Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: eindbaas on December 07, 2013, 05:10:48 AM



Title: To all panic sellers:
Post by: eindbaas on December 07, 2013, 05:10:48 AM
This crash is due some whales who cashed out. No reason to panic.
Take a look at:
http://www.fiatleak.com
Its really going insane. There is 5x more buy orders then there was at $1200.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: derpinheimer on December 07, 2013, 05:15:42 AM
I dont know how to read that thing... lol


Looks like it just shows any bids added?

That means absolutely nothing.


Wait.. its actually.., trade volume?? Thats even... less meaningful than not meaningful at all..


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: accord01 on December 07, 2013, 05:16:15 AM
You should stop starting new threads, because you've made 100 different posts with different points of view/agenda.  Plus get some sleep.  I just woke up and you're still posting on here.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: vitalemontea on December 07, 2013, 05:17:36 AM
Fiatleak is truly going crazy fast. I used to watch it at ATH and around it, there wasn't as much buys as now. Whatever that means..


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: GreekBitcoin on December 07, 2013, 05:17:42 AM
nope. the bubble just popped and those who learned bitcoin last month will suffer


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: wobber on December 07, 2013, 05:18:08 AM
People just try to buy back lower. But it's a shitty experience for some, cause they loose. Anyway, bitcoin went from 100 to 1000 and it's all i need. It proved it's power to me (speculated or not, doesn't matter)


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: raskolnikovx on December 07, 2013, 05:25:39 AM
People just try to buy back lower. But it's a shitty experience for some, cause they loose. Anyway, bitcoin went from 100 to 1000 and it's all i need. It proved it's power to me (speculated or not, doesn't matter)

I agree on this. I got my  coins at 100 USD and saw them grow to 1200 USD so I am a winner here.
People panic selling because they bought at 1000 USD each coin and dont know if they will loose it all
should not got the coins in the first place.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Argwai96 on December 07, 2013, 05:48:49 AM
new blood may wait once they see the long slow slide in action, hehe


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Sindelar1938 on December 07, 2013, 05:49:24 AM
Sold

Probably gonna see if I can buy some more here


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: removebeforeflight on December 07, 2013, 05:57:24 AM
Longer term vision ::) If it stabilizes at 500, on the next upswing
we are going way past 2000/5000. The fact that China stepped in
on BTC proved that the experiment is seen as viable.
Each peak, no matter how speculative, brings a vast number of people
and ideas into Bitcoin. This 'bubble' hasn't even started yet..


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: zuckerant on December 07, 2013, 06:01:19 AM
Sold

Probably gonna see if I can buy some more here
Me too. That's a looooong drop.

Was falling before going to sleep. Woke up, $100 down and still falling. I don't bother setting a buy order like yesterday because it's the start of the weekend.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: accord01 on December 07, 2013, 06:03:44 AM
Settling at 500 is being generous.  2000-5000 new price is too hopeful.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: AnonyMint on December 07, 2013, 06:16:43 AM
However, general public may trade bitcoin on the internet by taking their own risk.
How is that not uber-bullish?

Because if merchants aren't allowed to accept it as currency then that is a major blow for bitcoin adoption in China.  However it's not clear to me if that is the case.
Who said merchants were not allowed to accept it as currency?

From the 'human translation' on reddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1s5hzl/my_human_translation_of_the_china_regulation/

"Bitcoin is a specified virtual commodity, it does not have equal legal status with money currency, and it cannot and should not be used as money currency on the market."

Note the important correction.

That could be interpreted to mean that any Chinese business should not treat bitcoin as money currency i.e. not accept it as payment like they would if it were a currency.

My father is a former West Coast division head attorney for Exxon. I appear to have inherited some of his high IQ ability to interpret the law.

I can't find anything in this document that specifically bans the bolded assumption.

This document is merely stating that Bitcoin will not be allowed to circulate widely as a currency to compete with RMB, because all volatility risk will remain outside the financial sector in the private parties and exchanges. It is very free market way of saying Bitcoin will not be backed by the government's system. There is nothing stopping businesses from accepting it, and converting it to RMB via a registered exchange.

The government will not likely clamp down on small scale acceptance, as it presents no credible threat to RMB. As we all see now, businesses are forced to convert to fiat immediately if they have significant expenses in fiat, i.e. Bitcoin presents no threat to fiat at the moment because of its volatility and the need for businesses to have fiat to pay their employees and operating expenses, etc..

Note small scale in China is big scale relative to current Bitcoin market size given the large population. Bitcoin is only in the tens of $billion range of market cap. Fiat finance is in the hundreds of $trillions. Bitcoin can grow immensely while still being small scale relative to fiat finance market size.

