Title: I fear a collapse Post by: Steveia on November 14, 2013, 06:44:03 PM I suspect the following will happen soon.
I suspect the price of Bitcoin is rising because of speculators. I suspect speculators are driving the price very high, very fast, making it much more difficult for the traditional Bitcoin user to purchase. Once the price reaches a certain amount, these speculators, who don't care at all about cryptocurrency, will sell their coins. These coins will flood the market. People will panic, fearing a collapse. Everyone sells, except die hard bitcoiners. The price plummets to under a $100.00. These speculators, who just made a lot of money, will rebuy the coins for cheap. And the cycle repeats itself over and over and over again. This is the inherent flaw in bitcoin. Who here agrees or disagrees and why? Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Piper67 on November 14, 2013, 06:46:08 PM wow, such insight! This has never been covered before... especially not in the speculation subforum ;D
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: dominicwin on November 14, 2013, 06:47:56 PM hahaha yes wrong forum.
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: neilol on November 14, 2013, 06:50:28 PM Not an inherent flaw in Bitcoin, but an inherent flaw in small markets. Easy to manipulate. Once (if) Bitcoin reaches a higher market cap, say $100billion, it will be much harder for one or a small group of actors to effect the price.
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: wxg10 on November 14, 2013, 06:51:56 PM Well, everything has been said already, but not yet by everybody. ;D
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: oser41eric on November 14, 2013, 06:53:10 PM I suspect the following will happen soon. I suspect the price of Bitcoin is rising because of speculators. I suspect speculators are driving the price very high, very fast, making it much more difficult for the traditional Bitcoin user to purchase. Once the price reaches a certain amount, these speculators, who don't care at all about cryptocurrency, will sell their coins. These coins will flood the market. People will panic, fearing a collapse. Everyone sells, except die hard bitcoiners. The price plummets to under a $100.00. These speculators, who just made a lot of money, will rebuy the coins for cheap. And the cycle repeats itself over and over and over again. This is the inherent flaw in bitcoin. Who here agrees or disagrees and why? Your right, without fear, these whales would not profit from their selloffs Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: indianplayers on November 14, 2013, 07:01:52 PM If you can't beat them.... join them!
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: BadAss.Sx on November 14, 2013, 07:03:21 PM i Hope you are right....i buy more of them then :D
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Alty on November 14, 2013, 07:13:53 PM This cycle is repeating itself in an overlapping way more and more frequently, this will become less apparent as more people get into Bitcoin and it very very slowly stabilizes.
Remember, not everybody wants to sell at the same time because not everybody is thinking the same thing neither does everybody have the same objectives that come into alignment at the same time. There will always be people wanting to cash in and there will always be people wanting to pick up cheap(er) coins. All at different times. This will slow down the volatility. Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Tirapon on November 14, 2013, 09:05:46 PM Hello Steveia.
Welcome to the speculation sub forum. If you can't beat them.... join them! :) Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Odalv on November 14, 2013, 09:28:49 PM I suspect the following will happen soon. I suspect the price of Bitcoin is rising because of speculators. I suspect speculators are driving the price very high, very fast, making it much more difficult for the traditional Bitcoin user to purchase. Once the price reaches a certain amount, these speculators, who don't care at all about cryptocurrency, will sell their coins. These coins will flood the market. People will panic, fearing a collapse. Everyone sells, except die hard bitcoiners. The price plummets to under a $100.00. These speculators, who just made a lot of money, will rebuy the coins for cheap. And the cycle repeats itself over and over and over again. This is the inherent flaw in bitcoin. Who here agrees or disagrees and why? It is called "Shaking of weak hands ." :-) or "Cheap coins". Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Wilhelm on November 14, 2013, 09:45:42 PM Looking at mtgoxlive you can see that a Marketorder of 15000 BTC will lower the price approx $100.
Since accounts up to 150000 BTC exist yes a panic could still be achieved. But bitcoin would still rebound. I believe that bitcoin is getting stronger by the day and don't fear collapse. Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: kireinaha on November 14, 2013, 09:49:27 PM Steveia, you've violated the first rule of the speculators sub-forum. Thou shall not ever question the strength of the bitcoin market. Bitcoin is going to $40,000 a coin because the Winklevoss twins told us so.
Bitcoin is new and... this time it's different. ;) Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: lucaspm98 on November 14, 2013, 09:55:02 PM Sure it may temporarily fall, but as more people discover Bitcoin it will recover and get even higher.
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: DeathAndTaxes on November 14, 2013, 09:57:36 PM collapse in price =/= collapse of Bitcoin.
If you feel the price is excessively high ... don't buy or sell off a portion (sell into rally) If you feel the price is excessively low ... don't sell or buy to increase your stake (buy on the dips). Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Bullion333 on November 14, 2013, 10:00:22 PM Exactly, btc is a massively growing market of buyers. More buyers = high price. Although these people are new to the market and so are like sheep in the headlights and get easily scared and sell at the slightest sign of the price going down. But the price will always recover and go even higher. Like I said before, the market of buyers is growing exponentially.
