Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Roccker on February 01, 2018, 10:20:18 PM



Title: Strategies for Selling in a Bubble?
Post by: Roccker on February 01, 2018, 10:20:18 PM
Do you have a strategy when you want to sell in a bubble?

I guess I look for a strategy where I determine my sell-strategy by setting specific ‘sell when x’ beforehand.
- certain indicators being over or under a certain value.

Do you look at certain indicators being a certain value when deciding when to sell?

Ok, I guess I should take a Technical analysis course.
But still, I am interested - what indicators+values do you guys look at to guess a bubble top?

Thanks


ps so far in history i did it like this:
I ‘kinda tried’ to call the bubble top, but in the end never trusted myself enough and basically just ended up holding through the whole bubble.
My best strategy right now is: when i 'feel' that this really is cracy now, start selling slowly.
-> this is a really bad strategy, so i am looking for a new one.

Another one was: If btc falls 40% within a week, sell on the rebound (80% of ATH)

Is it true that with additional value bubbles become longer and longer in timeframe?


Title: Re: Strategies for Selling in a Bubble?
Post by: Enjel on February 01, 2018, 10:35:24 PM
Do you have a strategy when you want to sell in a bubble?

I guess I look for a strategy where I determine my sell-strategy by setting specific ‘sell when x’ beforehand.
- certain indicators being over or under a certain value.

Do you look at certain indicators being a certain value when deciding when to sell?

Ok, I guess I should take a Technical analysis course.
But still, I am interested - what indicators+values do you guys look at to guess a bubble top?

Thanks


ps so far in history i did it like this:
I ‘kinda tried’ to call the bubble top, but in the end never trusted myself enough and basically just ended up holding through the whole bubble.
My best strategy right now is: when i 'feel' that this really is cracy now, start selling slowly.
-> this is a really bad strategy, so i am looking for a new one.

Another one was: If btc falls 40% within a week, sell on the rebound (80% of ATH)

Is it true that with additional value bubbles become longer and longer in timeframe?

You are a full member, so I'd think you would have experience with TA...

But the last big bubble was when we hit 800B+ market cap.

We saw a few days of increasing market cap, but decreasing volume. That was a good indicator to sell some, for instance.

No matter what decision you made in the past, it doesn't matter - your current best action is that which you think will net you the greatest profit, even if it involves selling at a 95% loss or something.

People who sold their BCC at 95% loss were better than those holding 99% bags.


Title: Re: Strategies for Selling in a Bubble?
Post by: btcone111 on February 01, 2018, 10:36:05 PM
There is no perfect strategy in calling top of a bubble because a bubble is exponential in nature - meaning the pattern is fractal - TA only predicts where it's likely to go AFTER the bubble burst