Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Overthecounter on March 15, 2018, 02:14:16 AM



Title: This thing interestingly helped with the Market
Post by: Overthecounter on March 15, 2018, 02:14:16 AM
This is another tool I've been using. I posted it on my Twitter, then a friend suggested I should share it with Bitcointalk.

https://imgur.com/a/o3kCk

I wonder if it is indicating another slide?


Title: Re: This thing interestingly helped with the Market
Post by: Overthecounter on March 19, 2018, 03:00:35 PM
Whether it was luck or not, we got into a nice level with a pop/bounce! Thanks guys


https://imgur.com/0CUTM6O


Looking to shave soon - i dont wanna but I'm going to have to shave some.


Title: Re: This thing interestingly helped with the Market
Post by: jimbo2000 on March 19, 2018, 04:19:27 PM
So you've got some econometric analysis, what variables it is using and what model? Without knowing that it's impossible to draw any conclusions in to the usefulness. From the first photo it looks like it isn't modeled very far back and only uses a few months data which is why it would plot a clear downtrend.


Title: Re: This thing interestingly helped with the Market
Post by: Overthecounter on March 19, 2018, 06:01:27 PM
@jimbo2000   Yes!!


So a was crunching data in January and was using historical data to get a good idea of the levels we could see. Even though it helped me start, the historical data wasn't going to suffice. I began to run other analysis and began to see certain correlations and some other things I found intriguing. I modified the projection using some weights in certain areas and factors in others. I was only able to get a sense for the levels, and not dates or close enough time. As time went on I began to mash more data using the r squared and began placing it with what had already happened, this is where I was trying to forge a time-frame. I also used the same trend line but moved it's starting spot a week prior to the Jan5-6 time-frame. I forgot to share here a Calendar that I've been developing (but not trusting too much) and its been interesting how its showed much success.

I do believe this G20 summit could mark the end for this analysis - Not sure what the meeting will do, but I need to keep plotting and seeing if I will have to post a revised or new model/analysis.

thanks

https://imgur.com/a/hnSjx


Title: Re: This thing interestingly helped with the Market
Post by: Overthecounter on March 26, 2018, 06:44:03 PM
Just to check back bitointalk!


https://imgur.com/a/LBr8o


If I can help, I will help!