Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Economics => Topic started by: miscreanity on August 04, 2011, 05:38:08 PM



Title: Coincident or Prescient?
Post by: miscreanity on August 04, 2011, 05:38:08 PM
A major waterfall drop in BTC exchange rates yesterday followed by a massive decline in global equity markets today. Is Bitcoin already acting as a more effective and efficient financial structure than established markets? Does its decentralized nature allow for more accurate price discovery? I haven't seen anything here discussing this reverse association.

I've suggested (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=33724.msg425116#msg425116) that the Bitcoin price correlates well with equities, though that observation isn't backed by hard empirical data yet. It's also been noted (http://bitcointalk.org/?topic=3954.0) that Google Trends (http://www.google.com/trends?q=bitcoin&ctab=0&geo=all&date=ytd&sort=0) has an interesting relationship to the rate of Bitcoin adoption and valuation.

How closely tied to other markets is the Bitcoin system? Thoughts, ideas, inferences?


Title: Re: Coincident or Prescient?
Post by: miscreanity on August 09, 2011, 12:06:25 PM
Today, the USD/BTC rate broke above $10 on Mt. Gox.

I reiterate the apparent correlation with equity markets. Markets futures made an amazing recovery over the past several hours...

What else is Bitcoin tied to, and how strongly? Where? At the exchanges, the individual traders or elsewhere?


Title: Re: Coincident or Prescient?
Post by: mizike29 on August 09, 2011, 08:37:20 PM
Yeah I am seeing a strong trend of bitcoin reacting to the stock market.  Is this by accident or is there some basis on this discovery?  Not sure but sure seems to be falling and recovering with the stock market.


Title: Re: Coincident or Prescient?
Post by: BTC_Junkie on August 10, 2011, 12:45:58 AM
When the market crashes ppl pull their money out of BTC to raise cash.... when the market raises again they feel more comfortable investing.


Title: Re: Coincident or Prescient?
Post by: cbeast on August 12, 2011, 06:25:54 PM
It's great that it keeps dropping low enough to buy at a bargain every once-and-again. These days won't last.