Whereas, (small) businesses could keep their profits in BTC, as easydns did (PenAndPaper username). Of course big businesses can't because the Bitcoin market cap is too small any way, besides big businesses are not into such risk.

The document is saying that non-financial entities must accept risk of holding BTC.

So this does not to stop the trajectory of Bitcoin in China. Exchanges can still operate and are not prevented from having a bank account to operate with. The document only bans financial institutions (and payment providers) from being market makers, underwriting, insurance, etc. In other words, all the risk and market making must be done by individuals and exchanges.

What they have done is simply kept Bitcoin in the free market-- the wild west.

This is an extremely bullish outcome. They have clarified that Bitcoin is legal for its small scale free market functions.

The Baidu thing is very suspicious. They accepted for a very small portion of their business which was misunderstood and caused a euphoria, then they dump when people misunderstand the ruling above, in order to create panic. Looks like some manipulators are getting rich on BTC pump & dump & rebuy on the dump.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Gimmelfarb on December 07, 2013, 06:24:32 AM
wish i could get my fiat off the exchange and into gold easily...


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: RenHoek on December 14, 2013, 06:53:16 PM
This crash is due some whales who cashed out. No reason to panic.
Take a look at:
http://www.fiatleak.com
Its really going insane. There is 5x more buy orders then there was at $1200.


Fiatleak wurde exhumiert:  Smiley

http://fiatleak.dyndns.org/


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Michael Robinson on December 14, 2013, 07:29:17 PM
I agree on this. I got my  coins at 100 USD and saw them grow to 1200 USD so I am a winner here.
People panic selling because they bought at 1000 USD each coin and dont know if they will loose it all
should not got the coins in the first place.


It is frustrating to me when I see comments like this one.  Yes, congratulations, you were an early adopter who made money.  However, if everyone since then loses money, Bitcoin is done, finished.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: notme on December 14, 2013, 07:32:46 PM
I agree on this. I got my  coins at 100 USD and saw them grow to 1200 USD so I am a winner here.
People panic selling because they bought at 1000 USD each coin and dont know if they will loose it all
should not got the coins in the first place.


It is frustrating to me when I see comments like this one.  Yes, congratulations, you were an early adopter who made money.  However, if everyone since then loses money, Bitcoin is done, finished.


Have some patience dude.  Lack of patience is why you are nervous now.  Just walk away for 6 months before you do something stupid like sell below where you bought.

Bitcoin is far from done, but new users are jittery.  We always have to test the nerves of the new holders before we can continue up.  Many fail the test.  Temperament is key in markets.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Peter R on December 14, 2013, 07:40:56 PM
I agree on this. I got my  coins at 100 USD and saw them grow to 1200 USD so I am a winner here.
People panic selling because they bought at 1000 USD each coin and dont know if they will loose it all
should not got the coins in the first place.


It is frustrating to me when I see comments like this one.  Yes, congratulations, you were an early adopter who made money.  However, if everyone since then loses money, Bitcoin is done, finished.

Buying at $100 makes you an early adopter?  In July, when bitcoin was $100, people felt like they had missed the boat and were hesitant to buy.  Furthermore, many people who purchased coins during the April run-up were at a loss until this October, but look at them now.  The exact same thing happened to people who bought coins during the 2011 run-up (but they had to wait 2 years to see a profit).  

Don't you see?  You are still an early adopter.  These booms and crashes will continue till either (a) bitcoin is dead, or (b) bitcoin is a major global currency with a value of $100,000+.  

Hold tight to your coins, learn more about bitcoin, and try to contribute in any way you can to help advance this game-changing technology.  



Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: proudhon on December 14, 2013, 07:41:30 PM
I think new, jittery users, unfamiliar with trading, but who attempt to become day-traders, are a major component of bitcoin market volatility.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: outofservice on December 14, 2013, 07:42:57 PM
I agree on this. I got my  coins at 100 USD and saw them grow to 1200 USD so I am a winner here.
People panic selling because they bought at 1000 USD each coin and dont know if they will loose it all
should not got the coins in the first place.


It is frustrating to me when I see comments like this one.  Yes, congratulations, you were an early adopter who made money.  However, if everyone since then loses money, Bitcoin is done, finished.

Buying at $100 makes you an early adopter?  In July, when bitcoin was $100, people felt like they had missed the boat and were hesitant to buy.  Furthermore, many people who purchased coins during the April run-up were at a loss until this October, but look at them now.  The exact same thing happened to people who bought coins during the 2011 run-up (but they had to wait 2 years to see a profit).  

