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Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Boxman90 on December 06, 2013, 07:20:30 PM



Title: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Boxman90 on December 06, 2013, 07:20:30 PM
So, a massive GoxLoop is going on.

What is GoxLoop?
Gox rewinds the orderbook periodically (6 times as of now) during a massive sell event, and replays the trades that happened in the duration of one loop. Any orders placed during the GoxLoop cannot be cancelled. Any orders placed during the GoxLoop will most likely go through after Gox decides to end the GoxLoop.

ITT: Theories, speculations, as to motivations for GoxLoop.

My theories:

- Massive market sell triggered GoxLoop so Gox can sell elsewhere while the price is still high
- Gox lets the loop run for as long as it takes them to move BTC elsewhere (be it another exchange, or w/e) for their profit.

Legal complications?

Please also discuss whether or not this is legal, and if Gox operators could suffer legal consequences, even though this market is unregulated. Would it be legal in the EU/US to do this?

https://i.imgur.com/m93f60E.png


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: wobber on December 06, 2013, 07:25:27 PM
They should have faced some jail already. They are so incompetent it's illegal.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Jcw188 on December 06, 2013, 07:26:55 PM
I think if they acted at least negligently which caused the price to go down artificially they'd be subject to a lawsuit, wouldn't they?  This is just speculation.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: bitboyben on December 06, 2013, 07:27:48 PM
Big dump scares the crap out of more sellers. Now more poop.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Mirsad on December 06, 2013, 07:30:03 PM
I think if they acted at least negligently which caused the price to go down artificially they'd be subject to a lawsuit, wouldn't they?  This is just speculation.

It's sucks either way.
I expected the price to drop much more.

This looks like currency control... not good for bitcoin. Exchanges can easily manipulate the market with rollback loops.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GigaCoin on December 06, 2013, 07:30:49 PM
So, a massive GoxLoop is going on.

What is GoxLoop?
Gox rewinds the orderbook periodically (6 times as of now) during a massive sell event, and replays the trades that happened in the duration of one loop. Any orders placed during the GoxLoop cannot be cancelled. Any orders placed during the GoxLoop will most likely go through after Gox decides to end the GoxLoop.

ITT: Theories, speculations, as to motivations for GoxLoop.

My theories:

- Massive market sell triggered GoxLoop so Gox can sell elsewhere while the price is still high
- Gox lets the loop run for as long as it takes them to move BTC elsewhere (be it another exchange, or w/e) for their profit.

Legal complications?

Please also discuss whether or not this is legal, and if Gox operators could suffer legal consequences, even though this market is unregulated. Would it be legal in the EU/US to do this?

https://i.imgur.com/m93f60E.png
[/quoout



Def something is up, I was looking at the chart and knew something wasn't right. This could be goxloop playing out

Bitcoin is unregulated so def legal at this point of time


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: SuperHakka on December 06, 2013, 07:32:03 PM
one more reason why btc is not ready yet for the prime time.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Mirsad on December 06, 2013, 07:34:00 PM
one more reason why btc is not ready yet for the prime time.

It's a long way...
There are only a few bitcoin traders and the exchanges work like shit during high user traffic!
No chance to see 1 billion bitcoin users in the near future with such crappy exchanges.

Turn off trading during a crash -> looks really unprofessional.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: SuperHakka on December 06, 2013, 07:36:21 PM
i looking at this looping on btccharts, this is some funny shit going on. can you imagine if this started happening on nasdaq or nyse, lmfao


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: wobber on December 06, 2013, 07:37:44 PM
Anyone willing to lobby against MtGox, with me?


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: bitleif on December 06, 2013, 07:38:21 PM
Quote
one more reason why btc is not ready yet for the prime time.

One more reason why GOX has never been ready for prime time. I admit I've still been using them but when this correction is over I'm switching.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GigaCoin on December 06, 2013, 07:39:17 PM
Alright I looked further into this and I'm convinced of goxloop manipulation. The sell orders are huge with full red We should be below $800 already. Very interesting and clear manipulation!


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: sgbett on December 06, 2013, 07:40:42 PM
i looking at this looping on btccharts, this is some funny shit going on. can you imagine if this started happening on nasdaq or nyse, lmfao

"funny shit" happens an nasdaq, nyse et al all the time, they hide it in plain sight.

http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.co.uk/2012/02/weird-stuff-in-high-frequency-markets.html


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Skybits on December 06, 2013, 07:42:36 PM
tried to cancel a buy order at 825 b/c i think it will go lower and every time i refresh my screen it appears as if i didn't cancel it. it hasn't hit 825 yet but goes to 829 and back to 877. And then periodically shows 502 bad gateway, could this be a hack attempt?  ....either way this is Lame.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Mirsad on December 06, 2013, 07:44:14 PM
The problem is:

The same shit happend yesterday!
The price dropped and I was unable to cancel my buy order @ 680 euros...
Same loop.

