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Other => Beginners & Help => Topic started by: wwz2193 on November 30, 2013, 06:38:55 PM



Title: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: wwz2193 on November 30, 2013, 06:38:55 PM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: giomendos on November 30, 2013, 06:48:05 PM
You are welcome as one of the world's richest bitcoiner.

I don't believe that only 500 people are fluctuating the trading market.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: TieSKey on November 30, 2013, 07:04:59 PM
Ha, does not surprise me


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: wwz2193 on November 30, 2013, 07:07:15 PM
yea as one of the world's poorest bitcoiners lol, the other 65% is fluctuating the market or im wrong.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: jari76 on November 30, 2013, 07:12:53 PM
those 500 and alot more are just the early investors/ semiliate investors wit alot of money, bitcoin was way cheaper when it just started(think about a couple cents each).


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: SeanArce on November 30, 2013, 07:17:32 PM
mine primecoin


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: drewforte on November 30, 2013, 08:24:54 PM
Can I get a link to that? Just out of curiosity.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: sk8bo on November 30, 2013, 09:02:34 PM
Does not surprise me either. ;)


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: WayTooGosu on November 30, 2013, 09:27:41 PM
This is simply a fact of life. There are a few extremely rich people in the world but there are many people with almost nothing.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: beetcoin on November 30, 2013, 09:37:15 PM
the top 1% own 35% of the wealth in america.. so it's comparable to the american economy. 500 is probably more than 1% of bitcoin holders right now.
 
the top 20% own more than half of the country.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: TheJacob on November 30, 2013, 09:43:06 PM
You are welcome as one of the world's richest bitcoiner.

I don't believe that only 500 people are fluctuating the trading market.

You are right its less than 500 who own those addresses  ;D

All these list are pretty interesting to see even considering we have no idea who owns the addresses or how many bitcoins they actually hold total.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Gator-hex on November 30, 2013, 09:48:01 PM
Litecoin. The crypto currency where the printing press is in the hands of the people (off ASICs). ;)


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Shimata on November 30, 2013, 09:51:28 PM
I'm not sure about that but I heard that there was one person that managed to earn 5% of Bitcoins. Even people like Bill Gates only earn about 1% of the worlds economy so I don't know what will happen if that person uses those bitcoins.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: zimmah on November 30, 2013, 09:53:48 PM
I wouldn't be surprised if at least 20% of those wallets are lost because they were miners/early adopters around 2009 and 10 000 bitcoins didn't cost a shit back then and they just forgot about it.



Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: wwz2193 on December 01, 2013, 07:20:54 AM
here is the link for those that asked for it: http://bitcoinrichlist.com/top500 ....133 wallets last transaction from 2009-2011 and the others(367) from 2013.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Sindelar1938 on December 01, 2013, 07:33:26 AM
Intuitively sounds about right

Still heavily concentrated


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: grux on December 01, 2013, 07:35:20 AM
I feel like a lot of these people would be colluding with each other for the ultimate goal of making bitcoin global.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: jim4 on December 01, 2013, 08:20:35 AM
Sounds reasonable.



Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: PangPang on December 01, 2013, 08:31:49 AM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

I am not surprised to that at all.
IIRC, someone said in a post that Satoshi owns about 1/6 of all bitcoin.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: beetcoin on December 01, 2013, 08:34:07 AM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

I am not surprised to that at all.
IIRC, someone said in a post that Satoshi owns about 1/6 of all bitcoin.

he owns 1.5 million, so about 12.5% of them.. at least that we know off. the BTC has not moved in years though, so it doesn't seem like satoshi has swung with his assets.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Minnlo on December 01, 2013, 10:03:48 AM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

I am not surprised to that at all.
IIRC, someone said in a post that Satoshi owns about 1/6 of all bitcoin.

he owns 1.5 million, so about 12.5% of them.. at least that we know off. the BTC has not moved in years though, so it doesn't seem like satoshi has swung with his assets.