Don't you see?  You are still an early adopter.  These booms and crashes will continue till either (a) bitcoin is dead, or (b) bitcoin is a major global currency with a value of $100,000+.  

Hold tight to your coins, learn more about bitcoin, and try to contribute in any way you can to help advance this game-changing technology.  



+1


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Wilhelm on December 15, 2013, 02:42:45 AM
I agree on this. I got my  coins at 100 USD and saw them grow to 1200 USD so I am a winner here.
People panic selling because they bought at 1000 USD each coin and dont know if they will loose it all
should not got the coins in the first place.


It is frustrating to me when I see comments like this one.  Yes, congratulations, you were an early adopter who made money.  However, if everyone since then loses money, Bitcoin is done, finished.

Buying at $100 makes you an early adopter?  In July, when bitcoin was $100, people felt like they had missed the boat and were hesitant to buy.  Furthermore, many people who purchased coins during the April run-up were at a loss until this October, but look at them now.  The exact same thing happened to people who bought coins during the 2011 run-up (but they had to wait 2 years to see a profit).  

Don't you see?  You are still an early adopter.  These booms and crashes will continue till either (a) bitcoin is dead, or (b) bitcoin is a major global currency with a value of $100,000+.  

Hold tight to your coins, learn more about bitcoin, and try to contribute in any way you can to help advance this game-changing technology.  



+1

+1 (i'm hoping on the +$1,000,000 but +$100,000 will do :D)


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: zuckerant on December 15, 2013, 07:43:08 AM
That's why I only talk to friends about the bitcoin system not about buying opportunities. If he wants to make money he will try it anyway.

Sure a friend could make a lot of money but if he turns out to be a jittery buyer he will blame me for the loss.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: TERA on December 15, 2013, 08:01:12 AM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. And there needs to be volume, and buys, gigantic whaletastic buys of 10K+ at a time. Welcome to whale trading.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: windjc on December 15, 2013, 08:02:32 AM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. Welcome to whale trading.

You still think this is like April, don't you?


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: TERA on December 15, 2013, 08:04:11 AM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. Welcome to whale trading.

You still think this is like April, don't you?
It doesn't need to be like April 2013, it can be like anytime that there wasn't a bubble going on.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: windjc on December 15, 2013, 08:08:46 AM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. Welcome to whale trading.

You still think this is like April, don't you?
It doesn't need to be like April 2013, it can be like anytime that there wasn't a bubble going on.

Well there wasn't any real capitulation in April. We tested $66, about 4x higher than where we started the rally.

So, we are probably in a similar situation now, with everyone wondering where the bottom is and we won't go down to that magic # everyone is waiting for $600 before the buying starts again. By the way $600 is about 4x higher than where we started at $125ish.

But unless we fly to $2k-3k, then we arent going to fall 80%+ from ATHs. But you know this already.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: TERA on December 15, 2013, 08:11:42 AM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. Welcome to whale trading.

You still think this is like April, don't you?
It doesn't need to be like April 2013, it can be like anytime that there wasn't a bubble going on.

Well there wasn't any real capitulation in April. We tested $66, about 4x higher than where we started the rally.

So, we are probably in a similar situation now, with everyone wondering where the bottom is and we won't go down to that magic # everyone is waiting for $600 before the buying starts again. By the way $600 is about 4x higher than where we started at $125ish.

But unless we fly to $2k-3k, then we arent going to fall 80%+ from ATHs. But you know this already.
If you look at the chart and timeframe, this is actually more comparible to the drop to $80 that happened 2 weeks after the drop to $50. So people are probably expecting something like $700.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: windjc on December 15, 2013, 08:15:32 AM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. Welcome to whale trading.

You still think this is like April, don't you?
It doesn't need to be like April 2013, it can be like anytime that there wasn't a bubble going on.

Well there wasn't any real capitulation in April. We tested $66, about 4x higher than where we started the rally.

So, we are probably in a similar situation now, with everyone wondering where the bottom is and we won't go down to that magic # everyone is waiting for $600 before the buying starts again. By the way $600 is about 4x higher than where we started at $125ish.

But unless we fly to $2k-3k, then we arent going to fall 80%+ from ATHs. But you know this already.
If you look at the chart and timeframe, this is actually more comparible to the drop to $80 that happened 2 weeks after the drop to $50. So people are probably expecting something like $700.

Perhaps, but the recovery from this just will not be as long as April. There is not real despair here. We didn't crash with a bang, we wilted. We are in the duldrums of the holidays. But soon, we will be rising again. Big monies coming. Bid sums are at ATHs. Everyone is waiting to turn fiat into bitcoin. This just needs a little shove upwards after the new year and we will be at it again.

