Title: Bot with Bitcoin and Alt-Coin Prediction Post by: jaxto on April 25, 2018, 03:22:52 PM Basic Premises of Bitpredict.
No one can predict Crypto Market with all available knowledge and capital. It always have element of Efficient market hypothesis and Schrodinger Cat* Paradox working for it. If you have future information. You will start changing market and start creating new reality. That is reason algorithms work for certain amount of time but stop to function after 30~90 days. As 90% of trading is done by Bots and Algorithms. No one knows how they will react to each other behaviour due to chain reaction of small trades and large trades. Basic law of Chaos Theory is always applied to weather prediction, stock prediction or any social and psychological prediction algorithms. Lorenz principle of Choas theory* clear states Butterfly effect in Market. In chaos theory, the butterfly effect is the sensitive dependence on initial conditions in which a small change in one state of a deterministic nonlinear system can result in large differences in a later state. That is reason for large mood swings of Audience in Crypto space cause epic failure of Market crash and Market rise. As global economy is interconnected. You notice large trades within 30 seconds but no movement for 4 days. It is due to initial condition formulas and overlapping of non-deterministic equations and exponential effects on each other. Whitepaper to Read http://bitpredict.io/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Basic-White-Paper.pdf Project http://bitpredict.io/ This Research is based on: Development of Multi-Agent Model for decision making to simulate Ants in 2004. Research was focused on Time Stamp data in Ants brain, which becomes false in later Time Stamps. Please share your view and thoughts. |