We don't even know if Satoshi is still with us or not :P


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: zeke1 on December 01, 2013, 10:25:12 AM
I'm sure satoshi is around and raking in.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Peter882 on December 01, 2013, 11:02:06 AM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

I am not surprised to that at all.
IIRC, someone said in a post that Satoshi owns about 1/6 of all bitcoin.

he owns 1.5 million, so about 12.5% of them.. at least that we know off. the BTC has not moved in years though, so it doesn't seem like satoshi has swung with his assets.

We don't even know if Satoshi is still with us or not :P

So, satoshi is already a billionaire now.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Itun on December 01, 2013, 11:04:45 AM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

I am not surprised to that at all.
IIRC, someone said in a post that Satoshi owns about 1/6 of all bitcoin.

he owns 1.5 million, so about 12.5% of them.. at least that we know off. the BTC has not moved in years though, so it doesn't seem like satoshi has swung with his assets.

We don't even know if Satoshi is still with us or not :P

So, satoshi is already a billionaire now.

Yup.. lucky for him

I wonder if he sold his or some of his btc yet.

I heard he didn't spend one bit...


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Soappa on December 02, 2013, 09:55:25 AM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

I am not surprised to that at all.
IIRC, someone said in a post that Satoshi owns about 1/6 of all bitcoin.

he owns 1.5 million, so about 12.5% of them.. at least that we know off. the BTC has not moved in years though, so it doesn't seem like satoshi has swung with his assets.

We don't even know if Satoshi is still with us or not :P

So, satoshi is already a billionaire now.

Yup.. lucky for him

I wonder if he sold his or some of his btc yet.

I heard he didn't spend one bit...

If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: niothor on December 02, 2013, 10:07:24 AM
That website has not listed this
https://blockchain.info/address/12sENwECeRSmTeDwyLNqwh47JistZqFmW8


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: bitcoinproplayer on December 02, 2013, 12:28:16 PM
That website has not listed this
https://blockchain.info/address/12sENwECeRSmTeDwyLNqwh47JistZqFmW8
Wow ... those numbers ...


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: niothor on December 02, 2013, 12:35:17 PM
That website has not listed this
https://blockchain.info/address/12sENwECeRSmTeDwyLNqwh47JistZqFmW8
Wow ... those numbers ...

Lols , I posted the wrong one,
They split the bitcoins form the 200k stash into stuff like
https://blockchain.info/address/1JT6DTNLMzR4F6cPziRYhBGcJ3cptP2KXZ

still .......not mentioned on the richlist.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: AndrewNoble on December 02, 2013, 02:55:57 PM
Only the person pos- ... 500. 499. 500. 1,000. 35. 1,000. 5,000. 41. 5,000. 10,000. 5. 10,000. 50,000. 5


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: woobo on December 02, 2013, 03:54:10 PM
Quite expected..


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: DeathAndTaxes on December 02, 2013, 03:56:34 PM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

You do know more than a person can control an address right.  Like maybe a massive exchange's offline cold storage address right be in the last who's collective value is the wealth of thousands or tens of thousands of users.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Komsomol on December 02, 2013, 08:07:02 PM
I found this really interesting

http://bitcoinrichlist.com/charts/bitcoin-distribution-by-address (http://bitcoinrichlist.com/charts/bitcoin-distribution-by-address)

The table shows how many wallets contain a certain number of bitcoins. Obviously one person can own more than one wallet but I find it interesting that there is less than 1,500 wallets with more than 1,000 bitcoins in them. Shows that there probably isn't all that many people who have gotten ridiculously rich off bitcoin yet, despite all the stories you hear.

In fact if some of those 1,500 wallets belong to the same person, diversifying their risk of a wallet breach it is even less.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: MoonShadow on December 02, 2013, 08:10:44 PM
Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? come on thats a joke? i saw it in bitcoinrichlist. i wish i own those addresses lol.