Eithere there was an attacker testing his method or GOX itself manipulates the market.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GriTBitS on December 06, 2013, 07:47:04 PM
i need to get that buy order in at $1 before it goes back up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: beaconpcguru on December 06, 2013, 07:54:24 PM
Yup this is just either plain manipulation on Gox's part or they do actually halt trades when the ongoing balance exceeds their hotwallet balance.  Either way, like I always tell people you can trust in Bitcoin itself but exchanges can do anything they want.  If you trade in an unregulated market then there can be no SEC violations.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Inedible on December 06, 2013, 07:54:49 PM
This will all stop as soon as Bill Murry wins Andie McDowell's heart.

Until then, we're Goxloop'd!


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GriTBitS on December 06, 2013, 07:56:08 PM
not sure who is putting all these sell orders in i dont see anything on the sell side


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: beaconpcguru on December 06, 2013, 07:56:28 PM
Though, I'm sure the price will rebound (>900) just after they manage to reset.. though I'm sure a lot of people panicked and will regret it immediately, those who are scared because they market bought during this whole scenario will come out on top once everything catches up.  No worries.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Pruden on December 06, 2013, 07:57:40 PM
I speculate that it will go down from 875 to around 830. Right now it is on wave (b), it is that 0.1BTC buy order at 840. then down again on heavy volume.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: MarCoin on December 06, 2013, 08:04:28 PM
That's what i'm seeing on my platform (21:00 GMT+1). Bars data (high, low, open, close) are built with the MTGox realtime streaming data received by my service's server


http://i.snag.gy/2ubzf.jpg


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GigaCoin on December 06, 2013, 08:04:34 PM
If this is not proof enough i don't know what is

http://i40.tinypic.com/rs779u.jpg


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: pand70 on December 06, 2013, 08:05:25 PM
Finally someone explaining the gox loop. Thank you.
Btw i can't see the loop in bitcoinwisdom although i had it in 1m.
Actually it is just now that i can see the first itteration. Probably i 'm lagging badly.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: bitleif on December 06, 2013, 08:06:18 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Mirsad on December 06, 2013, 08:07:32 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.

It's also called market manipulation and in every regulated market strictly forbidden. Bitcoin allows anything.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Peter R on December 06, 2013, 08:08:01 PM
i looking at this looping on btccharts, this is some funny shit going on. can you imagine if this started happening on nasdaq or nyse, lmfao

"funny shit" happens an nasdaq, nyse et al all the time, they hide it in plain sight.

http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.co.uk/2012/02/weird-stuff-in-high-frequency-markets.html

The US stock and commodity exchanges break all the time.  Just google "zerohedge self help" and read some of the stories.  The major exchanges try to "hide" this kind of thing for better optics.  Bitcoin is more transparent.  

Note again that this "GoxLoop" happened around 9pm pacific time maybe a month ago.  It wasn't discussed as much because most people from the US were asleep.  Mark was on IRC (the last time this happened) and said that the loop was activated by his "security system" that goes off when someone places and huge market sell order.  The reason for his weird "security system" is to prevent a repeat of what happened several years ago when someone hacked the site and faked a market sell all the way down to zero!

Gox really needs to step up its game -- it could raise plenty of cash to fund improvements.  But this is not a conspiracy, and this is in no way unprecedented.  



Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Inedible on December 06, 2013, 08:08:28 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.

How does this solve the price falling too fast?


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: accord01 on December 06, 2013, 08:09:46 PM
Well, this is just going to stall the drop.  Before the bottom was 400, now the bottom could be back to single digits, because it just made bitcoin a lot less reliable.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: NorbyTheGeek on December 06, 2013, 08:10:29 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.
How is this a better idea than simply halting trading?


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Inedible on December 06, 2013, 08:10:35 PM
Mark was on IRC (the last time this happened) and said that the loop was activated by his "security system" that goes off when someone places and huge market sell order.  The reason for his weird "security system" is to prevent a repeat of what happened several years ago when someone hacked the site and faked a market sell all the way down to zero!

I can't see how this would help that situation.

