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Title: [Histogram] Collated linear and logarithmic data of 431 speculators. Post by: fontas on December 05, 2013, 06:25:34 PM Collated 431 replies to the question.
"Guess the BTC price on Dec.25, closest guess gets a $100 BTCe code." (Entry has ended by the way) https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408660844180824064 (https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408660844180824064) https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408661054072160256 (https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408661054072160256) https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BavbEEICAAA8bPl.png:large https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bava32NCYAAoB9q.png:large Useful for determining the applicability of wisdom of the crowds in this speculative market. Discuss. Title: Re: [Histogram] Collated linear and logarithmic data of 431 speculators. Post by: rebuilder on December 05, 2013, 06:45:05 PM This'll be quite interesting after dec. 25th. In the meantime I have a few questions:
-How was the data collected? -When was the data collected? -Was a market specified for the price? Title: Re: [Histogram] Collated linear and logarithmic data of 431 speculators. Post by: BitchicksHusband on December 05, 2013, 06:58:54 PM It seems it was the trollbox on BTC-e. Not exactly the best source of information. Also, that would tend to make it the price on BTC-e on Dec. 25. This price will likely be $100 less than Mt. Gox, making $1600 the winner for Mt. Gox.
Title: Re: [Histogram] Collated linear and logarithmic data of 431 speculators. Post by: GigaCoin on December 05, 2013, 07:53:03 PM Collated 431 replies to the question. "Guess the BTC price on Dec.25, closest guess gets a $100 BTCe code." (Entry has ended by the way) https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408660844180824064 (https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408660844180824064) https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408661054072160256 (https://twitter.com/fontase/statuses/408661054072160256) https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BavbEEICAAA8bPl.png:large https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bava32NCYAAoB9q.png:large Useful for determining the applicability of wisdom of the crowds in this speculative market. Discuss. Thanks for sharing this info fontas. Doesn't general well known speculation wisdom state When the vast majority of speculators expect prices to rise on the short term the price actually goes down? :D Title: Re: [Histogram] Collated linear and logarithmic data of 431 speculators. Post by: GigaCoin on December 06, 2013, 08:37:43 AM This'll be quite interesting after dec. 25th. In the meantime I have a few questions: -How was the data collected? -When was the data collected? -Was a market specified for the price? i think it was via btc-e Title: Re: [Histogram] Collated linear and logarithmic data of 431 speculators. Post by: traderCJ on December 06, 2013, 09:56:43 AM Hey Fontas how is the IRS treating you?
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