Even if this statement is true, which I doubt, it's still a more level wealth distribution than US dollar denominated wealth is.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: DeathAndTaxes on December 02, 2013, 08:17:39 PM
I found this really interesting

http://bitcoinrichlist.com/charts/bitcoin-distribution-by-address (http://bitcoinrichlist.com/charts/bitcoin-distribution-by-address)

The table shows how many wallets contain a certain number of bitcoins. Obviously one person can own more than one wallet but I find it interesting that there is less than 1,500 wallets with more than 1,000 bitcoins in them. Shows that there probably isn't all that many people who have gotten ridiculously rich off bitcoin yet, despite all the stories you hear.

In fact if some of those 1,500 wallets belong to the same person, diversifying their risk of a wallet breach it is even less.

Well those are addresses not wallets.  Unless you intentionally consolidate coins a wallet will contain a large number of addresses.

So for example someone had a wallet with 1,000 active addresses and the average balance per address was 10 BTC they wouldn't be even on the top 100,000 address list but they would still have 10,000 BTC.  Another thing to consider is that most likely when a single large early adopter sells off a large amount of BTC it is being bought up by multiple parties so distribution to a larger base occurs.

As pointed out above most wallets use a new address for each tx and don't reuse addresses, and send all change to a new address so unless you intentionally "send coins to yourself" to consolidate it you won't end up with a few large value addresses.  The main purpose for those massive addresses is offline storage.

Say you are MtGox and users have deposited 500,000 BTC.  You know that on your highest volume day the net outflows (BTC withdrawn - BTC deposited) is 10,000 BTC it makes absolutely no sense to keep 500,000 BTC online where they can be stolen.  You can move 400,000+ BTC offline likely in single large tx and you may not need to move them to an online (hot) wallet for months, maybe years.  If the exchange remains popular and growing you may never need to move those coins online ever again. 

There are a lot of entities which act as a bailor (google it) for other people's coins.   Exchanges, the Bitcoin trust, Bitcoin ETF, Bitpay, and yes the SilkRoad (now in the hands of the DOJ).  Those entities don't "own" the coins they are holding them on behalf of someone else.  Now they certainly can steal them (and people should be aware of the counterparty risk) but for example if one (or dozens) of those top 500 addresses is MtGox cold storage address it doesn't represent the wealth of a single person (or even single company) it represents the entrusted wealth of thousands maybe tens of thousands of users.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: cimine on December 02, 2013, 08:26:25 PM
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?



Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Komsomol on December 02, 2013, 08:33:59 PM
I found this really interesting

http://bitcoinrichlist.com/charts/bitcoin-distribution-by-address (http://bitcoinrichlist.com/charts/bitcoin-distribution-by-address)

The table shows how many wallets contain a certain number of bitcoins. Obviously one person can own more than one wallet but I find it interesting that there is less than 1,500 wallets with more than 1,000 bitcoins in them. Shows that there probably isn't all that many people who have gotten ridiculously rich off bitcoin yet, despite all the stories you hear.

In fact if some of those 1,500 wallets belong to the same person, diversifying their risk of a wallet breach it is even less.

Well those are addresses not wallets.  Unless you intentionally consolidate coins a wallet will contain a large number of addresses.

So for example someone had a wallet with 1,000 active addresses and the average balance per address was 10 BTC they wouldn't be even on the top 100,000 address list but they would still have 10,000 BTC.  Another thing to consider is that most likely when a single large early adopter sells off a large amount of BTC it is being bought up by multiple parties so distribution to a larger base occurs.

As pointed out above most wallets use a new address for each tx and don't reuse addresses, and send all change to a new address so unless you intentionally "send coins to yourself" to consolidate it you won't end up with a few large value addresses.  The main purpose for those massive addresses is offline storage.