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: BitchicksHusband on November 14, 2013, 10:58:23 PM We just saw that in the "Will you sell at $1000?" that 88% would not. So presumably, if the price even went to $200, LOTS of "Buy and Hold" people would buy like crazy. (I know I would.)
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: phlogistonq on November 14, 2013, 11:00:02 PM A big selloff doesn't change the fundamentals of bitcoin.
It'll go back up, and probably quite rapidly as people seize the opportunity to get cheap coins. Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Wilhelm on November 14, 2013, 11:00:58 PM We just saw that in the "Will you sell at $1000?" that 88% would not. So presumably, if the price even went to $200, LOTS of "Buy and Hold" people would buy like crazy. (I know I would.) I'll be in at $250 ;) Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: freethink2013 on November 14, 2013, 11:02:49 PM why not just sell, it's a sellers market atm
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: CMMPro on November 14, 2013, 11:38:18 PM You know...if your living in "fear" of what will happen....you are too emotionally attached to the amount you have invested.
I would say you should sell 99% of whatever bitcoin you have...down to a low enough level where you don't give a shit about it anymore...that's how much you personally should be invested in something like this. I'm so sick of reading newbie crap posts like this....if you are afraid you shouldn't be investing the kind of money you probably invested. Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: pand70 on November 14, 2013, 11:48:36 PM I'm so sick of reading newbie crap posts like this....if you are afraid you shouldn't be investing the kind of money you probably invested. It is only natural after a meteoric rise like the one we are seeing in the last few weeks. Nonetheless i think that there is an agenda behind those threads. But it is futile anyway... Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: MaxBTC1 on November 14, 2013, 11:51:47 PM 'This is the inherent flaw in bitcoin.'
This is the inherent flaw in any asset ever. MM guys will always manipulate in attempts to pump and dump. Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Xer0 on November 15, 2013, 12:30:24 AM and now we have a interest flaw
new threads here are decreasing, media coverage ist decreasing, chinese not buying like hell anymore nobody knows what happens now. could go sideways, could drop slowly but steadily, could rise slowly but steadily Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: jasonjm on November 15, 2013, 12:51:24 AM We just saw that in the "Will you sell at $1000?" that 88% would not. So presumably, if the price even went to $200, LOTS of "Buy and Hold" people would buy like crazy. (I know I would.) people don't sell on greed, they sell on panic the question should rather have been "Will you sell at $200" Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: BitcoinAshley on November 15, 2013, 01:02:00 AM So this is just another "Blame the 'speculators' on everything" thread?
Wah, wah, wah. Go find another market to FUD. If deflation, hoarders, and speculators make you shit your pants I suggest reading some of Fekete's essays, a good bedtime story, he will put your mind at ease. Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Ozymandias on November 15, 2013, 03:35:08 PM Cool, fear. As the Oracle said: "Be greedy when others are fearful." It's only when the last bear gives up that the crash really hits.
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: piramida on November 15, 2013, 03:47:47 PM Cool, fear. As the Oracle said: "Be greedy when others are fearful." It's only when the last bear gives up that the crash really hits. yeah, all the newbs who cashed out at 300 would be generating such threads with each new climb up because they really *FEAR*, but they do fear that it will keep climbing up with them left behind. unfortunately for them, as you said, market would only crash once they see those threads are not working, panic, and buy back in :) Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: pedrog on November 15, 2013, 03:48:33 PM That's exactly what I'm counting on.
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: notme on November 15, 2013, 04:26:29 PM Cool, fear. As the Oracle said: "Be greedy when others are fearful." It's only when the last vocal bear gives up that the crash really hits. FTFY The bears don't go away, they just bite their tongues and bide their time. When it is silent they are all preparing their attacks. Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: cdog on November 15, 2013, 04:55:51 PM The real threat to Bitcoin, which can cause a total collapse, is regulation. The US Gov wants to control you, and the best way to do this is to control your access to and use of money. If they cant tax you and monitor how and where you spend your money, they lose their total power over you.
Sadly, there is a big push right now to regulate Bitcoin and I do believe that it might be the beginning of the end: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=333824.0 Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: gizmoh on November 15, 2013, 05:23:31 PM Well sell now @ 450 is a pretty good price, instead of having to panic sell at 300 :D.
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: Rupture on November 16, 2013, 06:36:29 AM I welcome a crash, sort of. I want some cheap coins :P
Title: Re: I fear a collapse Post by: MicroGuy on November 16, 2013, 06:38:43 AM I welcome a crash, sort of. I want some cheap coins :P https://www.gldtalk.org/devteam/bubble.png It's hard to tell from the photo, but I think this thing is about to pop! 8) |