This will not drag out forever like April did.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Peter R on December 15, 2013, 08:21:48 AM
This will not drag out forever like April did.

Yeah, it really sucked waiting 6 months to 10X my money.  Hope that doesn't happen again   ;D


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: pand70 on December 15, 2013, 08:28:57 AM
This will not drag out forever like April did.

Yeah, it really sucked waiting 6 months to 10X my money.  Hope that doesn't happen again   ;D

Have you sold all your bitcoins? Because if not you actually didn't 10x your money...


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: GriTBitS on December 15, 2013, 06:33:21 PM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. And there needs to be volume, and buys, gigantic whaletastic buys of 10K+ at a time. Welcome to whale trading.

well if dudes sell of massive volume that will be the last time they sell that much off unless they buy back in!


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: pand70 on December 16, 2013, 09:16:59 AM
The game changes significantly once the bubble is popped. Nobody is really selling any significant amounts during the bubble. The selling is mostly bots and traders, who buy back. Then once the bubble is popped, everything changes. What would once enough bids to push the price up and no longer enough. You need about 5x more bids to put brakes on the capitulation. Instead of seeing a a 6K bid area you need to see a 30K bid area, etc. And there needs to be volume, and buys, gigantic whaletastic buys of 10K+ at a time. Welcome to whale trading.

well if dudes sell of massive volume that will be the last time they sell that much off unless they buy back in!

Because those that are buying cannot sell later? Weak hands will sell during a crisis no matter when they got in


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Xenoph0bia on December 16, 2013, 10:46:01 AM
This will not drag out forever like April did.

Yeah, it really sucked waiting 6 months to 10X my money.  Hope that doesn't happen again   ;D

Ok, but your off your Bitcoins, and if you buy again you cant say you got 10X profit (unless the price crashes to 100)


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: cspeter8 on December 16, 2013, 01:30:11 PM
I agree on this. I got my  coins at 100 USD and saw them grow to 1200 USD so I am a winner here.
People panic selling because they bought at 1000 USD each coin and dont know if they will loose it all
should not got the coins in the first place.


It is frustrating to me when I see comments like this one.  Yes, congratulations, you were an early adopter who made money.  However, if everyone since then loses money, Bitcoin is done, finished.

Buying at $100 makes you an early adopter?  In July, when bitcoin was $100, people felt like they had missed the boat and were hesitant to buy.  Furthermore, many people who purchased coins during the April run-up were at a loss until this October, but look at them now.  The exact same thing happened to people who bought coins during the 2011 run-up (but they had to wait 2 years to see a profit). 

Don't you see?  You are still an early adopter.  These booms and crashes will continue till either (a) bitcoin is dead, or (b) bitcoin is a major global currency with a value of $100,000+. 

Hold tight to your coins, learn more about bitcoin, and try to contribute in any way you can to help advance this game-changing technology. 



+1

+1 (i'm hoping on the +$1,000,000 but +$100,000 will do :D)

+1 Good message to keep in front of people.  Especially the wait for 2 years back in 2011.  I helped a few friends get into bitcoin in the runup earlier in 2013.  One fellow bought at $240.  For ~8 months he was under water, but he is glad now that he did not sell.  Others just wanted to make a quick buck without spending time to really getting what bitcoin is about.  They bought at $50, sold at $120 or so and thought they did so well - until now.  Don't do what you will regret later.


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: crocko on December 16, 2013, 02:45:25 PM
If the price of BTC will continue to go down, this will drag the other currencies as well..


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: zoinky on December 16, 2013, 04:03:39 PM
I think new, jittery users, unfamiliar with trading, but who attempt to become day-traders, are a major component of bitcoin market volatility.

+111111


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: pand70 on December 17, 2013, 01:49:10 AM
I can't think of something more ridiculous than idiots calling weak hands all those that believed in bitcoin and bought at 1200$...


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: Reece523 on December 17, 2013, 02:20:52 AM
What's ridiculous about referring to someone as weak hands who bought Bitcoin for $1200 when it seemed like it was going up and is selling at $650 when it seems like it is going down? If they're not selling now to re-enter the market later, then they didn't actually believe in Bitcoin... I think sheep is a better word to describe such people, actually.

I can't think of something more ridiculous than idiots calling weak hands all those that believed in bitcoin and bought at 1200$...


Title: Re: To all panic sellers:
Post by: piramida on December 17, 2013, 07:28:23 AM
yep, weak is not the hand that buys high, weak is the hand that sells low. if you are afraid of sudden volatility spikes, get out of bitcoins and into US treasury bonds, kid.