Say you are MtGox and users have deposited 500,000 BTC.  You know that on your highest volume day the net outflows (BTC withdrawn - BTC deposited) is 10,000 BTC it makes absolutely no sense to keep 500,000 BTC online where they can be stolen.  You can move 400,000+ BTC offline likely in single large tx and you may not need to move them to an online (hot) wallet for months, maybe years.  If the exchange remains popular and growing you may never need to move those coins online ever again. 

There are a lot of entities which act as a bailor (google it) for other people's coins.   Exchanges, the Bitcoin trust, Bitcoin ETF, Bitpay, and yes the SilkRoad (now in the hands of the DOJ).  Those entities don't "own" the coins they are holding them on behalf of someone else.  Now they certainly can steal them (and people should be aware of the counterparty risk) but for example if one (or dozens) of those top 500 addresses is MtGox cold storage address it doesn't represent the wealth of a single person (or even single company) it represents the entrusted wealth of thousands maybe tens of thousands of users.


Thanks for that insight, so would there be anyway of knowing how many users of bitcoin there are if these are just addresses, presumably if the average person has multiple addresses there are about 1 million on that table with non-negligible amounts in them, that would suggest there are far fewer than 1 million users globally despite all the press-coverage it is getting atm.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: DeathAndTaxes on December 02, 2013, 08:38:41 PM
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

Not conclusively in all cases.   If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.  However if Bitcoin intentionally makes this kind of tracking difficult.  If you use a new addresss for each tx, send change to a new address, and don't reuse existing addresses while it may be possible to link some addresses together by analysising the blockchain it is impossible to link all of them together.  If someone cared enough they can make the job much harder but selecting inputs so they don't add additional information to the blockchain, using mixer services, and even used shared wallets (like exchanges) to kill the public trail.

As an example of killing the public trail:
If I deposit 1 input at a time to MtGox using a different address each time there is no way to link those txs together using the blockchain.  You would need a warrant to gain access to MtGox internal database.   I could then withdraw those balances (which will come from totally different random MtGox addresses) to individual addresses.  Making the amounts and number of withdrawals and deposits different and varying the frequency would make even probabilistic (guessing) analysis impossible.  Now imagine doing the same with multiple exchanges and other shared wallet services, cryptostocks, and even altcoins to ensure that the entire trail can't be reconstructed by a single entity even with private information.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: cimine on December 03, 2013, 12:00:01 AM
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

Not conclusively in all cases.   If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.  However if Bitcoin intentionally makes this kind of tracking difficult.  If you use a new addresss for each tx, send change to a new address, and don't reuse existing addresses while it may be possible to link some addresses together by analysising the blockchain it is impossible to link all of them together.  If someone cared enough they can make the job much harder but selecting inputs so they don't add additional information to the blockchain, using mixer services, and even used shared wallets (like exchanges) to kill the public trail.

As an example of killing the public trail:
If I deposit 1 input at a time to MtGox using a different address each time there is no way to link those txs together using the blockchain.  You would need a warrant to gain access to MtGox internal database.   I could then withdraw those balances (which will come from totally different random MtGox addresses) to individual addresses.  Making the amounts and number of withdrawals and deposits different and varying the frequency would make even probabilistic (guessing) analysis impossible.  Now imagine doing the same with multiple exchanges and other shared wallet services, cryptostocks, and even altcoins to ensure that the entire trail can't be reconstructed by a single entity even with private information.


Two questions

1.) how does anybody know exactly how many Satoshi has?

2.) How does one ensure that the change is sent to a new address?  Do you need a non-standard client?



Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: PenAndPaper on December 03, 2013, 12:19:38 AM
Litecoin. The crypto currency where the printing press is in the hands of the people (off ASICs). ;)

With a price tag of 40$. I don't think that it 'll take much longer before companies announce their first scrypt asics. My bet is on KnC for that.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: DeathAndTaxes on December 03, 2013, 12:42:56 AM
how does anybody know exactly how many Satoshi has?

They don't.  There are some guestimates based on average computing power and the relatively low hashrate for the first year but nobody knows for sure.

