Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Service Discussion => Topic started by: mechs on September 29, 2013, 07:23:14 PM



Title: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 29, 2013, 07:23:14 PM
You got to watch this - have 3 whales playing betting about 200 BTC each many times per minute.  Amount wagered on site has gone from 2M to 3M bitcoins. That is about 130 million USD wagered in 8 hours. Do you think any real life casinos even see that much action??


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 29, 2013, 09:32:07 PM
Now over 1.5M in past 12 hrs


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: TheKoziTwo on September 29, 2013, 09:34:58 PM
Since I started watching a few minutes ago it seems he has won more than 3000 btc


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: markjamrobin on September 29, 2013, 09:35:26 PM
Now over 1.5M in past 12 hrs

Now it is over 3 million BTC! That's > 350 million USD


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 29, 2013, 09:35:53 PM
Since I started watching a few minutes ago it seems he has won more than 3000 btc
He always wins in the end it seems


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: markjamrobin on September 29, 2013, 09:37:32 PM
Since I started watching a few minutes ago it seems he has won more than 3000 btc
He always wins in the end it seems

He has enough bankroll to overcome a lot of the variance.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: Walsoraj on September 29, 2013, 09:38:02 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: markjamrobin on September 29, 2013, 09:39:17 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.

Really? Why is JD losing, if money is being laundered, it goes to investors :D


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 29, 2013, 09:40:53 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: markjamrobin on September 29, 2013, 09:43:24 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

Was he being sarcastic? Or was that a serious proclamation?


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: Birdy on September 29, 2013, 10:03:55 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

Was he being sarcastic? Or was that a serious proclamation?

No, he is just trolling.
Any sufficiently advanced trolling is indistinguishable from sarcasm.


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 29, 2013, 10:10:23 PM
This is amazing - you guys have to watch this betting at just-dice.com.   Over 250 million USD of coins bet by one player in 12 hrs


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: grue on September 30, 2013, 12:05:06 AM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?
2 scenarios:

a) Just-Dice is using their own funds to bet on their own site. Regardless of outcome, there is no net gain/loss. However, this generates artificial activity which can be used for publicity (like this thread), or to make the site look more popular.

b) Just-Dice's owner runs a covert money laundering service. "Dirty" money comes into the site in the form of bets, "clean" money comes out in the form of the site's margin. This is assuming the site's bets can not be audited.


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: jeffhuys on September 30, 2013, 01:19:43 AM
Question. Could the admin just run with his money at the moment?


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: cbhelp on September 30, 2013, 01:37:10 AM
Question. Could the admin just run with his money at the moment?

Yes.

And there is also the scenario that the site owner is either playing under different names, or employing someone to play, and what we are seeing are phantom bets, and any winnings from these are being paid out to the gambler (aka site owner and cohorts)

I mean lets get real.  The site owner holds over 35k in btc, (millions of USD), and no one can track who's vetting, or anything.  You have to take the site owners word that he isn't playing or giving the secret seed info to a friend in exchange for a cut. 



Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: jaydenH on September 30, 2013, 05:42:59 AM

i lost over 0.4 BTC! That's it.


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 30, 2013, 06:03:54 AM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?
2 scenarios:

a) Just-Dice is using their own funds to bet on their own site. Regardless of outcome, there is no net gain/loss. However, this generates artificial activity which can be used for publicity (like this thread), or to make the site look more popular.

b) Just-Dice's owner runs a covert money laundering service. "Dirty" money comes into the site in the form of bets, "clean" money comes out in the form of the site's margin. This is assuming the site's bets can not be audited.
I am confused by B.  WHat does that have to do with one player winning a crap load and defying the odds?


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: bitcoin44me on September 30, 2013, 06:43:16 AM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.

just dice is provably fair.
But if you do not believe it, do not play there :)


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: manoamano on September 30, 2013, 07:55:45 AM

i lost over 0.4 BTC! That's it.

I lost 1 btc.
But it does not matter.


In the long run we will be up again :)


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: gmannn on September 30, 2013, 04:43:35 PM
Question. Could the admin just run with his money at the moment?