If it were me making a huge sell just now I'd be pretty peeved that the whole world has now been alerted to the fact.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Inedible on December 06, 2013, 08:11:53 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.
How is this a better idea than simply halting trading?

My thoughts exactly.

It's not like the hackers could magic out the fiat without them sending it out to a bank. Just mark account transfers for manual approval over a certain limit.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Peter R on December 06, 2013, 08:12:33 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.

How does this solve the price falling too fast?

It is a bandaid that Mark implemented to avoid a repeat of the hack a few years ago when someone faked a market sell all the way to zero (cleaned out the order book).  It is not designed to prevent the price from "falling too fast."  

(I am not condoning this "security system" BTW, just trying to get the facts straight.)


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Oldminer on December 06, 2013, 08:13:27 PM
Gox be a goxin'!


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: NorbyTheGeek on December 06, 2013, 08:15:07 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.

How does this solve the price falling too fast?

It is a bandaid that Mark implemented to avoid a repeat of the hack a few years ago when someone faked a market sell all the way to zero (cleaned out the order book).  It is not designed to prevent the price from "falling too fast."  

(I am not condoning this "security system" BTW, just trying to get the facts straight.)
Seems like a dumb idea to create more confusion by replaying trades instead of just giving folks a message:  "Trading temporarily halted due to a possible security issue."


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Skybits on December 06, 2013, 08:16:41 PM
it stopped


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: pbody on December 06, 2013, 08:17:03 PM
i looking at this looping on btccharts, this is some funny shit going on. can you imagine if this started happening on nasdaq or nyse, lmfao

"funny shit" happens an nasdaq, nyse et al all the time, they hide it in plain sight.

http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.co.uk/2012/02/weird-stuff-in-high-frequency-markets.html

if only all manipulation was this transparent. ...pretty funny from the big picture. I dont buy the security hack explanation. Though thats a good one.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GigaCoin on December 06, 2013, 08:18:12 PM
loop is over, just watching the madness right now, the chart is going all over the place  :o


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: MarCoin on December 06, 2013, 08:19:10 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.
How is this a better idea than simply halting trading?

Quoted. IMO, manipulation in ANY way is wrong. If it has to fall, let it fall. But if you want, just halt the trading, it is the best choice: but they can't steal if the market is closed  ;D


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: EasyQuest on December 06, 2013, 08:19:47 PM
the loop is over..


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GigaCoin on December 06, 2013, 08:22:53 PM
Triple top  :D

http://i40.tinypic.com/10ofdbc.jpg


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Skybits on December 06, 2013, 08:23:07 PM
ok time to buy again  ;D


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: lowlevel on December 06, 2013, 08:25:19 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.

I sat there trying to cancel re-appearing orders for an hour... thankfully it did seem to stop finally, and I've been able to withdraw my bitcoins...


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: GigaCoin on December 06, 2013, 08:28:18 PM
are we back in a loop this time $830-$890?


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Peter R on December 06, 2013, 08:30:05 PM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.

I sat there trying to cancel re-appearing orders for an hour... thankfully it did seem to stop finally, and I've been able to withdraw my bitcoins...

You withdraw your bitcoins and so do a bunch of other people who are now spooked with Gox.  Those who panic sold will later panic buy into a thinner ask wall, realizing that withdrawing via bitcoin is much faster and easier than USD.  This will drive the price UP.  

Anti-fragility at work.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: pand70 on December 06, 2013, 08:32:09 PM
Ok so the gox loop worked for the better or for worse for the price. It seems to me that it didn't had much impact considering the price of the other exchanges that weren't on a loop.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: canada on December 06, 2013, 08:38:58 PM
This will all stop as soon as Bill Murry wins Andie McDowell's heart.

Until then, we're Goxloop'd!

baahahahahha


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: canada on December 06, 2013, 08:42:46 PM
i looking at this looping on btccharts, this is some funny shit going on. can you imagine if this started happening on nasdaq or nyse, lmfao

"funny shit" happens an nasdaq, nyse et al all the time, they hide it in plain sight.

http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.co.uk/2012/02/weird-stuff-in-high-frequency-markets.html

this is an excellent documentary about high frequency trading: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEAGdwHXfLQ

some totally unexplained flash crashes happened because these algos operate in complex systems.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: pera on December 06, 2013, 08:59:09 PM
Can anyone remember any loop when the price went up really fast?


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Bitbuy on December 06, 2013, 09:20:50 PM
This is interesting to say at least...didn't know this was possible (legality aside!)


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: antimattercrusader on December 06, 2013, 10:05:02 PM
What imbeciles. They're going to watch their market share evaporate.