Quote
How does one ensure that the change is sent to a new address?  Do you need a non-standard client?

The QT (reference) client will do this by default automatically (actually this behavior can't be bypassed).  Other clients may behave differently.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: gekkomk on December 03, 2013, 03:01:30 AM
Pareto principle in bitcoin?


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: BitcoinDavid on December 03, 2013, 03:10:22 AM
Switching over to ltc soon, wouldn't be suprised if this was true.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: quantumflow on December 03, 2013, 04:21:26 AM
they got in early and held.  more power to them.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: mkasiak on December 03, 2013, 04:32:31 AM
Yes, maybe the numbers are not correct, but bitcoin really is not a way to decentralization of wealth. Just other couple of people would/will become super rich. Litecoin or maybe some other currencies are more "fair". Therefor I start mining and supporting this instead of BTC.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: nahtnam on December 03, 2013, 05:46:13 AM
I bet one of those is Satoshi Nakamoto...


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Satori802 on December 03, 2013, 06:17:30 AM
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.

Not necessarily.
You may refer to the following 2 threads by gmaxwell.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=139581.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=279249.0


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: nahtnam on December 03, 2013, 06:46:15 AM
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.

Not necessarily.
You may refer to the following 2 threads by gmaxwell.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=139581.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=279249.0


Isn't a new address created for every transaction?


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: Passi on December 03, 2013, 07:06:52 AM
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.

Not necessarily.
You may refer to the following 2 threads by gmaxwell.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=139581.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=279249.0


Isn't a new address created for every transaction?

You mean the change address?
If then, it depends on the wallet used.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: neogreg on December 03, 2013, 07:43:52 AM
I m not one of these


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: toroidmonster24 on December 03, 2013, 08:16:17 AM
I'm curious as to the wealth distribution. Like what's the top 1%? Top 5%? Top 10%? 20%? Bottom 50%?


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: micky633 on December 03, 2013, 08:59:00 AM
I'm curious as to the wealth distribution. Like what's the top 1%? Top 5%? Top 10%? 20%? Bottom 50%?

It is hard to make an estimate.
One person may control 10000 addresses.
One address may contain bitcoin belonging to 10000 persons (eg. Hot/Cold wallet of exchanges and casinos).


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: neogreg on December 03, 2013, 11:12:52 AM
pareto


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: PenAndPaper on December 03, 2013, 01:31:54 PM
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: MoonShadow on December 03, 2013, 02:57:54 PM
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.

Based upon what, exactly?


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: PenAndPaper on December 03, 2013, 03:50:55 PM
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.

Based upon what, exactly?

So if the creator and original programmer of bitcoin moves his ,untouched for years coins, wouldn't that raise some flags for you?
I mean most people will speculate that he is moving coins in order to sell them. And if satoshi sells coins then hell i 'll sell to. Every single one of them.


Title: Re: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins?
Post by: MoonShadow on December 03, 2013, 06:51:59 PM
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.

Based upon what, exactly?

So if the creator and original programmer of bitcoin moves his ,untouched for years coins, wouldn't that raise some flags for you?


Not really.  Not only would I have to be able to know which coins are Satoshi's (only the first few hundred blocks can be assumed to be Satoshi's), I'd also have to know that he didn't sell those block reward addresses out-of-band.  Neither of these things are knowable, unless he tells us.  We'd also have to know that Satoshi himself was still alive, and some heir wasn't finally making moves with inherited funds.  Keep in mind that he stopped talking to us shortly before the last Tsunami killed thousands of Japanese in a single day.  If Satoshi is actually Japanese & actually an individual, he might be dead.

Quote
I mean most people will speculate that he is moving coins in order to sell them. And if satoshi sells coins then hell i 'll sell to. Every single one of them.


Go right ahead.  I don't agree that everyone will sell them, but I'll offer you an early deal.  Get out now and I'll pay you half price on all that you have.