Yes.

And there is also the scenario that the site owner is either playing under different names, or employing someone to play, and what we are seeing are phantom bets, and any winnings from these are being paid out to the gambler (aka site owner and cohorts)

I mean lets get real.  The site owner holds over 35k in btc, (millions of USD), and no one can track who's vetting, or anything.  You have to take the site owners word that he isn't playing or giving the secret seed info to a friend in exchange for a cut. 



Agreed, the overenthusiastic posts seem like shilling and it's probably just the owner betting on his own site to make the numbers look bigger.  No way to verify, but it is cheap publicity.


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: cbhelp on September 30, 2013, 04:46:02 PM
Question. Could the admin just run with his money at the moment?

Yes.

And there is also the scenario that the site owner is either playing under different names, or employing someone to play, and what we are seeing are phantom bets, and any winnings from these are being paid out to the gambler (aka site owner and cohorts)

I mean lets get real.  The site owner holds over 35k in btc, (millions of USD), and no one can track who's vetting, or anything.  You have to take the site owners word that he isn't playing or giving the secret seed info to a friend in exchange for a cut. 



Agreed, the overenthusiastic posts seem like shilling and it's probably just the owner betting on his own site to make the numbers look bigger.  No way to verify, but it is cheap publicity.

And an easy way for him to steal the coins himself


Title: Re: Over 1.5 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 30, 2013, 05:02:14 PM
It is in the interest of those who help bankroll the house to spread good publicity about he site (not just for the owner Dooglus). The site has a couple hundred investors.  In theory, more volume wagered = more profit for investors, though sadly it has not worked out that way.  With 3.6 million BTC wagered, the site has a loss of -3000 BTC


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: Spekulatius on September 30, 2013, 06:01:54 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

OK, lemme jump in here:

The way to do it (in theory) is the following; you (the guy with dirty money) bet whatever you want to launder at bets with a close to 50/50 chance of winning. This way you can launder almost arbitrary sums of money by betting on a 50/50 bet. Some times you win, some times you loose. After a couple of thousands of bets you come out more or less even. The only "fee" this costs you is the house edge. In this case 1%, which is another name for the banks advantage over you to. A simplyfied example to explain "house edge" is the "0" at roulette. 18 black and 18 red numbers mean you take a 50/50 chance for you to win, but the bank takes all when the 0 comes up, you dont have a 0 to compensate for that, so the house will win more often then you do. Even worse in "American Roulette" where there are two 0s. So to launder 1 million USD you only have to pay 1% house edge, you throw it all against the casino and get payed out in "clean" money that you legitemately won. The same deal with sports bets where the outcome is almost 50% of winning. Especially popular with horse races or football matches among Asian money launderers.

If the gamblers try to use the service as a "mixer" or "tumbler" (same thing), to reduce taint it wouldnt work very well though. With those amounts they are pretty much the only guys playing, just shoving their own coins around. At the end of the day they wont reduce their taint significantly, not even if justdice has to tap in their cold storage tro cover pay outs.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: Birdy on September 30, 2013, 06:04:32 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

OK, lemme jump in here:

The way to do it (in theory) is the following; you (the guy with dirty money) bet whatever you want to launder at bets with a close to 50/50 chance of winning. This way you can launder almost arbitrary sums of money by betting on a 50/50 bet. Some times you win, some times you loose. After a couple of thousands of bets you come out more or less even. The only "fee" this costs you is the house edge. In this case 1%, which is another name for the banks advantage over you. So to launder 1 million USD you only have to pay 1% house edge, you throw it all against the casino and get payed out in "clean" money that you legitemately won. The same deal with sports bets where the outcome is almost 50% of winning. Especially popular with horse races or football matches among Asian money launderers.

If the gamblers try to use the service as a "mixer" or "tumbler" (same thing), to reduce taint it wouldnt work very well though. With those amounts they are pretty much the only guys playing, just shoving their own coins around. At the end of the day they wont reduce their taint significantly, not even if justdice has to tap in their cold storage tro cover pay outs.

