a bit harsh.
The quality of most media outlets is not what it used to be, because they are
not as well funded as in the past when advertising money was amazing.

Nowadays the majority of the advertising money goes to Google (including Youtube) and Facebook
and the online editions of the newspapers are only getting the scraps.
Therefore they are able to hire less staff than before and due to the increased competition
they also have to make use of headlines that are becoming more and more
like clickbait.

Besides, the surge of clickbait is probably also a result of the decreased attention
span of the people, who grew up with smartphones and tablets. Most of them
are more likely to click a superficial article with a headline like
"Millionaires hate this ONE trick..." than a long, well-researched article
with a less sensational headline.

Lots of dumb sh*t posts in here for their sig campaigns, without even asking the real question...


Can you share your 'study' and can you show us your chart?  We can't just take your word for it, can we?  You have to at least show us something.

Thanks...  I guess.

By the starting of the year price is expected to grow and cross the $25000 mark. In between it is supposed to face lot of issues from different governments leading to more restrictions and new laws to get implemented. Still we have the chance for the price to pump within few weeks time.

Is my prayer that bitcoin return such height soon so that one can cover some looses though it is part of the game. Based on some of the expert speculation that I have read so far and my own analysis, I strongly believe that it will bounce back soon.

It's good analysis.At the year starting the price of Bitcoin will reduce some how and after Chinese New year the price will return back to the peak.So I think this will be repeat in this year too.Just hold your bitcoin till this year end,you will get profit as like past year.

Bitcoin is not possible to predict. Perhaps this is a tactic whales. After they reduce the prices of coins in order to buy them at a low price, they naturally raise the prices to make a profit. But it has consequences. The reasons for the fall of bitcoin in the other. A lot of people think that bitcoin is a lightweight tool for making money. They don't trust bitcoin. When the whales are playing on the lower prices they get scared and cause a panic.

that would be brilliant. I'm not so optimistic myself, I believe it shall take more time for price to settle and jump back. Bitcoin is here for the investors going for less volatility if that can be said. And it will be only more and more that way. Getting huge profits in % from bitcoin will be more and more difficult while fresh coins and tokens allow users to try their like and go for the moon as they love to say. Whatever the case is, we can get ready for a nice ride in 2018  ;D

Yes, for this reason I tend to believe certain level of regulation will only help bitcoin to grow. Then market manipulation will become more difficult and traders will be able to rely on more natural market development than when whales are having their fun. All those pump groups on Telegram, well that's proper rubbish. I like speculation around Bitcoin which allow everyone to make funds, but market manipulation is turning Bitcoin to centralization, which is right the opposite of its idea isn't it?

I believe that this increase and fall of 50% is because people sell to make profits and again repeat the same cancerous cycle when the price increases and reaches another ATH people sell and buy in the fall of the price.

Now there are some things that are different from the past. Last year people had high expectations, it was the Japanese market, then the hard forks and then the futures and this has raised the price a lot, but this year there is not so much good news, nasdaq has distanced of future and banks and governments are now pressure against bitcoin. in my opinion the increase in the price of bitcoin for this year will be very moderate


as I said, the increase in prices this year will be moderate, maybe in June we will reach the price of  $25000

I think this isn't a guess but rather a calculation and i can feel that it is more likely to happen and i hope you were right that price will rise at $25k in November or December. But bitcoin did hit the mark at $20k so i think it will be more than $25k by November, i'm not so sure but maybe $30k.

I would say the drop is caused by traders or holders who are trying to take advantage of rising value but $25k would be a good time to see more investors pumping their money into bitcoin has people have a lot of hope for the digital currency.

Each year I am also thinking that there should be a 50% fall and an even bigger rise after some time, but you should remember that during the previous years nobody was talking about crypto like now. Every dog now knows about Bitcoin, much less people used it but everyone did hear about it at least once.

I do not see bitcoin getting to the high it got to in 2017. My reasons are 1. Altcoins has provided a cheaper substitute for P2P payments accepted worldwide. 2. This trend of governments wanting to control bitcoin will continue to breed fear making the price remain low.  3. The market cap has dropped signifying divestment.

Bitcoin in 2018 can reach $25000 and even above. But nevertheless about $5000 can decrease.... very big volatility. Nobody will be able precisely to answer this question. my opinion will be growth at least up to $25000