Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: qikaifu on July 24, 2011, 12:29:24 PM



Title: I feel somehow that the rally is closer than 1 week before
Post by: qikaifu on July 24, 2011, 12:29:24 PM
So I trade again, buy in a little.
What have you done in the last weekend?


http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg90zvzlztgSza1gWMAzm1g7za2gWMAzm2g28zxzi4gAccDist


Title: Re: I feel somehow that the rally is closer than 1 week before
Post by: grod on July 24, 2011, 03:21:53 PM
I believe the bot trading is distorting the charts making die-hard chartists see things that aren't there.  The large volume while flatlined (relative to historical activity w/o bots) is making the MACD and friends look like it's trending up when in reality it may be showing divergences which just aren't there.

In other words, heavy bot activity is NOT representative of trader sentiment, the very thing charting is supposed to measure.

So, mostly sitting on the sidelines and gathering data for my bitcoin strategy.  Slowly going long through mining in accordance with long term trend.


Title: Re: I feel somehow that the rally is closer than 1 week before
Post by: Bitcoin Swami on July 24, 2011, 10:11:23 PM
I believe the bot trading is distorting the charts making die-hard chartists see things that aren't there.  The large volume while flatlined (relative to historical activity w/o bots) is making the MACD and friends look like it's trending up when in reality it may be showing divergences which just aren't there.

In other words, heavy bot activity is NOT representative of trader sentiment, the very thing charting is supposed to measure.

So, mostly sitting on the sidelines and gathering data for my bitcoin strategy.  Slowly going long through mining in accordance with long term trend.


One could argue that since traders program the bots the bots are just doing what the trader would do.  So they do represent trader sentiment in a way.


Title: Re: I feel somehow that the rally is closer than 1 week before
Post by: geek-trader on July 24, 2011, 10:22:35 PM
3 more days and the 0% commision at MtGox expires. We should see less bot activity then.