This doesn't make any sense, because all just-dice bets are off-chain.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 30, 2013, 06:04:58 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

OK, lemme jump in here:

The way to do it (in theory) is the following; you (the guy with dirty money) bet whatever you want to launder at bets with a close to 50/50 chance of winning. This way you can launder almost arbitrary sums of money by betting on a 50/50 bet. Some times you win, some times you loose. After a couple of thousands of bets you come out more or less even. The only "fee" this costs you is the house edge. In this case 1%, which is another name for the banks advantage over you. So to launder 1 million USD you only have to pay 1% house edge, you throw it all against the casino and get payed out in "clean" money that you legitemately won. The same deal with sports bets where the outcome is almost 50% of winning. Especially popular with horse races or football matches among Asian money launderers.

If the gamblers try to use the service as a "mixer" or "tumbler" (same thing), to reduce taint it wouldnt work very well though. With those amounts they are pretty much the only guys playing, just shoving their own coins around. At the end of the day they wont reduce their taint significantly, not even if justdice has to tap in their cold storage tro cover pay outs.
Thank you, that was an excellent explanation.  I do not think that is what is going oin at J-D, but it definitely is food for thought


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: mechs on September 30, 2013, 06:05:29 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

OK, lemme jump in here:

The way to do it (in theory) is the following; you (the guy with dirty money) bet whatever you want to launder at bets with a close to 50/50 chance of winning. This way you can launder almost arbitrary sums of money by betting on a 50/50 bet. Some times you win, some times you loose. After a couple of thousands of bets you come out more or less even. The only "fee" this costs you is the house edge. In this case 1%, which is another name for the banks advantage over you. So to launder 1 million USD you only have to pay 1% house edge, you throw it all against the casino and get payed out in "clean" money that you legitemately won. The same deal with sports bets where the outcome is almost 50% of winning. Especially popular with horse races or football matches among Asian money launderers.

If the gamblers try to use the service as a "mixer" or "tumbler" (same thing), to reduce taint it wouldnt work very well though. With those amounts they are pretty much the only guys playing, just shoving their own coins around. At the end of the day they wont reduce their taint significantly, not even if justdice has to tap in their cold storage tro cover pay outs.

This doesn't male any sense, because all just-dice bets are off-chain.
certainly a site like J-D which has huge amount of coins coming in and out of it does act like a mixing service.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: markjamrobin on September 30, 2013, 06:05:58 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

OK, lemme jump in here:

The way to do it (in theory) is the following; you (the guy with dirty money) bet whatever you want to launder at bets with a close to 50/50 chance of winning. This way you can launder almost arbitrary sums of money by betting on a 50/50 bet. Some times you win, some times you loose. After a couple of thousands of bets you come out more or less even. The only "fee" this costs you is the house edge. In this case 1%, which is another name for the banks advantage over you. So to launder 1 million USD you only have to pay 1% house edge, you throw it all against the casino and get payed out in "clean" money that you legitemately won. The same deal with sports bets where the outcome is almost 50% of winning. Especially popular with horse races or football matches among Asian money launderers.

If the gamblers try to use the service as a "mixer" or "tumbler" (same thing), to reduce taint it wouldnt work very well though. With those amounts they are pretty much the only guys playing, just shoving their own coins around. At the end of the day they wont reduce their taint significantly, not even if justdice has to tap in their cold storage tro cover pay outs.

All JD bets are public though.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: Spekulatius on September 30, 2013, 06:07:59 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

OK, lemme jump in here:

The way to do it (in theory) is the following; you (the guy with dirty money) bet whatever you want to launder at bets with a close to 50/50 chance of winning. This way you can launder almost arbitrary sums of money by betting on a 50/50 bet. Some times you win, some times you loose. After a couple of thousands of bets you come out more or less even. The only "fee" this costs you is the house edge. In this case 1%, which is another name for the banks advantage over you. So to launder 1 million USD you only have to pay 1% house edge, you throw it all against the casino and get payed out in "clean" money that you legitemately won. The same deal with sports bets where the outcome is almost 50% of winning. Especially popular with horse races or football matches among Asian money launderers.