Why anyone still uses them at this point is beyond my comprehension anyway. After the April crash, I was done.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Jcw188 on December 06, 2013, 10:13:06 PM
It seemed like the price got stuck at Gox for a while and threw all the other markets into a tizzy.  Isn't part of the problem ppl can't get money and btc out of Gox?


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Elokane on December 06, 2013, 11:07:53 PM
Maybe stop using Gox?


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: navigator on December 06, 2013, 11:21:34 PM
GoxLoop from 2012,

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.msg1044283#msg1044283 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.msg1044283#msg1044283)


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: miaviator on December 07, 2013, 02:43:02 AM
Anyone willing to lobby against MtGox, with me?

Yes.  Don't use gox anymore.  Done.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Le Happy Merchant on December 07, 2013, 03:19:43 AM
Bitcoin is unregulated so def legal at this point of time

The precedent from the Shavers case says otherwise.  They could probably nab Karples for securities fraud, as this is something he is explicitly expected NOT to do.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: eldentyrell on December 07, 2013, 03:36:36 AM
So, a massive GoxLoop is going on.

I really wish, for the sake of BTC's credibility, they would not do this.  Or urgently fix whatever bug has been causing this to happen occasionally for the last year or more.

These charts get posted on zerohedge, and they scream "manipulated market" to people.  Even if there is an innocent explanation.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: eldentyrell on December 07, 2013, 03:42:24 AM
The reason for his weird "security system" is to prevent a repeat of what happened several years ago when someone hacked the site and faked a market sell all the way down to zero!

Yes, but why on earth would he report fake volume instead of simply halting the market?

Makes zero sense.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: eldentyrell on December 07, 2013, 03:44:40 AM
Can anyone remember any loop when the price went up really fast?

If this really is a security measure it only needs to be on the down-side since BTC withdrawals are instantaneous and irreversible while fiat withdrawals take at least a day (time for Mark to wake up and notice) and can sometimes be clawed back.  Blocking all BTC withdrawals from all accounts is an alternative, but that REALLY freaks people out, so I can understand why he'd be reluctant to do that.

I still think that "looping" instead of halting is completely bonkers.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: jasonpitts on December 07, 2013, 03:45:09 AM
I cannot understand why anyone still uses GOX.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: pand70 on December 08, 2013, 04:02:50 AM
I know many people that are pleased with all this loop thing because they think that helped the price not to collapse completely.
I don't think that it made any difference. I mean those who are going to panic they 'll panic sooner or later.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: joesmoe2012 on December 08, 2013, 05:18:07 AM
Can anyone remember any loop when the price went up really fast?

If this really is a security measure it only needs to be on the down-side since BTC withdrawals are instantaneous and irreversible while fiat withdrawals take at least a day (time for Mark to wake up and notice) and can sometimes be clawed back.  Blocking all BTC withdrawals from all accounts is an alternative, but that REALLY freaks people out, so I can understand why he'd be reluctant to do that.

I still think that "looping" instead of halting is completely bonkers.

While I agree with what you say, I should point out that mtgox BTC withdraws are not instant...

It takes days sometimes (longer than fiat transfers typically take).


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: xybersurfer on December 08, 2013, 10:57:19 AM
i looking at this looping on btccharts, this is some funny shit going on. can you imagine if this started happening on nasdaq or nyse, lmfao

yeah. holy sh*t!

this is the first time i see it (goxloop), obviously something isn't right. probably a software bug on MtGox's side. they should stop being lazy and fix it.


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: xybersurfer on December 08, 2013, 11:05:48 AM
It was already explained in another thread, it's a security measure (of rather dubious quality) they put in for when price is falling too fast. This is the kind of "solution" that makes software engineers around the world scream out in agony.

How does this solve the price falling too fast?

It is a bandaid that Mark implemented to avoid a repeat of the hack a few years ago when someone faked a market sell all the way to zero (cleaned out the order book).  It is not designed to prevent the price from "falling too fast."  

(I am not condoning this "security system" BTW, just trying to get the facts straight.)
stupid question but...
how does one fake a market sell?

it does not seem possible to me


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: Painful Truth on December 08, 2013, 04:57:42 PM
Relevant article:

http://techcrunch.com/2013/12/06/bitcoin-value-loses-its-mind-as-trading-lags-on-the-mt-gox-exchange/


Title: Re: GoxLoop™ discussion / speculation
Post by: bit0x on December 08, 2013, 07:26:44 PM
It's api lag, not more.