Bitcoin Forum

Other => Beginners & Help => Topic started by: VeryTripy on December 06, 2013, 10:52:32 PM



Title: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: VeryTripy on December 06, 2013, 10:52:32 PM
I invested in bitcoins only recently, in August. Purchased shares of group-buy mining equipement and just plain bitcoins as well. Since then I have had some light panic attacks while following BTC price charts. But the ''it's gonna crash!'' trolls made me actually go in full panic and lose a little bit of my bitcoins. My fault, indeed. Live and learn.  
It helps to think about what person would actually post about the imminent crash of bitcoin here on this forum. Let us make a list with our observations. I have noticed this guy a lot:

1) A person who wants to participate in the market speculation by driving the price of BTC down with panic. They will rumour and blow some events out of proportion. Then they'll buy bitcoins when the price has been driven down and wait for it to rise. Then do this all over again. They could be small speculants or represent a larger company that specialises in BTC market speculation and exchange.

There are many variations of this particular individual. I think it would be educational to discuss them and find other species of this ''The End Is Nigh'' troll.  :)


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: beetcoin on December 06, 2013, 10:58:23 PM
or they could just be really panicky, run-for-the-hills type of investors. on reddit, there was a guy who had a $750,000 inheritance from his parents.. he ended up losing $370k from buying and panic selling.. and the money he spent was half his sisters'.
well, that's if what he is saying is true.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Marcus Aurelius on December 06, 2013, 11:01:04 PM
Smart people have been doing this for literally thousands of years.

If you want a good analogue for what Bitcoin scams look like, check out the currency fraud scams going on in pre-1861 USA, the "wild west" and gold rush days. In a completely unregulated market where value storage and conversion is both highly unreliable and varied, those who control communication win the game.

Dumb people have been doing it to, but they just didn't know/understand the consequences of it and didn't profit.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: de3mka on December 06, 2013, 11:01:20 PM
No point of listing such people here, better just ignore them..


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: icem3lter on December 06, 2013, 11:12:08 PM
Just observing the speculation threads you can trade in exactly opposite ways. Does not work always, but very often.

Panic selling is buy high, sell low, so never put more in Bitcoin than you can loose, or your fear of loosing may lead you to panic sell


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: VeryTripy on December 06, 2013, 11:18:17 PM
or they could just be really panicky, run-for-the-hills type of investors. on reddit, there was a guy who had a $750,000 inheritance from his parents.. he ended up losing $370k from buying and panic selling.. and the money he spent was half his sisters'.
well, that's if what he is saying is true.

That is terrible. A lot of fresh bitcoin investors might have lost some BTC by bad timing and/or panic selling. I did. And learnt from it a lot. But this guy got burnt bad. No second chance for him, I guess.
Some of the users on this forum are actually really inspiring by how they handle panic situations and deal with crash trolls. Some of those ''chill, this troll is just trying to get in your panties'' replies helped me to to find confidence in bitcoin and this community. They saved me a lot of bitcoins. Too bad that the person you are talking about did not stumble upon them.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: VeryTripy on December 06, 2013, 11:28:55 PM
Just observing the speculation threads you can trade in exactly opposite ways. Does not work always, but very often.

Panic selling is buy high, sell low, so never put more in Bitcoin than you can loose, or your fear of loosing may lead you to panic sell

Good advice, but I do not think that my nerves are suited for serious BTC trading. I feel like relying too much on luck and too many possibilities. Besides, if you are not dealing with really huge price swings, the transaction fees might eat up all of your profits. And many of us are not dealing with a lot of coins, so the gain would not even be that noticable. I think the best option for new, small investors would be to look for commodities that they need an are able to purchase with bitcoin. Or hold on to their coins and sit through all of the price swings, as bitcoin will become more valuable.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: RGBKey on December 06, 2013, 11:35:41 PM
As someone who frequently visits BTC-e, the trollbox is the epitome of this.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Wipeout2097 on December 07, 2013, 12:15:32 AM
Don't bet the farm on bitcoins and you will be fine.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: beetcoin on December 07, 2013, 12:17:38 AM
or they could just be really panicky, run-for-the-hills type of investors. on reddit, there was a guy who had a $750,000 inheritance from his parents.. he ended up losing $370k from buying and panic selling.. and the money he spent was half his sisters'.
well, that's if what he is saying is true.

That is terrible. A lot of fresh bitcoin investors might have lost some BTC by bad timing and/or panic selling. I did. And learnt from it a lot. But this guy got burnt bad. No second chance for him, I guess.
Some of the users on this forum are actually really inspiring by how they handle panic situations and deal with crash trolls. Some of those ''chill, this troll is just trying to get in your panties'' replies helped me to to find confidence in bitcoin and this community. They saved me a lot of bitcoins. Too bad that the person you are talking about did not stumble upon them.

i don't have much of a history with investing.. so i don't pretend like i know a lot. i think most people are in the same boat, so they should probalby do the same. the first thing to learn, at least for me, is not to get too greedy that you are unable to read the signs.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Sniperdude on December 07, 2013, 01:28:43 AM
i think BTC prices rose too quickly and are stabilizing


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: samsam on December 07, 2013, 01:32:43 AM
I wonder how far it will fall???



Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: stromma44 on December 07, 2013, 01:36:00 AM
I wonder how far it will fall???

Who knows, maybe best is just check price next week and do not look now  :)


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Sniperdude on December 07, 2013, 01:59:46 AM
where will it land nobody knows!!!!!


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Gator-hex on December 07, 2013, 03:40:58 AM
It's because of the news out of China. We've seen crashes before it will stabilize around production cost.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Dr Bloggood on December 07, 2013, 04:09:23 AM
It's because of the news out of China. We've seen crashes before it will stabilize around production cost.

How much is the production cost?


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: gekkomk on December 07, 2013, 05:07:13 AM
Volatility will continue (regardless of trolls) but is normal (is a part from the market speculation). Anyway, from my point of view bitcoins are a long-term investment.

I wouldn't invest in BTC an amount that i will need tomorrow.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: wasserman99 on December 07, 2013, 05:13:19 AM
but what if the end is nigh?


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Sniperdude on December 07, 2013, 05:17:30 AM
It's because of the news out of China. We've seen crashes before it will stabilize around production cost.

How much is the production cost?

well seeing as the cost for equipment to mine has gone up that would mean the value of BTC should be going up.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Anon136 on December 07, 2013, 05:19:13 AM
I wonder how far it will fall???



Dont expect it to stay much lower than 700 for any length of time.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Argwai96 on December 07, 2013, 05:43:23 AM
I wonder how far it will fall???



Dont expect it to stay much lower than 700 for any length of time.
you might just be surprised. this rally is over. a bear market may be in! ;)


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: StealthyCactus on December 07, 2013, 05:49:12 AM
Yeah you gotta take verything you hear with a grain of salt, lotta people out there looking to profit from your panic.  :P


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Gimmelfarb on December 07, 2013, 06:40:13 AM
Yeah you gotta take verything you hear with a grain of salt, lotta people out there looking to profit from your panic.  :P
that's for sure! hehe. :D


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Anon136 on December 07, 2013, 06:46:02 AM
I wonder how far it will fall???



Dont expect it to stay much lower than 700 for any length of time.
you might just be surprised. this rally is over. a bear market may be in! ;)

yea i wouldn't be surprised if i was surprised. wait what.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: mybogusname on December 07, 2013, 07:04:52 AM
Now at 675 and dropping.. YAY!!!


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: bathwater on December 07, 2013, 07:15:09 AM
Now at 675 and dropping.. YAY!!!

400$ by midnight ??

pacific +8, california time zome


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Dr Bloggood on December 07, 2013, 01:01:38 PM
Damn, this is buying time now!

Not with 100% of the sum you want to invest, but with, let's say, 30%-50%.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: azedee on December 07, 2013, 04:23:23 PM
There are many variations of this particular individual. I think it would be educational to discuss them and find other species of this ''The End Is Nigh'' troll.  :)

Amid frenetic bubbles most of the bulls are trolls.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: hellfrozenow on December 07, 2013, 04:43:03 PM
I don't know guys, but I feel we are really onto something here..
All these fluctuations in the market are normal for something unknown to the world as the alts are, but when I see that yesterday a first Tesla was sold for over 90 BTC or when I read that Lamborghini will also start selling cars in BTCs, things like this just restore my confidence into alts.

There is no room for panic in this business. Of course this is easier said than done when many of us out there have given a 1000 for just 1 BTC but because of this panic, such huge market fluctuations are happening.

But do altcoins have a future?? Most positively YES! :)


 :D just look at LTC price swings for last week or so. Alt coins are even crazier in price swings than Bitcoin  ;)


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: mackb on December 07, 2013, 07:13:09 PM
Lots of media coverage on BTC and Alts the last couple of weeks has brought a lot of speculators and inexperienced investors (myself included). This was like the day trader boom in the late 90's/early 00's. Lot's of hype machines and doom and gloomers all over, but mostly people losing their shirts while the smart ones bought slowly and steadily.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Anon136 on December 07, 2013, 07:43:11 PM
Lots of media coverage on BTC and Alts the last couple of weeks has brought a lot of speculators and inexperienced investors (myself included). This was like the day trader boom in the late 90's/early 00's. Lot's of hype machines and doom and gloomers all over, but mostly people losing their shirts while the smart ones bought slowly and steadily.

very glad that you learned the right lesson from this and were not scared away by it. welcome to bitcoin.


Title: Re: ''The End Is Nigh'' trolls and market speculation.
Post by: Motya on December 07, 2013, 08:05:14 PM
It's because of the news out of China. We've seen crashes before it will stabilize around production cost.

How much is the production cost?

well seeing as the cost for equipment to mine has gone up that would mean the value of BTC should be going up.

As the costs increase how is that supposed to push up the value? Does each miner go "BTC needs at this price for me to be profitable, I better go buy some to increase its value!" ?