If the gamblers try to use the service as a "mixer" or "tumbler" (same thing), to reduce taint it wouldnt work very well though. With those amounts they are pretty much the only guys playing, just shoving their own coins around. At the end of the day they wont reduce their taint significantly, not even if justdice has to tap in their cold storage tro cover pay outs.

This doesn't make any sense, because all just-dice bets are off-chain.

Sure, bets are off-chain but deposits and pay outs are not - are the Bitcoins you deposit the same you are payed out?


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: Birdy on September 30, 2013, 06:10:32 PM
certainly a site like J-D which has huge amount of coins coming in and out of it does act like a mixing service.

Depending on what coins they send you back, yes. But the betting has nothing to do with it.
It's the transfering of funds in and out that might act like a mixing service or might not.

Quote
are the Bitcoins you deposit the same you are payed out?
They could be, never tried it though. If you win more, well then they are tainted, too when you gain back all others.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: jl2012 on September 30, 2013, 06:48:36 PM
It's all rigged. These btc gambling sites are just used for money laundering.
Explain?

OK, lemme jump in here:

The way to do it (in theory) is the following; you (the guy with dirty money) bet whatever you want to launder at bets with a close to 50/50 chance of winning. This way you can launder almost arbitrary sums of money by betting on a 50/50 bet. Some times you win, some times you loose. After a couple of thousands of bets you come out more or less even. The only "fee" this costs you is the house edge. In this case 1%, which is another name for the banks advantage over you. So to launder 1 million USD you only have to pay 1% house edge, you throw it all against the casino and get payed out in "clean" money that you legitemately won. The same deal with sports bets where the outcome is almost 50% of winning. Especially popular with horse races or football matches among Asian money launderers.

If the gamblers try to use the service as a "mixer" or "tumbler" (same thing), to reduce taint it wouldnt work very well though. With those amounts they are pretty much the only guys playing, just shoving their own coins around. At the end of the day they wont reduce their taint significantly, not even if justdice has to tap in their cold storage tro cover pay outs.

This doesn't make any sense, because all just-dice bets are off-chain.

Sure, bets are off-chain but deposits and pay outs are not - are the Bitcoins you deposit the same you are payed out?

So the "bad guy" doesn't need to bet at all and this trick works for any shared wallet.

The is the real way to launder money: the betting site operator is the guy with dirty money, or connected to the guy with dirty money. By betting on the site, the loss in the dirty money becomes the clean profit of the site.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: Birdy on September 30, 2013, 07:07:31 PM
The is the real way to launder money: the betting site operator is the guy with dirty money, or connected to the guy with dirty money. By betting on the site, the loss in the dirty money becomes the clean profit of the site.

Wouldn't work for just-dice though, because other users are the bank in this case.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: jl2012 on September 30, 2013, 08:03:58 PM
The is the real way to launder money: the betting site operator is the guy with dirty money, or connected to the guy with dirty money. By betting on the site, the loss in the dirty money becomes the clean profit of the site.

Wouldn't work for just-dice though, because other users are the bank in this case.

This actually makes it a BETTER money laundering scheme. The guy with dirty money can invest like an ordinary anonymous user.


Title: Re: Over 1 Million bitcoins wagered in past 8 hours on Just-Dice.com
Post by: markjamrobin on September 30, 2013, 09:09:45 PM
The is the real way to launder money: the betting site operator is the guy with dirty money, or connected to the guy with dirty money. By betting on the site, the loss in the dirty money becomes the clean profit of the site.

Wouldn't work for just-dice though, because other users are the bank in this case.

This actually makes it a BETTER money laundering scheme. The guy with dirty money can invest like an ordinary anonymous user.

Unless Dirty money can make up > 90% of bankroll, he will lose too much too other investors. Better to clean coins in mixer, like Silk Road's and funnel through casino site, with only you as investor.